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Posts posted by rabas
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52 minutes ago, Cameroni said:
They took a simple boat to avoid suspicion. Obviously. But they had special gear allright. The explosives they used had to have been provided by the Ukrainian military.
Sounds like you were there, or a GRU beeper? Ukraine has weightless explosives?
if it was Ukraine, more power to them. Unfortunately it remains a mystery outside propaganda channels. There are three contending theories:
1. Putin, to split NATO, his no 1 priority. Why not, NS was already closed.
2. Ukraine, to make it much harder for the EU to help Ukraine fight Russia.
3. US, to shift more of the burden defending Ukraine to the US.
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11 hours ago, NoDisplayName said:
Something seems off. I listened to the released video.
Doesn't sound like a native Chinese speaker. Sounds more like someone reading off a couple google-translate phrases. Pronunciation was strange, and tones were incorrect.
I'd suspect he was probably one of the "North Koreans" from Los Angeles they announced last month, repurposed for more effective propaganda.
"Hey, Trump hates the Chinese. Let's just make him Chinese. They all look alike, anyway. Who's gonna know?"
30% of native Chinese don't even speak Mandarin, not to mention oft heavy regional accents. How do you expect all common PLA soldiers to speak clear enunciated central Mandarin? Better to make up a story about Los Angeles.
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10 hours ago, Cameroni said:
These Ukrainians are people who blew up an underwater pipeline and blamed the Russians.
You can't believe a word any Ukrainian tells you. They're liars, and masters of the most underhand fakery.
Simple divers in a rented boat without special gear that would raise suspicion planted enough explosives 90 meters deep to cause multiple 2.3 magnitude quakes measured in multiple neighboring countries, including Denmark, Sweden, Germany, Finland, and Norway? Do you know how much a normal diver can carry 90 meters down?
Interesting you don't blame America. Putin and every Russian propaganda organ went into overdrive blaming the US. Why? To split NATO, Putin's no. 1 prerogative since forever.
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3 hours ago, ikke1959 said:
No wonder the Nescafe is skyrocketing in the prices.. Thailand for the Thai is again here. a verdict without hearing the other party anda decision as always against the non Thai party
Probably not Nescafe.
When Red Cup 400g suddenly jumped to ~300 baht I bought it anyway but it's not the same. It tastes similar but it's a fine powder, not very granular. So I doubt its from Nescafe. Powdery instant coffee was an older technology. So we are being played both ways.
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14 hours ago, ikke1959 said:
Not true... you can see in the supermarkets that the coffee prices went up already Mocona 337 THB for a pack and Nescafe red 287.. And the prices will go up more and more
Been buying Red Cup 400g forever. A month ago it suddenly jumped to ~300 baht but bought it anyway (from Foodland). But it's not the same, taste is similar but it's a fine powder, not very granular. Powdery instant coffee was an old technology so I doubt it's from the same source.
Lipton Yellow Tea disappeared a few months back. I bought some from Lazada that tasted like dried weeds.
So the government is covering up monkey business.
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3 hours ago, johng said:Well please do tell us all about your space adventures and the troublsome graphite dust.. 😋
Couldn't they just sharpen the pencil inside a paper bag ? another option would be a crayon 🖍️
Anyway my point was that the Russians solved the problem with a quick readily available cheap solution while the Americans set about reinventing the wheel (pen)
Space is incredibly thrilling and unimaginably dangerous but what I really disliked was the return parades and hero worship ... no! ... wait! ... I didn't say I was in space, I was in Russia! 😋
So no, Russia didn't solve a problem, they lived with known dangers, they did try grease pens 🖍️ and later bought America's Fisher Space Pen
when available ~1969. Yes, we sold them space pens. BTW, graphite can also present electrical fire and short hazards in a space capsule. "Whoa dude! Who fired the retros?"
I also didn't mean Russia couldn't design a space pen, they couldn't even make cheap Bic pens! It was beyond their technology. On the street we were oft confronted by small groups of Russians chanting "chewing gum, chewing gum, ballpoint pen!" Ballpoint pens were like gold, which is why we brought many.
