Eric Loh

You speak for the world?

EC didn't give Pita and his legal team the chance to defend the case before forwarding to Charter Court. The MFP legal team is now accusing EC of committing malfeasance in accordance with Section 157 of the Criminal Code by not exercising any of its functions or wrongfully exercise or dishonestly exercise or omits to excercise. The Charter Court legal process will take months and will be examined by both the prosecution and defense attorneys. There is no jury in the Thai judiciary system and the judge will decide the outcome.

Somehow hosting a cooking show was sufficient to remove an elected prime minister. The court will stoop low for political expediency.

He has the anti graft laws changed to non disclosure for him. Even if he want to declare in the spirit of transparency, the agency that has the legal power is the crooked NACC.

It has been a sad event since the turn of the millennium. 3 elected governments were disrupted by either the agencies, courts or the military. 2 prime ministers have to flee into exile by the politically expedient courts. It is only now that the yellow shirts wake up to witness the cleverly crafted judiciary coup on one of their own. Now they agonized over the unfair treatment of Pita. The red shirts felt the same thrice over.

Let's re-collect Prayut's failures. - massive corruption like the medical glove procurement scandal which caused losses estimated at over 100 B Baht of taxpayer's money and the procurement of ATKs - Failures in handling the Covid-19 pandemic, resulting in the widespread closure of many businesses and an economic meltdown - Budget mismanagement with record high borrowing - Restrictions of righst and liberties of the people through use of LM laws against peaceful protesters. Heavy handed brute means against student protests - Failure to solve economic problems, supported the rich busineeses while ignoring the grievances of the poor and lacking direction in economic recovery - Education reform failures, pushing the Thai educational system to rock bottom among ASEAN countries - Failure to tackle illegal narcotis and other serious crimes

Put that question to the people. More than the majority voted in the previous elections except for 2014 when the yellow shirts and military goons disrupted votings in 64 constituencies. Seem that majority Thais want universal suffrage. Very democratic.

Interesting that K Prayut made this announcement just days before the voting. He is walking away from the monstrosity that he created with his appointed senators and if the senates unanimously vote against K Pita, the blame now totally falls on K Prawit. A cowardice act.

Again I have to remind you that that was an opinion by a group of academics called Siam Prachapiwat and had no legal standing. It is quite similar to the group of activisits saying that Prayut's term of office had expired after 8 years as PM. Move on mate.

So true that the double standard of enforcement is the problem. The military has to be reformed to bring the entity under the control of the government like in most democratic countries and also neighbouring Asean countries like Malaysia, Singapore and Indonesia.

I am expressing more on the extrapolitical factors and the personalities that played key roles in 2 decades of non democratic means to grapped and hold power. Those factors are gone. Thaksin attempt to bring the military under the government failed and scared the establishment. The establishment failed in providing the governments that showed they are better and instead were even more corrupted with no accountability. Their supporters have now turned on them and thus provide a better political environment for the new government to thrive.

It's a new era and past architects of political decisions have passed and the Generals from the Burapha Phayak have been defanged. What is left are the ultra conservatives in the senate that have influence on the next government but they too will be gone by next year. I feel that there will be less political happenings like in the last two decade.

If the Constitution Court accept the case after 13 July based on Section 151 of the Election Law for holding shares in a media company, the criminal procedures will involved many steps and can take months and years. If he is found quity for breaching the law, it can mean prison time and ban politically for an extensive period. The government will simply appoint a Prime Minister to take his place. The key date will be 13 July and if EC could not forward the case to the Court, the senators will be less pressured to abstain or vote no.

The one meeting that I am paying attention will be the EC to discuss whether they have sufficient evidence to forward the case to the Constitution Court. Time is running out for the EC to forward the case before 13 July voting for Prime Minister. If the court accept the case for consideration, it will affect voting on 13 July. It will be reason for senators to abstain from voting and also assert pressure on senators who consider voting for Pita. If EC do not forward the case, the voting chance for Pita will be brighter.

Abstaining by large number of senators will not help Pita. The voting process under the Organic Law 2017 require the prime ministerial candidate to secure a majority of 376 of 750 votes. The Secretariate of the House will call out the names of the MPs and Senators and they can vote as approve, dissaprove or abstain.

We will soon know which of his colleagues will not heed the instruction from the King. The voting is based on open ballot system and participant's choices are not confidential and it will be telecast live.

Good read. Thanks. If Pita failed in his attempt, the sensible route is for Sretha to be nominated and get the full backing of the pro democracy coalition. I think the back room dealing started when Sretha meet Anutin in UK followed by the meeting between Thaksin and Prawit There will be something for BJT and PPRP as a trade off for their votes. I don’t think MFP will be hard done by plan B as Pita will get the deputy prime minister role and also the A listed ministerial positions. The new government has to be formed quickly or the economy will be impacted.

https://live.parliament.go.th/Home/View/1

I hope that K Pita can be elected as PM in the first seating. The government need to be form as soon as possible and approve next year budget. Any delay will be bad for the economy and delay FDI decisions. The dark horse will be whether PPRP will be the spoiler and throw in their nomination for Prawit. This will most certainly upset the apple cart and influence the senator votes. House speaker is sensible to allocate 3 seatings for the PM voting process. The longer it stretched, the quorum may be compromise making harder to achieve the target votes. The economy will take a big hit if the opposition coalition decide to derail and drag out the process. Will depend on the margin of votes on whether K Piya be given a second chance. If the chasm is too wide, the coalition must nominate a more palatable candidate like K Sreetha. Time is tight to form the government and coalition must accept some compromise to keep the junta out of office.

Settle down. It will be DeSantis after Trump grift enough money for himself and opt out of the race. It is all about the money for Trump and his gullible die-hards.

Quite remarkable that the time-line to form the government is moving way ahead of the schedule set by K Wissanu Krea-ngam deputy PM of the caretaker government. The date given by him was August 3 for voting of PM by both houses. This was brushed off with a much earlier date. There seem an air of confidence by the MFP+PTP coalition that they will get this done within 3 sittings. Perhaps the Parliament opening speech by the Majesty to both houses to work for the public gave them that confidence. We will soon see which senators will not heed that message in this open ballot voting.

The fault line is between anti military and the military. Yellow shirts have faded into insignificance. Demography taken a toll on the aging yellow shirts and their leaders. Election has revealed that majority of voters who are educated and middle class want the military out of politics. They formed the bulk of yellow shirts. There wouldn’t be any massive turnout of yellow shirts in Bangkok.

Those yellow shirts have switched to orange in Bangkok. Days of massive yellow shirts gatherings are over.

If they are massive against Pita, Bangkok will be in the colours of UTN and PPRP.

Pray for America and the world that this fascist will not be the next President.