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This Songkran there will be NO newsletter for 13-14-15

and we resume on the morning of 16th April

199 per month, 1000, per 6 month (1 month free+), 2000 per year , (2 month free)

 

That's the general plan; it's still in progress and entirely dependent on the uptake.

 

Key Developments:

• Zelensky claims 150+ Chinese fighters are serving in Russian ranks, citing captured individuals.

• Beijing rejects accusations, calling them "baseless" and warning against "irresponsible remarks."

• Kremlin denies Chinese involvement, emphasizing its "strategic partnership" with China.

• Captured fighters spark investigation, with Ukraine probing recruitment methods through social media.

• NATO allies meet in Brussels, discussing troop deployment in Ukraine for future peacekeeping missions.

Core Analysis:

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has accused Russia of systematically recruiting Chinese nationals to fight in its war against Ukraine, escalating tensions with Beijing. On Tuesday, Zelensky announced the capture of two Chinese fighters in Donetsk and claimed intelligence suggests over 150 Chinese citizens are actively serving in Russian military units. “These are not isolated cases but systematic efforts by Russia,” Zelensky stated, sharing a video of an interrogation with one of the captured men.

Beijing has dismissed the allegations as “totally unfounded.” Foreign Ministry spokesperson Lin Jian reiterated that China is not a party to the conflict and urged Kyiv to avoid making “irresponsible remarks.” He added, “China has always asked its citizens to stay away from conflict zones and refrain from military involvement.” The Kremlin backed Beijing’s stance, with spokesperson Dmitry Peskov calling Zelensky’s claims “wrong” and affirming that China remains a “strategic partner” and “friend.”

Despite these denials, Ukrainian intelligence suggests that Russian recruiters are targeting Chinese nationals through social media platforms. Zelensky emphasized the need to prevent Russia from exploiting such tactics to prolong the war. However, analysts like Keith Kellogg, a former U.S. envoy, remain skeptical, suggesting the captured individuals might be mercenaries or volunteers rather than state-sponsored recruits. “The first report is always wrong,” Kellogg remarked, cautioning against premature conclusions.

The controversy adds another layer to China’s complex role in the conflict. While Beijing has maintained a diplomatic partnership with Moscow, it has also sought to position itself as a neutral mediator. Critics argue that China’s actions—such as providing economic support to Russia—undermine its credibility as a peacekeeper. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha noted that the involvement of Chinese citizens “calls into question China’s proclaimed neutrality.”

Meanwhile, NATO allies convened in Brussels this week to discuss troop deployments in Ukraine for potential peacekeeping operations. British Defense Minister John Healey emphasized the importance of pressuring Putin to end the war, stating, “We must act decisively to bring this conflict to a close.”

Why It Matters:

The allegations against China complicate its attempts to mediate peace while highlighting Russia’s reliance on foreign recruits amid mounting losses. If proven true, these claims could strain China’s global standing and deepen divisions within the international community over its role in the

 

 

Thailand’s New Year festival takes over Bangkok from April 13 to 15. With street parades, water fights, and lively music, it's an exhilarating experience for visitors. However, large crowds, traffic, and safety concerns can pose a risk.

If you’re planning to visit Bangkok during Songkran, here’s a breakdown of the pros and cons.

Pros of Visiting Bangkok During Songkran

Cultural Experience

Songkran is a wonderful opportunity to immerse yourself in Thai culture. Many people visit iconic temples such as Wat Arun and Wat Pho to participate in traditional rituals, like pouring water over Buddha statues to cleanse away bad luck. Some temples also offer merit-making activities like donating to monks or releasing fish into rivers.

The Festive Atmosphere

Bangkok truly transforms into one giant celebration during Songkran. The air is filled with live music, and street vendors serve up delicious Thai food and drinks. Areas like Silom and Khao San Road are packed with people enjoying water fights, using water guns, hoses, and buckets. This water play isn’t just for fun—it symbolises a fresh start and washing away the old year.

Affordable Travel Options

Despite the festival’s popularity, visiting Bangkok during Songkran doesn’t have to be expensive. Booking flights and accommodations in advance can help you secure better prices. Travelling just before or after the main dates (April 13-15) can also save you money.

You can find more affordable lodging in less tourist-heavy neighbourhoods, which still keep you close to the festivities. Hostels and guesthouses offer a more local experience and are often much cheaper than hotels in the city centre.

Something for Everyone

Whether you love music festivals and cultural experiences or just want a more peaceful escape, Songkran in Bangkok has something for everyone. Major music events are plentiful, while quieter experiences are also a great option.

