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The SGD is sliding towards its yearly low against USD. 1.28 --->1.31.

If one thinks that the USD will weaken from its high levels in the second half of the year, then now it is becoming increasingly attractive to park some currency in SGD. 1.30 the jumping off point or show more patience?

Edited by yoshiwara
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Hi Chivas,

The EURUSD trade i thought may have moved higher but broke the daily candle low.(1.2161) I was weird as the candle signal were very bullish but for some reason i never entered the trade. EURUSD will now test 1.1875 area.. Look to sell rallies 1.2200 to 1.2250 zone and 2161 is another area to watch.

Will try and post some 1 hr and 5 min setups when the week gathers steam.

Edited by Paulo1
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  • 2 weeks later...

AUDUSD.

On further analysis my view has change a little and have come to this view on the Aussie.

I am hoping to see the price rally to 1.08. 1.10 area. Watching this zone for sell signals I will be accumulating a pretty big position calculated at stops above the all-time high 1.1080, so will most likely use 1.1111 area. I can see a nice move lower around 1000 pips once this begins. A key area could be the weekly trendline coming in around 1.06912. This looks to be a great set up.

Bearish View, due the commodities and the housing market in Australia is not that great, employment is ok, if you work in the mines. otherwise its pretty bad for those who don,t work in the mines.

USDJPY.

Presently trading at support 78.00/17. A break lower to 76 zone will offer a great buying opportunity.

I wrote the attached document sometime ago. It was right on the money, whether Intervention happened I don't know, but it certainly went inthe desired direction.

XAUUSD sell 1610/17

post-49444-0-11310300-1343825282_thumb.g

post-49444-0-43089400-1343825292_thumb.g

Yen Intervention Trade.docx

Edited by Paulo1
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Trade set-ups fro 2/8/12

These are some trades i am watching for today only.,

Sell Limit EURUSD @ 1.2256 Stop 1.22951 Target 1.2153

Sell Limit AUDUSD @ 1.04790 Stop 1.05100 Target 1.03941

But Limit USDJPY @ 78.32 Stop 78.101 Target 78.830

Buy Limit USDCHF @ .98051 Stop .9770 Target 78.83

Am also hold sells On GBPJPY from 122.933 and Gold last night from 1607.78

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AUDUSD.

On further analysis my view has change a little and have come to this view on the Aussie.

I am hoping to see the price rally to 1.08. 1.10 area. Watching this zone for sell signals I will be accumulating a pretty big position calculated at stops above the all-time high 1.1080, so will most likely use 1.1111 area. I can see a nice move lower around 1000 pips once this begins. A key area could be the weekly trendline coming in around 1.06912. This looks to be a great set up.

Bearish View, due the commodities and the housing market in Australia is not that great, employment is ok, if you work in the mines. otherwise its pretty bad for those who don,t work in the mines.

USDJPY.

Presently trading at support 78.00/17. A break lower to 76 zone will offer a great buying opportunity.

I wrote the attached document sometime ago. It was right on the money, whether Intervention happened I don't know, but it certainly went inthe desired direction.

XAUUSD sell 1610/17

Must read .

http://www.afr.com/p/national/mckibbin_urges_rba_to_tame_CGGs2yJtrgvGurTQJ9vReN

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What do you anticipate from ECB's Draghi today.......??

My own view is that Financial Stimulas will be provided to boost the European markets and am anticipating a rise in European Indices. Anything less than positive news I believe will have the opposite effect. I feel there will be no middle ground on this !!

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What do you anticipate from ECB's Draghi today.......??

My own view is that Financial Stimulas will be provided to boost the European markets and am anticipating a rise in European Indices. Anything less than positive news I believe will have the opposite effect. I feel there will be no middle ground on this !!

Draghi Queen has no option but to deliver something positive. there will be a rally and as normal after the rally reality will set in and we will return the bearish mode. Sell the rally is the one.

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Trade set-ups fro 2/8/12

These are some trades i am watching for today only.,

Sell Limit EURUSD @ 1.2256 Stop 1.22951 Target 1.2153

Sell Limit AUDUSD @ 1.04790 Stop 1.05100 Target 1.03941

But Limit USDJPY @ 78.32 Stop 78.101 Target 78.830

Buy Limit USDCHF @ .98051 Stop .9770 Target 78.83

Am also hold sells On GBPJPY from 122.933 and Gold last night from 1607.78

AUDUSD plus 10 and stopped.

