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Unconvinced

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Posts posted by Unconvinced

  1. Why does it matter? Conspiracy nuts will just not believe and demand more proof only to then go on and disbelieve that.

    .

    What kind of results are these people thinking will happen ... that somehow the two DNA samples collected at the scene will somehow match a third person making two people who don't even share the same heritage having identical DNA. THEY ALREADY MATCHED THE DNA and this kid was not even on the island at the time of the murders. At least their is tough defamation laws in Thailand and this is a perfect example of when they should be used.

    If the matches are so certain, why has the prosecutor sent the docket back THREE times?

    I think the only DNA match is between the cigarette butts on the beach and the 2 Myanmar guys, and they have already admitted they were on the beach. This is why the prosecutor keeps asking for more evidence - I have never read that they have a match between the Myanmar and from inside Hannah . Big man will have paid the local police to make sure that any DNA that is tested isn't actually from the son. There is no point in the Myanmar guys denying it if they did it, because they would know that their DNA was inside Hannah. Only the son of the big boss would rape and expect to get away with it.

    No, I think there was a DNA match claimed between the cigarette and the semen. Whether the claim by police that this DNA matches the Burmese suspects is a true claim is the big question.

    Unless the Brits have already been remarkably influential themselves and forced this test, why do it? Isn't the likely answer that the influential person knows that there will not be a match (and needs to get everyone off his back).

    This doesn't necessarily mean that there has to be some sinister orchestration of a dishonest non-match, with his friends in the RTP playing games with either the base DNA samples from that night or the new sample from him. (Although everyone will naturally want to see how public, transparent and independently supervised is this new test.)

    I think the test (still assuming it's entirely voluntary) can go sweetly without any new skulduggery, and that requires either that he is totally innnocent or simply that he is assured that the DNA on the cigarette that matches the semen is the only DNA his will be tested against and is not his. Doesn't mean he didn't participate, but helps him bolster that assertion. Good move, long awaited, way too late and too many other issues to remove all suspicion, but good move.

  2. Having tried to read and digest all the news and postings on this case I've come to the conclusion that these 2 Myanmar guys may have been selected to be scapegoats at a very early stage in the chain of events. It seems everyone knew they played guitar, smoked, drank beer and frequented the beach in close proximity to where the bodies were found. They were also bar workers and illegal immigrants who fled the police when they played takraw with their friends. They were an easy target for a 'frame up' especially if the local cop/bag man was involved. When I watched the re-enactment charade they came across as being in a total daze, if not in a state of shock to the extent they had to be 'directed' by the RTP. I'll eat 'humble pie' if I'm wrong, but I think I'll be eating fried rice instead when this whole unsavoury casee is solved.

    This is what I don't understand. Why weren't they the first to be dna tested if they were hot suspects? Yet their results supposedly cam several weeks after the murder. They also appear to be in the first batch who were tested, and deemed cleared - this was roughly 200 persons. Surely they were in that first group. Then their dna is supposedly found positive in world record time (were they tested again, and somehow found positive the second time. No wonder the prosecutors have a major headache!

    That extremely inconvenient photo showing at least one of the Burmese suspects and the third Burmese "star witness" (fail) in the early lines to get DNA-tested suggests they were tested. They were smiling unworried in the queue and they stuck around the island thereafter. I expect also that any and all staff of the vital bar would have been prioritised for testing when the police were so focused on that bar on and around Sep 24.

    Another great news story from the early days (after they'd given up accusing farang friends of homosexual jealousy and placing stained pants in the wrong luggage, but before they were very briefly pursuing the headman's son) was the following article about 3 Burmese guys detained and suspected purely because they'd been on the beach. A subsequent report cleared and freed them because their DNA did not match. Would be great to know if these are the very same 3 Burmese guys that the police circled back to a few weeks later under Plan D or E:

    http://englishnews.thaipbs.or.th/surat-police-detain-three-myanmar-workers-questioning-connection-britons-murder/

  3. Small demonstrations of Burmese people in Yangon (for Prayuth) and in front of the Burmese embassy in Tokyo.

    Points also for the lone Thai guy standing outside Scotland Yard with a cardboard sign asking them to investigate.

    source?

    Both demos referenced with links on Andy Hall twitter: twitter.com/atomicalandy

    And the demo greeting Prayuth in Yangon is from the Nation: http://www.nationmultimedia.com/politics/Prayut-greeted-by-protest-in-Yangon-30245172.html

    The Thai guy outside Scotland yard was pictured on CSI LA

    thank you.but i cant see the pic of the thai guy outside Scotland Yard please post here or pm me

    Good grief. OK. Trawled through CSI LA but can't find it again either. He gets so many posts an hour and I saw it last night. Anyway, here it is. Pic has appeared now on a blog in Burma. His hand-held sign references CSI LA:

    10685445_1492239704363150_70676065992931

    Per the Burmese blog recently found by TVF poster Steve Fong:

    https://democracyforburma.wordpress.com/2014/09/15/update-710-thailand-2-british-tourists-been-murder-on-sairee-beach-koh-tao/

  4. Well, I guess it's just a blog, that pesky "social media" the police and the general can't seem to fathom. But if a blog in Burma is specifying the alternative protected suspect so clearly, then it can't be long before his name and the full story of his widely-discussed escape from the island and dodgy Bangkok alibi appear in Burmese and international newspapers.

