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UAE Quits OPEC Amid Tensions During Iran War

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) faces a significant setback after the United Arab Emirates announced it will leave the oil producers’ group, highlighting growing tensions among Gulf states during the ongoing conflict involving Iran.

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The decision, confirmed on Tuesday, ends the UAE’s longstanding membership in OPEC and its broader alliance known as OPEC+. Analysts say the move could undermine the group’s ability to maintain unity at a time when the global energy market is already strained.

UAE Energy Minister Suhail Mohamed al-Mazrouei said the withdrawal followed a review of the country’s long-term energy policies and production strategy.

“This is a policy decision,” he told Reuters. “It has been done after a careful look at current and future policies related to the level of production.”

He added that the UAE did not consult other members about the move, including OPEC’s leading producer, Saudi Arabia.

Disruptions in Gulf Energy Routes

The announcement comes during a period of severe disruption in the region’s energy trade.

Oil exporters in the Gulf have faced growing difficulties moving shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow waterway between Iran and Oman that normally handles roughly one-fifth of global crude oil and liquefied natural gas flows.

Iranian threats and attacks on vessels during the conflict have raised security risks in the area, complicating exports from Gulf producers.

Mazrouei suggested the UAE’s departure from the producer alliance would have limited impact on global markets because of the already strained conditions in the strait.

Political Fallout and US Reaction

The decision may also carry geopolitical implications.

The UAE’s exit from OPEC could be seen as a political win for US President Donald Trump, who has repeatedly criticised the organisation for driving up oil prices.

In a speech to the United Nations General Assembly in 2018, Trump accused OPEC of “ripping off the rest of the world” through high energy prices. He has also argued that Gulf states benefit from US military protection while keeping oil prices elevated.

The UAE, a key US partner and regional financial hub, has recently expressed frustration with the response of neighbouring Arab states to Iranian attacks during the conflict.

Gulf Frustration Over Security Response

Anwar Gargash, diplomatic adviser to the UAE president, criticised the reaction from regional organisations during a discussion at the Gulf Influencers Forum.

He said that while countries within the Gulf Cooperation Council provided logistical assistance, their political and military response had been historically weak.

Gargash added that the lack of a stronger stance from the Arab League was expected, but he had anticipated greater support from Gulf allies.

Strategy Shift in Global Energy Market

Mazrouei emphasised that the UAE had been a member of both OPEC and OPEC+ for many years, but argued that global demand for energy will continue to grow.

Operating outside the producer alliance will allow the UAE to pursue its own production strategy and fully utilise its capacity to supply oil.

Officials say the country can increase output of some of the world’s lowest-cost and lowest-carbon barrels, potentially improving supply flexibility in a tight market.

The departure comes at a time when global spare oil production capacity is already at historically low levels, leaving markets vulnerable to further supply disruptions.

UAE leaders argue that leaving the group could ultimately benefit consumers by supporting a more responsive and reliable global energy supply.

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Adapted by ASEAN Now. Source 28 April 2026

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gargamon Ruby Member

gargamon

Advanced Member

Interesting. The oil cartel is collapsing. Trump sure has screwed up the whole world, hasn't he?

Jim Waldron Silver Member

Jim Waldron

Advanced Member

Whether you see OPEC as a cartel or not, losing one of its biggest producers potentially weakens its ability to control prices.

However, I suggest that the UAE isn’t doing this to help consumers. I believe it is only doing it to free itself from quotas.

But, anything that reduces coordinated price‑fixing power may hopefully benefit global consumers.

Yagoda Star Member

Yagoda

Advanced Member
5 hours ago, gargamon said:

Interesting. The oil cartel is collapsing. Trump sure has screwed up the whole world, hasn't he?

Yeah we know how good the cartel is for humanity

shackleton Platinum Member

shackleton

Advanced Member

Well that must be good news for the world economy hopefully more will leave this oil cartel setup

nick supreme Gold Member

nick supreme

Advanced Member
11 hours ago, gargamon said:

Interesting. The oil cartel is collapsing. Trump sure has screwed up the whole world, hasn't he?

The news of the UAE leaving OPEC is quite concerning. It’s important to remember that cartels can actually benefit consumers by stabilizing prices and ensuring supply.

Roadsternut Gold Member

Roadsternut

Advanced Member

Not the first time, nor the last. Qatar left in 2019. Did anyone notice?

But the UAE is different from the other Gulf states; its a federation of seven emirates, but its oil sector is dominated by Abu Dhabi, wheras Dubai is more mercantile. It remains to be seen if all the Sheikhs agree.

Thingamabob Diamond Member

Thingamabob

Advanced Member
12 hours ago, gargamon said:

Interesting. The oil cartel is collapsing. Trump sure has screwed up the whole world, hasn't he?

Does that mean you favor maintaining the oil cartel/OPEC ?

Eric Loh Star Member

Eric Loh

Advanced Member

UAE economic condition is dire. Its oil and gas infrastructure suffered immense damage. Oil revenue, aviation and tourism are in severe decline. They need to quit Opec and control their own destiny and oil qouta. Their currency pegged to the USD is shaky and needed a USD swap arrangement with USA to stablize the currency. USE is also one of the biggest investor in US AI industry and TRump's family crypto scam. These investments may hit a roadblock as UAE financial condition is under lots of stress. The petrol dollar bear hug may be tested as UAE will have to increase oil revenue and their biggest client China will demand a yuan dominated pricing. The Iran war is a lose lose proposition for the USA in so many ways.

philipsharpe Senior Member

philipsharpe

Member
13 hours ago, gargamon said:

Interesting. The oil cartel is collapsing. Trump sure has screwed up the whole world, hasn't he?

Yawn!

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