AussieBob18
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Posts posted by AussieBob18
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On 12/26/2019 at 1:17 PM, ParkerN said:
Not the root of the problem. The root of the problem is Thais know laws are not for enforcing unless there is some other reason (eg losing face requiring retaliatory action). So if a law is inconvenient, just ignore it, nothing untoward will happen unless you're important and have narked off someone else important.
It's beyond sad, it's tragic. Still, so long as you have someone high up explaining that Thais lead the world, then you can still feel good about yourself, even if the average IQ in Thailand is on a par with many African countries.
There is a reason why there are nil members of Mensa in Thailand - and it is not because Thais dont care about the prestige of being in the top 1-2% of the World. Many people think it is the schooling system - but those of us who know the truth, understand that the school system outputs are cr** because the inputs are the main problem. Lovely wonderful fantastic clever people - but not so smart.
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This has been happening for a while - only so many stories make TV and not many make the main media.
Talking things up is the current strategy - and giving away cash to falsely increase consumption - and Govt increasing infrastructure projects spending. But the economic crash is coming to Thailand - it is when and how hard that is unknown. It will be be good news for some (lower Baht) and bad news for many (no jobs and no private investment). But the net result will be a massive political change in Thailand - it is very obvious to me - but it cannot be talked about under the current rules. Things will be very different in Thailand in the middle/later 2020s - IMO even bigger than the changes in the 2010s.
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WOW - this is a first. But will they 'police' it?
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I wonder how Musck will react when he tries to import the manufactured cars into USA and is facing a 150% import tax. Or maybe he is betting on impeachment removing Trump.
In response to other posts - the part of the USA economy that is 'crashing' is the part that operated through importing cheap Chinese made products. The rest is doing fine. And many companies are now manufacturing their products in USA that they used to make in China for the USA market.
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The Trump effect? (on some people)
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Many people thought that the recently implemented mandatory Health Insurance rule for O-A (Retirement) Visa would only be applied to new entries into Thailand after 1 November 2019. But as some of us predicted, it has been applied to O-A Visa Extensions as well. So here is the question - will Thai Health Insurance be mandated for 12 month O Visas and 12 month Extensions in the future - by the end of 2020. Yes or No.
I say Yes - and I am prepared to be publically wrong. Anyone else?
I decided not to do a Poll as it is anonymous. Anyone else willing to go on the record?
Yes or No??
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46 minutes ago, Brunolem said:There is no reason for the Thai economy to crash, at least by itself.
But it will be severely affected after the crash of the major economies, following the latter insane policies...
There was an excellent article written recently in a source I cannot quote - but in essence the journalist showed why the history of all SEAsia economies that grow too quickly (thereby enriching the rich) always crash eventually when the reality of an over-inflated currency and over-inflated economy meet the reality of global economics. There are many reasons why the Thai economy will crash - and very few why they will not. When is the only unknown - but I can tell you this with certainty - all the Thai Govt indicators will advise everything is fine and growth is 'meeting expectations'.
I have never seen an economic downturn that was predicted by all the 'generic experts' - and even more so for a crash. I suggest you study the history of economic crashes and downturns - they are caused by both excessive debt AND excessive growth. Thailand has had one from excessive debt (1997) and is now heading head first at speed for an economic crash from excessive growth - the main indicator of this is the extremely over-valued Baht. Your analysis of historical exchange rates is false. Aside from a period following the GFC in 2008 - the Baht has never been at this level against all the world's main currencies.
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It is obvious..............
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40 minutes ago, CH1961 said:
Math is not yours ????
Gas 1.29 Euro vs 27 Baht
Electricity 0.22 Euro vs 5.5 Baht
Marlboro 4.5 Euro vs 80 Baht
Running a red light 90-300 Euro vs 500-1000 Baht
But yes, as you are coming from Sweden ... Beer is cheaper ????
Running a red light 90-300 Euro vs 500-1000 Baht
Running a red light in Spain was 300Euro last time I checked
But in Thailand I only had to pay 200 Baht - well the wife paid it actually - quietly via the passenger window so no one would see ????