But my point is not Russia bad. I admire both ways, innovation and brute force determination. My point is the human misery wrought by Russian leaders' perennial neglect of its own people. Economic doom if you will.
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2 hours ago, pgrahmm said:
I was 4 miles away from the epicenter of the Loma Prieta 7.8 earthquake when it occured.....
The mountain didn't slide along highway 9 = it jumped 50-60 feet.....On that road the median barrier is solid concrete about 4ft wide at the base & about 1ft wide at the top reinforced with 1.0" to 1.5" rebar laced through it.....The earthquake shattered through that concrete like it wasn't even there....You could follow the cracks where the ground vibration entered the base of the base & exited out the top twisting the rebar like a pretzel while forcing it upwards and lifting it straight up 3 to 4 ft above the concrete following the vibrations.....You could see the vibration twists and turns.....
The LP quake was both a rolling & up and down quake....Some houses cut in half - half upright & semi ok but off foundation and the other half toppled and downed sideways....The destruction was incredible to witness and experience first hand.....The shock waves were 3ft high rumbling through the streets like waves on an ocean.... Fortunately, it ended up I was in what the Army Corp of Engineers classified as the safest building in the area by a fluke in it's construction.....
Bangkok got pretty lucky this time around given the nature of a lot of Thai construction methods and the use formed concrete columns in many structures....
If Bangkok had been as close to the epicenter as I was that day there would still be rubble......
Great story! But I think you were probably on Santa Cruz Highway 15, which has heavy concrete barriers. Highway 9 is a scenic 2 lane road that also goes to Santa Cruz. No barriers. I used to ride my bike along there all the time.
But your call for Bangkok's demise is unfounded. Along that highway you were virtually on top of the San Andreas fault running NS and 4 miles from the epicenter of a 6.9 magnitude quake.
The recent 7.7 Burma earthquake was between 700 and 1000 km away along a fault similar to the San Andreas and was a near worst case for Bangkok for a few reasons. Bangkok is not near such large faults and Bangkok's angle from Burma's Sagaing fault was near optimum for Bangkok damage. Engineers I've talk to said it would be extremely unlikely to have a worse quake here. Since only 3 Bangkok buildings were closed, any future quake is likely to cause the widespread damage you imagine.
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53 minutes ago, CallumWK said:I think you didn't understand my post.
It indicates the widespread corruption going on in the awarding of government building construction.
Understood. I've been here since the 1980s. I was discussing a deeper level.
Yesterday, I had the opportunity to speak with a team of 3 engineers that inspected my condominium. I learned a few interesting things. The head engineer was a professor with a PhD in engineering and 30+ years of experience. He said the big classic Western style condominiums built in the 1990s before the financial crisis suffered little damage and are very unlikely to ever be knocked down by an earthquake. These engineers inspect everything including lifts, water tanks, and piping. Newer condos suffered much more damage.
He also said something that surprised me. He said that large buildings in Bangkok were speced to survive a 7.3 magnitude earthquake, where survive means not fall down. So all three buildings that were closed or collapsed where newer. Government corruption has been here forever.
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7 minutes ago, Yagoda said:
Big concrete balcony good. Little box balcony bad.
Pattaya mid 1990s good.
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11 hours ago, CallumWK said:
Both unsafe buildings, and the thrird one that came down, are government buildings. Does that tell you something?
All three are new buildings well after the 'classic' Western style condo buildings of the 1990s, before the financial crisis.
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17 hours ago, johng said:Yeah I still say rubbish, the equipment and the know how is still very much there once the Western engineers go home, not that is really "rocket science" in the first place..and if (big if) the Russians can't make the bearings then of course their close neighbour and friendly country China would oblige.
As a side note I made bearing journals for British Timken at a factory in Potters Bar.
No don't remember that I do remember the Americans spending millions producing a pen to write in space and the Russians just used a pencil.
A famous but false narrative. I know because I was there. Russia could not make ballpoint pens because they lacked the required high precision technology. Back then ballpoint pens were better than rubles, one or two could by a bottle of vodka.
