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Jim Waldron

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Everything posted by Jim Waldron

  1. On the face of it, 300 seats in a 500-seat House gives the coalition led by the Bhumjaithai Party and Anutin Charnvirakul a clear working majority. It’s comfortably over the 251 needed, while leaving a sizeable 200-seat opposition led by the People’s Party. Capping the coalition at 300 also suggests they want stability without having to hand out too many cabinet posts. The great unknown now is the legal challenges to the election. If the courts order re-runs or disqualifications in several constituencies, the numbers could shift. While a few seat changes may not matter much, a larger block could narrow the margin and affect confidence in the final result.
  2. He should have said he won it on a horse called Dragonfly - unless his wife's name is Sybil!
  3. NASA’s plan to launch Artemis II in early March will be the first crewed journey around the Moon since 1972. I wish the crew every success in their mission and a safe return home. That said, it’s also important not to dismiss legitimate technical concerns. A retired NASA engineer has recently raised alarms about the Orion spacecraft’s heat shield, noting that the previous Artemis mission revealed cracks and craters on its surface after re‑entry. Given that the heat shield is the single most critical component protecting the crew during their high‑speed return to Earth, such warnings should be taken seriously and addressed transparently. NASA leadership may well express "their" confidence in the design, but they're not the people who's lives will be on the the line. Here’s hoping NASA has fully resolved all issues before launch and that the Artemis II mission is remembered for all the right reasons.
  4. The Thai Army’s firm denial of the alleged Cambodian “attack” claim really highlights how fragile things remain along that stretch of the border. According to recent reporting, the Thai side insists no weapons were fired and has labelled the Cambodian-media allegations as “fake news,” urging both countries to stick closely to the General Border Committee (GBC) ceasefire framework. In such a highly charged environment where rumours spread fast and political sensitivities run even faster, it becomes even more important that both sides rely on seasoned, well-trained border personnel rather than raw conscripts. When tensions are already elevated, the last thing anyone needs is a nervous young soldier misreading a situation and escalating something that could have been resolved quietly! Border incidents often start with misunderstandings, not malice. Professionals with experience in de‑escalation, communication, and cross-border protocols are far better equipped to prevent small sparks from turning into full-blown confrontations. Hopefully, both sides continue to treat these reports with caution and keep the focus on stability rather than sensationalism.
  5. I am very saddened by this news. My deepest sympathy goes out to his family and loved ones at such a heartbreaking time. Losing someone under these difficult circumstances, and so far from home, is an unimaginable pain. May they find strength and support as they navigate this difficult period, and may he rest in peace.
  6. Maybe, but I think the reason Thailand is persisting, and why this hasn't been settled by a 'final' judgment of the International Court of Justice (ICJ) is that the ICJ actually lacks the jurisdiction to rule on the entire 800km border. In its 2013 Interpretation Judgment, the Court explicitly stated it could only define the 'vicinity' of the Preah Vihear promontory. It declined to rule on the broader 4.6 sq km disputed zone or other border sectors, noting these must be settled through bilateral negotiations. From what I've been reading about this I think Thailand’s position isn't based on a "fear of losing", but on the MOU 2000, a binding treaty where both nations agreed to resolve the border themselves via the Joint Boundary Commission (JBC). If Thailand were to approach the ICJ unilaterally it would actually be a breach of the JBC. By staying with the it, Thailand ensures that at least modern GPS surveying and the natural WATERSHED (rather than a century-old 1:200,000 French map with known technical inaccuracies) could help to determine the final frontier. Even Hun Manet is saying that the JBC should resume its work.
  7. If Trump wants a fight he might actually get it, not with Iran, but with the U.S. Congress courtesy of the War Powers Act of 1973. Media outlets like Reuters and AP News have reported that most Americans remain deeply cautious about military action against Iran. Polling cited by Reuters/Ipsos shows nearly four out of five Americans worry about escalation if strikes occur, while NPR and PBS surveys found similar levels of concern about retaliation. In short, while Trump talks tough, the media consistently highlight that the U.S. public mood leans toward diplomacy and restraint rather than another Middle East war.
