theblether

The polls are now rendered worthless. Early voting numbers are a goldmine of indicators. Far more relevant than any poll. @mods - can you close this thread please.

The glimmer of hope for Harris is that the Dems are well ahead in PA. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/pennsylvania-results

Shock early results from Nevada, Republicans are ahead in early voting. This is highly unusual and although tight ( 39 - 37% ) it doesn't bode well for the Dems as the rural counties are flocking to the voting stations. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/nevada-results

Yup, I was right again.

I mentioned earlier in this thread about the utter clowns going about Russian interference in the election not realising that the rest of the world combined dwarfs so-called Russian interference. Number 1 news story on the BBC news website right now? British governing Labour Party sending 100 volunteers to North Carolina swing state on behalf of Harris. Direct interference ON THE GROUND in the US election. It should be illegal. And to clarify, many of these "volunteers" work full time for the Labour party. Every single one has a history of socialist activism. And they are directly interfering as foreign nationals in the US election. Appalling.

Anyway - it doesn't matter what the Dems do this week. This interview will utterly drown their messaging. The stage is set and Trump is the star turn all week.

It takes wits to be a troll and we all know you are half-cocked in that department.

A bizarre poll has Kamala on +3 in New Mexico. Yes, she'll win that state but that's a diabolical poll performance. Oh, and a couple of October Surprise stories bubbling under. She's doomed, doomed, I say. 😆

I've got to say, the McDonalds troll was epic. This is in another league. Outstanding trolling by the two men they cannot cancel no matter how hard they try.

Get ready for an epic meltdown as JR turns out millions of newly minted Trump voters.

Here's the latest figures for total early votes re Michigan - 1,031,654 early votes cast, 54% Dem, 36% Republican. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/michigan-results

Any comment about the 13 million early voting shortfall? https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cpdqw2yd00dt "As we reported earlier, a tracker, external maintained by the University of Florida shows nearly 17 million people have already voted, with early voting under way across more than half of US states. So far, Democrats are currently leading with 45.3% of early votes while Republicans are currently at 33.4%, according to data from 24 states by party registration. Previous data tells us that Democrats are more likely to vote early. According to a study, external by the MIT Election Data and Science Lab, 60% of Democrats cast their ballots by mail in 2020, compared to only 32% of Republicans. An NBC News poll, external last month found that half of registered voters planned to vote early at this election, with 61% saying they would vote for Kamala Harris. The majority of early voters at this election so far are aged 65 and over (49%), according to data from nine states. The tracker shows 34.9% of voters are in the 41-65 age bracket, and only 5.2% of early voters are aged 18-25. Data also shows that women are currently in the lead among early voters at 54.2%. Men make up 44.3% of early voters and 1.4% are classed in this study as "unknown". Thirty million people had voted by this point in 2020 but with two weeks still to go until election day, the number of early voters is expected to rise"

Source https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/PA.html

You must be off your head if you are still arguing about the 2016 result two weeks before the 2024 election. Grow up.

Here's the actual early voting tallies for PA in 2020. This year around 800,000 have voted already. Democrats 1,702,484 64.7 1,941,131 87.7 Republicans 623,404 23.7 784,851 79.4 Minor 20,111 0.8 25,367 79.3 No Party Affiliation 283,673 10.8 336,175 84.4 TOTAL 2,629,672 100.0 3,087,524 85.2

Anyway, reports yesterday that Republicans are on average 10% up on 2020 early voting figures. Pennsylvania is worth watching. 2020 figures were appprox 1.8 million early Dems v 650,000 early Republican. Female early voting is approx the same, 54-56% across the board. Penn early votes won it for Biden. Overall early vote turnout in this state will be a good indicator of where the election is going.

I suggest members watch the movie Shutter Island. This is the level of delusion that we are being subjected to by the Russia Hoax clowns. I keep referring to mental illness. One particular proponent of this theory on this forum has admitted he is living with a lifetime psychiatric disorder. I jest you not.

I'm still waiting on him pointing out my blatant lie.

I'll bite - what was the blatant lie?

The OP is only a statistical exercise aggregating the average of recent polls. Be rest assured I am amazed that Trump is ahead in every battleground state. And before I get dragged into yet another ad hominem argument, the two pollsters I tend to ignore are Trafalgar and Rasmussen, they have a habit of overestimating GOP support.

Pathetic again. Tell me how disinformation works? Is it anything to do with looking for viewpoints that confirm your biases? Are you immune? ............................................. For anyone that's interested - NATO membership cannot be granted until AFTER A COUNTRY HAS APPLIED. Ukraine applied AFTER THE WAR STARTED. Under the NATO charter - if NATO had accepted the application they would have been OBLIGED TO SEND ARMS AND TROOPS INTO WAR WITH RUSSIA. DO NOT LISTEN TO THESE MORONS. I can guarantee that I am one of the few members of this forum that worked on a NATO base. And here I have these losers telling me I am a Kremlin mouthpiece. These people are fevered.

Pathetic. Only proving my point. You were asked a direct question - Feel free to tell the forum when Ukraine applied for membership of NATO. And I'm not bothered about your worthless flames, you truly are the worst Russia conspiracy theorist on this forum. "Maga/Kremlin" - there's something wrong with you.

It's staggering the number of people on this forum who believe they are immune to disinformation. The same people who for years have believed and spread a debunked Russia hoax story. Dreadful.

I know English is your second language so I'll give you a pass. No, I did not say Biden started the Ukraine War. Can Trump end the war? Not without the agreement of Zelensky and Putin.

You're not intelligent enough to be sanctimonious.