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In a significant diplomatic breakthrough, China and the Philippines have reached an agreement intended to end confrontations at the Second Thomas Shoal, one of the most fiercely disputed areas in the South China Sea. This deal, which was confirmed by two Philippine officials on condition of anonymity ahead of an official announcement, marks a crucial step towards reducing tensions that have escalated to dangerous levels in recent years. The Second Thomas Shoal is occupied by the Philippines but also claimed by China, leading to increasingly hostile encounters that have raised concerns about potential larger conflicts involving the United States. The agreement was reached on Sunday following a series of negotiations between Chinese and Philippine diplomats in Manila and an exchange of diplomatic notes aimed at creating a mutually acceptable arrangement without compromising either nation's territorial claims. The deal comes after years of aggressive actions by Chinese coast guard and other forces, who have used water cannons and dangerous blocking maneuvers to prevent supplies from reaching Filipino navy personnel stationed at Manila’s outpost on the shoal. These hostilities have included repeated clashes, such as the severe confrontation on June 17, when Chinese forces rammed and boarded Philippine navy boats to stop the transfer of food and other supplies, resulting in injuries to Filipino personnel and the seizure of equipment. The Second Thomas Shoal, known as Ayungin in the Philippines and Ren’ai Jiao in China, has been a flashpoint in the broader territorial disputes in the South China Sea. Alongside China and the Philippines, other countries like Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei, and Taiwan have overlapping claims in the region, making it a critical area of geopolitical tension and a potential flashpoint for broader conflicts. The agreement, while a positive development, faces challenges in its implementation and longevity. The removal of two significant Chinese demands from the final deal was pivotal. China had initially required the Philippines to refrain from bringing construction materials to fortify its outpost and to allow Chinese inspection of supply shipments. The Philippines rejected these conditions, ensuring that the final agreement did not include them. The United States, which has no territorial claims in the South China Sea but maintains a strong interest in the region's stability and freedom of navigation, has repeatedly affirmed its commitment to defending the Philippines, its oldest treaty ally in Asia, in the event of an armed attack. This stance underscores the strategic importance of the agreement between China and the Philippines, which could set a precedent for resolving other disputes in the region. The international community, including key U.S. allies such as Japan and Australia, has condemned China's aggressive actions and called for adherence to international law and the preservation of free navigation in the South China Sea. This agreement may spark hope for similar arrangements between China and other rival countries to avoid clashes while territorial disputes remain unresolved. As both nations prepare to announce this historic deal publicly, it represents a tentative but hopeful step towards peace and stability in one of the world's most contested maritime regions. The success of this agreement could influence future diplomatic efforts and contribute to a more peaceful resolution of territorial disputes in the South China Sea. Credit: Politico 2024-07-22 Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe
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Yemen's Huthi rebels have promised a substantial retaliation against Israel following a deadly strike on the port of Hodeida, as violence sparked by the Gaza war continues to spread across the region. The Huthis' pledge comes amid a series of escalating attacks and counterattacks involving multiple Iran-backed militant groups. Israel's military has been actively responding to various threats, bombing targets in the Palestinian territories, Lebanon, and Yemen in quick succession. This series of strikes comes despite claims from Washington that a resolution to the ongoing conflict between Israel and Gaza rulers Hamas is near. Over the weekend, the Israeli military reported intercepting a missile fired from Yemen while continuing its offensive in the heavily besieged Gaza Strip. According to Gaza's civil defense agency, dozens have been killed in recent strikes, including civilians in the central Nuseirat and Bureij areas and displaced persons near Khan Yunis in the south. Reports from residents indicate a significant military operation is underway in the Saudi district west of Rafah, with heavy artillery fire and ongoing clashes. The escalation in Gaza was preceded by attacks from Hezbollah and its ally Hamas on Israeli positions from southern Lebanon, while Yemen's Huthi rebels vowed to retaliate for Israeli airstrikes on Hodeida's port. Huthi military spokesperson Yahya Saree stated, "Our response to the Israeli aggression against our country is inevitably coming and will be huge." The recent strike on Hodeida, which left a massive fire raging, was visible across the region. Israeli Defence Minister Yoav Gallant underscored the significance of the fire and warned of further military actions should the Huthis continue their aggression. Following a rebel drone strike that killed one person in Tel Aviv, Gallant emphasized Israel's preparedness to act if provoked. In Hodeida, the strikes resulted in three deaths and 87 injuries, according to health officials cited by Huthi media. Firefighters struggled to contain the blaze, with fuel storage tanks and a power plant still burning the following day. In response, the Israeli military intercepted a missile launched from Yemen towards the Red Sea resort town of Eilat. Yahya Saree confirmed that the rebels had fired ballistic missiles at the port city. The trio of militant groups, including Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Huthis, have committed to sustaining their attacks on Israel until a ceasefire is established to end the Gaza conflict. The war in Gaza has led to extensive destruction, forcing most residents to flee their homes. This current wave of violence was triggered by a Hamas attack on southern Israel on October 7, resulting in the deaths of 1,195 people, predominantly civilians, according to an AFP tally based on Israeli figures. Additionally, militants seized 251 hostages, of which 116 remain in Gaza, with 42 believed to be dead according to Israeli military sources. As the violence continues, the region remains on edge, with international efforts to broker peace facing significant challenges amid the ongoing hostilities and complex geopolitical dynamics. Credit: ABC News 2024-07-22 Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe
