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halloween

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Posts posted by halloween

  1. 18 hours ago, Srikcir said:

    .... does wind produce more electric power than solar - When there's no wind?

    .... About the same as solar at night (implying no energy production)

     

    I am not a meteorologist nor scientist but it's my understanding of the following.

     

    Wind is created by temperature differentials like one might see in coastal and desert areas. While such features can be used to produce energy during the day, they alone are less likely to cause night time winds. So you're correct. But wind does blow at night and not just from cyclic seasonal storms that can't tell time (LOL).

     

    There are the ever present active atmospheric jet streams and huge oceanic temperate circulations that create what I'd called terrestrial winds. Then there are planetary winds caused by combined solar radiation and earth's rotation. In such global regimes winds are not constrained by day and night. That is good for personal energy production.

     

    However, night time wind turbine operations might not be good for a national electric grid. For a country that has uniform day and night like Thailand as opposed to a country (or multi-national energy partnership) that spans both day and night, energy demand is much lower at night than during the day.

     

    If significant wind energy is produced during the night and such energy is excess to the load demand (ie., customers) of the grid, the electricity becomes excess energy. To protect the grid, that energy must be "dumped," energy source shutdown and/or sell the energy at a "negative" price to the consumer. See link for an example of negative energy pricing.

    http://www.slate.com/articles/business/the_juice/2015/09/texas_electricity_goes_negative_wind_power_was_so_plentiful_one_night_that.html

    Negative Electricity Prices Are Not A Sign Of Renewable Success

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaellynch/2016/02/19/negative-electricity-prices-are-not-a-sign-of-renewable-success/#41f2d4073806

     

    The relationship of renewable energy to a power grid is complicated. There must be great care to coordinate Thailand's electric grid with wind energy sources and not rush into such projects for the sake of publicity.

     

     

     

    Uncontrolled inputs are always a problem. Germany has had the experience you describe, with more input than usage, but the answer is simple (for grid control) - give control of the wind farm circuit breakers to the grid controller so that excess can be removed.

    A bigger problem is the variability. As wind/solar inputs increase/decrease, another input must change to compensate. This usually means having a fossil fuel input on hot standby and/or changing load, and their design usually does not include a rapid ramping rate. Having units on such standby also has a cost which must be passed on to consumers, hence the cost of energy in the countries that have gone heavily into renewables.

  2. 17 hours ago, sceadugenga said:

    I think they called it giving notice of intent to apply or something when I did it in 2013, and yes, it was 13 weeks. 

    The application can be made in advance so that complicated cases can be processed and the payment made on the first due date. I have a lot of overseas travel and a long period of o/s residence, all of which will need to be dated. The last 4 years, I have spent just over 183 days in Oz each year, so I am claiming both residence and that I have 2 years in-country after holidays deducted.

    • Like 2
  3. 20 hours ago, greenchair said:

    Just because she did did not get a retrial does not mean she was guilty of the first crime. She was declined because of the dubious way they tried to prove her innocence with efforts to protect the person thought to be the driver. The truck that hit was green. Her truck is gold. There was indeed a green truck with the same plate as hers. that truck did belong to Sap , who sold it  (if I remember correctly  ) 1 day after the accident. After she began proceedings for retrial, the Green truck was mysteriously destroyed along with the ownership papers. Then mysteriously a new witness came forward to say he owned the truck.if I am correct  The flecks of paint on the bike did not match Jomsap truck. All of this evidence will not be heard in a retrial. Their mistake was the promise to Sap that they would keep him out of jail and pay him for his time, it doesn't mean he is innocent. Of course he would not come forward on his own volition. Unfortunately in order to get the retrial they needed substantial new evidence. Rightly the justice ministry decided to keep sap out of it and they might have won the case based on forensics of the vehicle. It's a pity the court did not seperate the 2 issues. This is the first case to test the waters of the retrial law. And probably the last. 

    What a shame. 

    Where did you get this conspiracy theory? Both Sap and his brother have claimed to be driving the truck, which he sold a year before and was scrapped for parts.

  4. 2 hours ago, Srikcir said:

    There's really no choice. It's a forced decision not to appear in the face of certain incarceration.

    And given the history of pre-trial interrogations in Thailand (especially during a military-led government who has absolute power over the judicial system), there is possible intimidation and torture for a confession.

     

    By internationals standards is trial in absentia acceptable? No.