Cons of Visiting Bangkok During Songkran

Overcrowding 

A major downside of visiting Bangkok during Songkran is the heavy crowds. Places like Khao San Road and Silom can become extremely packed, especially in the afternoons and evenings. It can be difficult to navigate through the crowds, and the sheer number of people might feel overwhelming.

Crowded areas also raise safety concerns, making it challenging for emergency services to reach those in need. The chaos of the crowds can sometimes make it difficult to enjoy the experience as much as you would like.

Heat and Discomfort

April is one of the hottest months in Bangkok, with temperatures ranging from 30°C to 40°C. The combination of high heat, outdoor water fights, and crowded streets can be exhausting. While the water fights offer some relief, walking around in wet clothes under the sun can be uncomfortable.

The heat also increases the risk of dehydration, particularly if people consume alcohol and neglect hydration.

Limited Services

Many businesses, shops, and restaurants close or adjust their hours during Songkran. This can make it difficult to find food, essential items, or services. Some popular places shut down completely for the festival, while others may only open for limited hours.

Convenience stores and pharmacies may also be closed, so it’s a good idea to stock up on essentials beforehand or plan ahead to find open places.

Safety Concerns

Songkran is known for an increase in road accidents, especially due to drunk driving and reckless behaviour during water fights. Wet roads and traffic congestion exacerbate the risks, particularly involving motorbikes.

SafetyWing Insurance for Songkran Travelers

SafetyWing provides travel insurance specifically designed for digital nomads, long-term travellers, and those visiting during Songkran. The Nomad Insurance covers medical emergencies, trip interruptions, and more, offering peace of mind throughout the festival.

Essential Plan

• Covers medical care, trip protection, leisure sports, and motor accidents.

• Affordable, starting at US$56.28 for every 28 days.

• Ideal for short-term travellers.

Complete Plan

• Offers more extensive coverage, including routine doctor visits, maternity care, and mental health services.

• Costs US$150.50 per month for long-term travellers.

• Includes trip cancellations and higher compensation for delays or stolen items.

 

 

 

Songkran in Bangkok is an experience like no other, filled with fun, tradition, and vibrant celebrations. While it’s important to prepare for the crowds, heat, and safety risks, with the right precautions and travel insurance like SafetyWing, you can make the most of this unforgettable festival. Click here for more details.

 

 

Sponsored – Original article by The Thaiger

 

As retirement costs continue to rise in traditional American destinations like Florida, more and more Americans are looking abroad for a more affordable retirement experience. Thailand has become a top choice, offering a lower cost of living, excellent healthcare, and an easygoing lifestyle.

With the support of specialized insurance options like Cigna Global, retiring in Thailand has become an increasingly attractive option for American retirees looking for both financial security and a fulfilling lifestyle.

The Rising Costs of Florida Retirement

Florida has long been known as America’s retirement capital, but in recent years, the cost of living in the Sunshine State has become prohibitive for many retirees. Housing prices have skyrocketed in desirable areas, and property taxes and insurance premiums have followed suit. 

Healthcare is another major financial strain for retirees. Even with Medicare, out-of-pocket medical expenses can add up, especially when it comes to prescription medications, specialized treatments, and long-term care options. 

Thailand: A Cost-Effective Option

Thailand stands out as an affordable alternative to Florida, offering retirees a chance to live comfortably on a budget. Monthly expenses in Thailand typically range from US$1,000 to US$2,000, a fraction of what retirees would pay for a similar lifestyle in the U.S. 

Housing in Thailand is considerably more affordable, with a range of options in desirable locations. Whether you're looking for a beachside home, a mountain retreat, or a lively urban setting.

Daily living expenses are also much lower in Thailand. Fresh produce, local markets, and public transportation are all more affordable, and dining out—an expensive luxury in the West—becomes an everyday pleasure in Thailand.

Healthcare Excellence at a Fraction of the Cost

 

Thailand's healthcare system is internationally recognised for its quality and affordability. Private hospitals in major cities like Bangkok and Chiang Mai offer state-of-the-art facilities and internationally trained physicians. These hospitals cater to expatriates and international patients, with English-speaking staff and familiar standards of care.

Cost comparisons:

• Cardiac Surgery: Cardiac procedures in Thailand cost between US$15,000 and US$35,000. The same surgeries in the United States range dramatically higher, from US$70,000 to US$200,000.

• Fertility Treatments (IVF): Vitro fertilisation (IVF) is considerably more affordable in Thailand, with costs ranging from US$8,000 to US$13,700. This is notably less expensive than in Western countries, where similar treatments typically exceed US$20,000.

