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Thai Defense Minister Downplays Coup Rumor


webfact

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Is anyone aware of the closeness of the defence minister and the military? Why would there be a coup now?

Now at the last election the military intellignece opinion poll predicted the result almost perfectly. Come the next election if things are looking rosy for PTP then i tmay be different.

When the current militray and police reshuffle was made many analysts declared it was a reshuffle sending a signal that no Thaksin backed government would be allowed to come to power any time soon. So if the election goes according to plan and BJT limit PTP leaving a Dem-BJT alliance in government that is one thing but if PTP prevails electorally or more to the point looks like it will, then what happens?

The thing to watch now is PTP defections. If they start to lose loads then we can surmise they ar egoing to lose the election. If they hold most things get interesting and Thaksin has signalled he wants them to sty. Now he has to open his wallet and convince them, and he also has to have a plan to convince them they have a chance of being in government as no rural poltico wants to sit in oppostion. This may be a harder thing for him to do vis-a-vis the BJT supremos who have the links to those with the veto on government

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