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Longwood50

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Posts posted by Longwood50

  1. If you can see other networks on your phone but not yours, then it means your router is not working properly.  If you see your network but can not connect then your connection settings are not correct. 

    If you don't see your network you can try to reset your router to factory settings.  There is a pinhole somewhere on the router that is a reset button.  You will need a toothpick or some other small pointed object like a bent paper clip to put in the hole and press the button to reset. 

    You would then need to connect to the router and set it up.  I have only done that on a laptop connecting to the router with a lan.  Apparently you can do it with a phone.  This is what they said you can do. 

     

    Access the router settings from your smartphone
    1. Connect to your wireless network. ...
    2. Launch the web browser on your smartphone. ...
    3. Type the default router IP in the address bar. ...
    4. Enter the default router login details. ...
    5. Make the necessary changes.

      The browser can be launching internet explorer, chrome, on an android or  Safari if you have an iphone. 


     

  2. Here is my opinion - DONT

    I had my right eye done about 25 years ago and the left eye done about 5 years later.  I was near sighted so leaving one eye untreated allowed me to read without glasses until my distance vision got bad enough I did the second one. 

    In the beginning, great.  I was able to see at distances without glasses.  However what they don't tell you is that correcting your vision for distance means you are still chained to glasses for reading.  The second thing which is what they are now discovering is that people's vision change as they age.  There is a phenomena knows as "second sight" where the person's distance vision recovers as they age.  Mine did.  That meant I was over corrected and needed glasses to compensate.  Now because your cornea has been altered, contact lenses don't fit properly.  I could wear single vision, but not multi-focal lenses. 

    Finally, at night as I have aged, the night glare has become significant.  The opthamologist explained a portion of that was very small cataracts but the majority of it due to the lasik that flattened the surface of the eye causing the light to disperse. 

    I just had cataract surgery, not because I really needed it to see but do get rid of the night glare.  That procedure is complicated by Lasik because it is more difficult to accurately determine what lens to implant.  My right eye was done, and it was undercorrected.  I just had my left eye done, and they increased the power of the lens and it appears great.  I now have monovision which is great.  I can read without glasses and see clearly at distances.  However the night glare was not totally eliminated.  The opthamologist at Bangkok hospital stated that my previous lasik surgery meant that I would always have that light glare. 

    Stick with glasses and if you are really wanting to rid yourself of glasses consider an Interocular lens replacement.  Those can be changed if need be or a second lens "piggy back" can be done if your vision changes.  Lasik can not.  

    Finally, if you have more than one lasik procedure to "fine tune" your eyes you may find that the thinning of the cornea would make you ineligble for future lasik corrections 

    In short, I wished I had not done it.  The few years of good vision were not worth the future complications. Particularly since the lasik gave me only distance vision, so I was still chained to glasses for reading and still needed glasses with clear lenses on the top and reading on the bottom to drive since you can not see the finer elements on the car dashboard controls without the reading assist. 

    • Like 2
  3. 14 hours ago, webfact said:

    Now, this may all sound fine and dandy, but a friend of mine who works on the oil rigs in South America and travels to Thailand regularly is not convinced it will encourage tourists

    This is absolutely true.  Heck keeping the incoming PCR tests makes more sense than requiring one after coming to Thailand. 

    If you tested positiive before the flight, at least you get to stay where you are, likely your home country.  If you arrive in Thailand and are tested positive you go into quarantine. 
     

    Personally, I would covid test before I boarded.  Even then, I would worry that if somehow I got a positive PCR test in Thailand I would be placed in that 27 square meter confinement area for a good portion of my vacation, at my expense. 

    The uncertainly alone will cause people not to come. 

    This pointing at incoming tourists as the incubator for Covid is just plain stupid.  Tourism has gone downt a trickle and yet the Covid numbers are up.  So the virus is spreading domestically.

    Thailand has far less to worry about from a double or triple vaxinated tourist then it does from the domestic population many of whom are either not vaccinated, or have been vaccinated with only Sinovac. 

     

  4. On 3/18/2022 at 10:11 AM, TorquayFan said:

    Howls of anguish in Moscow as Joe Biden makes the 'war criminal' comment

    Well I am no fan of Putin or his aggression against Ukraine, however Biden pointing the finger is indeed the pot calling the kettle black.  

    At least Putin has some reason to be in Ukraine.  It borders Russia and some of Ukraine are made up of predominately people of Russian heritage.  I contrast that to the U.S. involvement in both Iraq, and Afghanistan.  Neither country had anything to do with the 911 terrorist attack but rather became whipping boys. 

    If Putin is called out for war atrocities, lets at least say he is not alone in the atrocities of war. 

     

    • Sad 2
  5. 18 hours ago, Jingthing said:

    There is an item I want to buy but I can't find it on Lazada or Shopee but I did find it on Ali Express.

