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Samui Bodoh

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Posts posted by Samui Bodoh

  1. On 1/1/2020 at 3:04 PM, saengd said:

    The terms first world, second world, third world ceased to be in use during the 1970's after the cold war, they referred to political East/West alignment not wealth and development.

     

    World Bank refers to countries as emerging, developing or fully developed and Thailand is currently classified as developing, I expect it to remain in that classification for at least the next decade or two.

     

     

    Respectfully, this is not accurate.

     

    The terms "First World, Second World and Third World" are still in use today as subjective identifiers (precisely like Emerging, Developing and Fully Developed), and are, in my view, far better as subjective identifiers than the nonsensical pap of "Emerging, Developing and Fully Developed". However, I will grant that they have been used somewhat less frequently as the PC Brigades object because they are too straightforward, honest and blunt. I prefer them because they are straightforward, honest and blunt.

     

    Assigning countries a number on a scale provides clarity and an immediate ease of understanding, thus allowing the reader to either dive deeper into the reasons why or accept the general level and move on. Assigning meaningless pap when discussing a country's rating does not provide accuracy or clarity as the scale only really goes one way (positive); my post suggests that Thailand is regressing, so should they be classified as "Developing but returning to Emerging"? What does that even mean? It is the country-rating equivalent of a teacher refusing to provide letter/number grades on a child's report card in favour of nonsense like "Little Johnny feels good about himself" and "little Johnny gets his feelings validated everyday".

     

    Further, I really could care less what the World Bank thinks should be the proper terminology. I have had the misfortune to work with World Bank staff on several occasions over the years, and while I am sure there are some good people, each staffer that I met was worse than the previous. They were, to put it politely, jargon-spewing ass-covering bureaucrats who were (it seemed) allergic to leaving their offices and decided every action based solely on whether or not it made them look good in their reports. And, without wanting to get into an argument, let us simply say that the World Bank's record and success rate over the years has been... er... 'mixed'.

     

    Finally, one last notion. You stated that 'World Bank refers...' with the implication that we should all accept that. The day that the World Bank is an end-arbiter of proper English language usage is the day that Humanity, metaphorically speaking, disinters Shakespeare's coffin, opens it and vomits on the corpse.

     

    Have a great weekend!

     

     

  2. 34 minutes ago, Acharn said:

    I managed to quit ten years ago. Four years ago got diagnosed with emphysema. Luckily, the symptoms are still mild and I'm 82 anyway, so may go from something else before they get bad.

    I found what helped was getting chest pains and breathing difficulty. Also, my wife made me go outside the house to smoke. I found that I could smoke half a cigarette and then stub it out and wait a couple hours to smoke the second half. Three or four cigarettes a day was enough. And then one day I just didn't bother. Don't know if it would have worked without the breathing difficulty, though.

    Hi Acharn

     

    I am deeply sorry to hear that you got emphysema; I stopped a little over two years ago and sometimes get paranoid about medical problems later in life. But, I must say Respect! to you, Sir for stopping at age 72; I think the older you are, the more difficult it is. Hang in there, Sir, and be well.

     

    Chest pains were the final straw for me as well, but I think a bit different. I became a cyclist several years ago, ironically because I was worried about health problems due to smoking. My routine at that time was to go all out sprint for the last 2 kilometers of my morning ride, and I would return home with what I called 'Chest Burn'. I don't know if 'Chest Burn' is a real thing or not, but i always thought of it as heartburn, moved up about 6-8 inches. I am happy to say that 'Chest Burn' is one of many things about my health that have improved greatly; in fact the 'Chest Burn' is gone completely.

     

    @faraday. Everyone is different, so I don't know if my experience is relevant to you, but... I gave up booze about a decade ago simply because as I got older, I was not willing to tolerate a hangover anymore. Now, I meet my friends for the early part of cocktail hour and when they open their 3rd beer, I say my good-byes. I sat them down a long time ago and explained what and why I was doing it and they simply said "Cool". It is my way to still enjoy the camaraderie of cocktail hour while avoiding booze and hangovers. Perhaps it might work for you...

     

    Cheers to all on the thread who have been willing to share their experiences, and hopefully our... 'adventures' will assist someone else avoid those insidious, evil killers.

     

    Happy New Year to all!

     

    • Thanks 1
  3. Hello All, 

     

    Happy New Year! I hope everyone has had a great year and that the in-coming one brings happiness and prosperity.

     

    A question for members; by 2030...

     

    Will Thailand become a First-World, 'advanced' country? 

     

    Will Thailand remain a Second-World country? 

     

    Or will Thailand sink to Third-World status again?

     

    I have been either visiting or living in Thailand since the early/mid nineties, and the idea of even asking such a question seemed ridiculous for much of that time. However, I am re-evaluating my belief that Thailand will (two steps forward and one step back!?) soon join other 'developed' countries like the Western ones and/or South Korea/Japan/Singapore, etc.

