
RayC
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Politics Trump announces 30% tariffs on EU and Mexico, starting Aug. 1
RayC replied to annotator's topic in Political Soapbox
'It will hurt us but it will hurt you more' has never stuck me as a good argument. -
Politics Trump announces 30% tariffs on EU and Mexico, starting Aug. 1
RayC replied to annotator's topic in Political Soapbox
Brexit has hurt the UK economy more than a little bit. For example, the OBR estimated that, over time, Brexit would cost the UK economy 4% of GDP (£32bn per annum). If that estimate is anywhere close to accurate, then that is sizeable in anybody's language. On top of that there are the non-financial barriers such as the increased complexity of doing business in the EU. I could go on. And what of the benefits? Increased sovereignty? In theory, but in practice, very debatable as the trade deals that the UK has agreed with the EU and the US show: They were basically given to the UK as, 'Take it or leave it'. The Johnson Brexiter government also promised a 'bonfire of EU legislation'. It hasn't happened and shows no sign of happening. Why? Perhaps, in contrast to what was claimed by Brexiters, not all EU law is bad. Or perhaps, it is the realisation that if the UK wants to take part in the game, then it is sometimes necessary to play by other people's rules especially when - like in the cases of the EU and US - they have the whip hand. Having said all that, I think that the comparison with Brexit is a false one. The US can (largely) dictate terms in bi-lateral trade talks. However, what I still don't understand is why (the threat of) a trade war is considered a good thing. If played out, it will likely result in a reduction in the volume of trade, a reduction in choice and increase in price for consumers and/or reduced margins for companies amongst other things. Whose interest does that serve? I also don't see how US sovereignty is enhanced. -
Politics Trump announces 30% tariffs on EU and Mexico, starting Aug. 1
RayC replied to annotator's topic in Political Soapbox
Can you explain why you think (the threat of) a trade war is a good thing? -
Why should it be skewed? Individuals should ask themselves the same basic question - 'Do I think that membership of the EU is beneficial for the UK? - and vote accordingly. If anything, asking for confirmation after joining should lead to a more informed vote as there is the experience of membership to take into account. Access to information was obviously not as widely available in the '70s as it is now, however, I imagine that the broadsheets contained a good deal of facts and informed opinion about the pros and cons of joining the EC.
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In our parliamentary democracy, the government has a mandate to make decisions on our behalf. As long as they stick to their basic manifesto commitments, then that system is fine by me. Hypothetical as it is, your conclusion if the UK had not signed the Maastricht Treaty is completely wrong. Like the EU, there was no mechanism to remove a member state from the EC or EEC unless they wanted to leave.
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That's exactly what I did: Challenge your idea. You stated that Brexit has not been delivered, so I asked you to explain what it should have looked like. You made no attempt to answer the question, but instead adopted a condescending, patronising tone ("You confused people ..."; ".. I forgive your ignorance ..."). When I replied in kind, you play the injured party when you have no grounds for complaint.
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How does a referendum about continuing membership differ in essence from one about joining? The individual will decide whether they think that being a member of the EU is a good thing or not. I have not suggested otherwise (although what the result of a hypothetical election would have been is, of course, pure conjecture).
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"(Farage) insisted the Royal Navy should tow boats back to France if deportations fail. “Ultimately, the last solution would be for the Royal Marines to take them back to France. If it comes to that, it comes to that. But I don’t [think] it would need to.” No need to look any further than this for a reason why Farage should never become PM. Effectively invade France. UK foreign policy circa 1530.
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You can't have it both ways, Nauseus. On the one hand, you complain that we joined the EC without a referendum, but then complain that the result of the 1975 referendum was 'tainted' because the electorate did not fully understand the complexity of the issues: It's the same argument used by those who were in favour of a "People's" vote following the result of the 2016 referendum. Neither has any validity.
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The EU came into being as a result of the Maastricht Treaty in 1992 and the ECJ's powers were formalised as part of the Amsterdam Treaty in 1997. The UK could have vetoed either or both of these treaties if it had wished to do so. It did not; it chose to endorse them. In a similar vein, to become an EU member, there needs to be unanimity amongst the existing member states i.e. One existing member can effectively veto a country's application; Germany and latterly, Greece has effectively blocked Turkiye's application. If the UK was against EU enlargement it could have vetoed it.
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We've been here before. If the French authorities choose to ignore their own national laws, then there are ways and means for French nationals and residents to complain and hold them to account. If other nations believe that France is breaching international laws and agreements then, in a similar vein, there will be a mechanism to hold the French government to account. That's exactly what the French authorities are doing https://www.lemonde.fr/en/france/article/2025/06/20/french-police-launch-nationwide-crackdown-on-undocumented-migrants_6742532_7.html
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It is up to France how they police and enforce their national laws. If France is breaking international law/ agreements then presumably there is a court/ organisation responsible for arbitrating/ passing judgement on any disputes. The UK could therefore raise the matter to this entity(ies) if it wished. As I'm sure you'll agree, the UK economy has enough problems without creating more unnecessary strife for itself. In no way, does putting at risk a trade deal with our biggest partner pale into insignificance in this context. No you didn't mention Lee Anderson or BarraMarra, but those were the two proposals which I commented on initially and were therefore central to my point.
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That's not the point. If the RN was to station vessels on the edge of French territorial waters effectively mounting a blockage and policing what boats were able to leave French ports, do you think that the French authorities would be happy and take no action? The issue would quickly escalate. I agree that the abuse of the EU freedom of movement provision makes it easier for illegal migrants to move around mainland Europe. Imo Merkel must shoulder much of the blame. Opening the door to illegal migrants in 2015 was well-meaning, but sent all the wrong messages and has proven to be catastrophic for Europe.
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While Lee Anderson might favour that approach, fortunately I doubt that any of the leaders of the UK political parties, including Farage, would be stupid enough send RN vessels into French territorial waters uninvited.
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Leaked U.S. Memo Reveals Trump Plan to Overthrow European Governments
RayC replied to simple1's topic in Political Soapbox
I doubt that the UK electoral system and the plight of Celtic Britons are anywhere near the top of President Trump's list of concerns. -
Which would break the recently agreed trade deal and almost certainly lead to a breakdown in diplomatic relations - not just with France but with the EU as a whole - and, almost certainly, the imposition of trade sanctions. And what happens if French fisherman refuse to comply with this order? Are the RN meant to impound these vessels somehow and/or open fire on them? Yes, Lee Anderson's "solution" certainly is 'simple'.