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CaptHaddock

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Posts posted by CaptHaddock

  1. It seems like the right time to have an office pool to pick Trump's last day in office.  Please enter your picks here.  The winner will be determined by the lowest score calculated by this formula:

     

    (Number of days between your selected date and the actual last day of Trump's tenure) - (number of days between the date on which you make your pick and Trump's last day on the job)

     

    The purpose of this method is to give equal weighting to both the accuracy and timeliness of your pick.   For example, if today I pick October 31 and Trump actually leaves office on November 10 then my score is:  10 -77 = -67. 

     

    Enter as often as you wish.  Only your last entry counts.  In the event that VP Pence successfully invokes the incapacity provisions of the 25th Amendment resulting in loss of presidential power for Trump without his actual removal from office, his last day in office for our purposes will be the last day Trump had the nuclear codes.

     

    The winner will receive a tip of the hat.

     

    I will start by predicting that Trump will be carried off by the helicopter for the last time from the South Lawn amid the sighs of a grateful nation on:   October 31, 2017.   Go Trump!

     

  2. 2 minutes ago, Andaman Al said:

    So lets hope that Mueller and co and the DOJ do the same as they have done with Flynn - No deal. A deal is not required, just put them all in jail. One way or the other Trump will be out.

    Manafort appears to have flipped already, which we can conclude because Trump has already attacked him, something he hasn't done for Flynn.  Felix Sater, a longtime criminal and criminal partner of Trump, also looks like a flipper since he announced to his family that both he and Trump are going to prison.  Trump has started to claim that he hardly knows Sater.

     

    In Watergate, nearly all of them flipped, from James McCord up to John Dean. 

     

    The current telltale is that the Republicans in Congress have started to turn on Trump, the evidence for which is the law they passed imposing sanctions on the Russians that Trump cannot lift unilaterally, the proposed funding law for the 17 intelligence agencies requiring most of them to file reports about the Russian interference in the 2016 election within 60 to 90 days, the continuing Senate Judiciary and House Intelligence Committees' investigations of the Russians and the election, and their protection of the Mueller investigation in the face of Trump's hysterical demands that they "protect" him from Mueller.

  3. 22 minutes ago, GinBoy2 said:

    Trump's impeachment or not, will not come down to his support of far right neo nazi's, but his own competency, or in- incompetency to actually do his job as President of ALL the American people

     

    That's somewhat naive.  Whether Trump is impeached or not will come down to the political calculation by the Republican leaders as to whether they are more likely to retain control of the federal government with Trump or without him.

     

    It's quite possible however that Trump will agree to quit in a deal that keeps himself and him low IQ children out of prison for his many, many crimes both in office and prior to taking office.

  4. How could Yingluck Shinawatra have left?

    Analysis by Jonathan Head, BBC News, Bangkok

    Yingluck Shinawatra was the most high-profile criminal defendant in Thailand and was constantly monitored by the military authorities. So how was she able to leave the country just hours before the verdict was due to be read out? Immigration authorities say they have no record of her leaving the country.

    However, it is a poorly-concealed secret that some in the military government would have been happy to see her leave the country before the verdict.

     

    http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-41046993

  5. 43 minutes ago, soalbundy said:

    and what if he did ? he was a man of his time, it wasn't reprehensible to own slaves then and the moral issues were seldom if ever discussed. Quick let us remove his statue along with that of lord Nelson and Columbus, you PC warriors make me sick

    Yes, slavery was widely regarded as reprehensible long before Lincoln's day.  France abolished slavery during the Revolution and England not only outlawed slavery by 1820, but used its navy to suppress the slave trade even outside of Britain.  Washington himself, the richest man in America at the time, was aware of the hypocrisy of American slavery in light of the ideal of liberty on which the Republic was founded.  He freed his slaves in his will, but hid that fact during his lifetime.  Lafayette regretted that he had help the American revolutionaries since it led to a nation based on slavery. 

     

    Within the US the Northern states had outlawed slavery before the Civil War.  Slavery was widely discussed as a moral evil in America.  Indeed, it was the leading moral issue of the day.