     

    Any information on shopping with them from Thailand?

     

    Possible?

     

    Accept Thai debit cards?

    I have purchased on Ali Express.  All I can say is buyer beware.  A couple of the purchases went through without a problem however on one the picture showed 4 of the items but when the confirmation came through via email is said I was receiving only 2.  I immediately cancelled but the merchants said it was too late that the package had already been shipped despite the fact that both Ali Express and my Credit Card company showed the payment as "pending"  

    I refused the package, and am still dealing with this and that was a purchase in December. 

    On Lazada and Shopee any problems with damaged, missing, or items not as described are quickly resolved. Ali Express won't even let you post a claim for weeks after the merchandise has arrived. 

  6. 13 hours ago, Yellowtail said:

    So what? It almost NEVER makes economic sense to buy a new car. 

    You are absolutely correct.  This was a response to the OP who was attempting to make the case that you would "save money" by buying an EV.  There is no way you can spend 1 million baht or more and expect you recoup that through lower costs to operate the car.  

    Taking the MG ZS as an example since it is one of the few cars that you can get both a ICE and an EV model in.  The EV model costs 48% more than the comparable ICE.  It is likely you can't even recoup the cost of the difference in price, let alone the full purchase price.  And that is not taking into account the higher insurance cost because of the more expensive vehicle, the extra expense for the charging station, and the depreciation on the EV. 

    The resale value of EV in Thailand is still a bit of an unknown.  Here is what is said about the USA. 

     

     

    If you bought an electric car and decided to sell it even a year later, its value would have depreciated dramatically — “like a used bedsheet,” as one commenter wrote on car sale site Autotrader. In fact, on average, 2020 electric vehicles have depreciated about 52% from the sticker price in the first year, according to data from iSeeCars.Interestingly, the steep depreciation makes EVs a bargain on the used car market.

     

    Normally, cars that lose value quickly aren’t good candidates for leasing, since the lease payment is based on the amount the car depreciates, plus fees. The greater the depreciation, the more expensive the monthly lease payment usually is.

    However, carmakers offset the rapid depreciation of electric cars and lower the cost of payments using a variety of methods, Hall says. This includes:

    • Offering a low interest rate (called “money factor” in leasing)

    • Raising the residual value (how much the car is worth at the end of the lease)

    • Offering cash incentives

       

      But it's the smart choice if you're thinking about getting an electric car. Leasing has grown in popularity — now making up almost 27% of all new car sales. But when it comes to electric vehicles, 80% are leased, according to Bloomberg New Energy Finance.

      Note 80% are leased.  Why? Because the cars depreciate so fast that the owners don't want to get stuck with the low resale value and the manufacturers are subsidizing that with low interest rates, raising the residual value, and offering cash incentives. 
      I can tell you, I bought a Toyota Cross Hyrbrid.  Even Toyota on a hybrid here in Thailand makes a guarantee on the resale of the car, to boost its residual value. 

      If EV were so cost effective there would be no need for the government to offer tax credits or the manufacturers to offer special incentives.  You don't see Apple running those kind of promotions on its Iphone 13 even though it costs upwards of 3 times Huwaii, Vivo, or Oppo product with "similar" features. 

      If a person wants to own an EV the "smart" thing to do is to purchase or lease it after it is 3 years old in the USA and coming off from lease.  I did the same for years purchasing used BMW's as they came off lease.  I typically purchased them for 50% of new price and with mileage ranging from as little as 24,000 to as high as 50,000 km.

      The steep depreciation is done and you still get the majority of the life of the vehicle.  Perhaps if you can buy one as stated at the 50% or more off the original price, the fuel savings on EV might be a possibility.  

      If someone wants to purchase an EV great.  Personally I just don't want the hassle of the charging and the uncertainty if I travel of finding a charging station.  But if I wanted to buy one it would be because I have a preference for it and I would not be deluded into thinking that somehow laying out 1 million baht or more was going to "save me money"

       

     

    • Thanks 1
  7. 4 hours ago, Yellowtail said:

    Do you have a point? 

    My only point has and continues to be that those that are purchasing EV and convincing themselves that "they are saving money" are excercising a "want in search of a need"  

    The idea that you can pay $60,000 to $100,000 for EV vehicle and recoup it via fuel savings which amount to only about 20% of the operating cost of a vehicle are kidding themselves.  

    They are focusing only on fuel and not the biggest expense of owning a car.  "depreciation"  With an EV you pay thousands more but it depreciates faster.   As to the engine replacement, that was about the comment that after 10 years you can replace the battery pack and get another 10 years.  You can do the same by replaceing the engine in an ICE.  Both of those ignore that the power train is not the only thing that deteriorates over time.  

    image.png.7688be34189a9922681714b9d0badee5.png

    • Like 1
  8. 15 minutes ago, KhunLA said:

    US Dept of Energy ... seriously, think you give them a bit more credit than they deserve.