• Cancer Treatments: The cost of cancer treatment in Thailand varies depending on the specific type of cancer and required procedures, falling within the range of US$2,000 to US$130,900. In contrast, comparable cancer treatments in Western nations often surpass US$100,000.

• Diagnostic Imaging (MRI): Obtaining an MRI scan in Thailand averages around US$190. The average cost for the same procedure in the United States is approximately US$2,611.

• General Healthcare Services: Overall, medical care in Thailand is typically 50 to 75% more affordable than in countries like the United States or Australia. 

• Medication Costs: Prescription medications in Thailand are often much cheaper than in Western countries. This is attributed to local manufacturing and government price controls.

Visa Options Made Simple

Thailand generally offers straightforward visa options for retirees, making relocation relatively easy compared to other countries. Retirement visas require a minimum bank deposit or pension income, but they grant a more flexible stay compared to other tourist options. 

For those seeking long-term residency, the Non-Immigrant O-X visa offers a ten-year stay. Health insurance is a mandatory requirement for these visas. Cigna Global's plans meet these visa requirements, offering retirees peace of mind as they navigate the relocation process.

Expatriate Communities

Concerns about isolation are common among those considering retirement abroad, but Thailand’s established expatriate communities offer a solution. Cities like Chiang Mai, Phuket, and Hua Hin, as well as parts of Bangkok, are home to thriving expat populations. 

Expat groups offer opportunities to connect with fellow retirees, share experiences, and find helpful resources. The strong sense of community in Thailand ensures that retirees never feel isolated.

Cigna: Health Insurance Solutions for Retirees

American retirees moving to Thailand must secure health insurance coverage, as Medicare typically does not cover international care. Fortunately, providers like Cigna Global offer specialised health insurance plans designed for expatriates in Thailand. Cigna offers:

• Hospital stays: Coverage up to US$1,000,000 annually for major health conditions

• Doctor visits: Up to US$25,000 per year for check-ups and specialist care

• Chronic illness care: Full coverage for long-term treatments

• Emergency evacuation: Global emergency assistance included

• Preventive care: Screenings, vaccinations, and routine check-ups to detect and manage health issues early

• Custom add-ons: Optional coverage for dental, vision, or maternity care

Cigna simplifies the healthcare experience, ensuring that retirees can access the care they need without the burden of upfront payments.

 

 

As more retirees discover the benefits of retiring in Thailand, the expatriate community continues to grow, offering additional resources and support for newcomers. With affordable living as a main allure, Thailand is an ideal destination for those looking to make the most of their retirement years.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sponsored - Original article by The Thaiger

Post removed. A person's nationality is not relevant.

STOP trolling ! 

MOVED TO visa forum 

Jukebox

 

Thonglor is not just a hotspot for brunches, bars, and late-night dancing—it’s also home to some of the best cannabis dispensaries in Bangkok. Whether you’re a seasoned enthusiast or new to the scene, Thonglor’s dispensaries offer a wide range of high-quality products in laid-back, stylish settings. 

 

Here’s a list of the top spots to explore for your next cannabis adventure in one of Bangkok’s most lively neighborhoods.

 

1. Stoned & Co

 

 

Opening Hours: Sunday to Thursday: 10am to 2am, Friday to Saturday: 10am to 3am

Location: Stoned & Co., 13, Seenspace Thonglor, 2nd Floor, 251/1 Thonglor, Khlong Tan Nuea, Watthana, Bangkok 10110

Contact: Facebook | Instagram | Line | Website

Stoned & Co offers more than just cannabis; it feels more like a members-only lounge vibe that combines high-end strains with streetwear culture. Located on the second floor of Seenspace Thonglor, this dispensary is known for its exclusive products and sleek design. 

With a variety of flowers, CBD and THC products, and top-tier accessories, you can expect an elevated experience, whether you’re stopping by after a night out or looking to spend the day. Plus, the trendy merch is a must-see, making it perfect for a souvenir.

2. Four Twenty

Opening Hours: Daily, 10am to 2am

Location: Four Twenty Dispensary - Thonglor, Major Tower, Soi Thonglor 10, Khwaeng Khlong Tan Nuea, Khlong Toei, Bangkok 10110

Contact: Instagram | Facebook | Website

As a fan favorite, Four Twenty stands out with its futuristic design and wide variety of cannabis products. This dispensary offers a selection of flowers, edibles, and accessories, with each jar displayed like a work of art. 