EU minus 20

usdchf got entry plus 7 and stopped at entry

USDJPY no trade

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What do you anticipate from ECB's Draghi today.......??

My own view is that Financial Stimulas will be provided to boost the European markets and am anticipating a rise in European Indices. Anything less than positive news I believe will have the opposite effect. I feel there will be no middle ground on this !!

Draghi Queen has no option but to deliver something positive. there will be a rally and as normal after the rally reality will set in and we will return the bearish mode. Sell the rally is the one.

Spot on Paulo as it turned out.......Well anticipated.

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What do you anticipate from ECB's Draghi today.......??

My own view is that Financial Stimulas will be provided to boost the European markets and am anticipating a rise in European Indices. Anything less than positive news I believe will have the opposite effect. I feel there will be no middle ground on this !!

Draghi Queen has no option but to deliver something positive. there will be a rally and as normal after the rally reality will set in and we will return the bearish mode. Sell the rally is the one.

Spot on Paulo as it turned out.......Well anticipated.

They are just beating that same ol drum.

NFP tonight.

SELL LIMIT NZDUSD at 8093/8100 stop 8180 target 7930

Have sells active on the AUDUSD , entries were 1.04852, 1.05175, 1.05020 and 1.05357. Current price 1.0450

Sell entries, Look below support 1.04449 and 1.04351 for sell stops with a target of 1.0330 and 1.0224

Edited by Paulo1
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EURUSD:

The EURUSD chart produced a huge shooting star (SS) overnight, the signal occurred at major resistance between 1.23 and 1.24, this is a confluent signal at key resistance and in line with the current down trend. If you wanted to short the EURUSD, the 50% entry method of the shooting star at 1.2267 area or 1.2300

NZDUSD:

The Kiwi Dollar daily chart produced a large SS just above the key resistance at 8060 area, if prices slice back down through 8060 , look for a move into the support at 7850.

SELL LIMIT NZDUSD at 8093/8100 stop 8180 target 7930, cuurent price is 8137.. Have not entered yet. 8143 looks prime.

.

GOLD:

Gold daily chart produced a reversal bar (not quite a SS but still a significant upper tail and deep bearish body), the chart shows priced rejecting higher prices at the top of the range and it looks like price wants to head back down into the lower side of the range (yet again).

May be hard to enter at current levels, so look to use any strength to be a seller. There is resistance around 1600 and 1608, so watch the intraday 4 hour chart for potential signals to get short.

Keep an eye on the AUDNZD . Aussie in general, will be some serious money to be made on any move higher. My optimum and wishful thinking would be a sell zone above 1.07.

Edited by Paulo1
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EURUSD:

The EURUSD chart produced a huge shooting star (SS) overnight, the signal occurred at major resistance between 1.23 and 1.24, this is a confluent signal at key resistance and in line with the current down trend. If you wanted to short the EURUSD, the 50% entry method of the shooting star at 1.2267 area or 1.2300

NZDUSD:

The Kiwi Dollar daily chart produced a large SS just above the key resistance at 8060 area, if prices slice back down through 8060 , look for a move into the support at 7850.

SELL LIMIT NZDUSD at 8093/8100 stop 8180 target 7930, cuurent price is 8137.. Have not entered yet. 8143 looks prime.

.

GOLD:

Gold daily chart produced a reversal bar (not quite a SS but still a significant upper tail and deep bearish body), the chart shows priced rejecting higher prices at the top of the range and it looks like price wants to head back down into the lower side of the range (yet again).

May be hard to enter at current levels, so look to use any strength to be a seller. There is resistance around 1600 and 1608, so watch the intraday 4 hour chart for potential signals to get short.

Keep an eye on the AUDNZD . Aussie in general, will be some serious money to be made on any move higher. My optimum and wishful thinking would be a sell zone above 1.07.

Kiwi reversed and was stopped.

Cable entry was 1.5519 plus 70 then another entry at same price plus 102 at stop.

EU entry was 1.2177 with 10 pip stop plus 117 at stop.