Smart? Do you really want to use a graphite pencil in space inhaling graphite dust or worse a broken pencil tip that could damage your lungs? Not to mention sharpen a pencil in a sealed space capsule.
So no, Russia was not smarter, just desperate. Russia had excellent scientists but no broad industrial base to support them. Putin is the same but worse, he berates scientists and locks up because he's paranoid and can't trust them.
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17 hours ago, johng said:You think that a country with its own space program,nuclear power and weapons can't produce its own bearings ??? come on !!
Yes, Russia has always had ball bearing problems. The Soviets made big missiles with big nuclear warheads while America deployed smaller missiles like Minute Man with smaller warheads. Why? Because the US invested heavily in high precision ball bearings that made their missiles far more accurate. How? High precision ball bearings are used in gyroscopes that make guided missiles far more accurate. Smaller US weapons could take out missile silos more easily than big old Russian weapons. It's always amazed me that all that high technology boiled down to ball bearings.
Similar high tech technology gaps exit today. The next revolution has begun with chip-scale atomic clocks (CSACs) so small they can be put in missiles. Such missiles can hit precise positions around the world without radio communication like GPS. Again Putin's lack of a broad based economy leads Russia behind. If Russia had a broad based civilian technology we wouldn't have Putin, or Putin wars. Russians and Americans alike would breath a sigh of relief.
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5 hours ago, johng said:Well ok up to you 👌.
Don't know who's defending barbarism certainly not me.
Anyone who discusses this war while overlooking Putin's horrifically barbaric targeting and killing of innocent civilians, families, children, cruise missile a children's cancer hospital? is certainly defending barbarism.
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4 hours ago, Letseng said:
There is an officially published list. Saw it on X. Not much use if you can't read Thai.
I couldn't find a full list but they did list all closed buildings in Bangkok (2). Most all, 46, are in the provinces not in Bangkok, which makes sense. This is an English translation.
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13 hours ago, thaibeachlovers said:I have been saying that if Zelensky sends drones to destroy infrastructure in Russia they will not like the reply. So whine away, by all means but as long as Zelensky keeps making futile attacks on Russia Putin will keep sending an unpleasant reply.
Now parroting Putin's propaganda for him? "If Zelensky keeps making futile attacks on Russia, Putin will bomb more children!" When, did I ever mention Zelinsky?
But the calculus has changed. On Friday as global oil prices crashed to $62/bl, sources noted this dooms Putin's highly discounted Ural exports to ~$50/bl, where its hard to see how Putin makes money.
Then woops, it dropped again today! Whoever he's killing now it may be out of desperation. The game has changed.
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Some evidence. It appears the building snapped at the base possibly from torsional forces. The earthquake at my place had three distinct waves arriving roughly a minute apart, 1) compression P waves (swaying), 2) S waves (heavy shaking), 3) Surface waves i.e., Love and Raleigh waves(worse shaking). Love waves tend to twist things. There are 2 frames a fraction of a second apart. Top 2 images show the base, lower (same) images show most of the building. (Images are zoomable). The pillars snap from the corner as expected from a twisting motion.
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On 4/4/2025 at 12:09 AM, rabas said:
Z guys may want to cool Z-Putin nukem propaganda. Putin's aging groin is lacking. Here's the max submarine missile balance, the ones you can't see coming (not that S300-S400s would work.)
Since S300 - S400 systems are no longer useful even against Ukraine tech1), Putin is firing these billion $ systems on masse at Ukraine civilians and children on the ground. Desperate sick dude.
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1 hour ago, Grumpy one said:
Just wondering, will the new submarine be using the same quality steel
Thats assuming it ever gets built
Just wondering, will the new submarine be using the same
qualitysteel?-
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3 hours ago, Rolo89 said:
Do you have a reference for your map?
I ask because it seems wrong in many ways. The Philippine sea plate should be on the other side of the Philippines, most red lines are borders not faults, and Bangkok is half way to Cambodia. Instagram has similar 'fake' maps, one with Burma's Three Pagodas fault line in Laos! Some were generated with ChatGPT.