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Back in 2016 the Head of Thai Immigration (under orders from above) started the “Good guys in, bad guys out” Program.
Since then there has been a lot of rule changes, and application of old rules (TM30), that have resulted in the Bad Guys and the Good Guys leaving Thailand. But at the same time there has been Nil changes that have encouraged the Good Guys to stay, or any Good Guys to come and stay.
Xenophobia, Incompetence, Ignorance, Corruption, Bureaucracy, and 'dont give a ****' about any complaints by Expats - all of those are the reasons that have lead to the current situation and reality. Many Expats that can leave have left Thailand, and many Expats are planning/thinking about it. I did leave in 2017 - and now we visit Thailand each year.
I researched and visited most viable SEAsia overseas retirement options in 2010-2011. Back then it was easier to retire and live in Indonesia (Bali), Malaysia, Phillipines, Singapore, India, than it was in Thailand - but it was not a lot more difficult, and IMO it was the best option. Since then all those other countries, and now Vietnam and Laos, have remained easier than Thailand - not one of them has made the same negative changes towards retired Expats - most have stayed the same or have made it easier. And the truth is that aside from Visa issues, Thailand is no longer the obvious number one choice for Expats looking to retire and live due to the increased costs of living.
Unless Thailand gives me some serious encouragement, I aint going to live full-time in Thailand ever again. I love Thailand and enjoy being here very much, but I hate what is now demanded from me in order to live here. Back in 2012 it was clear and easy how to stay and it was worth it. That has all changed and that is why I dont live full-time in Thailand, and never will again unless things change. And as I have a Thai wife, the other countries are no longer an option.
I once received some advice from a long term Expat that I am eternally greateful for - never buy a property in Thailand. Things can change suddenly and quickly he said - and you may need to change your living plans as a result. 2014 and the resultant changes and then the 2016 'clampdown' made me to change mine and as I was renting it was much easier than if I had owned a place.
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4 hours ago, fruitman said:
The reason why the baht is so strong compared to the us$ and the euro is that they both do print more money.
And i guess the chinese know that thailand won't do it so that's why they buy baht for billions of $...also because they can see their own recession coming soon and the cardhouse will collapse.
Thailand really needs the good public transport or would you say that bKK has no traffic/pollution issues?
Which rich tourist will come to stinky jammed BKK for a holiday? Plenty of better options on the world which are even much cheaper.
If thailand doesn't act fast the exports and tourism will collapse....that leads to less tax income for the government and the downward spiral has started and can't be fixed.
Too little and far too late - the economic crash is coming and there aint nothing they can do to stop it. All they can do is implement policies to devalue the Baht and soften the blow (like lowering interest rates to 1%). For those asking why banks have still not allowed easy foreign transfers when the central bank has changed that rule - they know it would open a flood gate that they would not be able to close.
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Ring UK Embassy and go see a recommended lawyer one that knows both Thai law and UK law.
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Tell him to go see a lawyer !!
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Chicken and Egg - which one came first??
Being a dope is why they smoke, or smoking dope makes them a dope.
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western women do not age well
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13 minutes ago, BritManToo said:
Most of us learned to 'rent only' in our first few weeks here.
That doesn't mean you can't live with one for years, they just have to know they are immediately replaceable if naughty.
Like I said earlier, if it were me, the kid would have been living with grandma back in the village after the first incident (or I would have moved on). You've really got to keep your feelings in a separate pocket to your wallet over here, it's not as if there's any lack of attractive and available Thai women to choose from.
"You've really got to keep your feelings in a separate pocket to your wallet over here.."
That by far is the best advice that I have ever read on TV for Expats with a Thai GF/Wife.
I suggest many Expats should print that out and stick it on their wall or in wallet, and read it ever morning.
It is not about love or lack of it - I love my Thai wife totally - but there is a 'game' going on and that is the number one rule - that and you can never ever win.
Happy Wife = Happy Life - but keep your wallet out of it - learn how to do it without spending your money.
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Lower the official Thai Reserve Bank interest rates !!!
Simple as ............. dare I say it.