    No I actually give you less credibility than a U.S. government agency and Forbes who said the same thing. I "think" you give yourself too much credit  

    If I pay 320,000 baht more for an EV MG ZS and I lose $527,000 over the course of 10 years.  I have to save $527,000 baht over 10 years to "break even"  

    The Bangkok Post lists that the MG ZS gets 15.1 KPL.  So that would mean I would burn 1,538 litres per year.  If I drove 24,000 KM each year.  At 38.8 baht per litre my total fuel cost would be 59,624.  The MG ZS EV has a 50.3 KW battery which would cost approximate 350 baht at 7 baht per KW and it would have a range of 403 KM.  So during a year I would have to fully charge it 59.55 times.  For a cost of 18,162 baht for a net savings of 41461.25 baht per year.  

    So if I need to recover my extra expense just to purchase the car to say nothing of the additional insurance for the more expensive vehicle, or installation of a charging station, 527,000 baht / 41.461 equals 12.71 years 

    If I drive less, the breakeven in years would be more.  If I drive more, the breakeven in years with be less.  If the price of electric goes up or conversely the price of petrol goes down it 

    As I said, there "may" be reasons to own an EV but saving any money isn't one of them  Certainly if you were a taxi driver in Bangkok that might be different.  However the fewer KM per year you drive the less compelling the EV is because of the additional cost.  

    Some assumptions that no one really knows the answer to is what is the residual value of a 10 year old MG ZS vs the MG ZS EV.   A portion of the additional expense of the EV "may" be recouped in 10 years with a higher resale value or alternatively the value may be zero if the cost of replacing the battery is excessive.  But we won't know that for 10 years. 

    Obviously my thoughts are shared by many since buyers are not flocking to purchase electric vehicles but rather being enticed by government rebates to offset the higher costs or being forced into electric vehicles by banning ICE.  

    If the case in favor of EV saving money was so compelling neither of those would be required. 


     

  9. 22 hours ago, KhunLA said:

    I ran the numbers, and I think ROI would be well worth the extra money with the ZS EV vs ICE.

    Well excuse me for suggesting that the U.S. Department of Energy may have a bit more expertise than "your calculation" 
    Here is what its calculator estimated comparing a BMW 5 series to a Tesla S.  Notice they estimated the "total cost" of the Tesla to be higher. 

    Also your notion of having to pay cash and having "no cost" is nonsensicle.  If I purchase a car and finance it, that additional amount has a finance cost.  However if I withdraw money from my investment account and only withdraw 799,000 baht and not 1.19 million baht, I have another 320,000 baht EARNING MONEY in my investment account.  Even earning a modest 5% rate of return on that money means the extra 320,000 cost me 527,072.

     

    So there may be many reasons to buy an EV but I suggest "saving money" is not one of them.  If a person was only concerned with saving money, they would buy a 10 year old gas powered vehicle with nominal value. The estimated total cost of owning a new car ranges from $7,000 for a small sedan to over $`10,000 for a truck.  So even if a person was paying upwards of $2,500 per year for petrol it is only a fraction of the total expense and the person is only saving a portion of that by switching to electric. 

    If the case for Electric Vehicles is so compelling then why is it that governments around the world are providing cash subsidies and having to ban ICE vehicles in order to entice people to buy them. 

    Throughout history better technology is recognized by consumers and they rush to it.  

    No one subsidizes an Iphone though it is far more expensive than other phones.  No one had to entice customers to purchase a cell phone rather than a land line.  No one has to entice customers to switch to inverter AC when replacing an AC unit. 
    No one had to entice customers to purchase an LED television set vs. a Plasma, or conventional TV.  No one had to provide any incentives or ban VCR's in order for people to purchase digital video recorders. 

    Isn't it strange that will all the accolades and attributes you believe EV vehicles provide that they appear to be the only area that government has to step in to provide cash subsidy offsets and ban their ICE alternatives in order for consumers to believe they are worth it. 

    image.png.f46a208e98d2c6140ff16068481708e8.png

    https://afdc.energy.gov/calc/

    image.png.09d61e36da1f19043bf7ca8c7e7c858e.png

    • Like 1
  10. 20 hours ago, Yellowtail said:

    But even if you bit the bullet and spent the $14K for all new, that should be good for another ten years, yes? 

    Yes but using that logic a person can buy a 10 year old gas powered vehicle and replace the engine.  

    I am not anti EV I just think that those who profess that they are "saving money" are not taking into account the higher cash outlay, up front, the loss of income on that extra money, the lower residual value, the cost of the charging station.  They are also assuming that electric rates will be low, which may or may not be true. 

