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bamnutsak

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Everything posted by bamnutsak

  1. This is why they need a week. They've got one shot to find the perfect birthday present, and it will take that long for all the "horse-trading" to be completed. Given the hard deadline of 28 July failure may not be an option? Prawit may be the last man waddling? Oops did he fall down again?
  2. It will be interesting to see how aggressive the RTA/ISOC and the RTP are in pressing 112/116/Computer Crimes Act charges for those involved in protests. And if Attitude Adjustment camps become a thing again.
  3. I conferred that honor on you. Based on your professed "experience", and your ability to Google and find articles. Exemplary. If I've made a mistake, and I often do, please advise. Gaslighting is a form of psychological manipulation in which the abuser attempts to sow self-doubt and confusion in their victim's mind. Unless you experienced self-doubt or confusion based on my post you should probably retract that statement.
  4. I think his legal problems will actually help him. His base loves that he is being oppressed by the deep state. He can claim victim-hood. He can forestall trials until after the election. If he wins he'll pardon himself, and get HIS DOJ/OLC to write an opinion that the DOJ can never prosecute anyone named trump. If he loses he will claim he won, and is still president. Although that would be a third term? Yes? No? SCOTUS says "No". No downside to any criminal/civil charges. In fact, the more the merrier.
  5. Top 5, but a long shot. Though he would make the ideal birthday present for the man who has everything.
  6. Even more rudimentary, it's already been posted on page 1 of this thread. ???? That said, it hardly represents all encompassing "medical profession" which some "expert" posted about. But yes, I am bowing to your "expertise".
  7. Never been a fan of these food challenges. What's the point?
  8. Well the "Ivy League Trojan Horse" has been eliminated, so all is well in the Kingdom. I feel so much better.
  9. Good analysis, although depressing. from the article, Of the eligible candidates for prime minister, only four have any realistic chance of actually winning. Pheu Thai’s Paethongtharn Shinawatra and Srettha Thavisin are the most likely candidates to be put forward; Bhumjaithai’s Anutin isn’t out of the running, given his status as the leader of the third biggest party, while Palang Pracharath leader Prawit Wongsuwan consistently remains in play with his sway over the Senate appointments under the NCPO. I can't see the Senate going with either PTP candidate unless they (PTP) agree to be subservient to the will of the aristocracy.
  10. Third wife. Polygamist. Although given her condition maybe he'll be a bigamist, again. Third wife, second-hand clothes shop, three and a half storey shophouse. Oy vey, too much math.
  11. A one week delay is not ideal. I don't see a reason offered for such a delay. This second vote should be done ASAP.
  12. So you contend that one single person can bring about ...the beginning of the end of Thailand? That sounds a crazy.
  13. Even if they limp through this crisis, either with a PTP/MFP coalition, or a PTP/BJT/Senate coalition, there is a looming constitutional crisis next year with the Senate (repeal, or replace). It "feels" like there will be a Prayut-continued (his 8 year ticker still has some time left) care-taker government which will be allowed to appoint another new batch of Senators, and then calling for another election. PTP and MFP will have been disbanded and all members not imprisoned will be banned for at least 10 years. That's my hot-take/over-reaction for today.
  14. Also known as 7:00 PM, on the Thai Political Clock.
  15. The Old Guard would have come up at least four or five other spurious "charges" which the pliant Election Commission would have forwarded to the Administrative Court or the Constitutional Court. Ruangkrai has filed additional charges, and has threatened to file more. I think that Pita, and his legal team, thought that they had the iTV shares issue covered and were (and still are) well positioned to defend it. They assumed they could defend it in front of the EC first. Thai "law" is very flexible, it can be used for or against anyone by those above in the Thai Social Pyramid. It's baked into the Thai Social Contract.
  16. This is probably the most important aspect of this story. One has to wonder what other Ministerial decrees will get Gazetted into Law in the coming weeks. IMO, this should have been lodged with House Speaker Wan Noor for debate in Parliament.
  17. Abhisit Vejjajiva was born in the U.K., holds British citizenship and graduated from Eton College, Oxford University. He was PM. Quite a few of the early PMs were educated in the U.K. The President of the Senate, Pornpetch Wichitcholchai, is a Harvard grad. Prince Mahidol is a Harvard grad. "Trojan Horse"? Seriously? Maybe keep workshopping this conspiracy theory. It's pretty lame.
  18. 113,560 per month. Plus five (5) "staff" AKA the "friends and family" plan. I thought that they get 60,000 per month each.
  19. Yes, but he is the (caretaker) Minster of Defense, so the RTA reports directly to him. As (caretaker) PM, the Royal Thai Police also report directly to him. Plus he's got the coup experience.
  20. On the plus side he didn't say that "There will not be a coup". Yet. He's itching to get the band back together.
  21. I'd argue that he doesn't "own" the shares, just as Prawit doesn't "own" the watches. The iTV shares are/were "owned" by Pita's father. He is the shareholder of record. If those shares exist now, they exist within a trust. Next I'd ask how Pita could have distanced himself from these shares as there is no market for them? Burn them? Bury them" Transfer ownership, somehow? Finally, the Court must accept that owning media shares implies that the firm is active. If it is not, then no benefit comes from owning them. Did iTV give Pita free coverage and advertising? It will be interesting to see the Constitutional Court ties themselves into knots arriving at a guilty vote. I think it took them ~ 9 months to clear Thaksin back in 2001 by an 8-7 vote.
  22. That is the minimum I think? Approximately. 141 (PTP) + 71 (BJT) = 212 375 needed so a minimum of 163 Senators needed. That will be easy I think. There are 249 Senators I think.
  23. Yes. They are. With 165 (from 250) Senators.
  24. On the plus side he hasn't been arrested or sent to an Attitude Adjustment camp.
  25. Then any proposed legislation modifying 112 would fail to pass. And, BTW, the Constitutional Court would strike down any changes within 24 hours were it to pass.
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