     

    There is a reasonable case to be made that Thailand will join the First-world, 'developed' countries. There is a well-established, extremely lucrative, stable tourism industry that will provide foreign currency, and a great deal of it, for a very long time to come; this will ensure that Thailand has funds for development. Further, the region is relatively rich in resources and, at least for the moment, Thailand is a leader in developing those resources around SE Asia. Next, Thailand's neighbours, at least at the moment, are behind in development/economic terms, and that usually means that the 'best and the brightest' from those countries will come to Thailand seeking opportunity. Furthermore, while there is massive income-disparity, there are also some world-class Thai companies, so knowledge on how to prosper does exist here. Moreover, Thailand has generally good relations with her neighbours, so the existence of any serious, outside threat in minimal. Finally, Thailand has examples (things are always easier to do if you know that they can be done) in Singapore, China, Taiwan and South Korea, at a minimum. 

     

    The case for Thailand remaining a Second-World, stagnant country is also strong. The key elements to this part of the argument are that Thailand has HUGE numbers of uneducated/under-educated people in combination with some world-class talent, but each of those will cancel the other out, leaving things unchanged. Further, while Thailand used to have great relations with rich, Western countries, those relations have stagnated or gotten worse in the last while; I am not saying that relations with Western countries are required for prosperity, but that if you want to be rich, you must hangout/trade with rich countries and Thailand is doing less of that now. The crucial question of governance rears its head in this paragraph; the current government (and the previous overt Junta) are not able to inspire great things from Thai people, and they have exhausted their main new economic loci with the development of Chinese mass tourism. Chinese mass tourism is reaching/has reached a growth-stopping point in my view; it is already too crowded and locals are already a bit fed up; imagine if it doubled? The things that make Thailand nice would be lost, and that in turn would mean fewer tourists, which in turn... etc. To sum up; a country advances with new, outside opportunities, by relying on internal growth and development, or by inspirational motivation and leadership. I do not believe that Thailand can utilize any of these three things.

     

    The case for reverting to Third-world status relies on three pillars; bad Governance, bad Education, and a bad International Environment. Thailand has had really bad governance for 5 years or so (50 years?), and is likely to continue to have bad governance for the foreseeable future. We all saw a rigged election process, we all have seen a ludicrous constitution, we all have seen a packed Senate, we all have seen unqualified people entrenched in every level of government, etc. Entire tomes could be written about this, but I will simply say that even in a best case scenario, it'll take a decade at utter minimum to toss these people out, and two decades is more likely a minimum if the effort started today, which it won't. The Thai Education system is simply awful, and Thai people are not receiving a proper education to allow them to function in the coming global economic environment. The Forum is full of threads on this, so if you don't understand this issue, go have a look. It seems, sadly, that global trade is taking a bit of a hit in these Nationalistic times, and that will hurt Thailand as it is reliant on it. Yes, Thailand will continue to trade with both the US and China, but they will not have as favourable terms and will find it difficult to compete, especially with China. Finally, Thailand's neighbours, especially Vietnam, Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan, Japan and South Korea will be either trying to achieve the same thing as Thailand (move up a level) or trying to stay ahead of their competitors.

     

    Which will it be?

     

    Back in the Nineties and early Noughties, I would have said 'well on the road to First-World status', but that there would be bumps along the way. In the second half of the Noughties, I began to wonder if they might get stuck in Second-World status. After the coup and the recent 'election' and subsequent events (lawsuits against FFP, re-jigging the Constitutional process for counting votes, continued lack of interest in Police Reform, erratic governmental management, endemic/systemic corruption, embedding of unqualified people in key locations, etc), I am starting to think that Thailand might slide back to Third-World status as her neighbours slowly overtake her.

     

    It is a really sad thought.

     

    What say you?

     

    PS discussion on this subject will, inevitably, require some negative opinions on Thailand. Could these be kept to a minimum? we all live here because we choose to live here; it is worth remembering that.

     

     

  4. 1 hour ago, stephenterry said:

    If you was a frequent flyer and you were informed that one in ten flights crash, would you stop flying? Or would you seek alternative transport?  The risks of contracting a serious disease  - heart, lung, stroke - for every time you light up, is one in ten, the same risk - USA morbidity statistics. 

     

    IMO, the simplest way to kick a habit is to change the lifestyle circumstances, so that it isn't a habit. And cold turkey is far easier to manage than a reduction regime - because it's (potentially) a changed habit (of not smoking). 

     

    I gave up alcohol on the 1st October 2019 after a health scare and a determination to change my habits (lifestyle). Now, three months later no alcohol is an entrenched habit that I can maintain - because it's a habit!!! 

     

    Best wishes for a new New Year, peeps. 

     

     

    You might find this article (link below) interesting; it deals with how people's personalities affect their ability and method of quitting.

     

    Cheers

     

    https://www.psychologytoday.com/intl/blog/acquainted-the-night/201912/how-quit-smoking-based-your-personality

     

     

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