It's best to double check sources for internet gloom and doom posts.
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3 hours ago, zmisha said:From Russia it looks a little different. Previously, America simply ignored what Russia thought. Then Putin showed off his impressive nuclear balls last September by changing the nuclear doctrine and the Americans suddenly pulled Trump out of a box with his desire to negotiate.
So now when Russia doesn't like Trump's proposals, Putin just goes to scratch his nuclear balls demonstratively. That's why Vladimir recently went to inspect his nuclear submarines.Z guys may want to cool Z-Putin nukem propaganda. Putin's aging groin is lacking. Here's the max submarine missile balance, the ones you can't see coming (not that S300-S400s would work.)
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U.S. Alone: 4,648 warheads (4,032 SSBN + 616 SSGN).
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NATO Total: 6,056 warheads (U.S. + UK + France).
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Russia (Z): 2,240 warheads
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23 hours ago, thaibeachlovers said:Around early February, it stopped being viable for Ukraine to stay there," Oryx expert Janovsky said, calling the extended stay in Kursk Oblast "a short-sighted political decision."
A young Japanese ex Kyiv Post business reporter quotes powerful Czechoslovakian Oryx expert Jakub Janovsky calling it a short-sighted political decision, which rates 'duh' because Ukraine never intended to annex Russian territory.
But who is powerful Oryx expert Jakub Janovsky? An internet blogger and Oryx is his blog at blogger.com.
Nothing wrong with the sources but to use this to claim Ukraine lost the war in which Ukraine had for years held off Putin's great Russian military might?
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5 hours ago, johng said:NYT article admits it was all a proxy war after all and Ukraine lost because they didn't follow orders.
The Partnership: The Secret History of the War in Ukraine
This is the untold story of America’s hidden role in Ukrainian military operations against Russia’s invading armies.
A non paywall copy
First, the NYT can't 'admit' anything. This is a reporter weaving a tale worthy of a soap opera, ' Mr. Austin is a solid and stoic block of a man, but as he returned the compliments, his voice caught. “Instead of saying farewell, let me say thank you,” he said, blinking back tears. ' Allegedly 'behind closed doors'.
So it's hard to see your claims. Maybe substantiate them with some analysis?
BTW, Ukraine has not lost yet. On the world stage, Putin is probably the real champion loser.
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It's a real syndrome, PEDZ, Post Earthquake Dizziness Syndrome. It gained recognition after Japan's large earthquake in 2011. For many, your first significant earthquake can be quite traumatic. This is Bangkok's first significant earthquake in living memory so not surprising some people are a bit 'shaken'.
The problem here is how it's treated. My wife and her sister have had mild dizzy spells since the earthquake. We live on the top floor of a 20 story a condo and had a pretty wild ride. Just to relieve her worry, i took her to the hospital on Monday. After seeing two very young doctors, she walked away with several medications including a benzodiazepine and Amitriptyline used for long term major depressive disorders. These can mess with any normal mind and lead to long term dependence. Amitriptyline is a dangerous drug and should never used for normal issues like this.
Maybe a good idea to request an older doctor.
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7 minutes ago, connda said:
Entire house shakes for over a minute.
😕 "Hummm. I wonder what that was? I need someone who is an 'expert' to explain this to me. I'm so confused."
We have electric, cell phone, and water outages routinely where I live. No one needs an SMS from the government to figure out why. Everyone knows why - utilities in Thailand aren't the most reliable.
Now - after your house shakes for over a minute and then stuff doesn't work? You'd have to be a complete moron who has lived their entire life in a hermetically sealed box all of their life not to understand what happened.Meteorology and seismology are joined at the hip by Earth system science, topography, and geographic information systems (GIS). It's natural to collocate them as they can share many resources.Meteorologist: Wow, wobbly rain!Seismologist: No, it's your instruments.
Updates and events in the War in Ukraine 2025
in The War in Ukraine
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Wild double fail! Russian air defense shoots at their own slow helicopter, and misses!