The staff is always ready to guide you through the options, making it an ideal stop for both novices and experienced users. The sci-fi-inspired interior adds to the cool vibe, making your visit feel like stepping into another world.

3. Trippy Nation

Opening Hours: 24 Hours

Location: Trippy Nation Dispensary - Thonglor, 999 Sukhumvit Rd, Khwaeng Khlong Tan Nuea, Watthana, Bangkok 1011

Contact: Instagram | Facebook

Trippy Nation nails the essentials. With a mix of white furniture and pops of orange and purple, this dispensary feels just like home. The atmosphere is laid-back and welcoming, with an emphasis on great product selection and community. 

Their special local strain, Oklahoma Coma, is a must-try, and the in-house baked goods are legendary. The lounge area makes it a great place to relax and meet new people, often hosting fun events and sports nights.

4. Choo Choo Hemp Weed S

Opening Hours: Daily, 10am to 1am

Location: Choo Choo Hemp Weed Shop, 108/4-5 Sukhumvit 49 Watthana district, Khlong Tan Nuea, sub district, Bangkok 10110

Contact: Instagram | Facebook | Website

Choo Choo Hemp Weed Shop feels personal and authentic, thanks to its grower-owned ethos. With over a hundred strains to choose from, you’ll find everything from indoor exotics to local favorites. The space is earthy and warm, creating an inviting atmosphere for browsing and relaxing. 

As a plus, the knowledgeable staff makes shopping here easy, ensuring you feel informed and confident with your purchase. Don’t forget to try their edibles, drinks, and other accessories.

5. Bang Flora Dispensary

Opening Hours: Daily, 1pm to 3am

Location: Bang Flora Dispensary, 113, 3 Soi Thong Lo 10, Khlong Tan Nuea, Watthana, Bangkok 10110

Contact: Instagram | LINE | Website

Bang Flora is a newer addition to the Thonglor scene, but it’s already making waves. With a background rooted in Humboldt, California, their team knows cannabis inside and out. They grow their products locally using sustainable methods, offering flowers, edibles, and concentrates. 

The dispensary’s clean, providing a calm space to browse, and the friendly staff adds to the overall welcoming vibe. This summer, they’ll launch Bangkok’s first true cannabis-friendly rooftop bar—definitely something to look forward to.

6. Medlab Dispensary

Opening Hours: Monday to Saturday, 3pm to 2am

Location: Medlab Dispensary, 53 Waterford Pk Aly, Khlong Tan Nuea, Watthana, Bangkok 10110

Contact: +66 96 731 0850

Medlab Dispensary is hard to miss with its bold red exterior, and the inside doesn’t disappoint. The display is simple yet elegant, with flowers showcased like tiny masterpieces. The staff at Medlab are approachable and never rush you, ensuring a pleasant shopping experience.

If you’re in the mood for something sweet, their infused cookies are a must-try—soft, buttery, and absolutely delicious.

7. Bong Party x Bangkok Exotics

Opening Hours: Daily, 10am to 2am

Location: Bong Party x Bangkok Exotics, Ramen Tenyo, 2nd Floor 56/8 Thonglor, Khlong Tan Nuea, Watthana, Bangkok 10110

Contact: Facebook 

If you’re not expecting a cannabis shop above a ramen joint, you’ll be pleasantly surprised. Bong Party x Bangkok Exotics offers a stylish environment filled with high-quality cannabis products. With colorful jars of flowers, unique bongs, and a selection of accessories, this place is the definition of charming.

The staff is attentive and friendly, ready to guide you through their premium offerings. It’s a relaxed spot to enjoy the vibe and discover new products.

8. Marley's Bar and Café

Opening Hours: Daily, 12pm to 3am

Location Marley's Bar and Café, 440 6 Thonglor, Khlong Tan Nuea, Watthana, Bangkok 10110, Thailand

Contact: Instagram | Facebook 

Marley’s Bar and Café offers a fun, playful atmosphere with everything you need for a memorable experience. With five floors packed with activities—from pool tables to PS5 gaming and vintage arcade machines—it’s a space that never runs out of things to do. 

But the real highlight is the quality cannabis they offer, displayed beautifully and well cared for. The staff is knowledgeable and friendly, ensuring you have a five-star experience every time.

 

9. Green Lab Thonglor

Opening Hours: Monday, 12pm to 12am; Tuesday to Friday, 10am to 12am; Saturday and Sunday, 10am to 10pm

Location: Green Lab Thonglor, 63 Room A5, Civic Park Building, Subdistrict, 13 Thonglor, Khlong Tan Nuea, Watthana, Bangkok 10110

Contact: Instagram | Facebook | Website

Green Lab Thonglor is a medical cannabis expert that has quickly raised the bar for the cannabis scene in Bangkok. Their premium flower, edibles, and accessories are all hand-selected, and the staff’s approach is refreshingly humble and helpful. 