     

    Efforts to pervert history to whitewash American slavery are quite offensive.  I would be happy to see every statue of Washington disappear.  There are plenty of much better men and women whose statues could fill our parks. 

  6. 1 hour ago, Andaman Al said:

    You sound like Ulysses G back from the void.

     

    Lincoln did own slaves, but at the time there was nothing embarrassing about it as it was the social norm to own slaves. He then got rid of them. Kennedy was a womaniser in the swinging 60's yes. I don't see where it is currently a social norm to be a pathological lying SOB. What is so embarrassing is the fact that he (Trump) DOES LIE so much - (his speech at Arizona was him - no editing by "fake news" channels, it was him speaking his chosen words - not a speech writers words), and people like you offer him support!! He is a lying SOB or did you not watch his speech in Arizona two nights ago? He has NO AGENDA, he has NO CLUE, he is a serial bankrupt and a sociopath and YOU support him. Now that is embarrassing.

    Utter nonsense.  There's a lot that Lincoln can be criticized for, but he never owned slaves.  You are a tool gullible reader of internet trash.

  7. I bought my laptop and kindle from Amazon USA.  In neither case did I have to pay customs, although I did pay I think around 6% which must have been VAT, but didn't match the 7% VAT that I expected.  The kindle was much cheaper even after shipping.  I ordered the laptop from the US because of the much larger selection available.

     

    When Amazon Global Shipment is available, I select that, otherwise I have my mail forwarder do the shipping.

  8. 22 minutes ago, boomerangutang said:

    I think that's partially true.  Yes, he will do everything he can, legal and illegal, to shield his family, Flynn and himself.   Yet, he can't be formally indicted for crimes while prez.  He can be impeached.  It's only when he's not prez, that he can be indicted.  Then, if the prez at that time is Republican, he will pardon the Dufus in Chief, similar to how Ford pardoned Nixon. 

     

    My faith in Mueller to dig deep is tepid.  I think Mueller's team will find dirt on Trump, but much of the sludge will be deemed off limits, such as Trump's mafia connections, laundering money for Russian oligarchs, ethics violations, etc.

    All the better if he is pardoned.  Then when he is subpoenaed to testify in the investigations or trials of his criminal associates he cannot take the Fifth Amendment.  He can be prosecuted for refusing to testify or for committing perjury.

     

    Some readers may recall that Nixon faced this very threat after he left office and was pardoned by Ford.  He escaped having to testify at all by getting a doctor to state that his phlebitis prevented his appearing in court. 

     

     

  9. God damn, getting Rachel Maddow to spit out the story is like pulling teeth.  It's a good story though.

     

    Newsweek has a story that 12 GOP senators are ready to vote to remove Trump from office if he is impeached by the House.  That's progress.

     

    http://www.newsweek.com/trump-just-six-senate-votes-away-impeachment-651857

     

     

     

     

    2 hours ago, Andaman Al said:

    No words required, this speaks for itself. Watch it through. Start looking for those countries with no extradition treaty Donald !

     

     

     

  10.  
    8 minutes ago, scorecard said:

     

    Well not as sweet as you try to portray, but more to the point you ignore the fact that all of it was ultimately for his benefit and the benefit of his family and immoral cronies, nothing more.

     

    Plus you conveniently ignore his methods - using and manipulating poor naive unaware folks for his nasty ends.  

    Reading not your strong point in school then?  I pointed out significant benefits to the low income majority of Thailand, which you unaccountably insist were benefits only for the Shinawatra faction.  You just refuse to see that Thaksin did provide genuine, important benefits to the Thai majority, which is why he was overwhelmingly re-elected, the first PM in Thailand to win re-election with a majority.  

     

    It's fine to criticize Thaksin for his corruption, but if you imagine for an instant that corruption has declined since Thaksin's expulsion then you are hopelessly naive.  Here's one time series on the subject.  Corruption hasn't gone down, but it has gone into other pockets.