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A recent study published in Science Advances has highlighted a significant and unequal decline in life expectancy in India during the COVID-19 pandemic. The research, co-authored by Dr. Aashish Gupta and Professor Ridhi Kashyap from the Department of Sociology and the Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, reveals that life expectancy in India dropped by 2.6 years in 2020 compared to 2019, with women and marginalized social groups suffering the greatest declines. The study found that overall mortality across India was 17% higher in 2020 compared to 2019, translating to an estimated 1.19 million excess deaths. This figure is approximately eight times higher than the official number of COVID-19 deaths reported in India and 1.5 times higher than the World Health Organization's estimates. Professor Kashyap, a Professor of Demography and Computational Social Science at the University of Oxford, stated, "Our findings challenge the view that 2020 was not significant in terms of the mortality impacts and severity of the COVID-19 pandemic in India. While a mortality surge caused by the delta variant in 2021 received more attention, our study reveals significant and unequal mortality increases even earlier on in the pandemic." The study utilized high-quality survey data from 765,180 individuals to estimate changes in life expectancy at birth, by sex and social group, between 2019 and 2020 in India. It found that younger age groups, women, and marginalized social groups experienced the largest mortality impacts from the pandemic. Dr. Gupta, a Marie Sklodowska-Curie Fellow at the University of Oxford, noted, "Marginalized groups already had lower life expectancy, and the pandemic further increased the gap between the most privileged Indian social groups and the most marginalized social groups in India." The research highlighted that while high-caste Hindu groups experienced a life expectancy decline of 1.3 years, the loss for Muslims was 5.4 years, and for Scheduled Tribes, it was 4.1 years. These marginalized caste and religious groups already faced significant disadvantages in life expectancy, and the pandemic exacerbated these disparities. Additionally, the study found that women in India experienced life expectancy declines of 3.1 years—one year more than men, who experienced a decline of 2.1 years. This pattern contrasts with high-income countries, where excess mortality during the pandemic was higher among men than women. The researchers suggest that gender inequalities in healthcare and resource allocation within households may explain this difference in India. The study also found that mortality increased across almost all age groups in India, with the most significant impacts seen in the youngest and older age groups. Excess mortality among the youngest could be attributed to children in certain areas being more susceptible to COVID-19 and the indirect effects of the pandemic and subsequent lockdowns, including deteriorating economic conditions and disruptions to public health services. Professor Kashyap emphasized, "Using unique demographic and health survey data, our study highlights the importance of focusing on inequality when measuring mortality and shows that pandemics can worsen, rather than equalize, existing disparities. This was particularly noticeable in the role that COVID-19 had in further exacerbating the health impacts of pre-pandemic gender disparities." The study demonstrates the potential for accurately estimating mortality—even for short periods—using retrospective mortality information collected in relatively poor contexts. It also underscores the need for policies that address the underlying social determinants of health to mitigate the impact of future health crises. Credit: PHYS.ORG 2024-07-22 Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe
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Kevin Jordan once envisioned a peaceful retirement on the Norfolk coast in eastern England, where he could spend his days listening to the soothing sounds of the sea. His dream was abruptly shattered in November of the previous year when his home was demolished due to severe coastal erosion, leaving him with nothing overnight. Now, at the age of 71, Jordan is at the center of a landmark legal case spearheaded by the climate activist group Friends of the Earth. The case accuses the government of failing to protect its citizens from the foreseeable impacts of climate change. Jordan's house was precariously perched on a fragile cliff made of sand and clay, similar to dozens of other homes overlooking the seaside resort of Hemsby Beach, about eight miles north of Great Yarmouth. Until recently, a road led to his front door. Now, the tarmac ends abruptly, and an orange barrier warns anyone from proceeding further. Reflecting on the events that led to his current situation, Jordan recounted, "Last November there was a storm... it really caught us by surprise how it became so fierce during the evening through the night." The next day, residents discovered that part of the road had been washed away, leaving Jordan's house dangerously close to the edge. A report submitted to the Norfolk council in February highlighted the severity of coastal erosion in the region. The local coastline, which extends over 150 kilometers, was identified as one of the worst-affected areas in northwest Europe. The report predicted a sea level rise of 1.15 meters by the end of the century, potentially causing nearly 1,000 homes and businesses to vanish by 2105 if no preventative measures are taken. Jordan, an electrician specializing in submarines, had purchased his house overlooking the North Sea after losing his partner 15 years ago. Although he was aware of the erosion risk, experts at the time assured him that it would not become a concern for at least 100 years. In the aftermath of the storm, Jordan and four of his neighbors received letters instructing them to vacate their homes, which were slated for demolition within a week. No compensation was offered, and the only option for Jordan, who was in poor health, was to relocate to social housing a few kilometers away. From his new window, he now sees only concrete buildings, a stark contrast to his previous view of the sea. "Here before that was just sea, I didn't have any curtains, I could see passing ships at night with their lights... it was fabulous," he lamented. The Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership estimated in 2020 that 28 percent of the coastline in England and Wales was retreating by at least 10 centimeters annually due to erosion. This problem is exacerbated by global warming, which contributes to rising sea levels and more frequent storms in both winter and summer. In Hemsby, the local population swells from about 4,000 to three times that number during the summer tourist season. However, residents feel neglected by local authorities. Lorna Bevan, owner of The Lacon Arms pub, expressed her frustration, asking, "Why are they not looking after us?" She added, "People say, 'It's just something you should have thought [about]'. But there's no way anybody could have anticipated these losses 15, even 10 years ago." Bevan's pub has become the headquarters for the "Save Hemsby Coastline" group, which is advocating for changes in the way government funding is allocated for sea defenses. Currently, Hemsby does not qualify for funding because the combined value of its businesses and homes does not meet the required threshold. Jordan will appear at the High Court in London, where Friends of the Earth will argue that the UK's climate adaptation plan is insufficient to protect those affected by climate change. For Jordan, the court action is not just about his personal loss but also about the future of Hemsby and similar communities. He warned, "The minute you don't have the beach resorts and shops anymore, everything will be dead. Hemsby will become a ghost town." As the case unfolds, it highlights the urgent need for more robust measures to combat coastal erosion and protect vulnerable communities from the increasingly severe effects of climate change. The fate of Hemsby serves as a stark reminder of the real and immediate impacts of global warming, demanding immediate and effective action from governments and policymakers. Jordan's story, and the ongoing battle of Hemsby's residents, underscore the importance of addressing climate change and protecting the livelihoods of those living on the front lines of its effects. Credit: RFI 2024-07-22 Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe
