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candide

Advanced Member
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Everything posted by candide

  1. Please explain us how the following are part of Presidential duties: - asking election officials "just find me 11,780 votes". - plotting to sneak in fake elector lists - watching the assault of the Capitol on TV (by his supporters) and not tell them at once to stop assaulting US congressmen and his VP. I am ready for a good laugh! 😃
  2. 23 January 2017 $2,32, 27 January 2020 (before the pandemic started outside China) $2.57. No decrease. The decrease started with the pandemic. And Obama did succeed to decrease global oil prices by increasing shale oil production (well, that's how experts explain it). As to the explanations about why the global oil prices increased and decreased, I provided some explanations in the part of my post you truncated. Feel free to reply to each explanation in an informed manner rather than evoking a simplistic and meaningless explanation.
  3. I was replying to a claim that Trump decreased oil prices. He did not decrease oil prices And please don't truncate my post because what I wrote after that matters. Next time I report you. Claiming to explain global oil prices only by U.S. domestic factors is meaningless And ridiculous.
  4. I did not show the whole picture because I replied to a claim that Trumpndecreasedvoil prices. So it didn't decrease during Trumps mandate pre-Covid, did it? And only decreased when the pandemic started, right? The only decrease was due to the pandemic. I don't attribute any blame to Trump for this increase pre-Covid, as everyone knows that oil prices are global and U.S prices are correlated with global prices, as in any other country. Global prices vary according to the state of global demand and global supply. As to the peaks and lows, there is no need to resort to ridiculous conspiracy theories to explain them - 2008/2009 low, there was an economic crisis, as during the Covid pandemic. Low demand - 2016 low, that was the outcome of Obama's strategy to increase the U.S. energy independence, in particular with an increase of shale oil production. Increased supply (price increased after that because OPEP decided to restrict production and exports, thus reducing global supply) - 2020 low. Covid crisis. Low demand. It also induced a production and investment decrease from oil companies, so prices started to go up, - 2022 peak. End of the pandemic, restart of economic activity worldwide, creating a strong increase in demand, combined with global value chain issues and the effect of the war by Russia. - 2023 decrease: GDP growth has slowed worlwide, thus reducing demand, and production has been increased worldwide since mid 2022. - Some episodes of selling parts of the U.S. strategic reserve also had a short-term impact on prices
  5. My graph shows that gas prices increased pre-covid under Trump, as I wrote.
  6. Gasoline price came down during Covid pandemic, because of low demand. Pre-Covid, gasoline price significantly increased under Trump ( except a short episode in January 2019). https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GASREGW
  7. And, of course... Trump defends mistaking Obama for Biden, says he’s being sarcastic 😀 https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4328695-trump-defends-obama-biden-mistakes/
  8. I am certainly not sparsing the data, I am comparing what is comparable, using exactly the same indicators you mentioned. When, under similar global economic environment than the last mandate of the previous President, the performance during pre-Covid years is similar or a bit worse, there is not much to praise. At best it could be said: "he was able to maintain the good economic results achieved by his predecessor", at worst: "he surfed on the wave created by his predecessor"! Comparing pre-Covid and post-Covid performances is meaningless, as the global economic environment is quite different. What makes sense is to compare whether the U.S. has better managed the negative consequences of the global Covid crisis than other developped economies, and the reply is clearly yes. Other developped countries would be very happy to enjoy the same performance. It's surely not perfect either, but certainly doesn't deserve the "total economic failure" and other B.S. characterisation by the right-wing.
  9. Yet, GDP growth under Trump was similar to previous years under Obama, inflation was higher than previous years under Obama, and unemployment decrease was lower than under Obama. And average debt increase/year was also higher than during Obama's last mandate. As to retail gas prices, they increased under Trump (pre-Covid), apart from a short episode in January 2019 -which is, of course, the price you cite as a proof that Trump decreased gas price! 😃 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GASREGW
  10. I guess what he understands as Socialism is not tantric enough for him! 😃
  11. So a phone call inciting to "find" 11,000 votes, or a fake elector plot are part of presidential duties? What a joke! 😅 But his supporters will surely swallow that!
  12. Pre-covid, unemployment decrease rate was lower under Trump than under Obama's last mandate, inflation rate increased compared to Obama's last mandate, and GDP growth was similar. Debt increase rate was also higher. Oh, and oil price increased pre-Covid under Trump, but as you know, oil prices are global so it was not his fault. There was not much to claim compared to Obama's last mandate. Life was better per-Covid, for sure, as in any other developped country. As to Trump's peace initiatives in the ME, negotiated without involving the Palestinian authority and Iran, what could have gone wrong after that? 😅
  13. One reason is that people are less happy post-Covid than pre-Covid. Same as any other comparable country (G7, OECD...)
  14. Biden trails Trump in polls by one or two percent on average, according to what you posted yourself previously. It's peanuts, and has no predictive value.
  15. When you have nothing to defend Trump, just evoke conspiracy theories! 5555 Trump did what he did.
  16. And It's not only an anecdote, it also shows in statistics! Republicans' excess death rate spiked after COVID-19 vaccines arrived, a study says https://www.npr.org/2023/07/25/1189939229/covid-deaths-democrats-republicans-gap-study "More specifically, the researchers say, their adjusted analysis found that "the excess death rate among Republican voters was 43% higher than the excess death rate among Democratic voters" after vaccine eligibility was opened." Dumber than dumb! 😃
  17. Right! It's not like, under Trump, Iran and the Houti would have attacked oil tankers, Shia proxies would have attacked American bases in Irak, or Houti would have bombed oil facilities in Saudi Arabia! Oh! Wait a minute!
  18. Your post is a good example of how Russia's propaganda is efficient!
  19. Surely not. The U.S. has been drawing the other countries up! https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/sn02784/
  20. Ok, a little bit: from 1.48% in 2017, to 1.54% in 2019.
  21. You are right that Europe (not necessarily restricted to the EU: the current NATO members) has the means to defend itself, even with the current budget. The problem is that It's just an addition of armies, each targeted at defending its own country. It raises several issues: - Expenses are not optimised at the European level, I.e. there are unnecessary duplications of the same means in each country, and some common investments may be missing, - There is no strategic sovereignty as European countries depend to a large extent from American suppliers. They have the technology but there is no policy. There are also no European level strategic arms stocks. - There is no European nuclear shield. France or UK likely won't send nukes to defend other countries. It would be necessary that at least Germany would become a nuclear power (interesting).
  22. And It's not like anyone in the U.K. would be worried about this issue... Oh wait! 😅 https://news.sky.com/story/donald-trump-re-election-could-threaten-uks-national-security-claims-ex-mi6-boss-13048148
  23. Actually, only Trump's pal Putin made them pay their fair share....
  24. He said Europe, It's not necessary the EU. In particular, a European defense would be meaningless without UK. A European defense organisation could be like NATO without the U.S. Then there are industrial policy issues which could be dealt with by the EU.

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