donnacha
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Posts posted by donnacha
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For once, we can all set politics aside and agree that this is an impressive performance by the UK.
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An entire article that can be summed up in three words: Bitcoin is volatile.
Every rise is followed by a fallback but it doesn't matter as long as the floor keeps steadily rising, week after week.
Currently, at $54,700 it is 5% below its 24hr high, but 13% up on the week, 70% up on the month, about 100% up since the start of this year, and 450% up on the year.
Don't invest in Bitcoin if you need to take your money out tomorrow but, if you invest for the general rise over the next year or two, you will do fine.
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Strange the way things go.
The UK may now be the only European country that gets back to full economic functionality this year, with the three-month headstart they got by ordering early, and with no politicians hindering uptake by telling lies about the efficiency of a particular vaccine as part of a short-term political tantrum.- 3
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9 hours ago, nausea said:
I was into IT early on, ZX81
Me too. Great days.9 hours ago, nausea said:I'm guessing I've already missed out on the big gains - should've, would've, could've;
People have been saying that for over a decade.
The reality is that, if you had got in at 9 cents, you would have felt immense pressure to sell at $1, $10, $100 etc. Then, having got out, today you would be watching in horror as the price heads towards $100K. One of the members here sold some of his Bitcoins at some stage to buy a Porsche. I'm sure it was a lot of fun but it must be hard not to look at that aging metal and think about how many millions those coins would be worth today.
As it is positioned today, I think of Bitcoin as being more like getting into Google early on. Our hunch is that it has great potential, we hope that much of that potential may be achieved by the end of this year because of the unprecedented levels of money-printing.
We also note that a very small number of companies and financial institutions are investing large amounts, mainly to hedge against dollar debasement. If this trend spreads wider, we can expect their buying to soften the fallbacks and for the general trajectory to ascend more steeply. In a sense, just as the foresight of the early investors in Google was rewarded when their shares became popular with pension funds, we too will be rewarded by being a heartbeat ahead of the financial institutions.
The main risk is that, unlike early movers such as Tesla, the volatility may put off other financial institutions. As I write, the price is $53.5k, down almost $5k from the 24hr high. Despite also being $5k up on the week, and $21k up on the month, swings of that magnitude may be unnerving for conservative financial folks, leaving the market to mainly rely on individual enthusiasts. That would still mean price growth as the pool of people interested in Bitcoin continues to enlarge, just not as explosive.
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We should wait until we hear both sides of the story.
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3 hours ago, Berkshire said:
The real story is the GOP fracturing into two factions, not necessarily just Trump.
Maybe. We don't really know what the effects will be two years and four years down the road.
We can probably agree that the impeachment, being clearly politically-driven, forced the Republicans into defending Trump, whereas pretty much every one of them would have voted for a censure. That actually would have ended Trump politically.
So, the dems have more-or-less guaranteed that Trump remains in control of the party. That might be what they were aiming for but, as I say, they are playing a dangerous game, especially if the economic recovery does not go well, and if they cannot find a vaguely likable candidate for 2024 (they do actually have some great people).
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46 minutes ago, nausea said:
Agree, if only? Mind you, if it crashes? Personally, I don't go into anything I don't really understand. Working on it, by the time I get my mind wrapped around the concept it will all be over, no doubt.
My advice is to stick $100 on it, or some other amount you can afford to lose. That is the best way to understand it while also having a bit of fun.
Let it ride until the end of the year and, by then, you will have a better idea of whether it is something you feel you can get more into.
It could jump down by 20% tomorrow, but my understanding is that individuals selling at the highs are having their coins snapped up by companies and funds eager to build big positions. This is a new trend. It has meant that we aren't getting the sudden drops we experienced in past years when new highs were achieved.
Now the highs seem, instead, to be building, one after the other. If this trend continues, it is likely to carry Bitcoin quite far over the coming years - an awful lot of capital is tied up in companies and funds. Bitcoin becoming a more accepted as a way to hedge against dollar debasement gives it an awful lot of room to grow.
I really don't see how an actual crash, back down to 20k or whatever, could happen at this stage but, of course, you never know. I see a sovereign debt crisis as far more likely, and that would massively boost Bitcoin.
