Jump to content

Science Minister Plodprasop: Bangkok Will Not Be Flooded This Year


webfact

Recommended Posts

As I've said elsewhere, already over 2.5M of rain with a possible 4 more months of (heavy) rain to come in Ranong. It's not every day like it was last year but when it rains it's heavier than last year. The stream behind the house broke it's banks 2x last year, which wasn't normal. Usually a weekly event, as it is this year. 4m plus rain in totak last year v average of 3.3m. I hope it doesn't flood, wife's cousin had enough problems in BKK

Yeah you are right that it rains more in Ranong this year, but way less in the center, less in the North and North East. That is why the officials are being so positive that this year will be no floods. But!!! There are another 4 months of rain and nobody knows how much will rain. The real picture will be known in August, by the end of it, and with no certainty as it can rain a lot in a couple of days in September or October that can bring major floods. So far just speculation or who will outsmart someone else. Just daily observe and be ready!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

How did he calculate 'only a 1% chance'? does he know exactly how much rain will fall? Most Thais I come across can't do mental arithmatic, clearly he is the exception! A very clever man ! I'm glad I live in Chiang Mai.

He graduated from Oregon University U.S.A.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

To be honest, much as me thinks the man is a clown, I doubt very much there'll be floods this year. Up here in the north, reservoirs are fairly low, rainfall has been low. Totally different from last year, when reservoirs were full not long into the rainy season, the rains were very heavy early, continuing throughout the rainy season.

The monsoon season is not over yet, nobody can predict the amount of rainful in the coming weeks, who knows. If Bangkok has set up it's barriers and resources then ares north of Bangkok will suffer greatly. The main issue is deforestation in the north on both sides of the border, without all of thr plantation to soak up the rains it runs of into rivers etc. I personally think there will be flooding of some kind this year, and the future for Bangkok isn't rosey anyway, it is sinking. in 50 years time I doubt it will be what it is today, 100 years maybe it won't even exist.

I was in Bangkok this week as I was coming back from Surin and everytime I am in Bangkok I feel depressed. I cannot understand why farang choose to live there, I really can't. To each their own of course, but I would prefer to live in a rural village with no farang, bars or showers than Bangkok, just my opinion there smile.png

To be honest, much as me thinks the man is a clown, I doubt very much there'll be floods this year. Up here in the north, reservoirs are fairly low, rainfall has been low. Totally different from last year, when reservoirs were full not long into the rainy season, the rains were very heavy early, continuing throughout the rainy season.

The monsoon season is not over yet, nobody can predict the amount of rainful in the coming weeks, who knows. If Bangkok has set up it's barriers and resources then ares north of Bangkok will suffer greatly. The main issue is deforestation in the north on both sides of the border, without all of thr plantation to soak up the rains it runs of into rivers etc. I personally think there will be flooding of some kind this year, and the future for Bangkok isn't rosey anyway, it is sinking. in 50 years time I doubt it will be what it is today, 100 years maybe it won't even exist.

I was in Bangkok this week as I was coming back from Surin and everytime I am in Bangkok I feel depressed. I cannot understand why farang choose to live there, I really can't. To each their own of course, but I would prefer to live in a rural village with no farang, bars or showers than Bangkok, just my opinion there smile.png

The main issue is not deforestation. Bangkok has been flooding regularly since it was built in the 17th Century when it flooded to 4.5 metres deep shortly after the Capital was relocated in 1782. In 1819 it flooded to 3.2 metres deep. This was at a time when Thailand was covered in forests. The main issue has always been that the Chaophraya river is incapable of handling the excessive flows caused by the monsoon rains and until additional floodways are built from above Ayuthaya to the sea it will continue to flood.

The problem is that the Chaophraya can only handle 2,000m3 to 3,000m3 second whereas the monsoon run off last year averaged 4,000m3 to 5,000m3 per second i.e. "A Quart Into A Pint Pot Will Not Go!".

The problem last year was not the dams since the rains fell mainly downstream of the existing dams, so the dams were not receiving the bulk of the rains. However, the rains were excessive in the Yom river basin where a dam was to have been erected as part of the 3 stage King's Master Plan which was approved and proclaimed in the year 2000. Due to the overthrow of the Thaksin Government in 2006 all the construction work on the Yom river dam and the floodways was put on hold. Had the Government continued its work the construction would have been completed and last year's devastating floods would not have happened.

The current plan is to flood Ayuthaya to a depth of 3 metres, which is deeper than last year and will be devastating.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Bangkok will not be flooded. What about Lamlokka, Pathumtani? Or are we a monkey cheek?

A good point - I guess we in Pathumthani are expendable ............. and we should be willing to have our lives screwed for the greater good of the Bangkok elites. I remember seeing one news release last year saying that the Government had spoken to the people of Pathumthani who understood the need for them to be deliberately flooded to protect Bangkok! Must have been out when they came to ask us!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.










×
×
  • Create New...