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GB News may face sanctions after the UK’s broadcasting regulator, Ofcom, determined that the channel's program featuring Prime Minister Rishi Sunak violated impartiality guidelines. The show, titled 'People's Forum: The Prime Minister,' aired on 12 February and allowed members of the public to ask questions to Sunak. Despite this interactive format, the program received 547 complaints and has sparked significant controversy.

Ofcom's investigation concluded that the program breached rules 5.11 and 5.12 of the Broadcasting Code, which require broadcasters to maintain impartiality, especially during the run-up to elections. The regulator stated that while the show's format was acceptable in principle, it failed to provide an adequately balanced representation of views. According to Ofcom, "due weight" should have been given to an "appropriately wide range of significant views" beyond those of the Conservative Party.

"We consider that the Prime Minister had a mostly uncontested platform to promote the policies and performance of his Government in a period preceding a UK General Election," Ofcom explained in its ruling. The watchdog emphasized that alternative viewpoints should have been integrated within the same program or in other linked and timely broadcasts. GB News has strongly contested Ofcom's ruling, arguing that it stifles democratic discourse. The channel described the decision as "an alarming development in its attempt to silence us" and claimed it "strikes at the heart of democracy." 

"The regulator's threat to punish a news organization with sanctions for enabling people to challenge their own prime minister strikes at the heart of democracy at a time when it could not be more vital," the channel asserted. GB News emphasized that the audience consisted of an independently selected group of undecided voters who had the freedom to question the Prime Minister without prior interference from producers or Sunak himself.

During the hour-long broadcast, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak faced questions from the public on a variety of issues. GB News maintained that the program kept Sunak "under constant pressure" and covered a "clearly diverse range of topics." Despite these claims, Ofcom's ruling suggests that the show did not sufficiently balance these discussions with counterpoints or views from other political perspectives.

Following Ofcom's findings, the regulator has initiated the process for considering a statutory sanction against GB News. This development could lead to penalties, though the specifics of these potential sanctions have yet to be determined. The ruling and subsequent response from GB News underscore the ongoing tensions between media regulation and the principles of free speech and journalistic independence.

The ruling comes at a critical time, as the UK approaches its next General Election. Media impartiality is particularly scrutinized during such periods to ensure fair and balanced coverage of political parties and their policies. Ofcom's decision highlights the importance of upholding these standards to maintain public trust in broadcasting and democratic processes.

Credit: Sky News 2024-05-21

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In an interview with German tabloid Bild, celebrated British-American author Salman Rushdie expressed grave concerns over the potential establishment of a Palestinian state under the control of Hamas. Drawing parallels to Afghanistan under the Taliban, Rushdie warned that such a state would likely devolve into an authoritarian Islamist regime.

Rushdie, who survived a brutal attack in 2022 by a suspected Islamist radical, criticized the progressive youth who have been rallying in support of Palestine, highlighting the paradox of their backing for what he termed a "fascist terrorist group" like Hamas. "It’s strange that progressive students back a fascist terrorist group," Rushdie remarked, questioning the alignment of leftist ideals with the radical principles of Hamas.

Rushdie has long been a proponent of Palestinian statehood but is wary of the consequences of a Hamas-led government. "But if there were a Palestinian state now, it would be run by Hamas, and we would have a Taliban-like state. A satellite state of Iran. Is this what the progressive movements of the Western Left want to create?" he asked. His comments suggest that while the aspiration for Palestinian self-determination is legitimate, the reality of Hamas’s governance would starkly contrast with the values espoused by many of its Western supporters.

Rushdie acknowledged the emotional underpinnings of the recent pro-Palestinian protests, understanding the widespread shock and outrage at the civilian casualties in Gaza. "Any normal person can only be shocked by what is happening in Gaza right now," he conceded. However, he drew a line when these sentiments veer into antisemitism or tacit support for Hamas, which he sees as highly problematic. "That’s okay. But when it slides into antisemitism and sometimes even support for Hamas, then it becomes problematic."

Rushdie emphasized that accountability should be a central theme in these protests, urging demonstrators to recognize Hamas's role in instigating the current conflict. "It all started with them," he said, referring to Hamas's October 7 attacks that triggered the ongoing violence. During these attacks, Hamas operatives killed around 1,200 people, mostly civilians, and took 252 hostages back to Gaza.

The conflict has seen significant casualties on both sides. The Hamas-run Gaza health ministry reports over 35,000 people killed or presumed dead, although only some 24,000 fatalities have been identified at hospitals. Israel claims that about 15,000 of these deaths are Hamas operatives killed in battle, in addition to roughly 1,000 terrorists killed within Israel on October 7. On the Israeli side, 283 soldiers and a civilian Defense Ministry contractor have been killed during the ground offensive against Hamas.

Rushdie’s remarks come against a backdrop of heightened tensions and polarized discourse around the Israel-Hamas conflict. Anti-Israel and pro-Palestinian protests worldwide have claimed nonviolence and rejected antisemitism, but numerous Jewish students report harassment and intimidation at these demonstrations. Chants calling for the elimination of Israel further complicate the narrative, casting a shadow over the purportedly peaceful intentions of the protests.

