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Political unrest in Thailand could affect tourism, association warns


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POLITICAL EFFECT
Political unrest could affect tourism, association warns

Bamrung Amnatcharoenrit,
Sucheera Pinijparakarn
The Nation

30218425-01_big.jpg
Supporters of opposition Democrat Party take part in a rally against an amnesty bill in Bangkok, Thailand, 31 October 2013.

BANGKOK: -- Political demonstrations could have a negative impact on country's tourism, especially if the situation turns violent, Sisdivachr Cheewarattanaporn, president of the Association of Thai Travel Agents (ATTA), has warned.

Key inbound markets for Thailand's tourism industry - Japan, South Korea and China, which make up 30 per cent of total foreign arrivals - could be especially affected, as they are key drivers for the country's tourism growth, said Sisdivachr. Those three markets are especially important at the present time, as arrivals from the European Union are down because of its economic downturn.

The Tourism Authority of Thailand (TAT) projects 24.5 million foreign-tourist arrivals this year. Among Asians, Japanese tourists are the most sensitive to economic change.

Sisdivachr said Thailand's political impasse had so far only slightly affected arrivals to the country, with the number of forward bookings during this year's high season dropping by only 5 per cent compared with the same period last year. However, he said foreign travel agents were keeping a close eye on the country's political unrest in case it turned violent.

"When political demonstrations start, they are likely to have a negative impact on the tourism industry - undermining tourists' confidence," he said.

Local tour operators, said Sisdivachr, had also expressed concern that violence could lead to casualties and travellers from key markets would be warned not to come here.

Sisdivachr recalled the political chaos between the red and yellow shirts in 2008, after which the tourism industry was severely hit - taking six months to recover. Package tours to Thailand were affected the most, with almost 100 per cent of business lost. Many foreign tour agents have quit doing business in Thailand - permanently as well as temporarily, he added.

Sisdivachr urged demonstrators to protest peacefully and not to damage downtown areas and tourism sites - the heart of economic activity.

The TAT projects 1.5 million Japanese arrivals this year and 1.3 million from South Korea, while arrivals from China are expected to be between 4.3 million and 4.5 million. New Chinese legislation on outbound "zero-dollar tours" from that country is expected temporarily to affect the number of arrivals from there.

The new legislation, which took affect on October 1, saw the number of Chinese outbound arrivals to Thailand on package tours drop by 70 per cent, a decline of between 40,000 and 50,000 arrivals in October - down from the average of 140,000-150,000.

TAT offices in South Korea and Japan are also worried about the political situation hurting tourism from those markets. They said domestic politics was the main threat to inbound tourism to Thailand from those two nations. However, the TAT's office in Kunming said it believed unrest in Thailand would not adversely affect outbound tourism arrivals from China as instability in this country was nothing new.

Nittaya Amubhitaya, director of TAT's Tokyo office, said that to date, the Japanese Embassy in Thailand had only posted warnings on its website telling people to avoid areas where political protests were taking place. As long as there is no violence, Japanese arrivals to Thailand will not be affected, she said.

Meanwhile, Sutapa Amornvivat, chief economist and executive vice president of the SCB Economic Intelligence Centre (EIC), said she believed political instability in Thailand would only have a short-term impact on business, as many foreign companies had remained in the country despite political instability over the past decade. However, the Kingdom has lost opportunities to attract new local and foreign investment, she added.

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-- The Nation 2013-11-01

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The good news is that all the demonstrators had to travel to get to the protestsite.

So at the moment TAT is busy adjusting up the numbers in the domestic tourism statistics!coffee1.gif

Thailand the destination for adventure-tourists: Get gassed in the taxi or get involved in streetfights.

The choice is yours, just remember to spend your $$!!rolleyes.gif

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It makes absolutely no sense to me to put so much editorial into the bloody tourist figures whilst almost ignoring and accepting the pathetic and nepotistic state of the current administration.

If you want stability and the development of your tourist market then you must first put your own house in order.

Stabilize your legal ,administrative and social systems in a manner that they are efficient ,transparent and operate in a manner beneficial to all Thai people and not just the rabid few who think the are beyond reproach.

