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dunroaming

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Posts posted by dunroaming

  1. 3 minutes ago, nontabury said:

    The commentators( as in the BBC) have got it wrong again.

    I am not talking about the BBC although they all use the same analysts.  I am not talking about the turn out numbers themselves although you should compare the general election numbers separately as they are not relevant to the referendum, which was a one off. This election had a turnout of 68.7% up on the 2015 election which was 66.1%.

  2. 3 minutes ago, nontabury said:

    What brings you to the conclusion that the British have had second thoughts about Brexit. 

    I don't think that Britain has had second thoughts as much as this time people who didn't bother to vote in the referendum have now come out and voted.  If they had done that in the first place then the remainers would have won by quite a margin.  Some of the Brexiteers will have changed their minds now they can see the mistake but many will soldier on regardless.

     

    Maybe this is the tide turning and we can all enjoy a sigh of relief if that is the case!

  3. 1 hour ago, selftaopath said:

    I agree with you and hope 45's party is known/remembered for they lack of integrity etc. I don't understand how the Dems are weak however? Granted the electoral college screwed them 2x but they did get 3 million more votes than the lying fat man.

    I think Clinton did the democrats a lot of harm and now she has gone they need to regain their credibility. 

  4. Let's look at the May screw-ups since becoming PM which may explain the result we have today

     

    Making Boris Foreign Secretary

    Announcing that she was favouring a hard Brexit and "No Deal is better than a bad deal" before the negotiations even started.

    Sucking up to President Trump when everyone else was rejecting him

    Continuing the pulling of resources for the NHS and the police

    Back-tracking on calling a snap election

    Proposing the hugely unpopular dementia tax

    Not debating when everyone else did in the election campaign

     

    That is just a small selection illustrating why people turned against her in huge numbers.  When you consider just how poor the opposition is, that makes it even more of a disaster

  5. 15 minutes ago, nontabury said:

    I don't think so. I've looked at the breakdown in a number of the constituencies,and quickly came  to the conclusion,that May thought that the UKIP vote would automatically support her. She then stupidly and arrogantly took her eye off the ball, and included in her manifesto the so-called Dementia tax. The result, more than half of the UKIP vote moved over to Labour.

    A large factor was that for once the young came out and voted.  Quite rightly because this is their future that May is screwing up.  Maybe everyone over the age of sixty five should be banned from voting?

  6. So as predicted by many on TV.  I voted for the Lib Dems simply to unseat the local Tory candidate and many others here did the same. Mission accomplished!

     

    But what does this hung parliament mean. It is likely that the Conservatives will stay in power with a little help from a minor party, probably the Northern Irish party.  Maybe as a “confidence and supply” agreement or maybe as a coalition. The result has seriously damaged May but she will try to hang on the  PM role. Her handling of Brexit, her position on the NHS, the police numbers and the stupid dementia tax has led to this and the fact she shied away from debates and interviews have painted her as a coward.

     

    Brexit is now much harder but will have to be much softer to get through the house.   May really should fall on her sword over this but who can pick up the baton?  Johnson will screw everything up and Amber Rudd only just hung on to her seat.

     

  7. For me the best solution to all of this for the Tories to stay in power with a reduced majority but with May gone and replaced by someone else.  There is the rub though because I cannot come up with a viable replacement who is capable of administering realistic negotiations over Brexit.  A coalition between L/LD/SNP would be a complete disaster for the country.  I have voted today but I fear we are all p*ssing in the wind!

  8. It is pretty stupid to come out with her statement about walking away with no deal even before the negotiations have started.  You never give away your position before sitting down at the table.  If she walks away with no deal then she will have failed and if she gives way over the key issues then she will have failed.  She has put herself in a very precarious position and handed the advantage to the other side.

  9. 5 minutes ago, ilostmypassword said:

    I wonder if there will be any reports on the youth turnout. Maybe more voters in university areas and suchlike.  As I understand it, most of the polls use models that predict low youth turnout which would be in line with past elections. But since this might be a way of registering their displeasure with brexit, the raising of tuition fees, and the cutbacks to the NHS, maybe that will result in a higher turnout.

    I think you are right.  I actually think there will be a larger turnout than the 2015 election and if that means more young voters then that must help Labour

  10. 36 minutes ago, Basil B said:

    I doubt the Tories will have less than a majority, but I doubt they will gain many more seats either.

     

    Going to be a pointless exercise other than reducing the SNP presence in the House, she will have the same problem, too many Tory backbench dissenters. 

    Well if the Tories have a majority with reduced seats then May will have difficulties with her Brexit commitments.  Many of the Tory MPs were ardent remainers and will resist her attempts to push through a hard Brexit.  She really needs to hold onto the seats she has and add to them for her to achieve her goals in the timescale she has promised.

     

    The worst case scenario is likely to be May not achieving a majority, triggering a coalition between Labour, Lib Dems and the SNP.  Given the commitment by the Lib Dems and the SNP to scupper Brexit and Corbyn only half heartedly in favour then....... Well you can work it out yourselves. 

     

    I still doubt it will come to that but if it does then better break out the tin helmets!

  11. 29 minutes ago, 55Jay said:

    I wouldn't know.  It's your litmus, you brought it up, so you go girl, give 'em a lick, and let us know what you find out.  :kiss01:

     

    Thanks for that!  On reflection and judging by the many reports, trying to find Trump's balls would prove nigh on impossible, the moron hasn't got any!  Apart from that I have no desire to become a part of the FBI so I will leave the ball's licking to others more qualified than me. 

  12. 1 hour ago, toofarnorth said:

    I am selfish with you , the Baht - quid needs to improve .

    Not sure it is being selfish at all.  If it is then I am guilty of wanting a stronger pound as well.  My wife and I send money to support a charity in Thailand and my business involves buying Thai goods in sterling.  However I don't think that a Tory win will make any difference to the pound apart from maybe a twenty four hour blip.  Happy to be wrong on that though.

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