     

    image.png.ec24d4deeb8ffd172c389df0c25b93aa.png

     

     

     

  11. 47 minutes ago, ginjag said:

    Again typical reply,  just why in  hell cannot some of you Shin supporters condemn the Yingluck-Thaksin decisions , as well as not liking the military decisions.     Oh  sorry because the Military are not democratically elected ??    I have noted scores of things I have not agreed with (military)  subs,  land retakes for some and not others,   police actions here and there,  for not taking action against authority in Pattaya sea and beach clean up,      there is 2 sides to this topic, but the topic IS about the accused NOT me  or the powers that be now.

    Never did take a break been here 37 years,  get on board, gen up-catch up

    Perhaps because the corrupt actions and abuse of rights undertaken by Thaksin do not approach in severity the crime of stealing the entire government of a nation.  A discussion of mere policy differences entirely misses the point that one party took power by force against the will of the majority of Thai people.

  12. 5 minutes ago, Siripon said:

    But Thaksin only offers the grass roots crumbs, only a fish, never a fishing rod or boat. The working class need to guide themselves with long term sustainable policies that truly benefit them. It could happen if community politics can truly grow.

    Often the distinction between a lazy, uninformed opinion and sheer stupidity can be hard to discern.  The 30 baht scheme reduced infant mortality in Thailand by 13% in the first year according to researchers at MIT. 

    http://news.mit.edu/2014/how-health-care-plan-quickly-lowered-infant-mortality-0430

     

    That is a huge public health outcome.  Impoverished households also dropped from 3.4% in 1996 to 0.8 to 1.3% between 2006 and 2009.

     

    https://asiancorrespondent.com/2013/04/new-research-continues-to-demonstrate-the-success-of-thailands-universal-coverage-healthcare-scheme/#7UhbVhRk6AqYjLhg.97

     

    For starters.  Thaksin made political promises to the Thai majority and he kept those promises, for which they quite understandably love him. 

  13. 20 minutes ago, johnarth said:

    I said a year ago if Yingluck escapes a jail term she will be free to run for Pm again, one big thing about that is the now PM is a big-time law breaker as of when he carried out the coup. in other words, she could put the general away for a long time, in fact, who ever becomes the new PM will have to have the general arrested. as a matter of law.

    It has never happened in the past that Thai coup leaders were punished by subsequent governments.  The generals have always been fully able to protect themselves.

  14. 22 minutes ago, ilostmypassword said:

    Bannon is already doing exactly what has been predicted of him: trying to drive a wedge between Trump and the various globalists. Here's the latest headline from Breitbart:

     

    Source: McMaster Fails to Brief Trump Before ‘That’s Too Bad’ Error

    A source with direct knowledge of these matters tells Breitbart News that the senior staff at the White House, including National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster, did not brief President Donald Trump on the collision the Navy destroyer USS John McCain had with an oil tanker near Singapore before he originally seemingly dismissed the incident saying, “that’s too bad.”

    Trump later, after receiving more information on it, tweeted that he hopes for the best for the lost sailors. The collision left 10 sailors missing and another five injured.

    http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2017/08/20/source-mcmaster-fails-to-brief-trump-before-thats-too-bad-error/

    Of course what bannon is doing here is playing on Trump's obvious narcissism. Trump can never admit he's made an error. So when he does something like this, it must be the fault of someone else. 

    Vile as Bannon undeniably was, he was also in favor of raising taxes on the rich, protecting Social Security, and avoiding any more foreign wars.  "Globalist" in these articles refers to supporters of the neo-con endless war policy.  Since the remaining staff are either military or Goldman alumni, it's too bad that there is no one left to represent the interests of the middle and working classes.

  15. 1 hour ago, DogNo1 said:

    I would like to direct your attention to this article in today's New York Times: A Deal Breaker for Trump’s Supporters? Nope. Not This Time, Either.

     

    As one poster commented, Trump may have dememtia.  So did Ronald Reagan whose wife ran his schedule according to the directions of her astrologer.  Did Reagan remember things that he had done such as selling weapons to the Iranians?  No, he didn't.  Accordingly, it's very unlikely that President Trump can be removed due to mental incompetence.  The thing that we should all be thinking about is whether he will pull the trigger on Operation Chain-Kill, a preemptive strike against North Korea.  His presumed bigotry and assumed approval of Neo-Nazis is relatively inconsequential.  Who cares if the captains of industry have deserted his advisory groups - as if they have any real moral fiber.