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An Oklahoma man, Brandon Dale Biggs, has become the focus of attention after claiming to have predicted the attempted assassination of Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump with eerie precision. In a YouTube podcast posted on March 14, Biggs asserted that he foresaw the attack in a vision from God. During the podcast, hosted by Pastor Steve Cioccolanti, Biggs described his vision in detail. “I saw Trump, rising up, and then I saw an attempt on his life,” Biggs recounted. “This bullet flew by his ear, and it came so close to his head that it busted his eardrum.” Biggs mentioned that the vision had come to him a few weeks before the taping. He further elaborated, “I saw, he fell to his knees during this time frame, and he started worshipping the Lord.” In a strikingly similar real-life incident, Trump was shot in his right ear on July 13 during a campaign stop in Butler, Pennsylvania. The gunman, Thomas Matthew Crooks, 20, was immediately neutralized by security service snipers. Biggs's vision did not end with the assassination attempt. He envisioned a profound transformation in Trump, seeing him become “really on fire for Jesus” following the close brush with death. “The Lord told me, he said, ‘I am not done with America,’” Biggs claimed. He also predicted “a new wave of patriotism” that would emerge, leading to “a red wave coming out of Michigan.” In his vision, Biggs saw people carrying flaming torches through Oklahoma, symbolizing the birth of a new patriotism that would spread across the nation like wildfire. During the podcast, which also touched on the spiritual ramifications of the impending solar eclipse, Biggs predicted Trump’s victory in November and suggested that Jesus’ return was imminent. The three guests on the podcast also believed that a second Trump term would be marked by significant financial strain. Despite his growing notoriety, Biggs, who regularly posts prophetic warnings on his YouTube channel, could not be reached for further comment. It remains unclear whether he leads an actual church or if his preaching is confined to his online presence. Biggs's detailed prediction and its uncanny resemblance to the actual assassination attempt have sparked widespread discussion and intrigue. Whether viewed as a coincidence or a genuine divine revelation, his vision has undoubtedly captured the public’s imagination at a critical juncture in American politics. YouTube video link, the prediction is @ around 11 mins in https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ey0qVzG8_vU Credit: NYP 2024-07-22 Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe
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In a rapid and decisive legal action, a 19-year-old Frenchman, alleged to be a neo-Nazi sympathizer, has been sentenced to two years in prison for making online threats and sharing bomb-making instructions. The Paris public prosecutor’s office announced the conviction, which occurred during an expedited trial on Friday night. The charges included disseminating bomb-making instructions on social media, inciting hate, issuing death threats, and posting personal information that endangered others. Authorities detained the young man at his home in the Alsace region of eastern France on Wednesday morning. The suspect had been operating a group called "French Aryan Division" on the messaging platform Telegram. This group, which propagated extremist views, became the focal point of the investigation by the prosecutor’s unit dedicated to combating online hate speech. The prosecutor's statement clarified that the man's comments, which initiated the investigation, did not specifically target the upcoming Paris Olympics. Nevertheless, there was a concern that he might have intended to disrupt the Olympic torch relay, a significant event leading up to the games. The Paris Olympics, set to commence with a high-security opening ceremony on Friday, have heightened security measures, making any potential threats a serious concern for the authorities. The swift action by the Paris public prosecutor’s office underscores France's robust stance against online hate speech and threats of violence, especially in the context of major international events like the Olympics. This case highlights the ongoing challenges and vigilance required to maintain security and counter extremism in the digital age. Credit: ABC News 2024-07-22 Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe
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NASA’s Curiosity rover has uncovered an extraordinary geological feature on Mars: rocks composed of pure sulfur. This surprising discovery, which occurred when the rover happened to drive over a rock and crack it open, has captivated scientists and shed new light on the Martian environment. The unexpected find of yellowish-green crystals, never before seen on the red planet, was described by Ashwin Vasavada, Curiosity project scientist at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California, as the "strangest" and "most unexpected" of the mission. "I have to say, there’s a lot of luck involved here. Not every rock has something interesting inside," Vasavada remarked, underscoring the fortuitous nature of the discovery. The Curiosity team had been eager to investigate the Gediz Vallis channel, a winding groove on Mount Sharp that appears to have been created three billion years ago by a combination of flowing water and debris. This channel is carved into the 3-mile-tall Mount Sharp, which Curiosity has been scaling since 2014. Visible in the distance were white stones, prompting mission scientists to seek a closer look. The rover drivers at JPL, who send instructions to Curiosity, executed a 90-degree turn to position the rover’s cameras for a detailed mosaic of the surrounding landscape. On the morning of May 30, Vasavada and his team examined Curiosity’s mosaic and noticed a crushed rock amidst the rover’s wheel tracks. A closer inspection of the rock revealed the "mind-blowing" find of pure sulfur crystals. Curiosity’s mission has always been to determine whether Mars once hosted habitable environments, and some of its previous discoveries, such as lakes that lasted millions of years and the presence of organic materials, have played into this goal. The presence of pure sulfur, however, adds a new layer of complexity to the planet’s geological history. "No one had pure sulfur on their bingo card," Vasavada quipped, highlighting the unexpected nature of the discovery. Sulfur rocks on Earth typically have a "beautiful, translucent and crystalline texture," but