  8. As the article highlights, both countries face substantial uncertainties with risks of miscalculation. For Iran, the dangers of escalation are obvious. Yet the more pressing questions for the U.S are what level of risk it is truly willing to accept, and for what tangible benefit? The engagements in Iraq and Afghanistan have already shown how costly Middle Eastern engagements can be in lives lost and dollars spent. Another confrontation with Iran would almost certainly bring similar burdens, while seemingly offering little direct gain to ordinary Americans. If their government chooses confrontation, it owes it to its citizens to explain why it is necessary, and whether it genuinely serves U.S. national interests rather than abstract geopolitical ambitions.
  9. Take a number and stand in line… I think the People’s Party is really pushing this one further than it deserves, especially as the matter is already in the hands of the court. It's claims that the 8 February ballots weren’t secret seem overblown. Thailand isn’t unique in using barcodes on ballots, and in most cases, barcodes simply help with counting and tracking without compromising voter anonymity. The EC’s failure to properly notify the public about its intentions before the election does carry a significant credibility cost. Much of the debate about transparency could have been avoided if they had properly informed the public beforehand. But beyond that, suggesting that the election was anything other than secret feels like an unnecessary escalation, especially when we already have so many unsubstantiated claims flying around about vote buying or rigging. Surely no one genuinely believes that barcodes allow a voter’s choice to be traced in practice. If anything, the EC now has a clear incentive to make the 22 February re-run fully transparent so that public confidence can be maintained. While the EC should certainly answer for its communication failures, the idea that ballots were inherently non-secret must be treated in the realms of fantasy.
  10. Hopefully, the end of a very sorry experience for Thailand. Kingsgate Consolidated Limited is an Australian mining company headquartered in Sydney and formerly listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). When Thailand shut the Chatree mine after years of protests and allegations of environmental and health impacts, Kingsgate escalated the matter under the Thailand–Australia Free Trade Agreement, invoking Investor–State Dispute Settlement provisions. That mechanism, negotiated and supported by the Australian government's , allowed a foreign corporation to challenge a sovereign public-interest decision before an international tribunal. Australia regularly presents itself as a champion of environmental standards and responsible corporate conduct abroad. Yet when serious concerns were being raised by Thai villagers about alleged contamination and community impacts, the only visible weight brought to bear was in defence of treaty-based investor rights! No one is suggesting Canberra ran the mine. But when your trade architecture empowers corporations to sue governments over environmental enforcement, neutrality becomes a difficult position to maintain. The arbitration may be over but he uncomfortable question remains: when push comes to shove, are trade agreements protecting communities or protecting corporate balance sheets?
  11. "Oh what a tangled web we weave." Hun Manet’s allegation is the latest in a dispute spanning more than a century. The Thai Army insists the land in question is Thai sovereign territory, noting that Cambodian civilians and soldiers expanded settlements there after crossing during past hostilities. Thailand argues these people are not “displaced” but encroaching, and that containers and barbed wire are temporary measures to prevent clashes. Cambodia’s claim rests on two International Court of Justice (ICJ) rulings: the 1962 judgment awarding sovereignty over the Preah Vihear temple, and the 2013 clarification that surrounding land near the temple is also Cambodian. But these rulings apply only to the Preah Vihear area, not to all contested stretches of the border! Much of the frontier remains undefined due to ambiguities in colonial‑era French surveys, which left maps and markers open to interpretation. So while Hun Manet’s claims reflect Cambodia’s interpretation, supported in part by ICJ rulings, Thailand also has a legally consistent counter‑claim outside the temple zone. Until the Joint Boundary Commission completes its work, accusations of “occupation” remain contested rather than proven fact.