     

    It's true that his blatant support for murderous neo-Nazis and white supremacists seems like a moment when he has at last lost his legitimacy.  But the pussy-grabbing tape seemed the same way at the time.  But that passed and the neo-Nazi disgrace may pass as well.  These are not the episodes that will bring Trump down.  His die-hard supporters don't care, being racists themselves to a greater or lesser degree.  But he needs more than the die-hards to get re-elected and his support is steadily diminishing.  Of the 30 off-year elections that have been held so far since the November election, the Democrats have been up an average 13 points, of which 9 or 10 points would be enough to retake the House next year.  So, there has been an actual, measurable loss of support.

     

    Nixon won in 1972 by taking 49 states out of 50, the first president to do so, if I remember correctly.  Nevertheless, within two years he also became the first president to be pushed out of office.  What took so much time time then is the same process that is taking time now, the special prosecutor's investigation.  Mueller is working methodically and knows his job.  He has apparently already turned Manafort and probably Felix Sater.  Certainly, he is turning up the heat on many of the others of Trump's team with threats of prison terms.  Mueller's eventual report is likely to include money-laundering, tax evasion, obstruction of justice, collusion with the Russians to violate campaign laws, and possibly even espionage.  Mueller can recommend prosecution and/or make a referral to the House for impeachment.

     

    So, the current outrage is not the game point, but that is coming. 

  16. It's pretty clear that Trump has dementia.  If you watch an interview with him from the 80's, at that time he was capable of speaking in complete sentences using a vocabulary and grammatical structure consistent with a college education.  He was already a psychopath, but that wasn't necessary blatant every time he opened his mouth.  Today he shows the limited vocabulary and dumbed-down sentence structure of an impaired person.  And that's when he is even coherent.  He also has another symptom of dementia, balance problems.   Trump apparently fell playing golf recently.  In January when Teresa May visited the White House, he grabbed her hand as they walked down the ramp to the Rose Garden admitting to her that he has trouble with stairs.  Loss of impulse control is another symptom of dementia. 

     

    Trump's characterological defects have been present since childhood: the bullying, the extreme narcissism, and the psycopathy.  But the dementia must have developed in recent years.  Too bad for us that that's the finger on the button these days.

  17. 3 hours ago, Meljames said:

    Following the war many statues were erected for the soldiers who lost their lives by the respective states. It wasn't til later that statues of the leader were made. The focus of the newer statues were less to honor the leaders than to put forth the cause they fought  for. The time periods they were built were  also when  segregation  and  Jim Crows were at their peak. It's not a coincidence. The context of the periods they were built is  important.

     

    When and why the statues were  built are the reason for their removal.It has nothing to do with re-writing history or erasing it. More about acknowledging a low point in US history and  moving forward. 

     

    Why would New York, California and Illinois all go to the trouble of having  tributes to fallen CSA leaders?   New  York had the most number of Union soldiers, why would they want to honor an enemy that took so many lives?

     

    Also not all southern leaders were pro-slavery, Robert E Lee was one.. He wrote a letter to his wife and the NY Times standing against it and calling slavery a moral and political evil. A poor choice for hero worship for the  white  supremacists.

     

    My opinion; keep the statues but put them in a place  and in a light that shows what they truly are . Not on the  grounds of court houses and state capitals. 

     

     

     

    Lee was not anti-slavery.  He dragged his feet in carrying out his father-in-law's will providing for the release of his slaves.  When his army invaded Pennsylvania, they enslaved free black citizens wherever they found them.  After the Civil War, Lee testified that the former slaves, now free black citizens, should be removed from Virginia.  He did lament slavery from time to time, but mostly as a burden for white people.  For black people slavery was necessary to civilize them. 

     

    Too much Lost Cause propaganda still pollutes the American mind.

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