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candide

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Everything posted by candide

  1. Right. The Trump administration negotiated directly with the Taliban, without involving the official government. By doing so, it was de facto designating the Taliban as the winner. It's no wonder the official administration and army were demotivated and quickly collapsed.
  2. Not registered as job seekers. It currently happens in several western countries post-Covid. Different explanations have been evoked: the role of social subsidies, lower morale, and also that people realised during Covid they had a <deleted> job pre-Covid.
  3. It's not about individual preferences, It's about your previous arguments not being valid: - if GDP level in value is above pre-Covid level, It's not due to the fact that growth rates are obviously high after a crisis - if the number of jobs is higher than pre-covid, It's not because the occupation rate is lower than pre-Covid. However, you are right that population increase should be factored in, so GDP per capita would be a better indicator, but the GDP per capita in 2021 is also higher than in 2019. https://countryeconomy.com/gdp/usa As for predictions, you may be right. it is quite possible that interest rates increases may slow down growth. More worrying, according to the IMF and the World Bank the war in Ukraine may possibly cause a global economic crisis which will affect the U.S. among others. However, on comparable terms, the performance is there and better than Trump for GDP and employment.
  4. I agree with you that numbers during the Covid crisis are not comparable. So let's take only the pre-Covid numbers for Trump. - as you mentioned, Obama'debt increase at the beginning of his first tenure were over 1T/year. But this has been done in order to fight a very acute economic crisis. It was countercyclical. - the yearly level of debt increase by Trump pre-Covid was also above 1T, thanks to tax cuts for the rich and companies (which massively bought back their own shares), during a time of regular growth and prosperity. That was stupidly procyclical. There was no need to increase debts.
  5. That's why I prefer numbers rather than %. And if we look at raw numbers, your comments are irrelevant: - GDP level (not only growth %) is higher than pre-covid (see chart) https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp - job number (not only %) is lower than pre-covid (see my previous post) Actually, the factors you mention allow to consider the U.S. performance in a better way: - despite the negative impact of the Covid crisis, the pre-Covid level of GDP has been surpassed, - despite a lower labour participation rate (means: less people than before Covid are on the job market), the number of jobs is higher than pre-Covid. As about the deficit reduction, high growth and high employment generate more tax. It will be a long way before we see a balanced U.S. budget (probably never). However, if we compare with Trump's tenure pre-Covid, Trump stupidly increased debts during a period of regular growth and prosperity, while Biden (and Obama before) used debt to recover from a crisis.
  6. From what I read, Russia is not so happy about Macron's comment, which indirectly suggests Russia may be weak enough to feel humiliated. A way to humiliate Russia, while pretending not willing to humiliate it? ????
  7. In May 2022, the number of jobs was 158,1 million, much higher than 152.5 million in February 2020. https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf&ved=2ahUKEwivocbc25r4AhVtQ_EDHTYQBe8QFnoECBUQBg&usg=AOvVaw0El9HPDNwCkjhZ_HvoSxIU
  8. Biden did big mistakes: ???? - stellar GDP growth, and GDP levels higher than Trump pre-Covid - record unemployment, much lower than Trump pre-covid, and reaching a 50 years low - budget deficit reduction (compared to Trump increasing it every year pre-Covid) -international leadership and recognition (compared to foreign leaders laughing behind Trump's back, I.e. at NATO meeting) - Covid response (compared to Trump continuously downplaying the pandemic)
  9. Talking about trolling! ???? Please explain us how Biden has caused baby formula shortage!
  10. They also forgot to mention this https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/unemployment-rate https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp
  11. And as usual...... https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/gun-deaths-per-capita-by-state
  12. On the other hand, the Covid stimulus packages also helped to increases GDP and create jobs. Underemployment is now at a record 50 years low level
  13. Lol! The BLM never stormed the Capitol in order to overturn the legitimate results of a presidential election. ???? The BLM have also not been incited to riot by a U.S. President!????
  14. Loll! And, of course, you don't mention how Russia triggered and supported the Donbas/Donestk rebellion, which has been led by former FSB/GRU members (who had formerly been employed in Chechnya) with the help of a Putin advisor. Below the pedigree of a few Russian key players in the rebellion https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Igor_Girkin https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Igor_Bezler https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sergey_Glazyev Not to mention how the DPR and Russia continuously violated the Minsk I and Minsk II agreements.
  15. Do you remember the aim of the Durham probe? It was to prove that the Russia probe was not properly predicated. It failed so far, and this next trial will not change anything, because it has already been acknowledged that the Steele dossier was no at the origin of the Russia probe. So even if this trial can convict an informant of the Steele dossier, it will not show that the Russia probe has been wrongfully predicated. So in brief: - the only guy convince so far has altered an email after the start of the Russia probe so nothing to do with predication - the Sussman case: not only not guilty, but the data he provided had been rejected by the FBI anyway - Donshenko: nothing to do with the predication anyway. So the Durham probe is a fail, a waste of taxpayer money ($3.8 million) during 3 years. Actually, as this article explains, instead of proving that Trump was right in denouncing the Russia probe, Durham actually debunked Trump's claim that it has been a hoax, a witch hunt!. ???? "In the reality-based world, Durham actually has undermined Trump and his bogus narrative. He has failed to demonstrate that the Russia investigation was a witch hunt or hoax cooked up by Trump’s enemies........Durham has provided a valuable service. His inability to uncover evidence of a hoax confirms that Trump’s denials and diversions have been the real hoax all along. " https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2022/06/how-john-durhams-probe-has-exposed-trumps-russia-con/
  16. Sure! I have no doubt they will dethrone hamburgers, fried chicken, tacos and pizzas as favoured dishes in the U.S.! ????
  17. I was wondering why a Bhumjaithai MP (allied to coup makers) could be convicted. Then I read the full article...... "A former MP of the Opposition’s now-defunct Future Forward party, Samlee defected to Bhumjaithai, the second biggest government coalition party after the dissolution of his former party. "
  18. Par. 1: following this line of thought, Russia did support the rebels in Donbass in 2014 which resulted in a deadly war followed by a state of quasi-war.. Had Russia not intervened in another country's internal affairs by supporting and arming the rebellion in 2014 (as well as by sending army members and mercenaries), there would have been peace in this region to start with. Par. 2: - There is no "mysterious reason" why Donbass was attached to Ukraine, it was because the highest share of the population was Ukrainian. "Along with other territories inhabited by Ukrainians, the Donbas was incorporated into the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic in the aftermath of the Russian Civil War." - It's not only a question of Russian origin. There has been a policy of Russification of Donbass. . "Russification was further advanced by the 1958–59 Soviet educational reforms, which led to the near elimination of all Ukrainian-language schooling in the Donbas". https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donbas
  19. The Donbass used to have a majority of Ukrainian inhabitants (plus Don Cosacks who have been more or less exterminated or deported by Stalin). The current majority of Russian speaking inhabitants is the outcome of a policy of russification by the Soviet Union. It means that by recognising the right of Russian speaking people to be independent from Ukraine, you legitimate the prior russification. If russification was legitimate, it means that other xxxxxxxations are also legitimate, and that would include Ukrainisation as well. As Bild766 commented, It's not as simple as you present it. Having said that, I agree that the Donbass issue has not been well managed by the successive Ukrainian governments. Do that justify the Russian invasion and massacre? Certainly not.
  20. However, tools provide opportunities. If someone gets enraged or depressed and only has a toothpick at hand, he is less likely to kill someone (or himself) than if he has a gun in his pocket.
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