I am currently working on a project that is specified in USD, and I don't expect payment until around September. The amount is around $25K USD. I am concerned the USD will not survive that long. By "not survive" I mean lose 80% of its value or more vs. the Thai Baht. I'm not asking anyone to agree with me, and I don't believe this is a certainty by any stretch, but I think the chance of this happening in today's environment is high enough that I need to take it seriously. My question:
What options are there, from Thailand and only using Thai financial instruments, to hedge $25K for 6-9 months?
I do have a derivatives account with a brokerage here in Thailand that I use for gold futures. But hedging against a falling USD is well beyond my limited financial experience. In particular, I've always gone long on things. I've never been in a position where I wanted to short anything in my life, but it seems like that is what I need to do now. Can anyone recommend the best and cheapest way to lock in today's exchange rate on USD that I don't expect to receive for at least another 6 months?
Assuming derivatives are the answer, the kind of information I am looking for is what products I should be interested in trading, what those symbols are, what is the minimum value and margin of the contracts, do I need to do anything like set up stop losses and if so how, etc. I know that going long on a future is as simple as typing in a symbol and pressing "buy". What is involved in the opposite process? Do I simply type in a symbol and press sell for something that isn't in my portfolio? Please phrase your responses as if you are speaking to someone who is not stupid but is inexperienced and somewhat naive about the details. Also please remember my ultimate goal. I'm not trying to get rich through high risk activities. The goal is merely to lock in today's exchange rate and no longer worry about fluctuations. You may assume for the sake of this discussion that it is certain I will receive this money before the end of the year, and I am OK if the USD appreciates against the THB and I wind up losing out on the value of any appreciation vs. today's exchange rate.
Thank you for any information .