    Whereas all this has happened before (e.g. Chiang Mai) and the police have got away with it, the level of attention upon this disastrous botch-up and corruption is much greater. Can Thailand really get away without doing at least some of the right thing on this one? Surely they'll at least have to fess up at least one more convincing participant in the crime, even if they continue to try to protect others.

    By the way, CSI LA is still going strong; maybe it's just busy rather than blocked, and that's got to be good. They've got the son's university timetable and they're picking over the alibi video photos.

    • Like 1
  5. "I want to stress that police have investigated this case based on the law, examined evidence in line with international standards, and are fully accountable," national police chief Somyot Poompanmoung..."

    INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS? They had a fxxking Pan Cake Salesman interview the suspects!!!! A PAN CAKE SALESMAN!

    Roti boy, amateur interrogator and stage director, is also from a rival ethnic and language group.

    Interrogations performed without legal representation.

    Somyot has to go down for this. He participated in the stage-managed enactment on the beach and has backed his men on the non-following of all the other leads.

    • Like 2
  6. Small demonstrations of Burmese people in Yangon (for Prayuth) and in front of the Burmese embassy in Tokyo.

    Points also for the lone Thai guy standing outside Scotland Yard with a cardboard sign asking them to investigate.

    source?

    Both demos referenced with links on Andy Hall twitter: twitter.com/atomicalandy

    And the demo greeting Prayuth in Yangon is from the Nation: http://www.nationmultimedia.com/politics/Prayut-greeted-by-protest-in-Yangon-30245172.html

    The Thai guy outside Scotland yard was pictured on CSI LA

  7. This is ugly, and the diabolical Samui Prison chief is clearly laying the table for prisoner "suicide" and showing his own prejudice and alignment at the same time.

    If they don't recant their coerced confessions, they are toast. It will go through the court like lightning and straight to sentencing, and the giant doubts about the DNA match won't stop that.

    The reports of recanting are still second hand. They have been visited by Myanmar embassy officials and a Thai govt "human rights" stooge. They have had one meeting, probably supervised, with Andy Hall's migrant workers group, which we here might recognise as an independent lifeline, but it's not clear to me yet that the two dumbstruck hobbits are sure whether they can trust anyone.

    They need to formally appoint lawyers the can trust and recant in writing. Andy Halls' twitter feed says they each appointed personal Thai lawyers this morning, which is positive and at least means they survived the night. They need to give a full accurate account of exactly what they did and saw that night, in writing. Until then, the police and other authorities may genuinely believe that they can put this whole matter to rest with the unavoidable death of the suspects in custody and rest upon their earlier "confession" to roti boy; it has worked before.

    If you don't they are that brazen and brainless, I submit in suppport of this fear: (1) the pathetic simplistic stick-figure full-of-holes story that they took a full day to drum into these two suckers (we get drunk, we see people, we grab hoe, we get aroused, we morph into raging psycopaths, just the two of us, two hobbits one hoe, case closed); and (2) the fact the law expected this to withstand scrutiny and yet it unravelled so quickly as soon as anyone insisted on speaking to their star witness (they should have dreamt up a Thai star witness rather than a Burmese national that the embassy could insist on seeing); not to mention (3) all the other leads and questions the police have failed to pursue because they think they can.

    (Edit: don't put a, b and c in brackets in ThaiVisa; they come out funny; changed to 1, 2, 3)

    • Like 1
  8. Condoms!!!?? Who puts on a condom before raping??

    A rapist that doesn't want to leave semen inside the victim as it can be a bit of a give away!!!

    So ... not just your average rapist then.

    Other possibilities (not mutually exclusive; may apply simultaneously):

    - an experienced rapist

    - an educated rapist

    - a date-rape artist

    - a rape pack leader

  9. This one you mean?

    “We are aware of concerns expressed in relation to the latest developments and expect the Thai authorities to address these thoroughly and transparently.

    “The investigation and judicial process remains a matter for the Thai authorities, but we expect it to be conducted in a fair and transparent way. We remain in contact with them and have asked to be kept closely informed

    I believe this is what the industry refers to as 'damning with feint praise'. I speak diplomat so let me explain:

    The phrase:"We are aware of concerns expressed in relation to the latest development" means 'we are worried by these latest developments, that we are even acknowledging them in a formal statement to the press instead of ignoring them as we'd rather be doing'.

