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Everything posted by RPCVguy
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Yes, RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES do not get hit each new day. Weather is affected by time of the year and a string of variables. The trend (the climate) though is unmistakable. The Earth is warming and the insulation level of greenhouse gases are now at levels not seen for the last 3 million years. That is why the current starting position for an El Nino is concerning. During the El Nino that Peaked in 2016, Earth warmed to a new plateau of temperatures. While 2014 was the warmest year experienced until then, it is the coolest of the years since then. It looks like 2023 is about to start us up to anew and higher plateau on the graphs of global temperature. As cited last time. ♦ Sea Surface temperatures are at a record high, have been so since early March, and are not yet dropping as past years have done. https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_daily/ ♦ All 3 persistent greenhouse gases are at record high concentrations, trapping more heat into Earth's system https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/monthly.html ♦ We are entering this summer with the 2nd lowest Arctic Sea Ice Volume on record. (We also know the waters beneath the ice are warmer than in past years. http://polarportal.dk/fileadmin/polarportal/sea/CICE_curve_thick_LA_EN_20230414.png You wanted accurate global temperature readings for hundreds of years. The MOST precise data goes back to 1880, as broken out in the graphs at the right as attached. The larger graph at the left lists the specific studies, color coded by the time frame. The level of uncertainty is designated by the lighter greens and blues above and below the primary line. The basis for the green line is a 2013 study. • https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.1228026 It is discussed more accessibly at: • https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2013/03/130307145303.htm
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Thanks for bringing in both a source of data AND a mention of the El Nino that is forming. Here is another site that lets people see the current forecast and compare it to historical averages. I like that it maps the data. The root site gives far more options. https://climatereanalyzer.org/wx/fcst_outlook/?dm_id=asia-lea2&ndays=d1-3 From that site, the maximum temperatures map choice across the region as captured on Wednesday is in this image. The whitish color indicates temperatures over 40ºC. People looking at the mapping of temperature anomaly will see that Thailand , and SE Asia in general is warmer than average. The global news did get kicked into attention when the April 14th temperatures broke a lot of records, notably in Tak, which was recorded to have hit 45.4ºC. The historical data for specific satellite readings on heat, humidity, misery index, pollution and more can be accessed at this site. https://earth.nullschool.net/#2023/04/18/0700Z/wind/surface/level/overlay=temp/orthographic=-265.36,17.23,1823/loc=99.429,16.842 El Nino is VERY worth mentioning because during El Nino the oceans release more of their heat to the atmosphere than during La Nina (when the heat gets stored into ocean depths.) As El Nino arrives FOUR different indicators are in a bad starting position. Here is how (with references) ♦ Sea Surface temperatures are at a record high, have been so since early March, and are not yet dropping as past years have done. https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_daily/ ♦ All 3 persistent greenhouse gases are at record high concentrations, trapping more heat into Earth's system https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/monthly.html ♦ We are entering this summer with the 2nd lowest Arctic Sea Ice Volume on record. (We also know the waters beneath the ice are warmer than in past years. http://polarportal.dk/fileadmin/polarportal/sea/CICE_curve_thick_LA_EN_20230414.png ♦ Solar radiance cycle is on its pattern of increase and will increase into 2026. https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/solar-cycle-progression
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Add to the DUI duties at checkpoints. Our town's police went around and announced the e-bikes and e-trikes would be prohibited in town from today through Sunday (or Monday?) There goes my access to 7-Eleven or Tesco for the half mile that is our town's shopping district. Regular bicycles still allowed, but I stopped using mine as they had widened the highway and caused traffic to be faster even as they left less room to walk or bike safely. My trike is far more visible to drivers overtaking me on the road. As it is, too many very narrow misses to venture out, especially since I suspect many DUIs will get past the checkpoints as not being too tipsy in the moment.
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Heatstroke: What is it, how does it occur, and how to prevent it?
RPCVguy replied to webfact's topic in Thailand News
A link that shows a related index (The Misery Index) is available at • https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/overlay=misery_index/orthographic=-265.14,13.53,2340 The data is from global satellite readings and maps perceived air temperature as combination of heat index and wind chill. Note that there is a control panel accessed by clicking on the word "earth" located at the bottom left of the image. -
Heatstroke: What is it, how does it occur, and how to prevent it?