Rushdie's critique carries additional weight given his history of being targeted by Islamist extremists. In August 2022, Rushdie was attacked on stage at an arts center in New York, losing sight in one eye due to the stabbing. Hadi Matar, a 24-year-old Shi’ite Muslim American from New Jersey, was arrested and is currently on trial for attempted murder, having pleaded not guilty. This attack is only the latest in a series of threats and assaults Rushdie has faced since the publication of his 1988 novel "The Satanic Verses." The book's portrayal of Islam led to a fatwa calling for his death issued by Iran's then-supreme leader, Ayatollah Khomeini. The fatwa has since marked Rushdie as a significant figure in the discourse on free speech, religious extremism, and the perils faced by those who challenge ideological orthodoxy.

Credit: Times of Israel & The Daily Telegraph 2024-05-21

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Europe's far-right political parties have unofficially started their campaign for the upcoming European Union elections with a focus on anti-immigration, criticism of the EU's climate policies, and strong support for Israel. This campaign launch took place in Madrid, Spain, organized by the far-right Vox party. Marine Le Pen (French National Rally) and Giorgia Meloni (Italy's Prime Minister from Brothers of Italy) were prominent figures at the event, emphasizing the importance of the elections for shaping the future of Europe. Le Pen called for a day of "liberation and hope" on June 9, while Meloni encouraged young voters to participate, framing them as the future of Europe.

André Ventura (leader of Chega in Portugal) echoed the call for strong borders to limit the influx of Islamic and Muslim immigrants, framing it as a matter of defending European ownership and rights. Meloni and Le Pen advocated for stronger border controls and reform of the Schengen area. They argue that individual countries should have more control over who enters and leaves their territories. Meloni supported agreements with third countries to curb illegal immigration, while Le Pen pushed for a reformation of the current system.

Santiago Abascal, president of Vox, emphasized the need for unity among far-right parties across Europe to counter globalism and promote common sense, economic prosperity, security, and freedom. The event also showed strong solidarity with Israel amid its conflict with Hamas, with support from speakers like Amichai Chikli, Israel's Minister for Diaspora Affairs.

Javier Milei, Argentina's president, criticized Spain's socialist Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez and his wife, leading to a diplomatic row and the recalling of the Spanish ambassador from Buenos Aires. Milei's remarks were condemned by Spain’s Foreign Minister as a serious affront to Spain's democracy and institutions. Meanwhile, hundreds of left-wing activists protested against fascism in Madrid, highlighting the deep divisions and the contentious nature of the far-right's rise in Europe.

The upcoming European Parliament elections (June 6-9) are seen as a potential turning point for the continent, with the possibility of a significant increase in far-right representation. This follows a broader global trend of rightward political shifts in various countries. The rise of far-right parties in Europe reflects increasing public discontent with traditional politics, focusing on issues such as immigration, national sovereignty, and opposition to progressive policies. These parties seek to capitalize on this sentiment in the upcoming elections.

Credit: The Hill 2024-05-21

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In a significant development in former President Donald Trump's classified documents case, Florida Judge Aileen Cannon issued a strong response to DOJ special counsel Jack Smith and the prosecution team. The filing, from the Southern District of Florida's West Palm Beach Division, outlines Cannon's disappointment with Smith's request to restrict public access to certain information, citing grand jury secrecy and witness safety.

Background of the Filing

Judge Cannon, who was appointed by Trump in 2020, expressed her discontent with Smith's approach to handling sensitive information. She noted an inconsistency in Smith’s concern for grand jury secrecy and witness safety, highlighting that similar issues were previously overlooked during the case. This discrepancy was central to Cannon’s critique, as she felt it undermined the integrity and consistency expected in such legal proceedings.

In her five-page order, Cannon partially granted and partially denied Smith's motions related to the sealing and redacting of defense filings. This trial investigates whether Trump mishandled classified documents taken to his Mar-a-Lago estate after his presidency ended in January 2021.

Criticism of the Special Counsel

Cannon's order was clear in its criticism: “Nowhere in that explanation is there any basis to conclude that the Special Counsel could not have defended the integrity of his Office while simultaneously preserving the witness-safety and concerns he has repeatedly told the Court, and maintains to this day, are of serious consequence." She continued, “The Court is disappointed in these developments," and expressed concern over the Special Counsel's treatment of sealed materials.

Legal Context and Reactions

The judge's decision to suspend the trial indefinitely until other legal disputes are resolved has sparked significant backlash. Legal experts have accused Cannon of displaying bias in favor of Trump, a contention that has fueled ongoing debates about judicial impartiality in high-profile cases.

Cannon referenced Smith's previous stance on unsealing documents to counter defense claims of prosecutorial misconduct. She noted that Smith had previously supported the full unsealing of certain docket entries without qualification. Given this precedent and the absence of objections from the defense, Cannon argued for maintaining transparency and public access.

Implications for Trump's Legal Challenges

Cannon's filing also addressed and denied proposed redactions by Trump's legal team, although she granted a merits hearing on these redactions. Co-defendants Walt Nauta and Carlos De Oliveira were also mentioned in the order.

Trump faces a formidable array of legal challenges, including 40 federal felony counts in the classified documents case, federal charges related to the January 6 U.S. Capitol riot, and accusations in Manhattan concerning falsified business records to conceal hush money payments to Stormy Daniels during the 2016 campaign. Additionally, he faces 10 state felony charges in Georgia for allegedly attempting to overturn the 2020 election results.

