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Thailand's July exports beat forecast, but virus looms

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2021-08-23T062811Z_2_LYNXMPEH7M02T_RTROPTP_4_THAILAND-ECONOMY-TRADEFIGURES.JPG

FILE PHOTO: Shipping containers stand at a port in Bangkok March 30, 2015. REUTERS/Athit Perawongmetha

 

BANGKOK (Reuters) - Thailand's exports rose more than expected in July but the Southeast Asian country's biggest COVID-19 outbreak to date and movement restrictions are likely to impact shipments in August and September, the commerce minister said on Monday.

 

Exports, a key driver of Thailand's growth, increased 20.27% in July from year earlier as global demand improved, beating a forecast for a 19.7% in a Reuters poll, and against June's 43.8% year-on-year rise.

 

Exports are a rare bright spot in Thailand as it struggles with a surge in infections, prompting movement curbs https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/thailand-extends-stricter-covid-19-measures-until-end-august-2021-08-01 in areas which account for about 80% of gross domestic product (GDP https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSL4N2PL05N).

 

"The lockdown measures may have impacted the manufacturing sector as we've seen some closures of fruit factories for exports," commerce minister Jurin Laksanawisit told a news conference.

 

The outbreak has increasingly affected factories factories and worsened https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSL4N2OV0R3 a labour shortage, threatening exports at a time of stronger global demand and a weaker baht.

 

On Monday, the Federation of Thai Industries (FTI) called on government support for factories including clear "bubble and seal" measures and more vaccines.

 

"The industrial sector is the only engine to GDP and exports and it wants the outbreaks at factories to be contained," FTI Chairman Supant Mongkolsuthree told a separate briefing.

 

Industrial goods account for about 80% of exports which in July were led by stronger shipments of vehicle https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/thailands-booming-autos-exports-help-plug-gaping-tourism-hole-2021-06-29 and auto parts as well as computers and components.

 

Demand from key markets was higher in July, with exports to the United States up 22% year-on-year, to China up 41%, to Japan up 23% and to the European Union up 21%.

 

Imports in July jumped 45.9% from a year earlier, beating a forecast 43% rise, resulting in a trade surplus of $183 million for the month.

 

In the January-July period, exports rose 16.2% from a year earlier, while imports increased 28.7%, resulting in a trade surplus of $2.6 billion.

 

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-- © Copyright Reuters 2021-08-23
 

This is the silver lining from a weakening baht. It should hardly be unexpected to see exports start to gain mometum as the baht currency retracts at a faster rate than any other currency in Asia. 

Keep crushing the USD, (down 16 Satang—1/2% in last 24 hours), and watch Thailand’s exports crumble again.

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