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Summerinsiam

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  1. Its so easy to make facile comparisons with history. Putin is like Hitler right? There are no obvious parallels. The vietnam war took place at the height of the cold war and was about ideology and the spread of communism. The Ukraine conflict is about territory, Russia's perceived sphere of influence and NATO encroachment.
  2. Correct. The conflict is essentially a territorial dispute, that has its roots in the break-up of the old USSR. The narrative that it is an existential one about freedom and national sovereignty is one constantly pushed by Zelenskey and his backers, because it justifies their actions. It does not fit the historical facts. The propaganda that Putin plans to invade a NATO member, like Poland is ridiculous and there is zero evidence to back this up. The west will also tell you that it is about upholding the International rules based order, which of course conspiculously does not apply to their ally Israel.
  3. Another ridiculous and misleading article that is driven by pure hyperbole. No, thankfully Europe is not preparing for all out war. All those concerned, including Putin, understand that a war between nuclear powers can never be fought, as it would likely turn nuclear and the doctrine of mutually assured destruction still holds true today. While Putin's threats should be taken seriously, analysts concur that he will most likely retaliate through hybrid warfare, while continuing with the nuclear saber-rattling. Its not in his interests anyway; a Trump presidency is looming and he is clearly winning conventionally. All analysts are in agreement that the recent change in policy with regard to long range missiles has come too little and too late. They are a desperate attempt to slow down the Russian advance and salvage something from a misguided proxy war. While serving as an escalation, it will not affect the Russian momentum or have any significant strategic effect. It is now clear to everyone that in the long term Ukraine cannot win or reclaim its lost territory. It doesn't have the weapons or manpower. Even Zelenskey, as reality finally dawns, now says that Crimea can only be regained through diplomacy. It is high time that reality and pragmatism come to the fore, and for the sake of all concerned, not least Ukraine, that negotiations begin on some kind of ceasefire.
  4. It is mostly a symbolic decision, that may add to the costs for Russia, but it will not fundamentally alter the dynamic or course of the conflict. Just like the tanks, aircraft, and Himars havent. It will not change the vast discrepencies in manpower or resources for example. Its now apparent to nearly every serious , objective, observer and analyst that Ukraine can neither win nor reclaim its lost territory. It is simply not possible.Even in Kyiv, while Zelenskey whistles in the wind, reality is staring to bite, with an increasing segment of the population recognising this reality. The sooner serious negotiations start to broker a ceasefire the better for all concerned.
  5. Yet there have been many such deals in the past resulting in the release of Palestinian prisoners. Hamas knows the Israelis do swaps and that is why they take hostages. In the mismatched conflict against a regional military superpower it is one of the only options available to them. The terms will always be unacceptable to Netenyahu because he is deliberately prolonging the conflict in order to remain in power, avoid corruption charges, and a long overdue investigation into his failures and personal responsibility for the Hamas attacks.
  6. Not true. The main reason that the Israeli's are still fighting is a political one. They have absolutely no plan for what comes after when hostilities cease, and it is the only way that the war criminal Netanyahu can stay in his job and avoid criminal prosecution. Keep drinking the Kool aid!
  7. Sadly, you reap what you sow. In committing genocidal mass murder and blatantly disregarding internationl law, Israel has succeeded in turning itself into a pariah state that is widely despised around the world. Sadly, this may in turn lead to problems for its citizens abroad.
  8. The Israeli hooligans, who were gloating and chanting about the deaths of children in Gaza, clearly went looking for trouble and found it.
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