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I hope it losses all it's tourism/ Then even the dumbest of the red shirts will understand what they are doing is not helping Thailand.

Now back to reality. Tourism is growing every year the numbers go up. They use the same criteria to count the tourists as they did the year before. They have always counted the visa runners and passing through. It is the same every year and yet the number goes up.

They have had to make Don Mueang an international airport and are busy increasing the size of swampy.

More visa runners because there is more people wanting to stay here, Yes we do have a corrupt government but according to the Corruption Perception index there is over 80 countries worse than Thailand. I would imagine that next year it will be more like70 worse than Thailand.

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I never understand all this whining about tourist numbers. Only 5 years ago (or less) the number was around 15 million, now its 25 million, back in 1987, "Visit Thailand Year", it was only 3 million. Nothing seems to stop people from coming here. Thailand is already one of the most heavily touristed countries in the world - what is the magic number that would stop all the whining - 50 million, 100 million, 1 billion?

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Phuket's practically deserted (good). They only had the Chinese and Russians last season, a smattering of Euros returning to maintain their properties, and that's it.

Today is the official opening of 'High Season', but my guess is, the declining (not the TAT bs), numbers, (now the Chinese are on the wane - Russians, who knows? So long as Egypt's still at it), bar the fortnight leading up to and after Christmas will continue to decline. Excellent.

To all you who have opened businesses which actually makes life more convenient for the expat contingent, and which does not include more bars/dive shops/property shops/over priced 'farang' restaurants, my sympathies.

Edited by jpeg
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Phuket's practically deserted (good). They only had the Chinese and Russians last season, a smattering of Euros returning to maintain their properties, and that's it.

Today is the official opening of 'High Season', but my guess is, the declining (not the TAT bs), numbers, (now the Chinese are on the wane - Russians, who knows? So long as Egypt's still at it), bar the fortnight leading up to and after Christmas will continue to decline. Excellent.

To all you who have opened businesses which actually makes life more convenient for the expat contingent, and which does not include more bars/dive shops/property shops/over priced 'farang' restaurants, my sympathies.

I've just been to Phuket town and back from Rawai, and I wouldn't exactly call it "deserted"! smile.png

But I know what you mean.

Last night Kata was full of tourists. Wish they'd all read more about the troubles here and go home!

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I hope it losses all it's tourism/ Then even the dumbest of the red shirts will understand what they are doing is not helping Thailand.

Now back to reality. Tourism is growing every year the numbers go up. They use the same criteria to count the tourists as they did the year before. They have always counted the visa runners and passing through. It is the same every year and yet the number goes up.

They have had to make Don Mueang an international airport and are busy increasing the size of swampy.

More visa runners because there is more people wanting to stay here, Yes we do have a corrupt government but according to the Corruption Perception index there is over 80 countries worse than Thailand. I would imagine that next year it will be more like70 worse than Thailand.

Name the very worst on the Corruption Index and i'll simply sail through it laugh.png Having learned every bloody trick in the book from my current alma mater.

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"When political demonstrations start, they are likely to have a negative impact on the tourism industry - undermining tourists' confidence," he said.

Nice to see Captain Obvious out and about again thumbsup.gif ...and of course TAT saying there isn't a problem at all whistling.gif

11-9-08-captain_obvious.jpg

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I hope it losses all it's tourism/ Then even the dumbest of the red shirts will understand what they are doing is not helping Thailand.

Now back to reality. Tourism is growing every year the numbers go up. They use the same criteria to count the tourists as they did the year before. They have always counted the visa runners and passing through. It is the same every year and yet the number goes up.

They have had to make Don Mueang an international airport and are busy increasing the size of swampy.

More visa runners because there is more people wanting to stay here, Yes we do have a corrupt government but according to the Corruption Perception index there is over 80 countries worse than Thailand. I would imagine that next year it will be more like70 worse than Thailand.

Name the very worst on the Corruption Index and i'll simply sail through it laugh.png Having learned every bloody trick in the book from my current alma mater.