Despite these challenges, Trump has consistently denied any wrongdoing, claiming that the prosecutions are politically motivated attempts to derail his potential re-election bid in November.

Credit: Newsweek 2024-05-21

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Kudos to Team Biden for successfully landing the first punch in the presidential free-for-all (aka, the campaign). By challenging Donald Trump to a debate and dictating the terms of play, President Biden left his opponent with two impossible choices: decline the opportunity to face off against Biden on national TV and be declared a coward, or agree to the meet, even knowing the playing field is tilted in favor of the incumbent.

President Biden's decision to challenge former President Donald Trump to a debate marks a significant strategic move in the upcoming election campaign. By initiating the debate and setting its terms, Biden has cleverly maneuvered Trump into a difficult position. Trump must either accept the debate, risking an unfavorable setup, or decline, potentially appearing cowardly to the public. This tactic puts Biden in a proactive stance, but it is fraught with its own set of risks.

Will it matter that the Trump campaign got snookered? Almost certainly not. For the same reason that the absurd 14-second video in which the president dares Trump to “make my day” required five “cuts” to get it right, 81-year-old Biden is still likely to lose round 2. Despite the initial advantage, the effectiveness of Biden's challenge is questionable. The infamous 14-second video where Biden challenges Trump to "make my day" is a telling example of Biden's vulnerabilities. Reports that it took five attempts to get the video right highlight concerns about Biden's performance under pressure. Given these issues, Biden may struggle in a debate scenario.

Not that it’s a slam-dunk for former President Trump. Biden is correct; Trump did lose the 2020 debates. He had apparently been coached to be combative, in hopes that Biden would overreact and reveal his “angry old man” persona. The tactic backfired spectacularly; Trump came across as unlikeable. If Biden or the moderators goad the former president on his January 6 behavior or reference his many legal troubles, Trump could again get angry. That disastrous encounter cost him the election; it could happen again.

Trump's performance in the 2020 debates was widely criticized, with his aggressive approach backfiring. If moderators or Biden himself manage to provoke Trump by referencing his role in the January 6 Capitol attack or his numerous legal issues, Trump could react poorly once again. This scenario could lead to a repeat of his 2020 debate failure, damaging his campaign. Expectations will be incredibly low for his opponent, as they were for this year’s State of the Union address. After that speech in February, critics described Biden as being hopped up on stimulants; the president spoke in an unnatural, rapid-fire manner that nonetheless got the job done. Worried that Biden will get a similar boost to endure a two-hour debate, some on the right — including Trump — have called for drug testing before the debates; that won’t happen.

Low expectations can work in Biden's favor. Similar to his State of the Union address, where he surprised critics despite accusations of using stimulants, Biden might exceed the modest expectations set for him. Calls for pre-debate drug testing, primarily from Trump supporters, are unlikely to be met, leaving room for speculation about Biden’s debate performance. Biden’s handlers are doing everything possible to give the president an edge. The first showdown will be on June 27, moderated by CNN anchors Dana Bash and Jake Tapper, both known Trump antagonists. Tapper famously and energetically pushed the Russiagate hoax and celebrated Biden’s 2020 election. Bash, meanwhile, has slammed the former president’s campaign rhetoric as “outright lies” and has criticized him on a host of issues.

The Biden team is meticulously planning to create a favorable environment for their candidate. The first debate, set for June 27, will be moderated by CNN's Dana Bash and Jake Tapper, both critics of Trump. Tapper's aggressive stance during the Russiagate controversy and Bash's harsh critique of Trump's rhetoric could help create a challenging environment for Trump, potentially aiding Biden. The Biden camp has also insisted there be no audience, fearful that Trump would feed off the enthusiasm of his supporters.

Biden’s decision to debate Trump reflects desperation. Polls show Biden trailing Trump in key swing states, while the former president’s huge rally in azure-blue New Jersey was astonishing. Rabbits are being pulled out of hats — talk of an executive order to control the border, supposedly labor-friendly tariffs on China, hints that the Democratic convention might go virtual— it appears everything is on the table. Time is running out to turn around the public’s dismal view of his presidency. Hence, Biden will go for broke and debate his rival. He has no choice.

Opinion by Liz Peek

Credit: The Hill 2024-05-21

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5 minutes ago, Hummin said:

Breaking news

 

EXCLUSIVE: ICC seeks arrest warrants against Sinwar and Netanyahu for war crimes over October 7 attack and Gaza war

 

 

On the basis of evidence collected and examined by my Office, I have reasonable grounds to believe that Yahya SINWAR (Head of the Islamic Resistance Movement (“Hamas”) in the Gaza Strip), Mohammed Diab Ibrahim AL-MASRI, more commonly known as DEIF (Commander-in-Chief of the military wing of Hamas, known as the Al-Qassam Brigades), and Ismail HANIYEH (Head of Hamas Political Bureau) bear criminal responsibility for the following war crimes and crimes against humanity committed on the territory of Israel and the State of Palestine (in the Gaza strip) from at least 7 October 2023: 

 

On the basis of evidence collected and examined by my Office, I have reasonable grounds to believe that Benjamin NETANYAHU, the Prime Minister of Israel, and Yoav GALLANT, the Minister of Defence of Israel, bear criminal responsibility for  the following war crimes and crimes against humanity committed on the territory of the State of Palestine (in the Gaza strip) from at least 8 October 2023:

 

https://www.icc-cpi.int/news/statement-icc-prosecutor-karim-aa-khan-kc-applications-arrest-warrants-situation-state

There is already a topic running on this, please discuss here:

ICC Seeks Arrest Warrants for Sinwar and Netanyahu Over War Crimes & October 7 Attack

https://aseannow.com/topic/1327742-icc-seeks-arrest-warrants-for-sinwar-and-netanyahu-over-war-crimes-october-7-attack

A link to a website making false claims has been removed. To be clear. Hamas are holding hostages. Israel is not. Any further posts making this claim will be removed.