  12. For Chinese nationals convicted of scamming in Thailand, the result shouldn't just be a few years in a Thai jail. These low-life need to be handed straight over to Chinese authorities to deal with! China has demonstrated that they have zero tolerance for their nationals running intimidation scams from abroad. While they may get a light sentence in Thailand for "computer crimes", they would face a fast worse fate in China. If Thailand wants to reduce its fraud losses to Chinese scammers, deport them back home to face their own country’s much harsher justice system. That may well be the only deterrent that will actually make these scum think twice about coming to Thailand! A Web search has revealed that the ASEAN Senior Officials Meeting on Transnational Crime (SOMTC) implemented a "Fast-Track Repatriation" framework. This agreement allows member states like Vietnam, Cambodia, and Malaysia to bypass lengthy extradition hearings, ensuring scammers arrested in Thailand are deported to their home countries for prosecution within 30 days. See https://www.google.com/url?sa=i&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.thesoutheastasiadesk.com/p/asean-seals-landmark-extradition%23:~:text%3DPhilippine%2520Information%2520Agency%2520President%2520Marcos,%25F0%259F%2594%258D%2520Why%2520It%2520Matters&ved=2ahUKEwjU9_LlyOaSAxVrnmMGHWOWAMsQ1fkOegQIBhAC&opi=89978449&cd&psig=AOvVaw0K0GWWlyVE1GV_5y-CEKou&ust=1771625331825000
  13. The loss of 27 billion baht to fraud is a sobering statistic, but the NCSA’s shift toward "Zero Trust" should be a concern for expats. While these measures might be designed to counter AI-driven deepfakes and identity theft, the real result is likely to be a system of continuous verification that struggles with non-Thai credentials. Access to banking and government digital services is already becoming harder. So, further tightening will probably see even the slightest discrepancy between Immigration data and bank records result in service suspension. Unfortunately, we are facing a world of having to constantly prove your identity in order to protect your assets from low-life scammers. A far cry from that we once enjoyed!
  14. The July deadline for Thailand–US tariff negotiations is sure to be tough going for Thai negotiators. The U.S. has made no secret that it is frustrated by its trade deficit with Thailand, which exceeded $45 billion in 2023 and continued into 2025. From the figures I was able to find on the Web, in Q1 2025 alone, Thailand posted a $12.27 billion surplus, driven by strong exports of electronics, machinery, and rubber-based products. We've already seen that this imbalance has triggered retaliatory tariffs ranging from 19% to 36% on Thai goods, and it's hardly likely the U.S. will reduce these without concessions. Consequently, I suggest that the Thai negotiators will face a torrid time trying to protect key export sectors while addressing U.S. deficit concerns. The lesson, for Thailand and other countries too, is that they would be better served by strengthening trade ties with other partners, both within ASEAN and globally to cushion against hostile U.S. tariff volatility. Regardless of how the tarrif negotiations end up, Thailand would do well to broaden its export base beyond the U.S.
  15. It seems the central issue really is whether QR codes and barcodes compromise the secrecy of the ballot, as required under Article 85 of the Constitution. If the Constitutional Court finds that they do, then, as past precedents in 2006 and 2014 show, the election could indeed be declared void. That outcome would be unfortunate, since it would delay government formation and impose additional costs and inconvenience on the public through a repeat poll. At the same time, the principle of a secret ballot is fundamental, and the Court is empowered to act if it believes that principle has been breached.
  16. This case is truly revolting. The idea of cramming live animals kespecially a gibbon) into luggage for hours just to make a profit is beyond cruel. It’s not only a blatant disregard for animal welfare but also a serious violation of Thailand’s wildlife protection laws. I can’t help but imagine the irony if the gibbon’s cries were what tipped off the authorities. These animals are highly intelligent and social, and to subject them to such conditions is unconscionable. Hopefully, the punishment will be severe enough to send a clear message. A extended period in confined space seems fitting for someone who thought it acceptable to treat animals that way!
  17. I know this crossing well from my old visa runs into Myanmar. From what I see, the Burmese driver should face charges for people smuggling, while the Chinese nationals’ fate should rightly be determined by their own authorities!
  18. Thai credit has now contracted for six consecutive quarters, the longest decline in 16 years. The slowdown reflects weak demand, tighter lending standards, and rising bad debts. SMEs are particularly exposed, with high failure rates adding to the drag. But, the problem is wider as household debt remains among the highest in Asia and investor confidence is shaky. Put this all together, and it reinforces the “sick man of Asia” label that’s increasingly being applied to Thailand’s economy!
  19. Finally, a good news story of foreigners showing some respect for Thai culture. It’s nice to see visitors not just observing but actually participating in local traditions in a respectful way. Moments like this help build cultural understanding and show that Thailand’s unique rituals can be appreciated by others.