Green Lab makes it easy to access quality cannabis products, with convenient parking and express delivery options to make your experience even smoother.

10. Eden Dispensary & Cafe

Opening Hours: Monday to Friday, 10am to 8pm; Saturday and Sunday, 12pm to 8pm

Location: Eden Dispensary & Cafe - Thonglor, 106, 1 Sukhumvit 49, Khlong Tan Nuea, Watthana, Bangkok 10110

Contact: +66 83 530 9239

Eden Dispensary & Café is the perfect spot for those who want to unwind in a relaxed, comfortable space. With a cozy, pet-friendly garden and knowledgeable staff, you’ll feel right at home. Their selection of exclusive cannabis strains guarantees a high-quality experience, and the café offers drinks infused with CBD oil for a refreshing twist. 

Thonglor’s cannabis scene is diverse and always welcoming. Whether you’re looking for high-quality strains, friendly service, or a community vibe, these dispensaries offer something for everyone. 

 

 

 

Sponsored – Original article by The Thaiger

 

 

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Families today think differently when it comes to finding the right place to live. The decision is no longer based only on house size or scenic views. Families now care more about safety, good schools, strong communities, and healthy lifestyles.

A home is the foundation for everyday life. It shapes childhood memories, school routines, and lifelong relationships. The best homes are those where children grow up feeling secure, supported, and happy.

More than a holiday destination

Phuket has transformed into a year-round family destination, offering both modern conveniences and natural beauty. The island now boasts international schools, healthcare facilities, wellness centres, shopping hubs, and recreational spaces—all within easy reach.

In particular, areas like Bang Tao, Cherngtalay, and Bang Jo are becoming top choices for families seeking quiet, green environments near the beach, along with excellent infrastructure and services. The short travel times to everything families need make it a prime location for everyday living.

Education as a top priority

For many parents, the biggest reason to move is to give children a better education. Being close to a good school makes daily life easier — shorter drives, better routines, and more time at home. HeadStart International School, located in Cherngtalay, is a leading international school on the island. 

HeadStart offers the British curriculum from preschool to Year 13 with a strong focus on academic results and student well-being. It’s one of Phuket’s most respected schools, and because of high demand, waiting lists are common. 

A growing community 

The neighborhood around HeadStart is filled with like-minded families who value education, safety, and a balanced lifestyle. Many are professionals or business owners, and many have relocated from abroad in search of a secure, community-driven environment. 

Living close to the school means easy access to cafes, shops, parks, and clinics, helping parents build a local support network while children can form lasting friendships.

Homes in the heart of Bang Tao

Manor Phuket

Located just a 6-minute drive from HeadStart, Manor Phuket is a private villa development designed with families in mind. This peaceful community offers something truly special—exclusive priority access to HeadStart International School with no waiting list.

Manor Phuket is a rare opportunity in Phuket, offering peace of mind for families looking to simplify school enrolment. The development will feature 100 villas spread across 30,000 square metres, ensuring privacy and space. Each villa boasts a private garden, modern architecture, and open living areas—ideal for family life.

Additionally, Manor Phuket provides a dedicated school bus service to HeadStart, ensuring safe, convenient school runs. The community also includes lifestyle amenities such as a gym, spa, restaurant, co-working spaces, and playgrounds—everything a family needs to live comfortably and conveniently.

Clover Residence: A proven success near the school

Just 200 metres from HeadStart, Clover Residence offers 76 family-focused villas with private pools and tropical gardens. Designed with modern interiors and an open-plan layout, these homes are perfect for young families. Clover Residence has built a solid reputation as one of the top villa projects in the area, with most homes already sold out due to high demand.

Its proximity to HeadStart, shops, and recreational facilities makes Clover Residence a top choice for families who want convenience and quality in their living space.

A smart investment in your family’s future

Bang Tao is quickly becoming the first area in Phuket to offer all the essential infrastructure needed for family life, all in one place. This includes international schools like HeadStart, modern shopping malls, quality medical clinics, a local immigration office, and recreational parks for children and adults alike.

The area is designed to support everyday life while offering plenty of opportunities for recreation, wellness, and outdoor activities. Families can easily manage school runs, work, and daily errands without long drives, making it an ideal place for both living and investing.

With a growing international community, this part of Phuket is now one of the smartest places to invest in both lifestyle and property.

