
bamnutsak
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Everything posted by bamnutsak
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Pita ordered to suspend doing his duties as an MP
bamnutsak replied to webfact's topic in Thailand News
Well the "Ivy League Trojan Horse" has been eliminated, so all is well in the Kingdom. I feel so much better. -
Quick Analysis: With Pita Gone, What Happens Next?
bamnutsak replied to webfact's topic in Thailand News
Good analysis, although depressing. from the article, Of the eligible candidates for prime minister, only four have any realistic chance of actually winning. Pheu Thai’s Paethongtharn Shinawatra and Srettha Thavisin are the most likely candidates to be put forward; Bhumjaithai’s Anutin isn’t out of the running, given his status as the leader of the third biggest party, while Palang Pracharath leader Prawit Wongsuwan consistently remains in play with his sway over the Senate appointments under the NCPO. I can't see the Senate going with either PTP candidate unless they (PTP) agree to be subservient to the will of the aristocracy.- 65 replies
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Parliament to meet again July 27th to select prime minister
bamnutsak replied to webfact's topic in Thailand News
A one week delay is not ideal. I don't see a reason offered for such a delay. This second vote should be done ASAP. -
Pita ordered to suspend doing his duties as an MP
bamnutsak replied to webfact's topic in Thailand News
So you contend that one single person can bring about ...the beginning of the end of Thailand? That sounds a crazy. -
Thai business leaders express concern over political instability
bamnutsak replied to webfact's topic in Thailand News
Even if they limp through this crisis, either with a PTP/MFP coalition, or a PTP/BJT/Senate coalition, there is a looming constitutional crisis next year with the Senate (repeal, or replace). It "feels" like there will be a Prayut-continued (his 8 year ticker still has some time left) care-taker government which will be allowed to appoint another new batch of Senators, and then calling for another election. PTP and MFP will have been disbanded and all members not imprisoned will be banned for at least 10 years. That's my hot-take/over-reaction for today. -
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The Old Guard would have come up at least four or five other spurious "charges" which the pliant Election Commission would have forwarded to the Administrative Court or the Constitutional Court. Ruangkrai has filed additional charges, and has threatened to file more. I think that Pita, and his legal team, thought that they had the iTV shares issue covered and were (and still are) well positioned to defend it. They assumed they could defend it in front of the EC first. Thai "law" is very flexible, it can be used for or against anyone by those above in the Thai Social Pyramid. It's baked into the Thai Social Contract.
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Pita ordered to suspend doing his duties as an MP
bamnutsak replied to webfact's topic in Thailand News
Abhisit Vejjajiva was born in the U.K., holds British citizenship and graduated from Eton College, Oxford University. He was PM. Quite a few of the early PMs were educated in the U.K. The President of the Senate, Pornpetch Wichitcholchai, is a Harvard grad. Prince Mahidol is a Harvard grad. "Trojan Horse"? Seriously? Maybe keep workshopping this conspiracy theory. It's pretty lame. -
Yes, but he is the (caretaker) Minster of Defense, so the RTA reports directly to him. As (caretaker) PM, the Royal Thai Police also report directly to him. Plus he's got the coup experience.
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On the plus side he didn't say that "There will not be a coup". Yet. He's itching to get the band back together.
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Pita ordered to suspend doing his duties as an MP
bamnutsak replied to webfact's topic in Thailand News
I'd argue that he doesn't "own" the shares, just as Prawit doesn't "own" the watches. The iTV shares are/were "owned" by Pita's father. He is the shareholder of record. If those shares exist now, they exist within a trust. Next I'd ask how Pita could have distanced himself from these shares as there is no market for them? Burn them? Bury them" Transfer ownership, somehow? Finally, the Court must accept that owning media shares implies that the firm is active. If it is not, then no benefit comes from owning them. Did iTV give Pita free coverage and advertising? It will be interesting to see the Constitutional Court ties themselves into knots arriving at a guilty vote. I think it took them ~ 9 months to clear Thaksin back in 2001 by an 8-7 vote. -
Pita ordered to suspend doing his duties as an MP
bamnutsak replied to webfact's topic in Thailand News
That is the minimum I think? Approximately. 141 (PTP) + 71 (BJT) = 212 375 needed so a minimum of 163 Senators needed. That will be easy I think. There are 249 Senators I think. -
Pita ordered to suspend doing his duties as an MP
bamnutsak replied to webfact's topic in Thailand News
Yes. They are. With 165 (from 250) Senators. -
Pita ordered to suspend doing his duties as an MP
bamnutsak replied to webfact's topic in Thailand News
On the plus side he hasn't been arrested or sent to an Attitude Adjustment camp. -
Then any proposed legislation modifying 112 would fail to pass. And, BTW, the Constitutional Court would strike down any changes within 24 hours were it to pass.
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So ignoring the fact that MFP ran on monarchy reforms, you would ask Pita to now lie about his stance on 112 reforms, gain power, then turn around and push for reforms? That's crazy, I mean when you think about it. I'm not even sure a 112 Reform Act would even pass the lower house. That's why all this consternation and pearl-clutching is so weird. The honest truth: the Old Guard doesn't even want to discuss potential reforms, as they are frightened that if they give an inch, the people will want a mile, or more. But a strong institution can withstand changes.
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Bhumjaithai Party MP found holding iTV shares, investigation called
bamnutsak replied to webfact's topic in Thailand News
So TV Channel 5 is owned and operated by the Royal Thai Army. TV Channel 7 is currently owned by the Royal Thai Army through Bangkok Broadcasting & Television. Perhaps anyone affiliated with the RTA should be excluded from holding or running for any office? You know, to avoid a conflict of interest. I'd submit that these TV stations give RTA-affiliated politicians immense power. Certainly more than some in-flight magazine (Thanatorn) or iTV shares.- 10 replies
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Having a debate about 112 will benefit EVERYONE. And the relatively minor changes suggested by MFP may ultimately bring people together. And not discussing and debating this controversial issue will only further divide the Kingdom.
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Bhumjaithai Party MP found holding iTV shares, investigation called
bamnutsak replied to webfact's topic in Thailand News
Probably should just publish a complete list of all ITV share owners of record. Any privacy concerns are over-shadowed by the political and legal ramifications. In fact any defunct "media company" from the past 200 years, which issued shares that are outstanding needs to be investigated. Who owns these shares now? -
Online 90 day report
bamnutsak replied to LauChan's topic in Thai Visas, Residency, and Work Permits
OK. I always receive an email, first when I submit the filing, and another when it is APPROVED (or REJECTED). My reporting office is CW. email from: [email protected] Subject: [TM.47] (PASSPORT NO : 0123456789) FORM FOR ALIEN TO NOTIFY OF STAYING LONGER THAN 90 DAYS HAS BEEN APPROVED PDF of Next Report Date slip attached. -
Online 90 day report
bamnutsak replied to LauChan's topic in Thai Visas, Residency, and Work Permits
Did you receive the APPROVED email? That should have the PDF attachment. Check spam/promotion folders. -
You say "Devil may care", I say "Strength of character". What's the point of running on a platform, on issues, and then jettisoning those just to gain power?
- 86 replies
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