weathering on Mars has essentially sandblasted the exterior of these rocks to blend in with the planet’s predominant shades of orange. The team was doubly stunned when they used Curiosity’s instruments to analyze the rock and received data indicating it was pure sulfur. "My jaw dropped when I saw the image of the sulfur," said Briony Horgan, a co-investigator on the Perseverance rover mission and professor of planetary science at Purdue University in West Lafayette, Indiana. She noted, "Pure elemental sulfur is a very weird finding because on Earth we mostly find it in places like hydrothermal vents. Think Yellowstone! So it’s a big mystery to me as to how this rock formed in Mt. Sharp." This discovery is reminiscent of a significant finding by NASA’s Spirit rover, which in 2008, while dragging a broken wheel, revealed bright white soil that turned out to be nearly pure silica. The presence of silica suggested the past existence of hot springs or steam vents on Mars, environments that could have been conducive to microbial life if it ever existed on the planet. The silica discovery remains one of Spirit’s most important findings, and Vasavada noted that it inspired the team to "look behind" the Curiosity rover, leading to the sulfur discovery. "I feel very lucky, but also we all feel cautious that the next one may not be only a close call, so we’re trying to make the most of it, and we have this landing site that’s been so wonderful," he said. While approaching the Gediz Vallis channel, Curiosity sent back images of an unusual sight: a flat area about half the size of a football field, scattered with bright white hand-sized rocks. Initially, the team thought these "strange rocks" were part of the debris from the channel, possibly transported by water from higher up the mountain. However, upon closer inspection and the fortuitous crushing of the sulfur rock, the team now believes the flat, uniform field of rocks formed in their current location. The team was eager to take a sample of the rocks for further study, but Curiosity could not drill into the rocks because they were too small and brittle. Instead, the team analyzed nearby bedrock to determine the processes that formed the sulfur rocks. Pure sulfur on Earth only forms under certain conditions, such as volcanic processes or in hot or cold springs, and depending on the process, different minerals are created alongside the sulfur. On June 18, the team sampled a large rock from the channel, nicknamed "Mammoth Lakes." An analysis of the rock’s dust, carried out by instruments within the rover’s belly, revealed a larger variety of minerals than ever seen before during the mission. "The running joke for us was we almost saw every mineral we’ve ever seen in the whole mission but all in this rock," Vasavada said. "It’s almost an abundance of riches." Since landing on Mars on August 5, 2012, the Curiosity rover has ascended 2,600 feet up the base of Mount Sharp from the floor of Gale Crater. The mountain is a central peak of the crater, which is a vast, dry ancient lake bed. Each layer of Mount Sharp tells a different story about Mars’ history, including periods when the planet was wet and when it became drier. Curiosity has been systematically investigating different features of the mountain, such as the Gediz Vallis channel, which was formed well after the mountain because it carves through different layers of Mount Sharp. After water and debris carved a trail, they left behind a 2-mile ridge of boulders and sediment below the channel. Although Curiosity arrived at the channel in March and is likely to stay for another month or two, it has been steadily climbing next to the debris trail for a while. Scientists have wondered whether floodwaters or landslides caused the debris, and Curiosity’s investigations have shown that both violent water flows and landslides likely played a part. Some of the rocks are rounded like river rocks, suggesting they were carried by water, but others are more angular, meaning they were likely delivered by dry avalanches. Then, water soaked into the debris, and chemical reactions created "halo" shapes that can be seen on some of the rocks that Curiosity has studied. "This was not a quiet period on Mars," said Becky Williams, a scientist with the Planetary Science Institute in Tucson, Arizona, and the deputy principal investigator of Curiosity’s Mast Camera, in a statement. "There was an exciting amount of activity here. We’re looking at multiple flows down the channel, including energetic floods and boulder-rich flows." Scientists are eager to uncover more details, including how much water was present to help carve the channel in the first place. Gediz Vallis channel has long been of interest to scientists, including Vasavada, who recalls looking at orbital images of the feature well before Curiosity landed on Mars. "It’s always been something that’s just been really intriguing," he said. "I remember when the rover kind of rolled over the final hill before we got to the channel, and you could all of a sudden see the landscape and the curved channel. Now, we’re actually here, seeing it with our own eyes, so to speak." There is no definitive explanation yet for how the sulfur was formed, but the team continues to analyze the data collected by Curiosity to determine how and when each mineral formed. "Maybe this rock slab has experienced multiple different kinds of environments," Vasavada said, "and they’re sort of overprinting each other, and now we have to unravel that." As Curiosity continues to explore the channel, looking for more surprises, the rover will eventually head west to drive along the mountain rather than straight up, to seek out more intriguing geological features. Despite 12 years of wear and tear, including some "close calls" such as wheel issues and mechanical problems, Curiosity remains in great health, according to Vasavada. "I feel very lucky, but also we all feel cautious that the next one may not be only a close call, so we’re trying to make the most of it, and we have this landing site that’s been so wonderful," he said. "I’m glad we chose something that was 12 years’ worth of science." Credit: CNN | NYP 2024-07-22 Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe
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Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg has chosen to remain neutral in the 2024 presidential election, refraining from endorsing either President Biden or former President Trump. In an interview with Bloomberg’s Emily Chang, Zuckerberg expressed his decision not to engage significantly in this election cycle. “I’ve done some stuff personally in the past,” he said, “I’m not planning on doing that this time, and that includes not endorsing either of the candidates.” This stance contrasts with the recent political activity of other notable tech figures who have openly supported Trump. Following an assassination attempt at a campaign rally last weekend, Elon Musk, the billionaire CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, officially endorsed Trump. Additionally, former Democratic donors such as Palantir adviser Jacob Helberg and Sequoia Capital partner Shaun Maguire have also shifted their support to Trump, reflecting a conservative shift within Silicon Valley, traditionally a Democratic stronghold. Although Zuckerberg refrained from endorsing any candidate, he expressed admiration