Choosing the right home is not only about the house itself. It’s also about the life that happens outside— school days, family dinners, weekend walks, and milestones shared. In this corner of Phuket, families can find homes that support every part of that journey.

 

 

 

Sponsored - Original article by The Thaiger

 

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Key Developments:

• UN Chief António Guterres condemns Gaza blockade, calling it a "killing field" and urging global action.

• Aid Crisis Deepens: 25,000 aid trucks blocked, leaving hospitals overwhelmed and bakeries shut down.

• Death Toll Climbs: 1,449 Palestinians killed since March 18; 58 more in the last 24 hours.

• Israel Defends Actions: Claims no aid shortage, accusing UN of "spreading slander."

• UN Agencies Warn of Famine: Health systems on the brink, with food and medical supplies critically low.

Core Analysis:

The humanitarian crisis in Gaza has reached a breaking point as Israel’s blockade enters its second month. UN Secretary-General António Guterres described the situation as a “killing field,” stating that civilians are trapped in an “endless death loop.” He accused Israel of violating international law by failing to ensure the delivery of food and medical supplies to Gaza’s 2.3 million residents.

 

Israel’s foreign ministry rejected these claims, asserting that “over 25,000 aid trucks entered Gaza during the ceasefire.” Spokesman Oren Marmorstein accused Guterres of ignoring facts and spreading “slander against Israel.” However, UN agencies report that aid deliveries have halted since the blockade resumed on March 2, leaving markets empty and hospitals rationing critical supplies like antibiotics and painkillers.

The blockade has exacerbated Gaza’s already dire conditions. According to a joint statement from six UN agencies, “all UN-supported bakeries have closed,” and fresh vegetables are scarce. The World Food Programme revealed that food prices have skyrocketed, with wheat flour costs increasing by over 450%. Hospitals are overwhelmed, forcing doctors to prioritize patients with the best survival chances while others die waiting for care.

 

The renewed conflict has also taken a devastating toll on civilians. Israeli airstrikes killed 58 Palestinians in the last 24 hours alone, including five children in Deir al-Balah. Since March 18, 1,449 Palestinians have died in Israeli attacks, according to Gaza’s health ministry. Israel insists its military targets Hamas militants and denies deliberately attacking civilians.

Guterres’ remarks follow a January ceasefire that briefly allowed aid into Gaza and facilitated the release of 33 hostages by Hamas in exchange for nearly 1,900 Palestinian prisoners held by Israel. However, hostilities resumed after Hamas accused Israel of failing to honor its commitments under the truce.

Why It Matters:

The Gaza blockade is creating conditions that could lead to famine and widespread disease, violating international humanitarian law. With hospitals collapsing and food supplies dwindling, the crisis is becoming a test of global resolve to uphold basic human rights. The UN’s call for urgent action underscores fears that Gaza’s suffering could escalate into one of the worst humanitarian disasters in modern history.

 

Based on an article by BBC

 

10.04.2025

 

Q2 of 2025 begins under the shadow of sharp rotations in capital, increased political risk, and growing market segmentation. While US equities and cryptocurrencies struggled in Q1, European stocks, gold, and the yen emerged as havens.

Traders now face an increasingly complex global environment marked by softening US growth, surging European confidence, and persistent uncertainty over monetary policy direction.

 

Exness’ Michael Stark, Financial Content Leader, Stanislav Bernukhov, Senior Trading Content Specialist, and Antreas Themistokleous, Trading Content Strategist, have provided a financial analysis for Q2, 2025.

 

Q1 recap: A period of strategic rotation

 

Q1 was characterised by aggressive deleveraging in the US and crypto markets, triggered, in part, by President Donald Trump’s surprise imposition of tariffs on Canada, Mexico, the EU, and China. Capital flowed from US equities into overseas assets, notably Europe and Asia.

The NASDAQ and S&P 500 declined sharply, affected not only by policy volatility but also by sector-specific developments like NVDA’s drop following the launch of a Chinese AI engine. The tech-heavy NASDAQ is now showing signs of pessimistic breadth and low volume, indicators of a market adrift.

 

Yet, the pain in the US has been a gain for others: Germany’s DAX hit an all-time high in March, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng has been in a solid uptrend since January.

 

The rise of ‘strong Europe’

 

Europe is seeing a significant narrative shift. Yields on Germany’s 30-year bunds spiked amid rising military expenditure discussions, driving capital into the euro. Once lagging behind the greenback, the euro is rallying, with futures’ open interest increasing in tandem.

