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mfd101

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Posts posted by mfd101

  1. 7 hours ago, Asquith Production said:

    I would urge everyone to check their bank balances. Last Wednesday 25th March  when I used the ATM of a well known bank it said it was unable to communicate. Eventually after trying about 4 times throughout the day  at different ATMs I went into the bank only to find that when my bank book was updated 5000thb had been deducted from my balance on one of my attempts of getting money from an ATM. Its taken a week but they have reimbursed me. The point being if I had not gone into the bank and made the bank book up I wouldnt have noticed.

    We had the same experience here in Surin. Reimbursement requested at counter an hour later, repaid several days later.

  2. The mortality rate is deaths/total infected.

     

    Given that most people recover from the disease, but recovery takes up to 2 or 3 weeks, then - as new infections start to flatten out because of prevention measures - recoveries will keep on increasing and eventually far outrun infections. Thus the 'fatality rate' as measured today is mostly just a statistical artifact of time: early on you have many infections & few recoveries. Mostly now the fatality rate will improve steadily, whatever further we do

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  3. An article from The Times in today's Australian says that analysis of the Wuhan experience shows the following pre-existing risk factors for contracting a SERIOUS dose of coronavirus requiring hospitalization. They are IN ORDER: high blood pressure, diabetes, heart disease, lung problems, overweight (BMI 30+), being male (ie lower antiviral immune responses). 

     

    In most countries in which we are interested 'age' appears as a factor, but that's mostly because many people (but not all) collect one or more of these risk factors as they get older. Which implies that age itself is not a risk factor. It's the underlying ill health that's the problem.

     

    The principal & fascinating exception - but which rather proves the point - is the 'exceptional nation', Usofa, where 40% of those hospitalized to date have been aged 20-54. I guess Usofan life expectancy - lower than any other 'Western' country - is not so surprising after all ...

  4. There are plenty of websites with stats & charts comparing different countries (different geographically culturally & demographically). And comparing infection rates, death rates, mortality rates, recovery rates etc etc.

     

    On just about every measurement Thailand comes out looking like an extreme outlier. Which is on the whole an extremely unlikely outcome.

     

    A reasonable person might reasonably conclude that, as usual, Thais and in particular their government have an unusual relationship with reality.

    • Like 1
  5. 50 minutes ago, gearbox said:

    Interesting to see if the govt would bail out Virgin Australia or let it go belly up. If only Qantas is left, expect sky high domestic fares again.

    I gather (same source a couple of days ago) that Singapore Airlines is sniffing around the soon-to-be virginal corpse.

  6. Discussion in today's 'Australian' suggests half the world's airlines will no longer be with us post CoVid. Those that do will be those that enjoy government support and those (not many) that are not up to their eyeballs in debt already.

     

    And the recovery will be SLOW (12 months +), tending to be domestic or local in the first instance, and probably in the longer term a 'normal' rather different from the one we knew.

    • Like 1
  7. 4 hours ago, MaiDong said:

    I remember when a Thai Scientist came forward and pronounced that Thailand would suffer(marginally) less than some other nations with rising sea levels. He turned out to be correct, despite many comments of derision - including mine.

    Oh rilly? How's that? The seas are still rising and will continue to do so for at least the next 100 or 500 years, no matter what human beings do.

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  8. The Supreme Cdr is the head of all the armed forces. Army, Navy & Air Force come (theoretically) under him, though I suspect (but don't know) his normal role is ceremonial & coordinating rather than operational command. (Certainly Army seems to act like a law unto itself.)

     

    The PM has nominated him to be in charge of the Emergency law enforcement function.

    • Like 2
  9. Here in darkest deepest Surin at the edge of the world, my family 40km away in the village & farm is barely past the 'colona? wot dat?' stage.

     

    2 BILs + kids arrive every day mask-free to work on our new khlong near the house and the new chicken house & run. No point in the cops stopping them as they wouldn't have a brass satang between them.

     

    My b/f has at last got the message that the bank won't let him inside to complain about the 5000฿ the atm stole yesterday unless he wears a mask, but it's not quite fashionable enough yet in his eyes so I'm not allowed to take a photo of him with it to post on Facebook (sigh) ...

     

    As to washing hands, b/f has more or less got the message though off a low base. As to the others, they spend the day either here in the dirt or at the farm with the animals. No point. They just laugh. KR shells used to rain down upon them in the village when they were small so they're not afraid of a silly little wilus.

     

     

     

     

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