As mentioned in the OP. New opinion piece on the historical lead up to the illegal invasion of Ukraine by Russia.

Understanding Putin’s Motivations Behind the Ukraine Invasion

https://aseannow.com/topic/1327637-understanding-putin’s-motivations-behind-the-ukraine-invasion/

In the aftermath of a reported helicopter crash carrying Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi and Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian, a major search operation is underway in the mountainous region of north-west Iran. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has sought to reassure the public, stating that there will be no disruption in the country’s administration. Despite the challenging weather and heavy fog, over 40 rescue teams equipped with search dogs and drones are actively searching for the crash site.

President Raisi had been returning from an area near the Iran-Azerbaijan border after inaugurating two dams with Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, who has expressed his concern and offered assistance. The US State Department is closely monitoring the situation. Iranian officials have managed to establish contact with two individuals on the helicopter, suggesting the crash might not have been severe. Signals from the helicopter and a crew member's mobile phone have been detected, aiding the search efforts. However, the harsh weather and difficult terrain are complicating rescue operations, which are ongoing in the early morning hours in the region.

The immediate focus remains on the rescue operation, but the incident has broader implications for Iran. Despite the potential crisis, Ayatollah Khamenei’s assurance indicates that the country’s governance will remain stable, with the IRGC and the supreme leader playing crucial roles in maintaining political stability. Economically, the news of the crash has caused a significant drop in the value of the Iranian Rial against the US Dollar, reflecting the incident’s impact on market confidence.

Politically, Raisi is seen as a close ally of the supreme leader and a conservative figure, positioning him as a potential successor to Ayatollah Khamenei. Any harm to him could influence future power dynamics within Iran’s leadership. Nevertheless, the structured hierarchy within Iran's political system aims to maintain stability during this critical time, as the country and the world await the outcome of the search and rescue efforts.

Credit: BBC & CNN 2024-05-20

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Three high-ranking Syrian officials are set to be tried in absentia in Paris for their roles in the arrest, torture, and deaths of Franco-Syrian student Patrick Dabbagh and his father Mazzen Dabbagh. This landmark case marks the first time senior figures close to President Bashar al-Assad are being held accountable for crimes against humanity and war crimes, potentially paving the way for further prosecutions.

In the early hours of November 3, 2013, five Syrian officials, including representatives from the Syrian air force’s intelligence unit, forcibly took Patrick Dabbagh from his home in the Mezzeh district of Damascus. The following night, the same officials returned with a dozen soldiers to arrest Patrick’s father, Mazzen, a 48-year-old education counsellor at the city's French lycée. Accusing Mazzen of failing to raise his son properly, they ominously stated, "We’ll teach you to educate him," but gave no specific reasons for the arrests.

For nearly five years, the family heard nothing about the fate of Patrick and Mazzen until July 2018, when they received certificates stating that Patrick had died in January 2014 and Mazzen in November 2017. No cause of death was given, and the bodies were not returned to the family. This Tuesday, Ali Mamlouk, 78, head of the Syrian secret services and security adviser to Assad; Jamil Hassan, 72, former head of the Syrian air force intelligence unit; and Abdel Salam Mahmoud, intelligence director at the notorious Mezzeh detention center, will face trial for their alleged complicity in the crimes against the Dabbaghs.

The trial is unprecedented as it targets some of the most senior officers from the Syrian regime. French lawyer Clémence Bectarte, representing the Dabbagh family, emphasized the trial's significance: "It’s important not only for the Dabbagh family but for many other Syrians. There are families of people who have disappeared who are still waiting for news of their loved ones or the bodies of those who have been killed."

The Syrian conflict, which began with pro-democracy protests in 2011, has since claimed more than 230,000 civilian lives, including 30,000 children, according to the Syrian Network for Human Rights. The Syrian intelligence services are believed to have tortured to death over 15,000 individuals. Despite this, Assad has been reintegrated into the Arab diplomatic fold over the past year, attending Arab League summits and meetings with regional leaders.

The Paris trial underscores the growing resolve among European nations to pursue justice for crimes against humanity, war crimes, and genocide under the principle of universal jurisdiction. This legal doctrine permits countries to prosecute perpetrators regardless of their nationality or where the crimes occurred. Last November, France issued an international arrest warrant for Assad over the use of chemical weapons against civilians. This was a historic move, as it marked the first time a sitting head of state was subject to an arrest warrant in a third country for crimes against humanity.

France's investigation into the Dabbagh case involved testimonies from over 20 Syrians, many of whom survived Mezzeh prison and detailed the horrific conditions and command structure during the father and son's detention. Bectarte noted the importance of these testimonies: "The trial would not be possible without their testimony of the terrible reality of the crimes committed in the jails of Bashar al-Assad."

