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wprime

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Posts posted by wprime

  1. 51 minutes ago, richard_smith237 said:

     

    IMO - its other motorcyclists which are the major hazard when out riding....  

     

    Other riders magnify risk which would be absent if they simply positioned themselves far more intelligently when in your proximity. 

     

    Absolutely, I only drive cars these days and considering that bikes are willing to risk collisions with me, I can only imagine what they're willing to risk with other bikes.

     

    Here's one overtaking against the traffic who played chicken with me several years ago:

     

     

    I used to actually ride bikes but after seeing some tourists with no brains after crashing their big bike in front of Big C Pattaya some 10 years ago, no more for me (well they had brains, they were just splattered across the pavement).

    • Like 1
  2. On 5/27/2021 at 5:47 PM, bojo said:

    Is it just me or has onyone else ever noticed that the locals hang behind you on the straight for ages and then suddenly, just as one is approaching a blind bend, they overtake, swerving out wide.....I've experienced that on many occasions...................

     

    Yes, it's because of the local belief that, if you can't see anything, it means there's nothing there.

  3. 5 hours ago, possum1931 said:

    I have just received an email from TVairbookings just now as I was reading this post.

    They are saying there is a cash flow problem, but 80% of customers have now been paid back.

    Here is part of their email to me.

     

    "So we write to you for a survey if we can ask for your permission to reduce the fund to 75% of money received from the airlines".

     

    "If allowed, it is expected to gradually pay more or some back at the beginning or mid of next month and will continue to find solution for the rest."

     

    Can you tell me what I should do Charlie? I would be prepared to accept the 75% as it would be better than maybe losing it all. 

     

    Should I email them back and say I will accept the 75%, but only if I get it in the next three weeks?

     

    They're obviously prioritising other customers because you're a farang and don't know any better. Demand a full and immediate refund or else* you'll report them to the DBD for trading while insolvent. This is very serious and the directors would be held personally liable for any amounts they paid to other customers first (out of their own pockets) and face criminal charges for their actions. A Thai company that is unable to pay its debts when due must not pay out any creditors except if under external administration to ensure that everyone gets their fair share of the remaining assets.

     

    *in accordance with the local culture you need to do this indirectly. E.g. you know they're good people who just want to do the right thing so you want them to give you a chance to do the right thing and pay you back but it needs to be in full and immediately, etc.

  4. 51 minutes ago, ballpoint said:

    Meeting a woman isn't like buying a car, so why have a list of accessories you must check off before you decide on which model to take?  You meet her, see if you hit it off, go out with her a few times, see if you still hit it off and have things to talk about, get into a long term relationship, see if you still hit it off and have things to talk about, then, if the feeling is mutual, get married.

     

    Well said, anyways:

     

    1. Uni student

    2. Natural tits that cause those tight university blouses to expand at the button

    3. Short skirt and long legs

    • Like 1
    • Thanks 1
  5. This is a non-issue. The default risk of these people pose a deflationary risk to the economy. This is because when banks writeoff/writedown debts, they must sell assets to meet capital adequacy requirements. The sale of assets (typically loans) pushes their value down further increasing yields. Rising yields are deflationary. To compensate, central banks will keep rates low. Low rates mean most people can manage these mortgages. There will of course be a slight rise in defaults, but overall the impact to the economy will be limited.

     

    Note this will naturally have a downward impact on the THB as it becomes less desirable to hold THB due to the expectation of longer-term low yields, but most other major economies are doing the same thing so the relative impact would be minimal.

    • Like 2
  6. 11 minutes ago, Pilotman said:

    Maybe there are grades/rankings of such people. 

     

    I was thinking the Chinese/Thai ones which have audiences in the millions. They're generally quite intelligent (or have an intelligent agent).

     

    Those people with audiences around 100k are not really influencers (well they call themselves micro-influencers) and would generally be avoided by marketers as their audience tends to be highly correlated with other similar micro-influencers so someone with 1M followers has a larger reach than 10x people with 100k.

     

    • Like 1
  7. 1 minute ago, smedly said:

    last year they stopped reporting deaths caused by viral pneumonia

     

    They still report the deaths, they just don't report the cause. That's the point of measuring the impact via excess deaths, to count all excess deaths even when the cause was not reported as COVID-19.

     

    1 minute ago, smedly said:

    also recorded deaths in Thailand stayed pretty much level even though road deaths plummeted because nobody was travelling due to the complete lockdown - something just didn't quite add up

     

    That's a good point, others would be deaths from other contagious diseases prevented by the lockdown, prevented alcohol-related deaths other than driving, you'd need some figures to back it up though.

  8. 12 minutes ago, Fex Bluse said:

     

    Gosh. It only means that if we are silly enough to believe the earlier numbers (or current ones, for that matter) are reasonably accurate. 

     

    Thailand did not have measurable excess deaths in earlier periods so it's highly unlikely that earlier numbers were underestimates to any significant degree.

    http://www.healthdata.org/special-analysis/estimation-excess-mortality-due-covid-19-and-scalars-reported-covid-19-deaths

     

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