    Again, you may have googled it however if that was "retail" pricing at a dealer that is not what you as an owner would get.  It would also "likely" include a battery replacement since I can not imagine a dealer selling a ten year old Tesla with a ten year old battery in it.  

    This is Kelly Blue Book what is the most recognized source of used car pricing in the USA.  Here is what they say the ten year old Tesla S. Top model is selling for at private party sale. 

    image.png.4642d67b6b4dae11c246e95b958e9800.png

  11. 19 hours ago, VocalNeal said:

    That is not why I would buy a hybrid. I would buy a hybrid for the extra 130hp-ish kick I would get went pulling away or when passing

    Well the reports are with the MG ZS which is what I was comparing shows the EV will go 0-60 KPR in 8.2 seconds while the gas model which is turbo will go 0-100 KPR in 8.2 seconds. 

  12. 18 minutes ago, VocalNeal said:

    Edited 11 minutes ago by VocalNeal

    He says that batteries will not be "thrown away"  Again, maybe true but here is what is said about lithium car batteries and recycling. 

     

    Are Lithium Car Batteries Recyclable?

    Although lithium car batteries are recyclable, it is a costly and energy-intensive process. One significant setback is the modular composition of the battery cells within a battery pack. The cells are welded and glued together with such solidity that breaking them down requires a lot of human or machine power and emits greenhouse gasses along the way.

    Most commonly, lithium batteries are recycled in large plants by a process of shredding the whole battery down to a powder. This powder is then either smelted (pyrometallurgy) or dissolved in acid (hydrometallurgy), thereby extracting the individual elements for resale.

     

    One problem with this process is that when you remove the scarce, expensive metals like cobalt from the battery, the recycling industry is left with a lower value product to resell. Lithium is so cheap to mine so there’s no incentive to recycle the lithium in car batteries. Ironically, removing controversial elements like cobalt from the battery makes the process less worthwhile for companies that recycle lithium car batteries

  13. 1 minute ago, KhunLA said:

    Owners of Tesla 3 would definitely disagree. 

    My point is that I am making an guess that the value of used EV whether Tesla or other brands will depreciate very fast. 

    I can't believe that people are going to take a 7 or 10 year old car that requires a very expensive battery replacement without a huge discount.  Since technology is rapidly improving the quality, performance, and range of electric vehicles since the were first generation, I would be surprised if the residual value of them is anything but nominal after 10 years.  

    If and I repeat if I am correct a person evaluating if EV are cost effective has to take into account the loss of value.  Also If I have to spend more for an EV lets take an MG ZS.  The top model gas has an MSRP of 799,000 baht.  The EV model is 1,190,000 baht.  So just to get my money back, I have to save enough over 10 years to recoup 391,000 baht.  That says nothing about the "opportunity cost" loss from not having that extra 391,000 invested for ten years.  

    So at least for me, I question if electric cars when you add up all the additional costs such as the home charger, and likely battery replacement at 7 - 10 years, the additional MSRP, and the loss of income on the additional cost if a person truly saves. 

    So much of this is a "guestimate"  Will petrol prices continue to climb.  Will electric rates stay stable.  Will resale values be strong or weak on used EV's.  

    Who knows. I know I won't purchase an all EV vehicle.  Not because of the cost or projected savings but because of the inconvenience of having to put a charger in my home, the lack of charging stations nation wide.  The uncertainty about the dealerships having adequate repair knowledge on EV vehicles, 

    I know I don't want to be on a road trip to Phuket from Pattaya and be constantly worried about finding a charging station and then when I do find one having to park there while the car charges. 
     

  14. 19 hours ago, Yellowtail said:

    Before

    I would imagine that is a guess.  However I am not sure where you "cherry picked" the resale value of the Tesla at.  However if you go to Kelly Blue Book the private party value of a 2012 Top Model Performance S. is with average mileage and average condition is as follows.  The trade in value is less.  The retail value is irrelevant since you are not a car dealer. 

    It is not known if the used car values reflect if the battery pack has been changed.  If it has, the original owner got very little residual value from the 10 year old Tesla.  If it has not, the person paying $18,000 - $20,000 and facing a $20,000 expense to put in a new "high performance" battery pack is crazy.  That would mean the person is paying almost 50% of the cost of a new Tesla for a ten year old car. 

    image.png.73b49412f670241bb7df45687300442c.png

  15. 1 minute ago, Yellowtail said:

    So after 10 years the Tesla cost of ownership is less than a similarly prices BMW330i, yes? 

    Again, not my calculations.  But rather a very renowned financial magazine calclulated that the TESLA was slightly more expensive over 5 years. 

    Here is another question.  Is that 10 year old TESLA value before or after a battery replacement?  If it is afterwards you have to factor in the $15,000 to $20,000 that someone had to pay to extend the life of the car. 

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