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Eric Loh

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Posts posted by Eric Loh

  1. More likelihood for Sudarat to step aside for Anutin than Prayut. Anutin exTRT banned for 5 years may have a bone to pick against the junta. He is close to Thaksin and also to the big guy on top. So far he kept his distance between Thaksin and Prayut wisely. Now that Newin the betrayal not the party chief, Anutin can set his own political course. He is already a very rich dude and money may not incentivize him but self esteem. I also think the 250 appointed senators can be “influenced” and may not vote on partisan line. Let’s see. 

    • Like 1
  2. 1 minute ago, Jim7777 said:

    Does anyone know what the current status is of the election results as of now?  I’m seriously having trouble getting the facts.  

    Full results will be announced this Friday. Was supposed to be done today but EC delayed the announcement. However under the election law, the official result will be completed within 60 days i.e sometime in May. By then the EC will complete investigation of all complaints and issue red and yellow cards. That will be the official result that will be royally gazette. 

  3. 1 hour ago, soalbundy said:

    Tough decisions to make, Thaksin will offer him money and Prayut will promise him that he wont have electrodes attached to his genitals.

    Really not that tough a decision for BJT to join PPRP and save his genitals from harm. After all, BJT was created to represent the military's electoral interests back in 2007. They are beholden to the military. 

    • Like 2
  4. 12 minutes ago, robblok said:

    119 (PP)+52 BJT and 55 democrat = 226 

    If they can persuade the smaller parties then they could just about make it. (would still be hard i think so many parties but it happens in my country)

     

    PTP 135 + 86 FF + 52 BJT = 273  .. so yes parliament will work.. PM wont work

     

    Just stupid that the senators can vote for the PM. totally stupid rule.

     

    What i wonder is if FF goes in a coalition with PTP and BJT will they accept all the corruption that comes with it or will they be strong enough to blow it up when it gets too bad.

    Things will be clearer after the EC count the votes at 2pm. 

     

    PTP 135 seats not including party list. My source said that the party likely to win up to 163 seats combined. So parliament majority quite realistic. 

     

    Most of PTP and FFP campaign policies were quite similar. I have yet to hear Thanathorn spoke on corruption policies. Think he will accept with reasonable restrain on some corruption nuances. IMO their anti military stance is foremost and dominate their support of the coalition.

  5. 14 minutes ago, robblok said:

    Lets hope not, but if they do would that not mean a new election ? How would they calculate it.

     

    Anyway I looked at coalitions and for both the PTP and Palang Pracharat it will be real hard to get a large enough majority. 

    Your reply to Sjaak is what I am referring to. No chance for government but a toss for Parliament. If FFP win more than 80 seats and with PTP/other like minded parties 160-170, they will take Parliament. 

     

    The computation for Palang Pracharat and possible Dem, BJT and ACT will not make 250. FFP really throw a spanner into the computation plus the Dem losing so many seats. 

  6. 9 minutes ago, MikeN said:

    This is Thailand, of course they can ...... and have done so before.

    you are naive if you think previous governments here have not used what would be considered neutral authorities elsewhere to gain an advantage over their political opponents.

     Make dubious directives to the police, exert influence over the judicial system, twist the arms of the Constitutional Court, lean on the media, use the DSI to harass your opponents, etc etc.

     All run of the mill stuff in Thai politics ! 

    IMHO the Future Forward Party might be a breath of fresh air, but they might turn out to be more of the same.

    Apparently you avoided answering my question and insert your own inscrutable diversion and hope to make us believe that the judiciary is in the hands of politicians and not the establishment. That in spite of political parties not aligned to the establishment have been disbanded and executives banned while those aligned were spared. You really don;t have a strong case. 

    • Like 1
  7. Get over it Khun Sudarat. You not going to form the government. The military has been plotting and preventing your party from forming the government since 2001. It’s their mission and they have failed previous attempts and can’t fail this time. All the barriers in placed and nothing can stop that tinpot ex-general to become the next PM. He has worked so hard to fool the people that he is benevolent and someone who is in touch with the people. So just be a viable opposition in parliament and develope your own persona and peel off your reliance on Thaksin, 

    • Like 2
  8. 2 minutes ago, robblok said:

    Can anyone explain me why the PTP has no party list MP's  ? Do they still need to be counted ? 

     

    Future forward is doing better and better last i saw was 70 seats now 81

    Nation reported PTP got 10 party list seats for a total of 163 seats. This piece of news 10 hours ago. Still got to wait for confirmation. 

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