    (may affect ability of the Thai government to extradite a person to carry out a judgement)

     

    The International Criminal Court under the Rome Statute upholds the requirement that the defendant must be present during the trial with only one exception - when the accused who is being present for the Court continues to disrupt the trial. Even then there are limits to the exception:

    • the possibility to remove the accused when disrupting the trial “shall only be used in exceptional circumstances after other reasonable alternatives have proved inadequate”.
    • the accused shall have the ability to observe the trial and instruct his or her counsel from outside the courtroom, through the use of communications technology if necessary.

    See Chapter 4.3 of the very lengthy publication attached.

    The Thai government (aka Prayut) might (?) grant the accused temporary immunity solely for the purpose of appearing at the pre-trial and trial phases. But I think there's a trustworthiness issue with the government (aka Prayut) keeping its word no matter how formal and legal it may be presented.

     

    Absentia Trial.pdf

    When your co-accused have either confessed or been previously sentenced with ample evidence, yes, incarceration is close to certain. Then it comes down to moral and intestinal fortitude. OTOH quite a few Thai politicians seem to believe that being elected, they have the right to steal from those they supposedly represent, and fail to see that there is any need for repentance, punishment or restitution.

  5. 21 hours ago, sjaak327 said:

    Applying new laws retroactively to crimes commited over a decade ago is not justice, end of story. That is of course a very relevant point when justice is concerned. But what do you know about justice or democracy for that matter. 

     

    The irony is that you openly support known criminals, that escape prosecution because they wrote themselves a far reaching amnesty. Therefore I believe you have absolutely no leg to stand on.

    The hypocrisy is claiming NOT prosecuting criminals is "in the interest of justice" because an exploited loophole is being closed. The irony is claiming someone else supports criminals because they support change, while you defend the criminals that exploited the country's poor excuse for democracy.

  6. 14 hours ago, sjaak327 said:

    Sorry for writing your name wrong. At least you understood I was referring to you, which means the communication was effective.

     

    You go on and on about Thaksin's crime, whilst completely ignoring the fact that the current lot are criminals as well, and have no valid mandate to change any law.

     

    In this case, Thaksin did allegedely commit these crimes a decade before the law has been changed by a parliament that has no mandate whatsoever, apart from a few guns.

     

    A person with a brain would ask questions why trials in absentia are only possible for political office holders (or at least the political officeholders that did not have the luxury of granting themselves a far reaching amnesty without a valid mandate) not for ordinairy criminals. 

     

    The selective targetting and application of this particular law is not seen in any real democracy, anywhere in the world.

     

    Bottom line, Thaksin commited the crimes over a decade ago, when trials in absentia were not possible, therefore in the interest of justice, these cases should not be restarted. This new law should only apply to cases comitted after the law was changed.

     

    Edit: I do hope you are not trying to suggest that I am one of the posters that thinks, or tries to imply that Thaksin was innocent. 

     

    He is without a doubt a crook. However deposing him via coups and applying new laws retroactively to his cases commited over a decade ago is something I cannot support. 

    Oh dear me, you state it is "in the interest of justice" that a known criminal should escape prosecution, not because the laws he broke were not in existence at the time, but because it was not possible to prosecute him because of his absence. And justify it be a few biased irrelevancies.

  7. 10 hours ago, Bluespunk said:

    So one department of the justice department says her car wasn't involved in accident, so one assumes she was actually innocent.

     

    Yet she still allowed [at the least] this fabrication to go ahead and then got busted.

     

    The word stupid springs to mind.

    There was a lack of evidence in an inspection done 12 years later. That does not prove the incident, which could have been the slightest contact, didn't occur.

    A cynic might think that she has solicited false testimony more than once.

  8. 14 hours ago, darksidedog said:

    So she was innocent of the initial accident it seems. Sadly she seems to have been so intent on proving that, that rather than use the true evidence, she has dug a big hole for herself and is now looking at a far bigger sentence than she got for the accident she didn't have.

    Not to me it doesn't. That there is no forensic evidence, 12 years later, that a car has hit a bicycle, is far from proof that it never happened. The level of impact required to kill a 75yo rider could be minuscule - anything from a touch on the bike's back tyre to a handlebar brush.

  9. On 11/22/2017 at 7:27 PM, pornprong said:

    That's hilarious.