  20. Well, I suppose we can all smile at the “mid-2023” completion date that has clearly slipped into the future! That said, the Green Bridge revamp is genuinely exciting. The elevated walkways are Bangkok’s real success stories – they not only ease movement through the city but also create unique vantage points and breathing spaces above the traffic. By connecting Lumpini and Benjakitti Parks, this project will knit together some of the city’s most important green lungs. The emphasis on universal design, safety, and activity zones shows that it’s not just about infrastructure, but about building inclusive community spaces. If done well, this could become a model for how Bangkok reimagines its urban environment – a sky garden that’s both practical and inspiring. The only losers here will be the vendors down on street level!
  21. For me, what stands out here is not the nationality of those involved, but the sheer level of violence described. By his own alleged account, the suspect did not simply react in the heat of the moment, he went far beyond by using petrol, fire, and then a blunt object. This is something that is sustained, and extreme, rather than a brief scuffle that got out of hand. Even if the victim was drunk and abusive, in no way does it justify such a disproportionate act. The brutality of the method is what makes this case particularly disturbing. It should also serve as a sobering reminder to all foreigners in Thailand that excessive drinking and abusive behaviour can escalate unpredictably and, in the worst cases, lead to very serious and irreversible consequences. Ultimately, this is an individual act of murder carried out in a volatile environment. I don't think it is fair to suggest that it is a behavioural trait tied to nationality. If proof of this is needed, one only needs to visit the link "Man-kills-friend-with-tractor-part-after-drinking-dispute " in the Related stories above.
  22. These people might be assuming that cancelling MoU 44 automatically strengthens Thailand’s hand. That may actually be a very risky assumption. The MoU was not just symbolic; it effectively created a framework that restrained unilateral action in an overlapping maritime area while negotiations continued. If that framework is removed, you also remove one of the key political and diplomatic brakes on independent exploration. From Cambodia’s perspective, cancellation might not be a loss at all. It could actually be an opportunity! Once the framework is gone, Cambodia could argue that it is no longer bound by the spirit of joint restraint and is thus free to pursue resource development the disputed zone on its own terms, or with external partners from either China or Vietnam. That's when it becomes far more complicated for Thailand, because it could shift from current bilateral negotiation framework into a potential commercial and geopolitical issue involving other countries. So, while Thai officials say MoU 44 “can be terminated in principle” they need to be quite certain about what will replace it.
  23. This is basic situational awareness, nothing more. There’s an English saying from the 19th century that says “not brown in town”, meaning you dress for the setting you’re in. Turning up to a temple fair in beachwear in Phuket isn’t about “freedom,” it’s about context and respect, unless they were touting for business! Thais may tolerate it politely, but repeated incidents like this just reinforce the perception that some foreigners are ignorant of local norms. And every time it happens, it gives more ammunition to those pushing for stricter rules on tourists. Beach attire belongs on the beach. Temples and cultural events deserve a bit of basic respect. It really isn’t complicated.
  24. Being unemployed or desperate might explain the motive, but it certainly doesn’t justify the action. Pouring petrol on a person and threatening to ignite it goes way beyond a simple robbery attempt. Cudos to bank staff and members of the public who subdued him. There's no denying that many Thais face financial hardship, particularly the older or low-skilled. However, most of these do not resort to violent crime. Hardship may generate sympathy, but it cannot justify actions that place an innocent person’s life at risk. While stronger social support mechanisms may help, no level of desperation should justify extreme criminal behaviour.
  25. It appears that what is not being discussed is the humanitarian question. If, as Labour Minister Treenuch states, roughly 100,000 Cambodian workers are stranded in Thailand because of border and security conditions, then their situation is not just an immigration issue. Through no fault of their own, these Cambodians appear to be in legal limbo, unable to renew permits (thus losing lawful work and income), yet also unable to return home because of border crossings restrictions. I have to question why Thailand doesn't just issue temporary extensions, grace periods, or special humanitarian status rather than merely saying that their stay has become unlawful. While the minister’s comments suggest the government is prioritising a security review no timeline has been provided. Regardless, this does not remove the immediate reality that these workers still need shelter, access to healthcare, and protection while in Thailand. These guys are in a classic Catch-22 situation where they cannot work, cannot leave Thailand, and also risk being treated as illegal despite being stranded by the ongoing border dispute!

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