AnotherFarang8

9 hours ago, Bkk Brian said:

A poll in Austria found that most vaccinated Austrians believe Russia is responsible for the war in Ukraine, while the unvaccinated mostly blame the US and NATO.

That’s a good one, confirms my observations precisely. Covid has always been an IQ test.

PS: lol, whatever, keep your little sandbox only to yourselves.

A lot will depend on currency exchange rates. There is a good chance Baht will be losing value slower than Euro or Pound this winter because Thailand doesn’t shoot itself in the foot damaging relationship with strategic energy suppliers like western countries do.

Betting a farm on Poland biting off a good chunk of Ukraine’s western territory in the near historical future will be a wise agriculture expanding strategy.

The longer Ukraine does not surrender unconditionally, the smaller it will end up, simple as that. Four new territories are now part of Russia, added to the Constitution. This CANNOT be reversed.

It is actually so crazy to watch how many people believe that Ukraine which is several times smaller than Russia can somehow win. In their wet dreams only. Russia has the resources to fight indefinitely long. Russia is starting serious action only now having given up all hope for negotiations. Which means only one thing, Ukraine will keep shrinking.

2 hours ago, coolcarer said:

Right so the political circles are the only ones that know the truth, how do you know?

One doesn’t need to belong to political circles to not be brainwashed. All it takes is some curiosity, research skills and critical thinking. Knowing history and culture of the region helps immensely though. Covid time was an IQ test. Now is another IQ test re situation in Ukraine. Both events brought massive brainwashing.

If farangs are unable to force their governments to stop committing collective economic and social suicide ruining those who they must serve theoretically, Thailand will be targeting more sensible countries. No significant numbers of farang tourists can be expected to come, they will be busy trying to survive in home countries.

16 minutes ago, Jingthing said:

The Ukrainian nationals that prefer to live in Russia can most probably move to Russia.

 

They are ethnic Russians who lived in these territories centuries before Ukraine claimed independence which only happened 30 years ago as a result of incorrect division of land after the collapse of USSR which lumped together different cultures. These people have no reason to move elsewhere, it is their land, they are majority there. Their grandfathers graves are on this land. They are defending their land from western Ukes and driving them out back to their own western Ukeland.

20 minutes ago, Jingthing said:

Sarcasm lives

To mark sarcasm they usually put a “/s”. I know reality bites but it is what it is, deal with it.

3 hours ago, Neeranam said:

Fiat is a centralised pyramid scheme flowing money from the bottom to the top, which are the bankers licensed to dilute the money supply and charge interest on it.

What is even worse is that there are pyramid schemes built on top of fiat, like pensions. It was an invention that came shortly after creation of fiat monetary system in the last century. Before that pension systems were very limited, available only to few categories of population. This is still the case and advantage for Thailand and other asian countries because when the fiat system comes crashing down (inflated to oblivion) in the next few years, countries with no pension system (and a healthy rate of births where children take care of parents) will be least affected.

A number of largest Asian countries have either stopped buying usd denominated debt or are actively selling it to support national currencies. Next move will be a mass default on their own usd debts to get off the hook and restart/boost economies with no external pressure. Those dollars are going back home to roost to drive up inflation sky high. Many comments in this thread are delusional as to what is really happening.

The trend is set for the tourism sector of Thailand to grow relative to its other industries, as a percentage of GDP. Growing tourism in absolute numbers, on the other hand, will require work but in my view Thailand is better positioned to achieve this than Vietnam.

1 hour ago, Bday Prang said:

           Many people will have lost any faith they may have had before in government as a result,

This is a net positive for society, probably the only positive from the whole Covid saga.

Debt ridden fiat currencies are starting to fall noticeably now. Central banks of the world one by one give up on their promises to hawkishly fight inflation, instead they restart Quantitative Easings aka money printing. European CB back in July, British CB yesterday, Japan has been doing it for a long time. Fed is the strongest duck in a row but at some point rates will be so high that debt payments can no longer be served, and Fed will fold too and restart injecting cash on the scale that Covid time injections will look a child’s play, to avoid cascading bankruptcies. If you think you know inflation you have seen nothing yet.

Just now, Bkk Brian said:

No walls built here just news which you were unaware. You can speculate as much as you like

I am aware of lots of sensationalising news, many of which end as fake or partially true at best. The one we discuss is not coming from an official source. There is a reference to an opinion of a lawyer, nothing more. Anyone can have an opinion. Quoting opinions, especially if you omit very important details, does not make it reality.

5 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

What you mean n the parellel world of the  national Russian media Kommersant that is just one source. 

If you read the news carefully, you will know that staff critical to Aeroflot’s operations will be exempted. Aeroflot flights to Thailand will go as scheduled. Building walls in your head to believe only what is pleasant to believe is setting yourself up for surprises in the future.

1 hour ago, Bkk Brian said:

What youtube channels? CNN? Have no idea what you're on about do you even know? You could try 

 

https://aviationsourcenews.com/news/russian-airline-staff-receive-conscription-notices-following-putins-mobilisation-order/

https://simpleflying.com/aeroflot-russian-airlines-conscription-notices/

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russian-airlines-staff-start-receive-conscription-notices-kommersant-2022-09-23/

 

Get back to me 

Which of the links you posted are official sources that can confirm 50% or more staff drafted? It is nowhere to be found except in the “parallel universe” western and Ukrainian media that pull data from the same source where TAT takes its predictions, ie, wild imagination.

4 hours ago, Bkk Brian said:

You're first mistake is assuming people get flight info from youtube channels. Your second is not keeping up with the news. These flight resumptions were announced back in early August and it actually starts from 30th Oct. However since then its been announced that 50% - 80% of Aeroflot staff are being called up for mobilization into cannon fodder at Ukraine, so good luck on those booking these flights and the pending cancellations that will occur.

Announced by the same youtube channels or your daily dose of CNN? Both are equally credible sources.

Aeroflot is resuming flights in November both to Phuket and Bangkok. Direct flights from Moscow in November are available right now for around 900 usd one-way or 1100 usd return tickets on Aeroflot’s own website. Following youtube channels to get info on ticket prices is not adult behaviour.