RPCVguy replied to webfact's topic in Thailand News
Doctormann provides a very nice chart that I've not seen before. I like it for posting BOTH ºC & ºF in the headings. I've been using a different one that lists only ºC. It does have an advantage of showing Relative Humidity down to 25%, and giving advice as to how to behave in those conditions. Nigelforbes added a comment about relative humidity getting very high but it lacks context as to time of day or conditions during June through October. The relative humidity is calculated against the temperature at the moment. High relative humidity is most common just before and after dawn. As the temperature rises, the atmosphere is able to hold 7% more water vapor for each degree Celsius the air warms. The time when high temperature and humidity is most likely to occur is as the season changes from the hot dry season to the monsoon season. That is when rain, hitting roads, roofs, and other hot surfaces, quickly evaporates off and raises the humidity while still having a hot environment. A few hours of such conditions will kill even the fittest of military persons, the elderly are at risk at lower temperature-humidity conditions. The 2016 and 2019 El Nino cycles kept the rains from arriving in Thailand until June,and heat had built up in the soil, roads, buildings, etc. etc. Those years we came close to experiencing what has been an annual situation in NW India near its border with Pakistan. Thousands have died during those events. A super such event is described in the opening chapters of the novel "The Ministry for the Future" in which the death toll over a week reached millions due to power grid failure/ A/C failure as the heat dome held sway. I appreciate the post overall. It is a useful warning that people need to add to their awareness as the climate shifts. -
Coming Soon to the AN ChatGPT System - You will be amazed!
RPCVguy replied to webfact's topic in Thailand News
Great post for April 1st. LOL -
Sinema leaving Democratic Party, will register as independent
RPCVguy replied to Scott's topic in World News
The last two paragraphs of the article posted by The Hill are key to the situation, as is Sinema's pattern of obstruction when monied interests of her donors lie elsewhere. The best video clip calling out move as opposite what her state's 2022 election demonstrates as desirable. https://www.msnbc.com/alex-wagner-tonight/watch/the-real-reason-kyrsten-sinema-left-the-democratic-party-156909125666 Summary: She knows her obstruction has already cost her any chance of being re-elected as a Democrat. Her hope is to be strong enough as an incumbent to split the Arizona vote in 2024, even as the urbanization of her state strengthens the odds of a win for Democrats. -
I've never had a problem with the Thai postal system. It is the hand-off to international carriers to the USA that is a problem. Does anyone know? ... Can we get details on what carrier? I suspect the problem is at the US Customs end, but there is a lack of transparency, despite mail be sent "registered" and "priority mail."
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The Democrats definitely outperformed expectations since the gerrymandering of new redistricting was expected to net a 20 seat boost to the Republicans. Several people have mentioned the trends. Below is a snapshot of the history showing how only GW Bush's first mid-term (aided by post 9/11 fervor) showed a bigger deviation from the typical mid-term drubbing of the president's party.
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Returning to Thailand – wish fulfilled for new US ambassador
RPCVguy replied to snoop1130's topic in Thailand News
Why would you stake out such a position? Looking at your previous comments on travel I'd guess you often passed the annual cap on payroll tax deductions - which would mean SS benefits might be a smaller share of your current portfolio. I had 40 years of deductions that built my account. Some good (including above the cap when I worked corporate management on Park Ave.) but many not so good (like when heading a true non-profit 501c3.) Looking at options when I moved here I forfeited medicare (and years of depositing into that system too) so as to be able to be responsible in other ways for providing food and shelter. That choice beat years of becoming a pauper in the USA receiving the same SS and also having Medicare. With SS I can live here with dignity and with a family - in a small rural town. Under your proposal things would become truly tight, and the air-fare alone would prohibit round trips to the USA and back to my family here of 15+ years. So, to be clear, I will vote against, and use social media to discredit any politician, party or commission pushing such a change in SS benefits earned and promised. -
Starting with a novel (new) virus that became a global pandemic, I look at the current case rates being higher while death rates being lower as the consequence of medical hard work and the public fear that is only now releasing. Mistakes were made in every nation. 20/20 hindsight makes 2nd guessing decisions easy now. Those nations with the greatest resources had let down their guard, while nations with fewer resources ranged from low to high consequences based upon factors still being assessed. Bottom line, Thailand did avoid the higher death tolls per capita and has much of its population vaccinated. Some of the lighter shading on the map attached will be because of less focused counting, but Thailand has less than a sixth of Covid-19 related deaths of the United States, so even some accounting issues aside, Thailand did well - over the 3 years so far.
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From the original post, looking beyond the slur about foreigners... It says " contamination with such items as bedding, towels or clothes, " which makes me wonder... What will happen after someone with monkey-pox arrives at a hospital and put their arm into the blood pressure sleeve? Will subsequent users be infected?
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When quoting statistics such as deaths (whether by Covid or by guns) the stats can be in terms of absolute numbers or they can be reported as deaths per 100,000 or per million. Absolute numbers will consistently look worse in the most populated cities and states, but the rates per 100,000 as shown in this 2020 Pew Research graphic can be surprising. As noted in earlier comments, over half the deaths are due to suicide. Murders will be numerically higher where there are the most people, but small towns like Uvalde, TX demonstrate that they can happen anywhere. That statistic (murder vs suicide) is not one I've found separated out in any consistent manner. Maybe someone else has been more successful. As for the law in California... it is a way to push back at the long term inoperability for society to have vigilante snitch laws like in Texas regarding abortion. Neither law should stand, but it will take a rebalancing of the Supreme Court to get that accomplished.