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27 minutes ago, Berkshire said:
55555....you can't be serious.
Yeah, of course, I was joking.
Everyone should, though, chill and have more of a sense of humor about him. If the problem was that he was in power, well, he no longer is.
The irony is that the hard left's continuing obsession with him, clearly evident even here on ThaiVisa, is keeping his power alive. The media cannot live without him, they keep pumping out these articles. This is actually how he got elected in the first place.
It staggers belief that, more than a month after the transfer of power, there are still far more articles and online discussions about Trump than the actual president. It wouldn't surprise me if this continues for the entire 4 years.
This is a dangerous game because, of course, it is not guaranteed that everything will go well for Biden, or that Kamala will find a way to get the 2024 voters to like her. Allowing Trump to continue dominating the public imagination could backfire.- 3
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2 minutes ago, welovesundaysatspace said:
And I want to own Montenegro.
Buy some Bitcoins.
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After his time off, you might all be pleasantly surprised by a wiser, more contemplative Trump.
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5 minutes ago, BritManToo said:So a vaccination win for Brexit?
Huge win. That is why the EU became so hysterical about it, threatening to block all vaccine exports and even, at one stage, threatening to torpedo the Northern Ireland peace deal that they had just spent several years, during the Brexit negotiations, pretending they cared about.
More than anything, they fear that the various populations within the EU might notice that a centralized, non-democratic bureaucracy is not ideal in life-and-death situations.
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3 minutes ago, welovesundaysatspace said:
Where does this amount come from? I thought the commercial terms of the contracts were all confidential (see AZ contract)...
My Dad owns Montenegro.
4 minutes ago, welovesundaysatspace said:other favorable conditions that were negotiated through the joint procurement programme.
You must have noticed the big kerfuffle earlier this month when it became clear that the pharma companies wanted to delivery shipments in the same order that they were purchasing, meaning the EU's three-month delay meant being three months behind the UK.
The other doozy is their relaxed attitude to even authorizing the various various, taking far longer than any other countries despite being provided with exactly the same data. The Irish became so desperate that they even tried to organize their delivery of AZ to be held in a Dublin warehouse so that they could immediately distribute it as soon as the EU got their fingers out. The EU shot down that idea too, saying shipment could not even be allowed on Irish soil until they managed to find their rubber-stamp.
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2 minutes ago, SCOTT FITZGERSLD said:but also injected with a microscopic chip that will release into their DNA thai genes so they will start to look and think like thai
Surely it would be simpler to achieve the same effect by gouging out their brains with an ice pick?
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2 minutes ago, welovesundaysatspace said:
Most EU citizens and counties actually moved up the queue thanks to the EU Programme.
The EU contains many countries of varying levels of competence. I am mainly aware that two relatively competent countries, Ireland and Germany, submitted orders at the same time as the UK but were told to cancel them. They were given the impression that the centralized EU orders were being made straight away and there was shock when it because clear that EU sat on their hands for three months.
The one Euro saving per shot is truly bewildering when these countries are paying their citizens hundreds of Euros per week to do nothing. They would have preferred to pay the same price as the UK and get the same 3-month headstart.
Of course, other EU countries may have been even less organized than the EU.
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8 minutes ago, PatOngo said:I paid tax in Thailand for 30 years! Have you?
What you said was, and I quote:19 minutes ago, PatOngo said:I don't pay direct tax. The govt pays me!
So, the "truth" of your original misleading claim apparently hinges on the fact that you are not currently paying tax, but actually paid loads of it for three decades.
So, in reality, it is not so much that the government "pays" you, it is that they are kindly giving you back a fraction of what they took from you during the useful period of your life.
Again, nothing that governments give is truly free.- 2
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14 minutes ago, BritManToo said:Cost of vaccine is $5 in Europe, South Africa made a big to-do about them being charged more ($7) than Europe.
The various types of vaccine vary quite a lot in price, and the deals struck by individual governments vary too.
I think Europe got the best deal because, after ordering all their member countries to not make their own arrangements, they negotiated for 3 months to achieve a one Euro discount. This was a massive victory, highlighting the advantages of a federal Europe. Unfortunately, it also put them at the back of the queue and, so far, only 5% of the EU population has been vaccinated.