The establishment of France's war crimes unit in 2012 has been instrumental in bringing such cases to court. Although universal jurisdiction had previously been limited by the need for a tangible connection to France, this case demonstrates the evolving landscape of international justice. Bectarte emphasized the trial's role in the broader fight against impunity: "At a time when the Syrian regime seems to come out unpunished for all the atrocities committed, it is essential that this trial qualifies the regime’s crimes and hold accountable its highest officials. The goal is there should be no escape from justice. This will not be the last trial."

Mazen Darwish, of the Syrian Centre for Media and Freedom of Expression, highlighted the broader impact: "Beyond Mazzen and Patrick Dabbagh, there are hundreds of thousands of Syrian men and women who have died during the Syrian conflict, especially at the hands of Bashar al-Assad’s regime and whose families are still waiting for justice."

As the trial commences, it represents a critical step toward accountability for the Syrian regime’s atrocities. The outcome may influence future prosecutions and reinforce the global commitment to justice for victims of the Syrian conflict and other human rights violations.

Credit: The Guardian 2024-05-20

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Chancellor Jeremy Hunt is facing mounting pressure to fulfill his promise of immediate compensation payments totaling up to £10 billion to the victims of the contaminated blood scandal, as the final report on the disaster is set to be published on Monday. Described as the worst treatment disaster in the history of the NHS, the contaminated blood scandal resulted in more than 3,000 deaths from the 1970s and 1980s due to tainted blood products. The grim legacy continues, with an individual infected during the scandal dying approximately every four days.

In 2022, when Hunt was chair of the all-party health select committee, he urged prompt action, stressing the urgency of compensating victims before more lives were lost. As Chancellor, Hunt later acknowledged that compensation costs could be substantial. Now, with a looming £10 billion compensation bill, Hunt faces a significant challenge in balancing this with his goal of delivering pre-election tax cuts. On Monday, Labour will demand immediate and full compensation payments to victims, criticizing the government's prolonged delays. The final report by Sir Brian Langstaff is expected to detail the extensive impact of the scandal, with over 30,000 haemophiliacs or transfusion recipients infected with HIV or hepatitis C, leading to nearly 2,900 deaths by the end of 2019.

Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is anticipated to offer a formal apology on behalf of successive governments in a statement to the House of Commons early next week. Labour’s shadow minister without portfolio, Nick Thomas-Symonds, emphasized the urgency of addressing the victims' long wait for justice: “Victims have waited far too long for a proper apology and final compensation scheme. They should wait no longer.” In July 2022, Langstaff urged for immediate compensation, advocating for payments of no less than £100,000 to infected individuals and their bereaved partners. Despite these recommendations, significant interim payments have yet to be made.

Diana Johnson, Labour MP and chair of the all-party parliamentary group on haemophilia and contaminated blood, has been a relentless advocate for the victims. She insists, “Compensation should be paid as quickly as possible by this government. We cannot wait for any future government to do the right thing, when we know one person still dies on average every three and a half days from the scandal.” Johnson also criticized the government’s inaction on making further interim payments to children who lost parents and parents who lost children, as recommended by Sir Brian in April 2023.

Former health secretary and current Mayor of Greater Manchester, Andy Burnham, highlighted the scandal as indicative of a broader systemic failure within Whitehall. He condemned the longstanding refusal of civil servants to acknowledge the dangers of contaminated blood despite clear evidence, suggesting this was influenced by the Treasury's early stance against admitting liability. Burnham drew parallels to other major scandals, such as Hillsborough and the Post Office scandal, criticizing the unethical denial of reality and the abandonment of victims. Burnham stated emphatically, “Full compensation had to be paid out immediately. Anything else would be reprehensible and immoral.”

The publication of the inquiry's final report marks a critical moment for the thousands affected by the scandal. As Hunt contemplates the financial implications amidst political and public pressure, the government's response will be closely watched. Immediate and full compensation is seen by many as not only a financial obligation but a moral imperative to rectify decades of injustice and suffering endured by the victims of this tragic episode in NHS history.

Credit: The Guardian 2024-05-20

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Since the surprise attack by Hamas on southern Israel on October 7, the conflict between Israel and Hamas has intensified, drawing international attention and intervention. John Spencer, a military expert with 25 years of experience as an infantry soldier and now the Chair of Urban Warfare Studies at the Modern War Institute at West Point, has been closely monitoring the situation. Having embedded with the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) in Gaza twice over the winter, Spencer offers a unique perspective on the feasibility of Israel defeating Hamas without a ground invasion in Rafah, the southern Gaza city believed to be Hamas' last major stronghold.

Spencer's analysis highlights a significant tension between Israel's military capabilities and the constraints imposed by international and, particularly, U.S. pressure. According to Spencer, the IDF possesses the capability to dismantle Hamas' military infrastructure rapidly. However, he believes that international pressure, especially from the U.S., has slowed and limited Israel's military operations, inadvertently increasing Palestinian casualties and suffering by prolonging the conflict.

"The fact is that Rafah's where the hostages and remaining Hamas military power and leadership are believed to be," Spencer notes. "Their rockets and weapons production and other capabilities, everything. The IDF would have to go in on the ground because these things are deeply buried underground in the tunnels Hamas has built. If Hamas survives in Rafah, they win."

