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Trump team Vs court. During this uncertain period, this could be the situation. 25% on Canada ( before Apr 2 ) 25% on Mexico ( before Apr 2 ) 20% on China ( Before Apr 2 ) Rest of the world --- Zero Negotiations for deal -- the case between USA and Thailand for example ? Hold off for now.

Using figures you listed and let's say 95% of goods sold was imported and only 5% USA home made or grown. As is the current situation, just 10% tariff on all imported goods worldwide except made-in-China, such 10% tariff will push total cost up around 7% and resulting in 4-5% net loss. Well, tariff on made-in-China is 30%, Walmart is due to suffer big loss.

USA reset tariff temporarily from 145 to 10+20 = 30%. The 20% was announced along with 25% added for Mexico and Canada in Feb 2025.. China reset tariff temporarily from 124 to 10%. USA had taken a big step pulling back and reducing 115% ( same to both) while China called this was USA proper policy correction.

De-risking is underway. The World is de-risking from USA. Since April 10/11, 2025, USD is falling rapidly, against AUD, TWD, HKD ( pegged ) etc. Of course USD had been falling against EUR for a while. Even Thailand THB is rising unexpectedly in THB Vs USD.

Prudent Defense Secretary does not talk about USA Defense Dept, classified or unclassified details to wife, brothers, family in ANY form of communication. It is not secure or unsecure communication issue.

In the SIGNAL leak about Yemen 6 weeks ago, Trump of course knew it had been mistakes of some of his subordinates and help all to fend off the attack, and Trump succeeded to secure their jobs And again now ? this defense secretary may fall.

there are essentially three major parties in USA politics now : / Democrat / Republican / Trump MAGA Democrat and Trump MAGA are in big trouble. Republican ? No news is good news for now.

Nowadays the media talked much about China, China, China of course with reasons behind. You think every data and everything about CHINA Is unreal and faked and weak and bad, and quickly collapsing etc, then why even bother commenting on China as you think China is so weak and completely irrelevant to world economy and geo-politics ? You quoted or wrote something "BY Our estimate", that is absolutely rubbish.

Ten days after Trump tariff announcement on April 2, 2025, UK Financial Times published an articles : "Why China is well-positioned to weather Trump tariff war " It listed 3 reasons -- two about Trump tariff strategy, one about China. BTW, while you listed much argument on China weakness and deficiencies ( some are real, some are not ), you wrote Nothing about Trump and his "Yes Men" naive and childish way in formulating and implementing the tariff plan ( Economists and financials worldwide said so ). I suppose you dare not said any to counter your own narrative. This is what I called all one-sided and unbalanced view on the issue.

Malaysia PM Anwar is very smart and intelligent. PM Anwar is probably the strongest leader among the ASEAN Countries. PM Anwar obviously sees Thaksin could be useful in helping on Myanmar issue, or else PM Anwar would not have traveled to Bangkok

Trump picked the softest target -- Japan -- in starting the trade negotiation with multiple countries within 90 days. Can easily guess the terms imposed on Japan in order to reduce Japan tariff from 24% to whatever, 10% or even 0. *** Just do all the followings / Increase Japan holding of USA treasuries Bonds by very significant margin. / Increase Japan defense budget to X% of GDP ( 7% or higher please ) / Set up additional Japan tariff scheme against Chinese goods / Fund new investment to USA to finance Hollywood, USA auto industries, USA Space Industries etc, by at least trillion USD. / Restrict your export to China / / Eventually Japan to sign the "Surrender" document, and Minutes later Trump to declare MAGA .......

China GDP growth in Jan-March 2025 quarter was reported 5.4% year-on-year. USA tariff war starts in second quarter 2025. China export to USA accounts for roughly 2.8% of total GDP. Will see how it goes.

Biden 4-year weaponizes USD and SWIFT against Russia, and failed. Russia is standing OK. Trump 100-Day so far weaponizes Tariff against China and the rest, and still on-going. Trump intent at the beginning was using tariff to gain against every countries, so he put down 20% tariff on EU, 20+% on Japan, India, S Korea -- unexpected for these dozens countries. Eventually he ran into trouble, changed course to USA Vs China trade war. Undeniably that Trump and various "Yes men" under him had badly managed the tariff issue in the past two weeks.

Sounds like rather complicated survey. Furthermore, why is Songkran relevant ? Songkran on the title seems strange.

Agree with you USA Deep State including industrial-military complex wants and needs war. Reality is more complex though. You suddenly forgot mentioning " Dotard Trump " Vs " Rocket Man Kim " in 2017 ? Was it the same Trump who did not manage to Face down and scare off a Junior, young Kim ? Russia and China combine to deal with Trump's USA. They are not so scared like Canada, Denmark etc.