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crobe

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Posts posted by crobe

  1. 18 hours ago, luckyluke said:

    Since many years I try to avoid Britons in Pattaya.

    For some obscure reason there are always some who want to speak to me. 

    After a very short time they realize it was a bad idea. 

    I believe, whith the actual situation, when I go back to Pattaya next month , there will be only Britons who know who I am, and keep away from me. 

     

    We are not all that bad - and having lived and worked on the Wallonian-Flemish border there are other countries with internal problems

    • Like 1
  2. On 9/8/2020 at 5:14 PM, nauseus said:

    They certainly do have ammunition. The question is will they use it? 

    The trade deficit with Germany is on goods, which will be subject to tariffs at WTO rates from both sides, however the UK has a trade surplus with the EU of over $30Bn in financial services and these can be subject to a lot more non-tariff barriers.

    So yes, there is the ammunition.

    Frankfurt stands to gain much more in terms of financial services trade than Munich and Stuttgart will lose in auto sales - so anyone who thinks the German car manufacturers will sway the German government stance may be mistaken

    • Like 1
  3. 20 minutes ago, Jingthing said:

    I wish I could be that optimistic. He will lose the election for sure but its clear by now that he will still be very hard to remove.

    Also if he can be evicted from the white house he will still have his well armed base of white supremacist grievance and if he can dodge prison he will continue to lead them from his new OAN media empire.

    Yes, he will be taking over OAN - and in a dog-fight with Murdoch for the right wing cable viewers - but social media is the future - and neither Trump nor Murdoch (who bought Myspace - remember that - probably not) - have any capabilities there

    Trump wants to hand over the Republican party to his kids in a dynastic succession - but according to the conservative law professor John Eastman - lauded by Trump himself - they should not be eligible to run for president as their mother, Melania, was not a US citizen at the time of their birth.

    • Haha 2
  4. It seems that God does irony

    A prominent Ukrainian church leader who previously said the Covid-19 pandemic was "God's punishment" for same-sex marriage has tested positive for the virus.

    Patriarch Filaret, head of the Ukrainian Orthodox Church--Kiev Patriarchate, is reportedly stable and undergoing treatment. The church announced in a Facebook post on September 4 that Filaret had tested positive for Covid-19.
    • Haha 1
  5. 5 minutes ago, puipuitom said:

    And those fishing right owners will land their fish at EU ports from 1 Jan 2021 to avoid WTO-import duty and all veterinarian fuzz when imported via the UK to the EU. 

    And if you think the UK government will protect fishing rights - think again.

     

    As fishing is a devolved policy, the way the quota is managed differs around the UK.

    England and Wales, where a majority voted for Brexit, have both allowed foreign ownership of more than half their fishing quota.

    In Wales, which is allocated a tiny share of the UK quota, the figure is as high as 85% of the annual value - most of it held by one big industrial trawler.

    But in Scotland, which is responsible for about 60% of the UK quota, only 4% of the annual value in 2019 was in foreign hands. In Northern Ireland the figure was 2%.

    "The Scottish fishing industry is largely made up of family-owned businesses," said Elspeth MacDonald, from the Scottish Fishermen's Federation.

     

     

    Courtesy - BBC

    • Thanks 1
  6. Threatening that Scotland would lose the ability to use sterling (George Osborne), was a scare tactic of the project fear initiated by the Better Together campaign (they admit themselves to calling it project fear internally).

    By the time of the next Scottish referendum - possibly 2024 - the choice between sterling and the Euro may not be as clear cut as the project fear people may have thought - Scotland could choose to use either currency as a third party country - some small countries such as Andorra and Kosovo use the Euro even though they are not part of the EU, many countries use USD and I once visited Tuvalu which is an independent country but uses Australian dollars.

     

    It would be an interesting market forces experiment for Scotland - post independence - to allow the use of both sterling and the Euro and to see which ends up being preferred as a trading mechanism.

     

    The effect of a no-deal Brexit crash out on WTO terms at the end of 2020, would be serious for small firms having to deal with extra bureaucracy and tariffs, but the overall effect on UK GDP will probably be swamped by the downturn caused by Covid - so will be difficult to determine, but the more long-lasting effect will be on financial services on which the UK is more dependent than most, and a severe downturn in this area would knock sterling.  

     

    So four years on from Brexit will be an interesting time

    • Like 1
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