Rafah is strategically significant for several reasons. It is not only a stronghold for Hamas but also a critical point for weapons smuggling across the Egyptian border. Spencer argues that if the IDF does not conduct a ground invasion to root out Hamas' deeply entrenched infrastructure, including extensive tunnel networks, Hamas will continue to pose a significant threat. "If Hamas survives in Rafah, it doesn't matter if they’ve been pushed into the smallest corner of Gaza. If the Hamas leadership survives, they’ve won the war, because they can say they attacked Israel and survived, and then they can rebuild," he explains.

Spencer’s perspective is informed by his extensive military experience and his research into urban warfare. He draws parallels with other conflicts to underscore his point. For instance, he compares the situation to the U.S. military campaigns in Iraq and Afghanistan, where quick, overwhelming force was used to dismantle enemy capabilities.

The U.S. has been a critical player in this conflict, historically supporting Israel's mission to defeat Hamas. However, according to Spencer, recent U.S. actions suggest a shift. The U.S. has been withholding certain types of arms that Israel might use in Rafah, aiming to prevent a major offensive that would likely result in significant civilian casualties. "The US pressure on Israel has come to a head in Rafah," Spencer observes. This restraint, he argues, could inadvertently lead to a Hamas victory. "War is hell," Spencer affirms, but he notes that war must sometimes be waged decisively to achieve lasting peace.

Spencer criticizes the current U.S. approach, suggesting that by slowing down Israel's operations, the international community is inadvertently extending the conflict and increasing civilian suffering. "By taking this approach, the US is inadvertently paving the way for a Hamas victory," he warns.

Spencer firmly believes that a ground invasion is necessary for Israel to achieve its goals. He dismisses the notion that a ground invasion would be counterproductive, despite some views from U.S. officials. "As a scholar of urban combat, I strongly disagree with that. The fact is that Rafah's where the hostages and remaining Hamas military power and leadership are believed to be," he insists.  Spencer points to the IDF’s successes in other parts of Gaza, such as Northern Gaza, as evidence that ground operations can be effective. "If you’re going to measure whether Israel has had any success in its approach, you measure it against what Hamas was on October 7, not what it is now. The IDF’s approach, in my opinion, has been very effective at destroying Hamas as a military organization," he argues.

The international community's concerns about civilian casualties and the ethical conduct of war play a significant role in shaping the conflict. Spencer acknowledges the complexity and the high stakes involved. He points out that Hamas’ tactics of embedding military infrastructure within civilian areas complicate the IDF’s operations and increase the risk of civilian casualties. "Hamas took every law of war and reverse-engineered it to build an environment in which Hamas has occupied facilities because of their legal protections," Spencer explains. He argues that this tactic puts conventional militaries like the IDF at a significant disadvantage, particularly under the scrutiny of the international community.

Spencer draws comparisons between the IDF's conduct in Gaza and the U.S. military's operations in Iraq and Afghanistan. He asserts that the IDF has implemented every civilian harm mitigation technique developed over the past 30 years, often going beyond what the U.S. has done. "The US military uses speed, force, and overwhelming power. That’s what we did in Panama, Afghanistan, Iraq," he says. In contrast, international pressure has pushed Israel to adopt a slower, more methodical approach, which Spencer believes has prolonged the conflict and increased destruction.

Looking beyond the immediate conflict, Spencer warns of the long-term consequences of allowing Hamas to survive. He suggests that leaving Hamas in power would validate their strategy and embolden other extremist groups. "Hamas will be viewed as the great actor who figured out a way to conduct a massive, brutal attack on Israel, survive, and still achieve political victories," he cautions. Spencer also touches on the potential for creating more militants in the future. He agrees with General David Petraeus that military actions can sometimes radicalize individuals who might join terrorist groups later. However, he emphasizes that in the present, the immediate threat must be neutralized. "Wars create people who aren’t happy if their side loses, and that can actually radicalize them. But in the present when you face an existential threat or a world war, it isn’t a consideration," he asserts.

Spencer's analysis presents a stark view of the challenges and necessities of modern warfare against terrorist organizations like Hamas. He firmly believes that a ground invasion in Rafah is essential for Israel to achieve its goals and that international constraints, particularly those from the U.S., have inadvertently prolonged the conflict and increased suffering. 

In conclusion, Spencer's stance is clear: Israel can defeat Hamas, but it requires decisive, ground-based military action in Rafah. Without this, he argues, the cycle of violence and suffering is likely to continue, with Hamas emerging stronger and more emboldened.

Opinion military expert John Spencer

Credit: CNN 2024-05-20

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The U.S. State Department has issued a warning for U.S. citizens traveling internationally during LGBTQ Pride month in June, urging heightened vigilance due to potential threats from extremist groups. This advisory underscores the need for increased caution at Pride events, which could be targeted by terrorist organizations or extremist actions.

The travel advisory, released on Friday, specifically mentions the risk of terror attacks, demonstrations, and other forms of violence aimed at U.S. citizens and interests abroad. The State Department's warning highlights an increased potential for violence inspired by foreign terrorist organizations against LGBTQI+ individuals and events.

The advisory urges U.S. travelers to be particularly alert in areas frequented by tourists and LGBTQI+ communities. While the State Department did not cite a specific event or threat, a spokesperson emphasized the importance of providing clear and timely information to help U.S. citizens make informed travel decisions.