for Trump’s resilience following the assassination attempt. He described Trump’s reaction as “badass,” saying, “Seeing Donald Trump get up after getting shot in the face and pump his fist in the air with the American flag is one of the most badass things I’ve ever seen in my life.” Zuckerberg acknowledged the emotional impact of Trump’s spirit and fight, which he believes resonates with many Americans. Zuckerberg's decision to step back from political endorsements aligns with Meta’s broader strategy to reduce political content on its platforms. Instagram, a subsidiary of Meta, announced in February that it would no longer proactively recommend political content to users. Instead, users must adjust their settings if they wish to receive political content recommendations. Zuckerberg explained the rationale behind this shift: “The main thing that I hear from people is that they actually want to see less political content on our services because they come to our services to connect with people.” Meta’s approach aims to diminish its role in the upcoming election. “We give people control over this, but we’re generally trying to recommend less political content,” Zuckerberg stated. “So, I think you’re going to see our services play less of a role in this election than they have in the past.” This move marks a significant change for Meta, which has previously faced scrutiny for its handling of political content and misinformation. By stepping back from political endorsements and reducing political content on its platforms, Zuckerberg and Meta aim to refocus on fostering personal connections among users. Credit: Hill 2024-07-22 Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe
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US Secretary of State Antony Blinken has raised alarm about the rapid advancement of Iran's nuclear program, stating that the breakout time—the period needed to produce sufficient weapons-grade material for a nuclear weapon—is now estimated to be just one to two weeks. This stark assessment represents the shortest breakout time ever referenced by US officials, highlighting a significant escalation in Iran's nuclear capabilities. "Where we are now is not in a good place," Blinken remarked during the Aspen Security Forum on Friday. He pointed out that the situation has deteriorated since the nuclear agreement was abandoned, leaving Iran alarmingly close to obtaining enough fissile material for a nuclear weapon. Although Iran has not yet produced a weapon, Blinken emphasized that this remains a critical area of monitoring for the US. Blinken reiterated the US policy of preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon, stressing a preference for achieving this goal through diplomatic means. However, this task has become increasingly challenging as Iran has made significant strides in its nuclear program. Over a year ago, a top US Defense Department official indicated that Iran could produce "one bomb’s worth of fissile material" in approximately 12 days. The current assessment marks a further reduction in the breakout time. The Biden administration has engaged in over a year of indirect negotiations with Iran to revive the Iran nuclear deal, from which the US withdrew in 2018 under the Trump administration. These efforts collapsed in late 2022, as the US accused Iran of making "unreasonable" demands related to a probe by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) into unexplained traces of uranium found at undisclosed Iranian sites. Subsequently, the administration maintained that the Iran nuclear deal was "not on the agenda." Despite Iran's new president indicating openness to engagement with the West, US officials are skeptical about the possibility of returning to the nuclear deal. A senior State Department official noted that the world has changed significantly since talks broke down, with Iran engaging in numerous escalatory acts, making a return to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) non-viable. "We’re in a very different world, a lot of time has elapsed, Iran has done a lot of things that make a return to JCPOA non-viable," the official stated. The State Department also expressed doubts about any substantial policy changes following the recent election in Iran. "We have no expectations that this election will lead to a fundamental change in Iran’s direction or its policies," said State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller. He pointed out that ultimate decision-making power lies with Iran's supreme leader, who has consistently taken a confrontational stance. "Obviously, if the new president had the authority to make steps to curtail Iran’s nuclear program, to stop funding terrorism, to stop destabilizing activities in the region, those would be steps that we would welcome. But needless to say, we don’t have any expectations that that’s what’s likely to ensue," Miller added. This latest development underscores the growing complexity and urgency of the international community's efforts to address Iran's nuclear ambitions. With the breakout time reduced to mere weeks, the window for diplomatic solutions appears to be rapidly closing, necessitating a reassessment of strategies to prevent the emergence of a new nuclear-armed state. Credit: CNN 2024-07-22 Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe
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For a long time, the vast population and resources of Russia seemed to guarantee a dominant position in the ongoing war of attrition with Ukraine. However, recent developments indicate that Russia's offensive, particularly the much-anticipated push against Kharkiv that began in May, is losing momentum. Strategic gains elsewhere, especially in the Donbas region, have been minimal and costly. The focus now shifts from Ukraine's resilience to questioning how long Russia can sustain its current military operations. Russia's challenge isn't manpower. The country continues to recruit around 25,000 soldiers monthly, maintaining about 470,000 troops at the front. Although these efforts are increasingly expensive, missile production aimed at Ukrainian infrastructure is ramping up. Despite claims of transforming into a war economy, with 8% of its GDP dedicated to military spending, Russia is struggling to replace its enormous losses in tanks, armored vehicles, and artillery. This replenishment relies heavily on refurbishing Soviet-era stockpiles. These reserves, though extensive, are not endless. By most intelligence estimates, Russia has lost approximately 3,000 tanks and 5,000 other armored vehicles in the first two years of the conflict. The open-source intelligence site Oryx, based in the Netherlands, has documented 3,235 Russian tank losses through photographic or videographic evidence, suggesting the actual figure is much higher. Aleksandr Golts from the Stockholm Centre for Eastern European Studies credits the Cold War-era politburo for amassing these stockpiles. He explains that Soviet leaders, aware of the superior Western military technology, prioritized quantity, producing thousands of armored vehicles during peacetime in preparation for potential conflict. Before the Soviet Union's collapse, they possessed more armored vehicles than the rest of the world combined. In December 2023, then-Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu announced the delivery of 1,530 tanks