USDCHF sell was 9861 stop 10 pips plus 123 at stop

Cable, EU and CHf trades were triggered on the 5 min chart,

Aussie is moving higher which is what we want. Selling above 1.07 up to 1.1077, stop 1.1111. This is a big swing/position trade

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AUDNZD. weekly set up

Was triggered at 1.2976 current profit 91 pips , target 1.2700

Have sells active on the AUDUSD , entries were 1.04852, 1.05175, 1.05020 and 1.05357. Current price 1.0450 closed at 1.0455

Edited by Paulo1
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EURUSD:

The EURUSD chart produced a huge shooting star (SS) overnight, the signal occurred at major resistance between 1.23 and 1.24, this is a confluent signal at key resistance and in line with the current down trend. If you wanted to short the EURUSD, the 50% entry method of the shooting star at 1.2267 area or 1.2300

NZDUSD:

The Kiwi Dollar daily chart produced a large SS just above the key resistance at 8060 area, if prices slice back down through 8060 , look for a move into the support at 7850.

SELL LIMIT NZDUSD at 8093/8100 stop 8180 target 7930, cuurent price is 8137.. Have not entered yet. 8143 looks prime.

.

GOLD:

Gold daily chart produced a reversal bar (not quite a SS but still a significant upper tail and deep bearish body), the chart shows priced rejecting higher prices at the top of the range and it looks like price wants to head back down into the lower side of the range (yet again).

May be hard to enter at current levels, so look to use any strength to be a seller. There is resistance around 1600 and 1608, so watch the intraday 4 hour chart for potential signals to get short.

Keep an eye on the AUDNZD . Aussie in general, will be some serious money to be made on any move higher. My optimum and wishful thinking would be a sell zone above 1.07.

Gold

Gold's daily reversal signal from Thursday is still valid and prices only rallied up slightly in Fridays session. There is still a good chance for lower prices and the bias remains bearish. Remember prices are moving back down after rejecting the key resistance around 1625. This chart is certainly one to watch next week

EU. , prices have pushed much higher during Fridays session, recovering all the way back up to the major resistance at 1.2400. Watch short timeframes for a reversal signal around this number.

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EURUSD:

The EURUSD chart produced a huge shooting star (SS) overnight, the signal occurred at major resistance between 1.23 and 1.24, this is a confluent signal at key resistance and in line with the current down trend. If you wanted to short the EURUSD, the 50% entry method of the shooting star at 1.2267 area or 1.2300

NZDUSD:

The Kiwi Dollar daily chart produced a large SS just above the key resistance at 8060 area, if prices slice back down through 8060 , look for a move into the support at 7850.

SELL LIMIT NZDUSD at 8093/8100 stop 8180 target 7930, cuurent price is 8137.. Have not entered yet. 8143 looks prime.

.

GOLD:

Gold daily chart produced a reversal bar (not quite a SS but still a significant upper tail and deep bearish body), the chart shows priced rejecting higher prices at the top of the range and it looks like price wants to head back down into the lower side of the range (yet again).

May be hard to enter at current levels, so look to use any strength to be a seller. There is resistance around 1600 and 1608, so watch the intraday 4 hour chart for potential signals to get short.

Keep an eye on the AUDNZD . Aussie in general, will be some serious money to be made on any move higher. My optimum and wishful thinking would be a sell zone above 1.07.

Gold

Gold's daily reversal signal from Thursday is still valid and prices only rallied up slightly in Fridays session. There is still a good chance for lower prices and the bias remains bearish. Remember prices are moving back down after rejecting the key resistance around 1625. This chart is certainly one to watch next week

EU. , prices have pushed much higher during Fridays session, recovering all the way back up to the major resistance at 1.2400. Watch short timeframes for a reversal signal around this number.

Shorts entered at 1.2390 up 55 , 2nd entry at 1.2376 -+37

EY sell entry at 97.38 +60

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This was the EURJPY 4hr signal.

