Globaleyes

A bit confusing. The article says that people for first jab can walk in, but then in the criteria, it says that you must have had a previous jab....which is it?

Thanks everyone. I am in Bangkok if that has a bearing on the wait. This is the reply I got when I registered (17th December): " Your registration for the FIRST dose of COVID-19 vaccination is successful. Once available appointment slot is sent to your email, please confirm within 24 hours. Failure to confirm within 24 hours will result in the cancellation of your preregistration." (Sorry, perhaps I should have included that in the original post).

Hello, I've registered successfully as a foreigner to get my first vaccine (over a month ago) but not heard anything since. Is this expected? How long should this take do you think? I'm on a marriage visa from the UK, if that makes a difference? Maybe the scheme has been silently stopped?

Pretty much it., though I'd stress more their demographic situation, which truly is dire, including a serious gender imbalance, and an 'official' birth rate of 1.6. Add in a huge public debt, to be financed by ever fewer workers, and the burden of one child supporting two parents in retirement (that's happening right now....), and I cannot see any way that China will avoid at least several decades of actual decline.

Exactly. Some of those such visitors (myself included) ended up living here precisely because of the great time we had when we were younger. We kept coming back and spending money.

I'd be very careful about comparing international figures, because they are gathered in different ways. The UK and Italy in particular have been using a very broad measure to calculate their 'covid deaths' (notice that they never say 'deaths caused by covid' - a subtle but important difference). Thus, at one point the case fatality rate, if you went by the UK's 'covid deaths' figures, was 13%, while all the Doctors/virologists etc were anticipating approx 1% fatality rate. In the UK it really has been the case that if you died of a heart attack, within 28 days of receiving a positive covid test result, you were included in the 'Covid Deaths' figures. The ONS and PHE have been very clear that this is what they've done, but most people erroneously conflated 'death by covid' with 'death involving covid'.

What? Are you saying that any serious investor hasn't already priced that in? That they would wait until it happens before they sell?

A 'double dip recession' implies that there would be a period of improvement in the economy between the dips. Where would this improvement come from, with tourism prohibited, and much of the country in Lockdown? All the businesses I frequent are on their knees, with their landlords threatening to kick them out if they don't catch up with their rent - but who would replace them anyway? I think a more accurate description would be a Depression, not Recession, as even more people are reaching the end of their savings, or the tolerance of their creditors. Additionally, it is not just their tourism sector in trouble. 10% of Thai exports are vehicles. Well, apart from delivery bikes, who is using their vehicles more, thus requiring replacement? People who don't leave the house and have taken a pay cut don't generally buy new vehicles! Further, people in Thailand are using taxis/motorbikes or their own vehicles much less, so there is another pillar of the economy (production for domestic use) that has declined. Then, factor in the spending that these providers used to make, that they no longer can.... There is no economic growth in this country, nor will there be any time soon - quite the reverse. I'm getting my money out of Thailand asap.

It seems to be tracking the 99% will survive ratio quite well.