within the year. However, the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) in London reported that nearly 85% of these were not new but refurbished models, mainly T-72s, T-62s, and even some T-55s dating back to the post-World War II era. Since the invasion, around 175 modern T-90M tanks have been deployed to the front. The IISS estimates that production might reach 90 this year, although Michael Gjerstad, an IISS analyst, notes that many T-90Ms are upgrades of older T-90As. With these numbers dwindling, the production of newly built T-90Ms may be as low as 28. Pavel Luzin, an expert on Russian military capacity at the Centre for European Policy Analysis, believes Russia can only produce 30 new tanks annually. A captured T-90M revealed its gun dated back to 1992. Luzin asserts that Russia's capacity to build new tanks, infantry vehicles, or refurbish old ones is hindered by component shortages. Parts intended for use by 2025 have already been used, and critical components, like fuel-heaters, high-voltage electrical systems, and infrared thermal imaging, were previously imported from Europe, now blocked by sanctions. Chinese alternatives exist but often fall short of previous quality standards. Furthermore, production of ferroalloys has decreased over the past two years. Most welding is manual, and despite claims of triple shifts, there is a struggle to recruit workers. The industry relies on aging machine tools imported from Germany and Sweden, complicating maintenance. The dissolution of the Soviet armaments supply chain exacerbates these issues. Ukraine, Georgia, and East Germany were pivotal in manufacturing Soviet weapons and components, with Kharkiv notably producing T-72 turrets. Luzin notes a significant reduction in Russia's military-industrial workforce, from about 10 million to 2 million, without corresponding advances in automation. Another pressing issue is artillery-barrel production. While North Korea has helped ensure a supply of shells, with an estimated 3 million produced this year, sufficient to outgun Ukrainian forces significantly, the high firing rates have rapidly worn out barrels. In heavily contested areas, howitzer barrels need replacing every few months. Luzin points out that only two factories possess the Austrian rotary forging machines required for barrel production, each capable of producing only 100 barrels a year, far short of demand. Russia has resorted to cannibalizing barrels from older artillery for use in self-propelled howitzers, but this is not a sustainable long-term solution. Gjerstad indicates that with systems like the TOS-1A, efforts to extend barrel life have led to shorter firing bursts. The greatest concern, however, lies with tanks and infantry fighting vehicles, crucial for large-scale offensive operations. In February, the IISS estimated Russia had about 3,200 tanks in storage, yet Gjerstad reports that up to 70% remain unmoved since the war's onset. Many T-72s have been exposed to the elements since the 1990s and are likely in poor condition. Golts and Luzin agree that at current attrition rates, refurbishment from storage will hit a "critical point of exhaustion" by the latter half of next year, with Gjerstad extending this timeline by a few months. Russia aims to avoid a sudden shortage of new tanks at the front, prompting a shift in focus to drone production under new Defense Minister Andrei Belousov. Unless there are significant changes, Russian forces may need to adopt a more defensive posture by year's end, potentially becoming evident before summer concludes. This situation may increase President Putin's interest in negotiating a temporary ceasefire. Credit: The Economist 2024-07-22 Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe
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U.S. intelligence agencies are issuing warnings about a possible escalation in Middle East tensions, as Russia considers arming Houthi militants in Yemen with advanced anti-ship missiles. This move is seen as retaliation for the Biden administration’s support of Ukrainian military actions against Russia. The intelligence has prompted concerns within the U.S. military and government about the implications of such an arms transfer. The situation arises as General Erik Kurilla, the top U.S. Middle East commander, has expressed concerns in a classified letter to Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin. Kurilla highlighted that current military operations are failing to deter Houthi attacks on shipping routes in the Red Sea. He emphasized the need for a broader strategic approach to counter these threats effectively. In response to the potential Russian arms deal, the White House has initiated confidential diplomatic efforts to dissuade Moscow from providing the missiles to the Iranian-backed Houthis. The administration is leveraging a third country to engage with Russian President Vladimir Putin, attempting to prevent the delivery of these advanced weapons. However, officials have not disclosed which country is acting as the intermediary. The combination of intelligence reports and Kurilla’s warnings has raised questions about the adequacy of the current U.S. strategy to counter Houthi attacks on crucial waterways. An administration official revealed that Central Command has been tasked with preparing a comprehensive list of potential targets, including specific militants, for possible military strikes. Some U.S. officials believe more aggressive measures could have been implemented earlier to safeguard commercial shipping, such as targeting larger weapons-storage facilities and Houthi leaders. Should Russia proceed with arming the Houthis, it would mark a significant escalation in its ongoing confrontation with Washington. This development comes amidst Russia’s efforts to strengthen ties with North Korea and Iran and secure China’s support for its defense industry. Analysts suggest that Russia might be using the threat of supplying missiles to the Houthis as leverage to discourage the U.S. from further supporting Ukraine. General Kurilla’s letter advocates for a comprehensive “whole of government” approach, combining economic, diplomatic, and military measures to deter Houthi aggression in the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb strait. Over the past eight months, at least 30 ships have been damaged, with two sinking as a result of Houthi attacks. A defense official noted that Kurilla’s memo conveyed a stark warning: “U.S. service members will die if we continue going this way.” The Biden administration has authorized limited military actions, including strikes against Houthi missiles and drones poised for launch. However, some Central Command officials argue that these measures have been insufficient in preventing the Houthis from consistently threatening commercial shipping. One U.S. official commented on the current strategy, stating, “If you tell the military to re-establish freedom of navigation and then you tell them to only be defensive, it isn’t going to work. It is all about protecting ships without affecting the root cause.” The Houthis possess a diverse arsenal of weapons for attacking ships, including drones, ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and unmanned boats, many supplied by Iran. The potential addition of Russian anti-ship missiles would significantly enhance their capabilities. Behnam Ben