This travel warning aligns with recent alerts from the FBI and the Department of Homeland Security (DHS), which also cautioned against potential threats to Pride month celebrations domestically and internationally. These agencies have noted that foreign terrorist organizations (FTOs) and their supporters might target Pride events, exacerbated by a heightened threat environment in the U.S. and other Western countries.

The advisory references previous incidents and threats against LGBTQI+ communities, including:

• ISIS Messaging: In February 2023, ISIS released anti-LGBTQ rhetoric, denouncing the growth and promotion of LGBTQIA+ communities.
• Pulse Nightclub Shooting Anniversary: This year marks the eighth anniversary of the 2016 Pulse nightclub shooting in Orlando, Florida, where pro-ISIS messaging praised the attack.
• Vienna Pride Parade Plot: Last June, three alleged ISIS sympathizers were arrested for planning an attack on a Pride parade in Vienna, Austria.

Pride celebrations in recent years have increasingly faced threats from far-right extremist groups. Notable incidents include:

• Kansas Threat: A Kansas man was arrested last year for threatening to bomb a Nashville Pride event.
• Patriot Front Arrests: In 2022, 31 members of the white supremacist group Patriot Front were arrested near a Pride celebration in Coeur d’Alene, Idaho, charged with conspiracy to riot.
• GLAAD and Anti-Defamation League Reports: Last June, these organizations recorded 145 incidents of LGBTQ-motivated hate and extremism, including the murder of a woman at a Texas gas station by a man who directed a homophobic slur at her.

Credit: The Hill 2024-05-20

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Surveillance video from 2016, exclusively obtained by CNN, shows a disturbing altercation between Sean “Diddy” Combs and his then-girlfriend, Cassie Ventura. The footage corroborates allegations detailed in a recently settled federal lawsuit filed by Ventura, which accused Combs of severe physical abuse.

The Incident Caught on Camera dated March 5, 2016, is sourced from multiple camera angles within the now-closed InterContinental Hotel in Century City, Los Angeles. CNN verified the location using publicly available images of the hotel's interior.

In the video, Ventura is seen leaving a hotel room and heading towards the elevators. Combs, clad in a towel, runs down the hallway after her, grabs her by the neck, and throws her to the floor. He then kicks her as she lies motionless. Combs retrieves a purse and suitcase from near the elevators, then kicks Ventura again before dragging her by her sweatshirt toward a room. Ventura eventually stands, gathers her belongings, and attempts to use a phone on the hallway wall. Combs returns, appears to shove her, and then throws an object at her before walking away as an elevator door opens and someone exits.

Ventura reached an undisclosed settlement with Combs and declined to comment on the video. Her attorney, Douglas H. Wigdor, stated, "The gut-wrenching video has only further confirmed the disturbing and predatory behavior of Mr. Combs. Words cannot express the courage and fortitude that Ms. Ventura has shown in coming forward to bring this to light."

Cassie Ventura, known for her hit song “Me & U,” had an intermittent relationship with Combs from 2007 to 2018. The lawsuit filed in November described a pattern of physical abuse and control by Combs. According to the complaint, Combs assaulted Ventura in March 2016 after becoming intoxicated, giving her a black eye. When Ventura tried to leave the hotel room, Combs followed her, yelled, and threw glass vases at her, causing her to flee to the elevators.

The complaint details Ventura's return to the hotel, fearing Combs' wrath, only to be urged by hotel security to leave, as they had witnessed the assault on the security footage. Ventura’s lawsuit also alleged that Combs paid the hotel $50,000 to secure the footage. The lawsuit contained other severe allegations, including rape in 2018 and years of repeated physical and emotional abuse.

Ben Brafman, Combs' attorney, denied the allegations in a statement, asserting that the decision to settle the lawsuit did not imply any admission of wrongdoing. "Mr. Combs' decision to settle the lawsuit does not in any way undermine his flat-out denial of the claims. He is happy they got to a mutual settlement and wishes Ms. Ventura the best," Brafman said.

Details of the settlement were not disclosed. However, since November, Combs has faced additional civil lawsuits accusing him of various forms of sexual misconduct and illegal activities. He has denied these allegations, and the cases are ongoing.

In March, federal authorities searched Combs’ residences in California and Florida as part of a Department of Homeland Security investigation into human trafficking crimes. This investigation is linked to many of the sexual assault allegations in the civil lawsuits. Aaron Dyer, another attorney for Combs, criticized the searches as a "gross overuse of military-level force" and a "witch hunt based on meritless accusations."

Diddy apologises

Sean "Diddy" Combs has issued an apology for attacking his ex-girlfriend, Cassandra "Cassie" Ventura, after CCTV footage showed him kicking and pushing her in a hotel hallway in 2016. In a video posted on his Instagram, the rapper expressed deep remorse, taking full responsibility for his "inexcusable" actions, which were aired by CNN earlier in the week.

"I was disgusted when I did it. I'm disgusted now," Combs stated. He revealed that he sought professional help, including therapy and rehab, and asked for God's mercy and grace. "I’m so sorry," he added, emphasizing his commitment to becoming a better person daily.

However, Cassie's lawyers criticized Combs' apology, suggesting it was self-serving. "When Cassie and multiple other women came forward, he denied everything and suggested that his victims were looking for a payday," said lawyer Meredith Firetog. She argued that Combs' apology only came after his repeated denials were proven false, indicating desperation and insincerity.

