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theblether

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Everything posted by theblether

  1. Jon Ralston reporting that the GOP advantage grew in Nevada yesterday. Today is the last day of early voting.
  2. No ice cream for Joe. He was so hungry he tried to eat a baby dressed as a chicken. FFS Read that again and weep.
  3. Leftists just can't stop taking the bait. It's hilarious.
  4. Always take pleasure in the fact that someone, somewhere, is so desperate for attention that they opened a sock account to spew bile. Another halfwit on this forum accused me of being a troll today. I'm not a troll. In fact, I tipped Kamala as President in 2018. She reminds me of one of my Muslima ex-girlfriends. 💗
  5. Read the thread before answering and proving you're a fool. The analyst is Jon Ralston. And here's the link, you utter clown. https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog-2024
  6. Yup - we'll see. I'm pretty sure the DNC are over the moon at having their early voting lead halved by election day. I bet they planned on it. Anyway, can you link to where there are 1.4 million more early votes expected.
  7. Uhuhu - maybe that's why I reduced my estimate to 700,000? As I mentioned the other day, that would give the DNC sleepless nights, if they go in with a 900,000 lead I reckon they'll win Penn State.
  8. No, there isn't. I don't know where you are getting that information. Ralston is predicting between 1.3 and 1.4 million TOTAL votes. Go read the figures for the last three elections, there's no way there's 1.4 million ballots expected to arrive, impossible and no chance.
  9. Jon Ralston, Dem analyst in Nevada, reckons the GOP are 44,000 votes ahead with around 65% turnout. Early voting in Nevada ends tomorrow and the big problem for the Dems is the lower than expected turnout in Dem dominated Clark County. Vote total was 1.35 million in 2020, both 2012 and 2016 were around 1 million. Current votes total is 852,000.
  10. Not including independents - the current state of play according to NBC early voting figures Arizona - R 42% D 34% Nevada - R 39% D 35% Georgia - R 48% D 45% N Carolina - R 34% D33% Wisconsin - D 35% R 24% Michigan - D 47% R 42% Penn State - D 58% R 32% Electoral college change from 2020? Arizona and Nevada are gone for the Democrats. Totally gone. Georgia is looking like a Trump gain as well. North Carolina is likely Trump. The other three states are seeing their totals tighten. Trump is progressing. The bizarre thing is the state with the widest margin is the one that's underperforming worst for the Dems. Penn State early voting electoral day advantage for the Dems in 2020 was 1.1 million. Current advantage 403,000 for Dems. Trump won election day by 1 million votes last time. I estimated the Dems needed 900,000 advantage this time, at least 700,000. Doesn't look like they are going to get either.
  11. Check out who tweeted this -
  12. I bet you never thought you'd see the day a Presidential candidate gave a press conference from a garbage truck
  13. Trump the garbage man. Just fantastic trolling.
  14. Read the article 55555 55555 55
  15. Absolutely ridiculous. Conservative Thailand will take action.
  16. Would NATO membership and an end to the war not be a victory of sorts to Ukraine? Genuine question.
  17. Where did they say winter was cancelled? ".........delayed announcing the start of winter due to unusual weather conditions throughout the country. The department expected winter to begin on October 29."
  18. Where does it say that Thailand is trying to control the weather?
  19. My prediction - Trump will offer Ukraine instant NATO protection and future membership if they agree to give up the Donbass. Ukraine will accept, and I think Russia would too. Then both can claim victory.
  20. It's just incredible that Dem supporters can't see brutal reality. They got overexcited about a genuinely stupid joke ( and I abhor that stupidity ) then watch the sitting President do this to his VP during her keynote closing speech??? It's just unbelievable stuff. .
  21. No. The declaration of winter alerts NGO's and other social agencies to be prepared for warm clothing and bedding distribution. Localities prone to cold weather are visited by charities donating both. The coldest temperature I experienced was 4 degrees, that would have been January 2016. To be fair I was a guest of a Karien hill tribe family on a mountain top. Around the same time a cold snap hammered Chiang Mai, that was worse as the provision of warm clothing etc didn't stretch into the urban areas. I, and several others, bought blankets for locals. I can't remember if that was 2016 or 17, what did stand out was the number of farang pensioners who were suffering due to the extreme cold. Blankets and warm clothes are always welcome, warm shoes a very welcome bonus, especially for kids. There's nothing sadder than seeing youngsters shivering while wearing flip flops. So if any of you are looking to make a charity donation this winter, go into the second hand shoe shops first and buy up all the training shoes ( sneakers ) etc you can find. Brand new if you like. Why do I say second hand? A certain coterie of hill tribe people are not above receiving the warm clothing etc then selling it on. Cruel? Comical? or poverty needs/must? Whatever. But you'd be surprised at the social structures that kick into place during cold weather snaps. #justsayin'
  22. Here's what the ultra-right wing New York Times says about Pennsylvania early voting. Oooh, scary: "In Pennsylvania, for example, Republicans have been buoyed by a strong mail ballot return rate. While Republicans still trail Democrats in returning mail ballots, their early vote margins in the state have vastly improved since the 2020 election, when they were at a nearly 3-to-1 disadvantage in early mail voting. This year, the disparity is less than 2-to-1, with Democrats having returned about 850,000 mail ballots and Republicans about 468,000." https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/29/us/politics/early-voting-presidential-election.html
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