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I am out of date on this matter, but if you have been diagnosed and declared as 'permanent' DSP, then travelling overseas was OK in the past - for any period. I heard they were going to change that to 6 months, and maybe to weeks, but as said I dont know. I do know that going overseas on Newstart is an immediate ceasing of payments. Call CLink is the obvious advice - dont give name if it is about you.
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Are you married to a Thai? And is it official (Embassy etc.)
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Yet another victory for patriotism and the right, over globalism and the left. Centralised management of people's lives with the Govt/Kings/Elite controlling everything, versus market based capitalism and the freedom for people to be accountable for their own lives and decisions. The never ending battle for the people's hearts and minds goes round and round - and is heading more and more right - and less and less left. Not impossible that Finland could have a right wing Government before I pass on.
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19 hours ago, Sheryl said:
Apparently his headache was not a migraine but rather due to increased intracranial pressure.
Strong pain killers in that instance are neither safe nor effective.
The intracranial pressure needs to be reduced and fast. Steroid drugs and other measures can give some temporary help and sounds like this was done. But what is really needed is surgical intervention to reduce pressure on the brain and it is needed soon.
With something like this it is understandable the insurer would dig through the records a bit since the tumor obviously existed when the policy was issued (and probably for a year or more before that). But if, as the article says, the only thing they found was a medical visit for what was diagnosed as flu, they are clutching at straws and unlikely to prevail on appeal.
I understand - flying gome would not have been possible for him.
I guess the lesson not to tell the doctors, when suddenly ill overseas and wanting insurance to cover the costs, all about any pre-existing diagnosis by a docrotr that could be related in any way, as that means you will be excluded from insurance coverage on that basis. I know doctors need to know certain things, but saying that he saw another doctor about headaches was the 'gotcha' they are using.
I dont agree with spidermike on any thing in politics, but we are as one about the global insurance companies.
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19 hours ago, zydeco said:
So you get appendicitis and you're out of luck? That ought to make people feel safer.
An appendicitis attack would be covered (unless already diagnosed). But something like Lung Cancer is not.
But the lesson is to get the inusrance, but always have access to back up funds just in case.
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1 hour ago, Chomper Higgot said:He can consider what he likes, including to impanel a Grand Jury but what he can’t do is make decisions based on a presumption of guilt.
Once again you demonstrate your lack of understanding of how the US justice system works.
US Attorney John Durham issued a rare statement Monday saying he disagrees with conclusions of the FISA report.
“Based on the evidence collected to date, and while our investigation is ongoing, last month we advised the Inspector General that we do not agree with some of the report’s conclusions as to predication and how the FBI case was opened".
Attorney General William Barr tore into the FBI’s “intrusive” investigation after the release of Horowitz’s report, saying it was launched based on the “thinnest of suspicions.” “The Inspector General’s report now makes clear that the FBI launched an intrusive investigation of a U.S. presidential campaign on the thinnest of suspicions that, in my view, were insufficient to justify the steps taken".
And there is this in an email exchange by Lisa Page in 2015: "The POTUS wants to know everything". And there are a lot more.
You should think of the IG Report as a starting point - a cold soup and lettuce starter - the first course has not even started. The first course will be sensational, but the main course will be 'biblical', and of course the desert is the 2020 re-election. Revenge is a meal best eaten cold - and as they also say: slowly slowly catchy monkey.
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Thai police unveil the answer to the New Year carnage: The Dummy Car
in Thailand News
Posted
On my last trip to Thailand we drove down to Hua Hin. Somewhere past the Phetchaburi border I noticed some Policemen waiting on the side roads to the left. And then I realised they were on every single road and entry points. This continued all the way down to the Palace. There must have been over 200 police involved - I started counting after a while and got to 100 and stopped. The wife said one of the Royal family was probably going to come down the road later that day - and they would shut down all entry points when they leave Bangkok. I then asked what do they all do for the rest of the month, year, decade - because we never see more than the occasional 1 or 2 when we were out and about - and we were out and about in the car a lot. She smiled - no comment.
If the work to put these dummy cars in place is done by the polcie, this would be the most they have ever contributed to attempting to police the drivers of Thailand and make the rodas safer. These were first used in Japan many years ago and they worked - worth a try IMO - at least it is doing something.