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Sir Dude

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Posts posted by Sir Dude

  1. Hmm, more debt. Got trouble stamped all over it, especially as interest rates are likely headed upwards everywhere in the short term. This fantasy land of free money and the entitlement to it, needs to end... even at the cost of growth. Help the developers at the cost of your average Joe who might flounder and then it's the bank's problem... OK, can see that and guess the average Joe is just the insignificant middle player.

    Although, due to western economies questionable strategy of allowing QE - which in the land of the sane is a short term economic stimulus measure - to go on for 15 years, interest rates in the West are inevitably going up as the stars seem to be aligning for it now, maybe up even to as far back as to 2007 levels eventually (5%) in the short-medium term.

    This might have a silver lining for expats bringing foreign currency as higher interest rates in Europe/US etc. should translate into money exiting places like Thailand and flowing back to safer economies with better returns. Often times, that translates to a stronger western currency and hopefully a weaker baht so we could get a better bang-for-our-buck ultimately, so to speak.

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  2. By the end of next year after this idea has gone properly south, then like so much else, it will be quietly swept under the carpet and forgotten with a stealth u-turn when no-one is looking. Unless, of course, they are not telling everyone the truth and the regime just wants Chinese sheep as tourists and Indian weddings... which could be true, as a wider agenda these days seems to be about getting rid of as many westerners as possible, and has been so over the last 5 years.

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  3. One of the problems there will be here is that they are expecting all staff and students to be responsible. That means, if you have a cough/flu... don't come into work/class instead of thinking "Oh, never mind, I'll just go because it's me and the rules only apply to others in case I draw attention to myself" sort of nonsense. A person can be responsible, but people are dumb, sheep-like and panic prone.

    Many will just dodge their responsibility because they don't want to be tested or end up quarantined/penalized etc. It's like with so much else here, they think they can cruise under the radar and won't be noticed for all sorts of things.

    What will happen is that you'll get three weeks into the term and some numpty gets tested that has been cruising around to lessons and starts a cluster because they are a selfish moron... then the authorities will sweepingly decide to knee-jerk it back to online classes for the next two months again. Really, they need to do a couple more months online until they have many more people double vaccinated.

  4. Vaccines like AZ are viral vector vaccines, which is the traditional/conventional style, like many you would have taken when younger. The mRNA vaccines are experimental in the way that they haven't been deployed on such a vast scale before, rushed into service too, even if the discovery was a while back. 

    With Covid casualties or serious illness at 1% or less, then I don't feel I need to rush to take the new type of vaccine and am happy with the tried and tested way (viral vector). A wait and see approach seems the prudent/sensible thing to do with any new miracle medical solution unless circumstance dictates no option... but still to get vaccinated.

    So, a double shot of AZ seems okay, then when the dust settles next year consider a booster of a different type. There may even be better options by then at the rate we are going. No rush to be a sheeple, just do what will is required to travel and see how the cards fall later.

    The truth will out eventually.

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  5. Truth is, that viruses seek out all eventually... and you'll either live or die (99% or more will live from this one). Sooner or later, we are going to all have to just take our chances and get on with life (can't wear a mask or socially distance forever). To give some persective, about 20k or more die every year in the UK from the normal flu (and that's just the UK). Many casualties are on borrowed time anyhow and unaware of just how fragile their existence actually was.

    Best case senario is that as many as possible get double vaccinated and we move on. If you refuse a vaccine, then your call, as you are the one at risk... but you are also responsible for the results of your actions/decisions too, no whinging, please.

    You can't cheat death, but you can lengthen the odds through your decisions. If it's your time, then it's your time and it doesn't matter how fast you try to run. Covid will end up like the new normal flu and those at risk will get their yearly jab... much like what has happened before now.

     

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  6. There's nothing wrong with allowing foreigners to buy land, so long as it's done right. Something along the lines of... those who are married (not a sham one), retired with a certain length of continual back-to-back visas, limits on size of land (like half or 1 rai), only owning like a max of 2 properties (so house and condo, for example), designate areas that are okay for this (like estates) etc. etc.

    I'm not suggesting a free-for-all as that will spell trouble with large corporations or zillions of Chinese gorging themselves on anything available and then it will become a political problem, like it has in New Zealand or other places. Do it right, and a situation will arise where Thai society is fair to foreign residents who contribute, the government gets investments that are positive/of benefit, and Thais aren't priced out of the market... although, a large proportion of Thais already are as it stands now.

    If you want to attract foreign investment and people to sink money into the country etc., then it's about sentiment and confidence... and these are brought about by fairness and strength of law with everyone being treated the same regardless (basically not screwing over straight-up foreigners). Until you start addressing that, then you can dream up whatever ideas you want and it won't fly. If people think things will just quietly be rescinded or perform a complete 180 at short notice, then the "jumpy investor" syndrome will persist.

    Thailand could "ace it" so easily, if it just let go of some seriously outdated opinions championed by some seriously outdated dinosaurs. Actually, to be a little whimsical, I'm surprised that Prayuthosauros is actually up-for-it, when the other nationalist relic has already done a extreme yellow shirt rant on it being treasonous. 

     

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