The BBC has not independently verified the video, which appears to be a compilation of surveillance footage dated March 5, 2016. The footage, released by CNN, shows a man identified as Combs pushing Ventura to the floor, kicking her while she is down, attempting to drag her by her shirt, and throwing an object at her. The incident reportedly took place at the now-closed InterContinental Hotel in Century City, Los Angeles.

Until now, Combs had not commented on the video. In an earlier statement, Ventura's lawyers said, "The gut-wrenching video has only further confirmed the disturbing and predatory behavior of Mr. Combs." The Los Angeles District Attorney's Office indicated that the alleged assault captured in the video might be too old to prosecute. Combs and Ventura began their relationship when she was 19 and he was 37. Last November, Ventura settled a lawsuit against Combs, accusing him of rape and sexual trafficking over a decade, for an undisclosed sum. Combs' lawyer, Benjamin Brafman, stated at the time that the settlement was "in no way an admission of wrongdoing."

Since the settlement, several other women have filed lawsuits against Combs, accusing him of sexual and physical abuse. His homes in Los Angeles and Miami, Florida, were recently raided as part of a federal investigation into human trafficking.

Credit: CNN 2024-05-20

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Unapproved social media links and a post against the forums community standards have been removed.

There is a recent dedicated topic to Casually figures here:

UN Cuts Death of Women and Children in Gaza by Half

https://aseannow.com/topic/1327151-un-cuts-death-of-women-and-children-in-gaza-by-half/

If you want to carry on that discussion then I suggest you do so there.

Once again, remain on topic when discussing the "Latest developments and discussion of events in the Israel-Hamas War."

Any alleged factual claims must be supported by a valid link to an approved credible source.

Don't be surprised to find your post disappear if you do not. An inflammatory post has also been removed.

There are dozens of other topics on the war including historical perspectives here: https://aseannow.com/forum/432-the-war-in-israel/

Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have recovered the bodies of three hostages from the Gaza Strip. The hostages, identified as Itzhak Gelerenter, Amit Buskila, and Shani Louk, were among those abducted during the brutal attack by Hamas on October 7 at the Supernova music festival near Re’im. The operation, carried out by the IDF and Shin Bet, underscores the complexities and ongoing efforts in the conflict to rescue hostages and bring closure to their families.

On October 7, Hamas launched a devastating assault on the Supernova music festival near Re’im. The attack, which resulted in numerous casualties and abductions, shocked the international community and highlighted the volatile situation in the region. Gelerenter, Buskila, and Louk were among the festival-goers who managed to flee the initial assault, seeking refuge in the nearby Mefalsim area. Tragically, they were captured and killed by Hamas terrorists, and their bodies were taken to Gaza.

The recovery of the hostages' bodies was announced by IDF Spokesman Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari, who detailed the overnight operation. "The bodies were recovered in an overnight operation carried out by the military and Shin Bet," Hagari stated. This operation, which involved significant intelligence and ground efforts, was part of a broader campaign by the IDF to locate and retrieve hostages taken during the October 7 attack.

For the families of Itzhak Gelerenter, Amit Buskila, and Shani Louk, the news of the recovery brought a mix of relief and renewed grief. Until recently, Gelerenter and Buskila were presumed alive, fostering a glimmer of hope among their loved ones. Shani Louk's death had been confirmed earlier when a fragment of her skull was identified, a discovery that was widely reported due to the harrowing footage of her abduction.

Shani Louk’s father, Nissim, expressed his complex emotions in an interview with Channel 12 news. "The announcement that the IDF recovered her body was difficult to receive, but it was news that we had been waiting for," he said, acknowledging the confirmation he received more than six months ago about her death. Nissim praised the “brave soldiers” who retrieved his daughter’s body, a sentiment echoed by the other families involved.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and President Isaac Herzog both issued statements of condolence and support for the families. Netanyahu described the news as heartbreaking and vowed to continue efforts to bring back all remaining hostages. "We will return all of our hostages — living and deceased alike," he declared. Herzog similarly stressed the national commitment to the safe return of all hostages, praising the bravery and determination of the IDF forces involved in the recovery operation.

The recovery of the bodies highlights the intense and ongoing conflict in Gaza, where the IDF continues to engage in fierce battles with Hamas. The military’s efforts to recover hostages are complicated by the dangerous and volatile environment, requiring precise intelligence and coordinated operations. It said it had acted on intelligence gleaned from "interrogations of terrorists" who had been detained in Gaza.

Rear Adm. Hagari urged the public to refrain from spreading rumors and to rely on official statements to maintain operational security. "I call on the public — please refrain from spreading rumors and maintain the security of our forces. Keep our forces safe. Listen to the messages of the IDF spokesperson and the official bodies only," he emphasized.

The situation remains dire for many other families, with approximately 125 hostages still believed to be in Gaza. While some have been released or rescued, the fate of many remains uncertain. The IDF has confirmed the deaths of 37 hostages based on new intelligence and findings from ongoing operations in Gaza. The recovery efforts are further complicated by the presence of Hamas-held bodies of fallen IDF soldiers and civilians, some of whom have been in captivity since 2014.

Credit: Times of Israel | X | BBC 2024-05-18

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