    The phrase: "and expect the Thai authorities to address these thoroughly and transparently" means 'and expect the Thai authorities to address the concerns WITH evidence, open to public scrutiny'

    "The investigation and judicial process remains a matter for the Thai authorities" means exactly that. Its the next word that is a KILLER in the diplomacy world though:

    BUT...

    This is a direct criticism of either the handling of the case or the handling of the media in the case. There should be no but in this statement. It should read AND followed by lavish praise at the performance and handling of the case by the Royal Thai Police.

    "but, we expect it to be conducted in a fair and transparent way" and here is the real knife twist. Two statements on a lack of transparency within a three sentence statement? An interjection on proper procedure? And then a kiss off with a reminder on fairness. Youd have to be deaf or willfully ignorant not to not hear the message here: The foreign office are currently unsatisfied with events... or at the very least the oversight of these events. The very fact they mention these 'concerns' is also incredibly important since it indicates that the foreign office is having to listen to these concerns AND take them seriously. The only statement the FO WANTS to make is, "We are very grateful to the RTP for their invaluable assistance in... baseless and senseless attacks. " Nowhere do they want to talk about being aware of concerns about transparency and fairness. Nowhere do they want to drop the word BUT after having to point out that this is a matter for Thailand to resolve.

    Sorry to have to explain the blindingly obvious to you about subtext. Im sure you can in fact read it wink.png

    You speak diplomat fluently!

    Following the Telegraph article, Ambassador Kent is stressing explicitly on twitter that has has made no comment or endorsement of the investigation. Was he not reported (by Thai police?) as saying they had performed with "exemplary professionalism" and that the UK would not interfere, or was that a Thai police claim on the same list as the satisfaction of the Myanmar representatives, the presence of lawyers for the accused, and the chopping and changing regarding the numbers of guilty suspects, murder weapons and mobile phones?

  10. Wow! That Coconuts article is dynamite. Are they/we sure they've got this right? The Irawaddy article reported the Myanmar embassy lawyer as saying the suspects were fearful and had been "tortured" but recited their admission of hitting the victims with the back of the hoe. Coconuts says they have recanted.

    I was going to say that, even without independent confirmation of a DNA match, these suspects are toast if they don't recant. From the UK point of view (with public and journalists unfamiliar with Thai police previous), a reported confession and DNA match were difficult to question, and the news story was fading. If they recant and the Myanmar govt backs them, this goes nuclear.

    • Like 1
  11. Prove it by sending the DNA outside of Thailand for independent testing. All other evidence can be planted or otherwise interfered with, while confessions can be easily extracted.

    Regarding the DNA testing, it was done in Singapore.

    Most if not all the DNA testing was confirmed done by RTP Forensics. Do we have any confirmation that the brief early idea of sharing some of it with an unnamed Singapore lab (after rejecting the FBI idea) was actually implemented?

    On 20 Sep, police said they would seek FBI help with DNA in order to determine race. On the same day, they then said that "forensic doctors" had determined the DNA was Asian and the FBI was not needed. Singapore not mentioned. On 21 Sep, there was another news story that some DNA would be sent to Singapore to get at skin colour and hair colour. Did we hear back?

    In any event, the DNA found in/on (sorry) the victim is only part A of a match. Part B is from the suspects. One or two of them were photographed in the very early DNA testing queue on the island. Naturally they were early DNA targets, because after moving on from Miller's mates the police were focused on Burmese and any that worked at the vital bar would have been top priority. Somehow their DNA, whether it was tested in Thailand or Singapore was not matched then. Now it has apparently been matched but do we know that the test or the match was done in Singapore?

    • Like 1
  12. As I understand it from the Andy Hall twitter feed and various news sites:

    • his migrant worker lawyers have not been permitted to see the suspects
    • the Myanmar embassy team saw the two suspects but were denied access to the third Burmese originally accused and now a witness
    • the police announced that the Myanmar embassy team were happy with the conduct of the investigation, whereas the Myanmar embassy lawyer is quoted as saying the suspects are fearful and say they were tortured, and that there are discrepancies in the story and the evidence
    • however, they also reported that the two accused have said they both hit the victims with the blunt side of the hoe and were very drunk that night
    • the police at today's press conference said no suspects (so that would include the three in Samui prison and their takraw colleagues who are claiming torture) suffered any force in interrogations
    • the police at today's press conference now claim that there was a lawyer present during interrogations, whereas previously they said the suspects waived their right to legal representation
    • police have declared the case "closed" and this press conference "final"

    www.dvb.no/news/koh-tao-murderers-were-tortured-says-burmese-embassy-lawyer-burma-myanmar/44781

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