
mfd101
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Posts posted by mfd101
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Even 'clean-looking' people can be infected! If you're going to have her come to your place, even if it's only once a week, you need to be sure she knows the rules re hand washing (before, during & after) & you need to supervise and ENFORCE them.
Otherwise dismissed for the duration.
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Hard not to wonder how some members of H. sapiens manage to live long enough to reproduce.
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The mortality rate is deaths/total infected.
Given that most people recover from the disease, but recovery takes up to 2 or 3 weeks, then - as new infections start to flatten out because of prevention measures - recoveries will keep on increasing and eventually far outrun infections. Thus the 'fatality rate' as measured today is mostly just a statistical artifact of time: early on you have many infections & few recoveries. Mostly now the fatality rate will improve steadily, whatever further we do
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An article from The Times in today's Australian says that analysis of the Wuhan experience shows the following pre-existing risk factors for contracting a SERIOUS dose of coronavirus requiring hospitalization. They are IN ORDER: high blood pressure, diabetes, heart disease, lung problems, overweight (BMI 30+), being male (ie lower antiviral immune responses).
In most countries in which we are interested 'age' appears as a factor, but that's mostly because many people (but not all) collect one or more of these risk factors as they get older. Which implies that age itself is not a risk factor. It's the underlying ill health that's the problem.
The principal & fascinating exception - but which rather proves the point - is the 'exceptional nation', Usofa, where 40% of those hospitalized to date have been aged 20-54. I guess Usofan life expectancy - lower than any other 'Western' country - is not so surprising after all ...
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3 hours ago, VocalNeal said:
Has anyone mention The Wai?
Thais don't touch when greeting as opposed to the Italians and possible Spanish?
And what do you think the Japanese do?
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There are plenty of websites with stats & charts comparing different countries (different geographically culturally & demographically). And comparing infection rates, death rates, mortality rates, recovery rates etc etc.
On just about every measurement Thailand comes out looking like an extreme outlier. Which is on the whole an extremely unlikely outcome.
A reasonable person might reasonably conclude that, as usual, Thais and in particular their government have an unusual relationship with reality.
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The precautionary principle: Always bring more than you think you will need, the full bunch of all possibilities.
Then you have it if they ask for it. If they don't ask for it, then you still have it for the next time in case they do.
Be prepared!
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1 hour ago, EvetsKram said:
My wife has a small salon, forced to close down but she is unable to get on there to register. It pisses me off reading here about all the phoney claims getting lodged
Perhaps she could just wait an extra day or three?
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50 minutes ago, gearbox said:
Interesting to see if the govt would bail out Virgin Australia or let it go belly up. If only Qantas is left, expect sky high domestic fares again.
I gather (same source a couple of days ago) that Singapore Airlines is sniffing around the soon-to-be virginal corpse.
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Discussion in today's 'Australian' suggests half the world's airlines will no longer be with us post CoVid. Those that do will be those that enjoy government support and those (not many) that are not up to their eyeballs in debt already.
And the recovery will be SLOW (12 months +), tending to be domestic or local in the first instance, and probably in the longer term a 'normal' rather different from the one we knew.
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Thailand the exceptional country ...
My understanding is that, once testing gets properly under way, the numbers infected double about every 3 days. If I've got that right, then 9000 by mid-April is way lower than we can reasonably expect.
On the other hand, as most people infected recover over time, then gradually the number of CURRENTLY infected (ie infected minus cured = currently infected) will start to flatten out and ultimately diminish, as has happened in China, Sth Korea, Singapore, Taiwan.
But that's probably 2-4 months away in Thailand because of government incompetence & malpractice and lack of self-discipline amongst the people . Meanwhile, the numbers are about to explode, I should think (always assuming they are not hidden from us for our own good).
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1 hour ago, Isaan sailor said:
I wonder how Indians feel about China now?
No love lost at any time, in either direction.
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If it's so safe for 1 at a time in the pool, why wouldn't it be safe for 5 or 10 or 20 provided they keep at least 2 metres away from the doggie crawler?
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4 hours ago, MaiDong said:
I remember when a Thai Scientist came forward and pronounced that Thailand would suffer(marginally) less than some other nations with rising sea levels. He turned out to be correct, despite many comments of derision - including mine.
Oh rilly? How's that? The seas are still rising and will continue to do so for at least the next 100 or 500 years, no matter what human beings do.
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7 hours ago, bluesofa said:
Is there some responsible medical personnel who could give A-nut-in here an injection to induce lockjaw and stop his foot-in-mouth infection?
Don't be silly. He needs to take 6 months stress leave while the nation recovers.
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The Supreme Cdr is the head of all the armed forces. Army, Navy & Air Force come (theoretically) under him, though I suspect (but don't know) his normal role is ceremonial & coordinating rather than operational command. (Certainly Army seems to act like a law unto itself.)
The PM has nominated him to be in charge of the Emergency law enforcement function.
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Here in darkest deepest Surin at the edge of the world, my family 40km away in the village & farm is barely past the 'colona? wot dat?' stage.
2 BILs + kids arrive every day mask-free to work on our new khlong near the house and the new chicken house & run. No point in the cops stopping them as they wouldn't have a brass satang between them.
My b/f has at last got the message that the bank won't let him inside to complain about the 5000฿ the atm stole yesterday unless he wears a mask, but it's not quite fashionable enough yet in his eyes so I'm not allowed to take a photo of him with it to post on Facebook (sigh) ...
As to washing hands, b/f has more or less got the message though off a low base. As to the others, they spend the day either here in the dirt or at the farm with the animals. No point. They just laugh. KR shells used to rain down upon them in the village when they were small so they're not afraid of a silly little wilus.
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1 minute ago, pdtokyo said:
... and your solution or advice to OP is ...?
Get a book. Go back to bed.
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Few things will drive a bank under more quickly than the panic caused by stupid, ill-informed or malevolent people speculating that the bank might go under.
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One of the reasons the Soviet Union collapsed in more or less slow motion over about 20 years is that all statistics were faked so none of the SU's 'leaders' could possibly have an accurate view of the state of the nation, in any area - economic, social, educational, health ...
See any parallels?
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Probably sound policy & action. If NZ can't control it (with its Anglo cultural background, small size & distance from the main threat (in NZ that always means Oz)), then noone can.
On the other hand, she does have an election campaign under way which she is quite likely to lose, so every little helps ...
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7 hours ago, keith101 said:
Is doing a 90 day an essential task in order to leave home ?
Of course it's essential. Just think of the unemployment levels for unskilled workers if we were to stop!
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The whole world has been closing down now for the last several weeks - gradually & at varying pace, from one country or city to another - and we still have 'tourists' stumbling around the place wondering what's happening and being surprised at each new development.
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Thai Immigration appear to be being reasonable in the current situation. You should contact your nearest Immigration post (in person) a little closer to your expiry date and ask the question.
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BOT responds to online payment breakdowns
in Thailand News
Posted
We had the same experience here in Surin. Reimbursement requested at counter an hour later, repaid several days later.