37
4
33
40
88
Thailand
37
8
34
40
88
Zambia
37
8
32
42
94
Benin
36
6
29
44
94
Colombia
36
7
32
40
94
Djibouti
36
3
22
50
94
Greece
36
7
30
42
94
India
36
10
33
40
94
Moldova
36
8
31
40
94
Mongolia
36
7
32
40
94
Senegal
36
9
33
39
102
Argentina
35
8
31
39
102
Gabon
35
5
32
38
102
Tanzania
35
8
31
38
105
Algeria
34
6
29
40
105
Armenia
34
6
29
38
105
Bolivia
34
7
28
40
105
Gambia
34
5
22
45
105
Kosovo
34
3
32
37
105
Mali
34
6
27
40
105
Mexico
34
9
31
37
105
Philippines
34
9
30
37
113
Albania
33
7
30
36
113
Ethiopia
33
8
30
36
113
Guatemala
33
6
28
37
113
Niger
33
5
28
38
113
Timor-Leste
33
3
23
42
118
Dominican Republic
32
6
28
37
118
Ecuador
32
6
28
37
118
Egypt
32
7
27
37
118
Indonesia
32
9
27
37
118
Madagascar
32
8
26
37
123
Belarus
31
5
25
37
123
Mauritania
31
5
25
36
123
Mozambique
31
7
29
34
123
Sierra Leone
31
8
28
34
123
Vietnam
31
8
27
35
128
Lebanon
30
6
27
34
128
Togo
30
5
24
35
130
Côte d´Ivoire
29
8
25
33
130
Nicaragua
29
7
26
32
130
Uganda
29
8
25
32
133
Comoros
28
3
15
40
133
Guyana
28
4
25
31
133
Honduras
28
6
24
32
133
Iran
28
6
20
35
133
Kazakhstan
28
8
21
35
133
Russia
28
9
25
32
139
Azerbaijan
27
6
23
31
139
Kenya
27
8
24
31
139
Nepal
27
5
23
31
139
Nigeria
27
9
22
31
139
Pakistan
27
8
23
31
144
Bangladesh
26
7
20
33
144
Cameroon
26
8
20
32
144
Central African Republic
26
4
22
30
144
Congo Republic
26
6
20
31
144
Syria
26
5
22
31
144
Ukraine
26
8
24
29
150
Eritrea
25
4
10
40
150
Guinea-Bissau
25
4
22
29
150
Papua New Guinea
25
5
18
32
150
Paraguay
25
5
20
29
154
Guinea
24
7
19
28
154
Kyrgyzstan
24
6
21
27
156
Yemen
23
6
20
27
157
Angola
22
7
20
25
157
Cambodia
22
7
17
27
157
Tajikistan
22
5
15
28
160
Democratic Republic of the Congo
21
5
16
27
160
Laos
21
3
19
23
160
Libya
21
6
14
27
163
Equatorial Guinea
20
3
18
22
163
Zimbabwe
20
8
12
27
165
Burundi
19
5
14
23
165
Chad
19
5
15
23
165
Haiti
19
5
14
23
165
Venezuela
19
7
15
22
169
Iraq
18
4
14
22
170
Turkmenistan
17
3
12
22
170
Uzbekistan
17
6
14
20
172
Myanmar
15
4
9
21
173
Sudan
13
6
8
17
174
Afghanistan
8
3
2
13
174
Korea (North)
8
3
2
13
174
Somalia
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I hope it losses all it's tourism/ Then even the dumbest of the red shirts will understand what they are doing is not helping Thailand.

Now back to reality. Tourism is growing every year the numbers go up. They use the same criteria to count the tourists as they did the year before. They have always counted the visa runners and passing through. It is the same every year and yet the number goes up.

They have had to make Don Mueang an international airport and are busy increasing the size of swampy.

More visa runners because there is more people wanting to stay here, Yes we do have a corrupt government but according to the Corruption Perception index there is over 80 countries worse than Thailand. I would imagine that next year it will be more like70 worse than Thailand.

Thus if they recount the ever increasing number of visa runners they can achieve exponential growth.

I can believe the numbers are up, whether it is providing the same economic return as the first 10mn of mainly European visitors is the issue.

I doubt it but TAT is never going to admit it anyway.

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