     

    Prior to 2001, PTP wasn't just small, it simply did not even exist as a party - how do small parties rise, easy, they develop policies that improve the lives of citizens and then actually follow through and implement them after they are elected.

     

    Thaksin went from 0% in 2000 up to 60% in 2005

     

    Perhaps the reason Suthep and his cohorts are not successful has very little to do with the system and an awful lot to do with their own shortcomings/greed.

    Not every small party has an egomaniac billionaire willing to pay elected MPs to join his party, and then pay them a monthly stipend to follow orders.

  10. 3 minutes ago, bannork said:

    I remember the police talking on TV about a gang prepared to find scapegoats when this case first surfaced in the media 2 years ago or more. But the strange thing is the pick-up she was allegedly driving had no marks on it to suggest an accident.

    IIRC she allegedly knocked a 75yo woman off her push bike, causing her death. A tap would be sufficient in mst scenarios.

  11. 6 minutes ago, PattayaAngel said:

    Yes David is dying but let the 'tasteless' concentrate on a member of the cast they fancy. I hope he pulls through and you re-think your response.

    Oh, another self-appointed would-be moderator telling us what we should think and post. After rethinking, I am quite sure my expression of a 40 year old admiration of the young Susan Dey will have absolutely no effect on David's chances of recovery.

     

    BTW we are all dying, some are just doing it faster than others. Nobody gets out alive.

  12. 9 minutes ago, Hi kwai fun said:

      

         Another statistic in the War On Drugs . 

       There are many , many more ready to fill the breach . 

     

         Kofi Annan and the UN have already announced the War On Drugs is lost .

     

          So lets do battle some more ?  Another son / daughter, brother / sister , spouse locked up for wasted years and not contributing to the community . 

      Just a few more stings and the drugs will magically disappear and we will all live happily ever after ? 

     

        More busts = higher profit margin . Means more incentive + more profit if you can get away with it . 

         

        

        

      

    Do you consider selling drugs to children to be a contribution to the community?

  13. 29 minutes ago, Gecko123 said:

    When I think back 12 years to when I first moved to rural Thailand, I would definitely say there is more poverty nowadays. Yes, a handful of people have managed to buy a new pickup truck, but aside from that, people seem to have less disposable income. Very few new motorbikes, home improvements, or farm equipment, etc. Even the monk ordinations and wedding parties seem more modest than in the past. Sorry, but a smart phone is not much of a sign of affluence in my book. The erratic weather alone explains a lot (droughts, floods, more unpredictability of the weather.)

     

    To the posters who claim that children pick up the slack and help out with their elderly parents in rural Thailand, I just have to point out that many of these children are barely making enough to support their own hungry wife and kids, so in many cases there's not much charity being shown towards aging parents.

     

    But the thing which absolutely petrifies me the most is what will happen after land reform kicks in. As I understand it, much government land will be converted to deeded property, and after a 5 year waiting period, this land will be able to change hands and be consolidated into, no doubt, the hands of the highest bidders, i.e., wealthy landowners and corporate agri-businesses who will be able to benefit from larger scales of operation, and greater mechanization). With land prices already sharpy risingin anticipation of these changes, few small farmers will be able to add to their holdings without massively increasing their household debt levels, which is already reportedly sky high.

     

    In other words, small farmers and unlanded farm labor will be driven out, and will probably struggle to find employment in rural Thailand, forcing them to migrate to urban centers to find work. Small retail businesses which rely on these small farmers for their customer base will also suffer.

     

    Rural farm workers, in terms of skill sets, are totally unprepared to make this transition. Nor will traditional urban job opportunities, (construction,  taxi drivers, tourism) be able to accommodate this massive influx of unskilled labor. This is why I believe the government is making a disastrous mistake of doing land reform before educational reform. Without educational reform, land reform is just a tinder box waiting to explode, and I fear will make current poverty levels seem moderate in comparison.

    2015 saw 369,000 pickups sold (quite a handful) and that is after the sales slump caused by PTP's 1st car scheme and the collapse of the rice scam.

    The best way to keep a family poor is to give them a few rai of land and ask them to farm it. If you want to reduce poverty, especially rural poverty, the ONLY way is to get people out of small scale inefficient farming. It's called an agrarian revolution, and worked everywhere else.

    Rural farm workers are totally unprepared to make this transition because they like the village lifestyle, and the handouts.  And their numbers mean politicians have to pander to them with money that could be better spent elsewhere.

     

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