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Phil McCaverty

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Posts posted by Phil McCaverty

  1. 30 minutes ago, Ketyo said:

    There are 2 things Prayut doesn't understand from what the cabinet minutes reveal.

     

    1. Most countries are trying to get the transmission rate (R) below 1.0. That means an infected person infects less than 1 other person and COVID will die out on its own. When R is less than 1, counties can open up slowly trying to keep the R below 1 all the time.  In Thailand R is way below 1 already. However Prayut doesn't get this. He wants R to be zero. Whenever he sees a single case he thinks there is too much transmission and social freedom and wants to keep controls and restrictions in place.

     

    2. The lockdown means that people spread coronavirus between family members and people in the same household mainly. This is how it is supposed to be. It can't be avoided. That is the smallest unit of transmission. The text says that the new cases are from people in the same house and close contacts. This cannot be avoided even under reasonably tight lockdown. When Prayut sees any new cases at all he he thinks the cases are from community spread - people outside socialising too much and such. They are not. They are mainly unavoidable and from within households. Longer and more restrictions will not affect this.

     

    The social distancing measures are working very well and more than enough for COVID to be contained and for the health service to cope. But Prayut sees lack of control and social disorder in every new case. It will be a long road out of this for the poor Thai people. And a very damaged economy if he carries on with these over the top curfews and alcohol bans. He needs to start to lift the restrictions now, and in a managed way.

    I'm sticking with Prayut on this one, zero new cases for 21 days sounds good to me. Less chance of a resurgence.

    • Haha 2
  2. On 4/21/2020 at 9:34 AM, Assurancetourix said:

    I never buy anything on the internet and certainly not at Lazada which is often more expensive than in local shops.
    but everyone does what they want with their money

    Or do what they want with my money. I only use Lazada for the occasional essential that I can't source elsewhere. However, since the lockdown, my wife has daily deliverys, always COD. Strange how she's nowhere to be found when Lazada pull up at the gate.

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