Chart attached. Have also attached a trade i did and am still holding 1 lot from entry. GBPNZD has now returned 1900 pips.

post-49444-0-84506300-1344247248_thumb.g

post-49444-0-61973600-1344247264_thumb.g

Edited by Paulo1
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EURUSD:

The EURUSD chart produced a huge shooting star (SS) overnight, the signal occurred at major resistance between 1.23 and 1.24, this is a confluent signal at key resistance and in line with the current down trend. If you wanted to short the EURUSD, the 50% entry method of the shooting star at 1.2267 area or 1.2300

NZDUSD:

The Kiwi Dollar daily chart produced a large SS just above the key resistance at 8060 area, if prices slice back down through 8060 , look for a move into the support at 7850.

SELL LIMIT NZDUSD at 8093/8100 stop 8180 target 7930, cuurent price is 8137.. Have not entered yet. 8143 looks prime.

.

GOLD:

Gold daily chart produced a reversal bar (not quite a SS but still a significant upper tail and deep bearish body), the chart shows priced rejecting higher prices at the top of the range and it looks like price wants to head back down into the lower side of the range (yet again).

May be hard to enter at current levels, so look to use any strength to be a seller. There is resistance around 1600 and 1608, so watch the intraday 4 hour chart for potential signals to get short.

Keep an eye on the AUDNZD . Aussie in general, will be some serious money to be made on any move higher. My optimum and wishful thinking would be a sell zone above 1.07.

Gold

Gold's daily reversal signal from Thursday is still valid and prices only rallied up slightly in Fridays session. There is still a good chance for lower prices and the bias remains bearish. Remember prices are moving back down after rejecting the key resistance around 1625. This chart is certainly one to watch next week

EU. , prices have pushed much higher during Fridays session, recovering all the way back up to the major resistance at 1.2400. Watch short timeframes for a reversal signal around this number.

Shorts entered at 1.2390 up 55 , 2nd entry at 1.2376 -+37

EY sell entry at 97.38 +60

All closed at in the money stops , Total for the day 187 including other trades not posted.

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If any traders are reading this I would be interested knowing which time frames you would prefer signals from?

Just entered a sell, AUDUSD 5min trade 1.05582 stop 1.05672 target 1.0527 ish

Edited by Paulo1
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If any traders are reading this I would be interested knowing which time frames you would prefer signals from?

Just entered a sell, AUDUSD 5min trade 1.05582 stop 1.05672 target 1.0527 ish

If any traders are reading this I would be interested knowing which time frames you would prefer signals from?

Just entered a sell, AUDUSD 5min trade 1.05582 stop 1.05672 target 1.0527 ish

Stopped
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Indices.

FTSE watching 5850/5900

S&P Topside 1390.99 short on a break 1370

ASX200 4350 look to sell, the past year there has had a 300 point range.

Euro Stoxx 2400-2450 alert sell zone.

Copper watching to sell below 7000

Gold daily zones. bullish above 1640-- bearish below 1521.

AUD looking to sell 1.0750 to 1.08 zone.

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Last nights trades were. All trades taken using standard lots.

Cable buy at 1.5590 closed plus 80 pips

USDNZD sold a number of postions from 8189,8186, 8146, 8140 and a 8132. Plus about 130 pips, Charts attached.

[8/7/2012 10:16:30 PM] paulo: already long cable , but watch this level close.

[8/7/2012 10:16:44 PM] paulo: just noticed i never sent that

[8/7/2012 10:17:01 PM] paulo: long OIL 92.29

Close oil 93.96

Had two shorts that went against me, EU and AU , each incurred a 10 pip loss.

post-49444-0-69977500-1344395867_thumb.g

post-49444-0-51426300-1344396148_thumb.g

post-49444-0-80278500-1344396377_thumb.g

post-49444-0-11572700-1344396946_thumb.g

Edited by Paulo1
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AUDCHF, Daily signal

Sell Limit 1.02780 stop 1.0365 target 1 is 1.0000 and 9965.

Sell was triggered at 1.02780 last night

Have paced a sell on GBPUSD at 1.5700, stop 1.5740 Target around 1.5600

Edited by Paulo1
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AUDCHF, Daily signal

Sell Limit 1.02780 stop 1.0365 target 1 is 1.0000 and 9965.

Sell was triggered at 1.02780 last night

Have paced a sell on GBPUSD at 1.5700, stop 1.5740 Target around 1.5600

Gone the opposite way Paulo at the moment.......

I'm long so happy for it to roll with trailing stop in place for now.....

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