The UK paid the original asking price for all the vaccines, but have now vaccinated 27%.
Israel, meanwhile, is at 82.5% because they secretly control the world.
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5 minutes ago, PatOngo said:I don't pay direct tax. The govt pays me!
Again, the government has no actual money of its own. It removes money from productive members of society and gives it to you.
6 minutes ago, PatOngo said:Did I state that $20 was an issue??? $20 would be no issue for me
Yes. You wrote that "civilized" countries provide it for free, implying that Thailand is uncivilized if they don't provide you with yet another taxpayer-funded freebie.
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11 minutes ago, PatOngo said:In civilized countries the vaccine will available for free to all!
Nothing is "free". Governments produce no money of their own. They take money from taxpayers by threat of force.
Not sure why the $20 cost of a vaccine is such big issue for you.
I would happily pay a thousand dollars today for my choice of vaccine and a vaccine passport.
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No one will be forced to take (and pay for) the vaccine, but they won't be allowed to stay. Not in Thailand, not in any country other than their home country.
This could get complicated when the airlines make proof-of-vaccination mandatory for all passengers. For those determined not to get vaccinated, and who must leave their expat home, there may not be much of a window during which they will be able to fly back to their home country.
What I suspect will happen is that the overwhelming majority of people currently saying they will "never" get vaccinated will, in fact, quietly go and vaccinated once it becomes clear how limited their life will be without one.
Just to be clear, I'm not saying this is a good thing, but it makes sense to be realistic about how travel and expat life will be affected once the vaccine become generally available.
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10 minutes ago, 1FinickyOne said:I changed my mind... bought in a couple of weeks ago and keep buying more... I qualify as older, but I can recognize that things are changing... I may not be the first one in, but I can ride the wave...
"Catch a wave and your sitting on top of the world" - Beach Boys
Very glad to hear that and I hope it goes well for you. I do think this will be an exceptionally good year for Bitcoin.
Some of the more rational advocates for Bitcoin on this forum have done a good job of explaining the various factors, I learn a lot about it here myself, despite already being immersed in it for years. My hope is that more members can be encouraged to diversify a small portion of their money into Bitcoin, and to treat it as a longer-term investment. It is highly volatile but I have no doubt that it will be significantly higher by the end of this unique year.
Sadly, the unprecedented levels of money printing mean that the regular currencies are going to take a beating, pushing assets such as Bitcoin, metals, shares, and property higher. I believe Bitcoin will be by far the biggest beneficiary.
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34 minutes ago, condobrit001 said:Sounds like sour grapes from an older member on a limited pension.
No idea how you got that impression.
I am a big advocate for Bitcoin. I have a few hundred myself, along with some Ethereum, and think everyone should be using it as a hedge against dollar devaluation to protect at least part of their savings.
I think this is particularly important for the guys on fixed pensions - all the money printing last year and this year is going make it harder for them to stay in Thailand - but, at the same time, I don't see the point in creating new threads every time the value of Bitcoin goes up another thousand. That just enrages the guys who have not yet figured it out.
Better to bring it up less frequently and have fewer but more productive discussions. As @Peter Denis points out above, however, ThaiVisa is all about the clicks.
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Interesting to note that Fauci's mask contains covert instructions on how to produce your own vaccine.
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The problem with such a hard-drinking culture, combined with mind-numbing agricultural jobs, is that fraternization makes species-to-species transmission far more likely.
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31 minutes ago, RichardColeman said:
Never know, Thailand might 'bubble' the UK
It is almost certain that all tourism-dependent countries, including Thailand, will adopt the policy of allowing entry without tests, insurance, or quarantine to verifiably vaccinated visitors.
Watch to see if they make a specific deal with Israel in March or April.
Then, this summer, watch them apply the same deal to the UK, USA, UAE and other countries who have done a terrific job of vaccinating their people, followed by the EU and most African countries in 2022.
Hunt on for cruel thug who tied cat to back of motorcycle in Lampang
in Chiang Mai News
Posted
It doesn't seem to have occured to anyone in this thread that the cat may have been a Trump supporter.