Taleblu, a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, remarked, “The Houthis have the most robust anti-ship capabilities among Iran’s regional proxy network. But Russian anti-ship weapons would represent a qualitative leap and add more teeth to the existing Houthi maritime threat.” Middle East Eye reported last month that Russia had previously contemplated providing anti-ship cruise missiles to the Houthis but was dissuaded by Saudi Arabia. Despite this, U.S. officials continue to see indications that Putin might deliver the missiles to the Houthis in retaliation for President Biden’s decision to support Ukrainian strikes within Russia. Last month, Putin warned of a potential response to U.S. policies, stating, “The response can be asymmetrical, and we will think about that.” While the exact nature of the intelligence regarding Russia’s plans remains unclear, there have been sightings of Houthi representatives in Russia. If missiles were to be delivered, they could potentially be smuggled through established Iranian routes. The Russian Embassy in Washington has not responded to requests for comment on this matter. The Houthis have vowed to target ships heading to Israeli ports, but many attacks have been against civilian vessels with no ties to Israel, according to a U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency report. U.S. officials have observed that the Houthis and their Iranian backers are utilizing commercial ship tracking websites to identify and target vessels. The U.S. has warned companies providing these data services to restrict Houthi access and advised foreign governments to do the same. The Houthis have also threatened U.S. Navy vessels and allied ships, with recent close encounters involving missiles and drones launched from Yemen. In line with General Kurilla’s call for intensified efforts, the Biden administration has implemented measures to complement military actions. Sanctions have been imposed on individuals and entities funding the Houthis and their leaders. Additionally, a United Nations Security Council resolution, sponsored by the U.S. and Japan, demands an end to Houthi attacks. The U.S. has designated the Houthis as specially designated global terrorists, reversing a previous decision to remove them from the list. State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller recently announced further sanctions on several individuals and entities, as well as five ships, stating they “have played critical roles in financing the Houthis’ destabilizing activities.” As the situation unfolds, the potential for further escalation remains a pressing concern, with diplomatic and military actions continuing to play a crucial role in addressing the threat. Related: Israeli Retaliation Targets Houthis in Yemen Following Tel Aviv Drone Strike Credit: WSJ 2024-07-22 Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe
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The UK government has appointed Professor Becky Francis, a prominent feminist academic, to lead a comprehensive review of England's national school curriculum. This initiative aims to modernize the education system, ensuring it better prepares students for the challenges of adult life. Professor Francis, who heads the Education Endowment Foundation, will oversee the evaluation and revision of teaching materials for pupils aged five to 18. Her work focuses on tackling education inequalities and gender stereotypes, and she has authored numerous publications on these topics, including critiques on how gender biases affect girls' educational experiences. The curriculum overhaul will address barriers hindering disadvantaged and complex-needs students, aiming to enhance their educational outcomes. All state schools, including academies, will be required to adopt the revised curriculum once finalized. Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson highlighted the need to update the curriculum, which she believes currently fails to adequately prepare children for work and life. The review will also consider reforming the exam system to alleviate student stress from excessive assessments. Labour's decision to involve Professor Francis is expected to encourage more girls to pursue STEM subjects. Her appointment aligns with the party's educational goals, such as integrating financial literacy into the maths curriculum and focusing on practical life skills. Feedback will be gathered from educational experts, parents, and teachers to guide the curriculum changes, ensuring the reform process considers current pressures on schools. Professor Francis acknowledges these challenges and emphasizes the importance of implementing changes that do not increase staff workloads. The reform follows recent tensions between the government and teaching unions over pay and working conditions. The unions are calling for significant pay increases and workload reductions, with potential strike actions looming if demands are unmet. Credit: Daily Telegraph 2024-07-22 Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe
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JK Rowling, the famous creator of the Harry Potter series, has once again sparked controversy by sharing her views on gender dysphoria and gender-affirming care for transgender youth. In a recent post on social media platform X/Twitter, Rowling suggested that the best way to address gender dysphoria in children is to allow them to go through puberty naturally. Gender dysphoria is a condition where a person experiences discomfort or distress due to a mismatch between their gender identity and their sex assigned at birth. It can manifest in three main ways: physically, socially, and mentally/emotionally. Despite the increasing advocacy for gender-affirming care, Rowling's latest remarks have reignited the debate over how best to support transgender children. Rowling's post came in response to a broadcast by Talk TV featuring Labour culture secretary Lisa Nandy, who defended the current ban on private prescriptions for puberty blockers in the UK. Rowling shared the video with the caption, “the times they are a-changing,” and reiterated her belief that letting children go through puberty naturally is the best approach. She argued, “The vast majority of children grow out of gender dysphoria if allowed to go through puberty. The single best cure is letting nature take its course.” To support her stance, Rowling cited research from 2022. Her comments quickly drew responses from various experts, including psychiatrist Jack Turban. Turban pointed to a study highly rated by the recent Cass Review into trans youth healthcare, which found that those who accessed puberty blockers for adolescent gender dysphoria had better mental health outcomes. The ensuing exchange between Rowling and Turban highlighted the polarized views on this issue. Rowling's assertion that most children outgrow gender dysphoria if allowed to go through puberty contrasts sharply with findings from a study published in the New England Journal of Medicine. This study revealed that gender-affirming care, including the use of puberty blockers, significantly improves the mental health of transgender teens by enhancing positive emotions, life satisfaction, and self-confidence. Further supporting the benefits of gender-affirming care, an analysis published in the American Journal of Surgery in April examined regret rates for various significant life decisions and medical procedures. This research, which collected data from three medical research databases, showed that regret rates for transition-related surgeries were considerably lower than those for having children, abortions, or knee surgery. The debate over how to best support transgender youth remains contentious, with strong opinions on both sides. While Rowling advocates for a more conservative approach, emphasizing natural puberty, many medical professionals and studies highlight the positive impact of gender-affirming care on the mental health and well-being of transgender individuals. As discussions continue, it is clear that more research and dialogue are needed to ensure the best outcomes for transgender youth. Credit: Pink News 2024-07-22 Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe
