theblether

My thinking was that Trump couldn't afford to lose a single state he won in 2020. He had to go into this election with the rock solid 232 electoral votes he had last time. North Carolina has him 4% up with 58% reporting. I haven't seen Iowa figures yet - the only other state that seemed to be in doubt due to Selzers poll the other day. Arizona, Georgia and Nevada are leaning GOP. If Virginia falls its all over - and Governor Youngkin says its too close to call.

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Confusion about Virginia - looks like Trump is ahead, premature call for Harris.

Ohio called for Trump.

North Carolina looks lost to Harris - it was a must gain for Trump

Senate seat flipped - GOP 93% certain to control the Senate

Good hold for Harris - GOP thought they had a small chance

Give it a rest. This is the election update thread. Keep your Russia commentary for other threads.

Arizona heading over the horizon away from the Dems

Florida has gone ruby red

Pennsylvania looking busy

Hilarious

A strong argument can be made that his actions around J6 alone will lose him this election. I thought it was horrendous at the time and nothing has excused him since.

Two things can be true. I did pick her out in 2018 ( on the strength of her Senate performances ) and I do think she has turned out to be shockingly worthless. And Trump will lose to her - which says a lot about him.

Correct, 11th ACR Blackhorse - This idiot is under the impression I said I served with the 11th ACR. I worked on base as a civilian. Neither have I claimed I was involved in intelligence gathering. I clearly said I knew people who were involved in some of the more notorious incidents in the 80's. This guy is a prime example of an overblown frog firing out rifting accusations that exist only in his vapid weirdo mind. He's a sanctimonious halfwit. You've given him more than enough info and time.

I'm going for Harris. She is a shockingly worthless candidate but I did pick her out for President in 2018 and I'll stick with her for one reason. She's not Trump. I said here month's ago that Trump Hatred would see him beaten. If Amy Klobuchar, my other 2018 pick, was the candidate this race would be in the bag for the Dems. Equally; someone like Ron DeSantis would have crushed Kamala. But it's Harris v Trump, and Harris will win. .

The three assumptions in Nevada and no one knows - Independents break for Harris. I can see that. 1.4 million votes with tens of thousands of mail in ballots to arrive by Friday. I can see that. The most dangerous one for Dems? Ralston believes that the Republicans have cannibalised their election day vote. I can see that too - but where it's dangerous is that with margins this small a few thousand low propensity GOP voters could swing the state. Extremely tight. .

Jon Ralston calls Nevada for Harris. To my calculation she would win the state by under 5000 votes. Recount territory. Prediction: Harris, 48.5 percent; Trump 48.2 percent; others and None of These Candidates, 3.3 percent.