The phrase Make Europe Great Again may have started as political satire, but it now resonates across bond and FX markets. In early March, the euro-dollar pair recorded its strongest weekly performance in nearly two decades, reinforcing the sense of revival.

 

Japan and the yen: A haven with yield appeal

 

Japan is also seeing a shift in expectations. Inflation reached 4% in January, well above the Bank of Japan’s target. Though the government reintroduced energy subsidies, rates are still expected to rise by September. Long-term bond yields over 2.5% are making the yen attractive again, both as a haven and a potential higher-yielding currency.

 

US macro: Resilient yet wobbly

 

Despite some resilience, the US economy shows signs of fatigue. Unemployment ticked slightly higher, and the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index fell for a third consecutive month. While GDP remains strong, forward-looking indicators like new orders and consumer confidence are weakening.

The Fed held rates steady in March, but expectations for a rate cut in June remain high. According to CME FedWatch, over half of market participants anticipate a cut by mid-year.

 

Crypto markets: Disappointment despite hope

 

Expectations for a crypto president did little to support bitcoin or ether. Both assets saw sharp Q1 declines, with ether losing 40% and bitcoin dipping to US$78,000 before rebounding slightly.

Still, on-chain data paints a different picture. Bitcoin balances on exchanges dropped from 2.79 million in January to 2.67 million by mid-March, suggesting accumulation by long-term holders. Meanwhile, the hash rate increased by 3%, a sign of sustained miner confidence despite lower prices.

By March, the Fear and Greed Index plunged from 66 (greed) to 20 (extreme fear) but has since recovered slightly. A shift in Fed policy could be the catalyst crypto bulls are waiting for.

 

Gold: The winner of Q1

 

Gold surged toward and briefly broke US$3,000 per ounce, making it the standout performer of Q1. Political and trade tensions, paired with dovish central banks, have driven haven demand.

With the Fed reviving its use of transitory to describe inflation, and global inflation remaining largely under control, gold remains attractive. Technically, US$3,140 is a mid-term target, though a consolidation below US$3,000 is possible before further gains.

 

Oil: Supply gains vs. demand doubts

 

Oil’s price has remained range-bound, stuck in a descending channel since mid-January. Despite a slight increase in global supply, thanks to projects in Kazakhstan and increased output from the US and Saudi Arabia, demand concerns linger.

The IEA projects modest demand growth of just over 1 million barrels per day, largely from China and India. Technicals suggest oil may test resistance around US$70, with support around US$65 if the downtrend resumes.

 

Stock markets: Fragmentation rules

 

US equities remain under pressure. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ are trading below key moving averages, while European and Asian indices thrive. Investor fear persists, with CNN’s Fear and Greed Index showing weak breadth and price strength.

Still, certain US stocks show promise:

• Gilead Sciences (GILD) is in a solid uptrend, supported by strong earnings guidance and HIV drug sales. The stock is nearing dynamic support and could see renewed upside.

• JPMorgan (JPM) continues to benefit from market volatility. With a 50% YoY rise in Q4 net income, the bank could bounce from its 200-day MA.

• CME Group (CME) may gain from increasing demand for derivatives amid volatility. While long-term targets suggest limited upside, short-term momentum is strong.

Forex: Traders eye central bank divergence

Q1 saw an unusually active forex landscape. The euro surged, the yen strengthened, and the dollar wobbled amid tariff chaos and mixed economic signals. The Bank of Japan remains the most uncertain major central bank, with inflation missing forecasts in March and a hike expected only in September.

 

EURUSD

The pair broke higher in March on capital rotation and military spending narratives. US$1.10 is a key resistance, and depending on bond yields and central bank signals, any retracement might find support at US$1.08 or US$1.07.

 

USDJPY

As rate differentials narrow and haven flows rise, the dollar-yen pair looks set to remain under pressure. ¥146.50 is a key support level, with ¥144 being the next line of defense if the pair continues downward.

Key Themes for Q2

1. Capital rotation away from the US: Uncertainty and trade policies are pushing global capital toward Europe and Asia.

2. Low volatility and drying liquidity: Despite declines, markets aren’t highly volatile. This often indicates indecision and exhaustion, not capitulation.

3. Havens dominate: Gold and the yen continue to attract inflows, while speculative risk assets face a tough environment.

For more detailed views of the markets, visit Exness Insights.

 

 

Sponsored - Original article by The Thaiger

 

Israel’s Position

• "No Ceasefire Without Hamas’ Defeat": Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu insists military operations will continue until Hamas is militarily dismantled, arguing that a full withdrawal from Gaza would allow the group to rearm and regroup13.

• Hostages as Leverage: Israel demands the release of all remaining hostages (24 believed alive) before considering a permanent truce, rejecting Hamas’ precondition to end the war first15.

• Security Control: Plans to seize Rafah and establish a “Morag corridor” aim to sever Gaza from Egypt, claiming this is necessary to prevent future attacks[original article]3.

• Domestic Pressure: Far-right coalition partners threaten to collapse Netanyahu’s government if he agrees to a deal that leaves Hamas in power, advocating for Gaza’s reoccupation and Palestinian emigration13.

Hamas’ Demands

• Permanent Ceasefire First: Hamas refuses to release hostages unless Israel commits to a full withdrawal from Gaza and a permanent end to hostilities15.

• Reconstruction and Governance: Seeks guarantees for Gaza’s reconstruction and retention of political influence, fearing Israel will resume attacks after hostage releases34.

• Humanitarian Crisis: Points to 47,000+ Palestinian deaths and 400,000 displaced since October 2023 as justification for urgent international intervention45.

• Distrust of Israel: Rejects phased agreements, arguing Israel could exploit negotiations to impose new demands (e.g., exile of Hamas leaders) after initial concessions23.

Sticking Points

• Phase Two Ambiguity: Hamas fears Israel will resume fighting after the first hostage exchange, while Israel refuses to commit to a full withdrawal without disarmament guarantees15.

• US-Israel Coordination: Netanyahu’s alignment with Trump’s proposal for forced Palestinian displacement undermines ceasefire talks, drawing global condemnation45.

• Regional Dynamics: Hamas’ depleted military capabilities and Israel’s domestic instability amplify mutual distrust, reducing prospects for compromise35.

 

 

Key Quote from Antony Blinken: “One party continually changes demands, insisting on alterations for matters already agreed upon”1.

Why It Matters: The deadlock perpetuates a cycle where 2.3 million Gazans face permanent displacement, atrocities escalate, and the specter of ethnic cleansing looms under Trump-backed proposals

 

 

Key Developments:

• 23 civilians killed in an Israeli airstrike targeting a residential building in Gaza City.

• IDF plans to seize Rafah, cutting Gaza off from Egypt with a "security corridor."

• 1,500 killed, 3,700 injured since ceasefire collapse; UN reports 400,000 displaced.

• Hamas rockets injure 12 in Ashkelon amid intensified hostilities.

• Netanyahu rejects mediation, vows to defeat Hamas before halting military operations.

Core Analysis:

The deadliest revelation from Wednesday’s airstrike on Gaza City was the killing of at least eight women and children in a four-story residential building in Shijaiyah. Medics at al-Ahli hospital confirmed the toll, with rescue workers still searching for survivors amid the rubble. The Israeli military claimed the strike targeted a senior Hamas militant but offered no evidence to support this assertion.

Meanwhile, reports from Haaretz reveal that the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) are preparing to seize Rafah, a city constituting one-fifth of Gaza’s territory, as part of its newly proposed “Morag corridor.” This corridor would sever Gaza’s connection to Egypt entirely, creating an enclave surrounded by Israeli forces. A senior UN official warned that such actions could lead to “permanent displacement” for Gaza’s 2.3 million residents, exacerbating the humanitarian crisis.

 

The ceasefire collapse on March 2 marked a turning point, with Israel resuming large-scale bombing and cutting off essential supplies like food and fuel. Since then, 1,500 Palestinians have been killed, most of them civilians, according to Gaza’s health ministry. In retaliation, Hamas launched its strongest rocket attack yet on Ashkelon earlier this week, injuring 12 Israelis.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has doubled down on military operations, stating his intent to “divide up” and seize large swathes of Palestinian territory. He rejected international mediation efforts aimed at securing another ceasefire and freeing hostages held by Hamas. “We will not stop fighting until Hamas is defeated,” Netanyahu declared during his visit to Washington.

Hamas remains defiant, demanding an end to the war before releasing its remaining hostages. Of the original 59 captives, only 24 are believed to be alive, according to mediators attempting to negotiate their release.

Why It Matters:

The escalation in Gaza represents a critical juncture in the ongoing conflict, with potential violations of international law, including the Geneva Conventions. The proposed seizure of Rafah could permanently alter Gaza’s geopolitical landscape and deepen humanitarian suffering for millions. Furthermore, Israel’s alignment with Trump’s controversial call for forced population transfers risks alienating allies and destabilizing the broader Middle East.

 

Based on reports from various media sources.

 

 

If you need to ask, you shouldnt be there ! 

 

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