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Afghanistan's Controversial Tourism Boom Under the Taliban
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When planning a holiday, Afghanistan is rarely at the top of most people's must-visit lists. Decades of conflict have deterred tourists since its heyday on the hippie trail in the 1970s. The Taliban's return to power in 2021 cast further doubt on the future of any surviving tourism industry. Surprisingly, a quick scroll through social media suggests that not only has tourism survived, but it has also boomed in its own extraordinarily niche way. Influencers enthusiastically promote Afghanistan as a travel destination, showcasing glistening lakes, mountainous passes, and bustling markets. "Five reasons why Afghanistan should be your next trip," they gush, while others declare, "Afghanistan hasn’t been this safe in 20 years," posing next to the vast chasms left behind by the destruction of the Bamiyan Buddhas more than 20 years ago. Behind these sunny claims and glamorous videos, questions arise about the risks these travelers are taking and who this burgeoning industry is truly helping—a struggling population or a regime keen to shift the narrative in its favor? "It is very ironic to see those videos on TikTok where there is a Taliban guide and Taliban official giving tickets to tourists to visit the [site of the] destruction of the Buddhas," points out Dr. Farkhondeh Akbari, whose family fled Afghanistan during the first Taliban regime in the 1990s. "These are the people who destroyed the Buddhas." Sascha Heeney's list of countries visited does not initially sound like ideal holiday destinations, yet that is precisely why she and thousands of others are drawn to them. Afghanistan's appeal lies in its rawness, offering an experience far removed from five-star resorts and thus almost entirely unique. "It is just raw," says Heeney, a part-time travel guide from Brighton, UK. "You don’t get much rawer than there. That can be attractive if you want to see real life." The Taliban, despite their reputation for being suspicious and hostile towards outsiders, particularly Westerners, are seen posing—albeit uncomfortably—alongside tourists. The answer lies in economics. Isolated internationally, under widespread sanctions, and unable to access funds given to Afghanistan's former government, the Taliban need money. Tourists, whose numbers have risen from just 691 in 2021 to over 7,000 last year, bring it. Most tourists join tours offered by international companies, providing a peek at the "real Afghanistan" for a few thousand dollars. Mohammad Saeed, head of the Taliban government's Tourism Directorate in Kabul, dreams of Afghanistan becoming a tourist hotspot, particularly targeting the Chinese market with the backing "of the Elders." Afghan tour guide Rohullah, who started leading groups three years ago, notes that tourism creates jobs and opportunities. After "the change" in 2021, he switched from working for the Afghan finance ministry to becoming a tour guide, a decision he has not regretted. The growing number of tourists ensures a steady demand for drivers and local guides. It's no surprise to see young men attending Taliban-approved hospitality classes in Kabul, eager to take advantage of this burgeoning industry. "We expect much for this year," Rohullah says. "This is a peaceful time—it was not possible to travel to all parts of Afghanistan before, but for now, it really is possible." However, the killing of three Spanish tourists and an Afghan at a market in Bamiyan in May by the Islamic State-affiliated ISK militant group, which targeted foreigners, underscores the ongoing dangers. The British Foreign Office continues to advise against all travel to the country, which remains a target for attacks. ISK carried out 45 attacks in 2023 alone, according to the Combating Terrorism Center at West Point. Part of Afghanistan's increased security is due to the Taliban's control, as they were responsible for much of the violence during the 20-year war following the US invasion. In the first three months of 2021, the UN attributed more than 40% of the 1,783 civilian casualties to the Taliban. US-led Afghan government forces were responsible for 25% of the casualties during the same period. Despite the risks, Heeney and her group, including two other women, ventured into Afghanistan. Women tourists do face different encounters than men due to the Taliban's strict rules, which have forced Afghan women out of the workplace, secondary education, and even out of Band-e-Amir national park—a stop on many international tours. Yet, female tourists can visit. Rowan Beard, who has been bringing groups to Afghanistan since 2016, explains that while men cannot speak with women, female tourists have the opportunity to hear directly from Afghan women about their experiences. Tourists are briefed on the rules, including how to dress, act, and who they can and cannot talk to. The Taliban, ever-present with their guns, do not speak to female tourists like Heeney. "You have to kind of know the rules and learn the game," she explains. For Heeney, interacting with Afghan women, who were "incredibly happy" to see tourists, was a highlight. The "absolutely lovely," generous, and welcoming people of Afghanistan stood out to her. However, the slick videos posted on social media, which often exclude women from vibrant street scenes, leave a bitter taste for some. "Tourists think it is just this backward part of the world, and they can do whatever they want—we don’t care," says Dr. Akbari, now a postdoctoral researcher at Monash University in Australia. "We just go and enjoy the landscape and get our views and our likes. And this hurts us a lot." She describes it as "unethical tourism with a lack of political and social awareness," allowing the Taliban to gloss over the harsh realities of life under their regime. This tourism provides the Taliban with more than just revenue; it helps to project a new image, one that doesn't highlight the severe restrictions on Afghan women. "My family—they have no male guardian—cannot travel from one district to another district," Dr. Akbari points out. "We are talking about 50% of the population who have no rights... We are talking about a regime which has installed gender apartheid. And yes, there is a humanitarian crisis: I’m happy that tourists might go and buy something from a shop and it might help a local family, but what is the cost of it? It is normalising the Taliban regime." Heeney admits to having a "moral struggle" over the Taliban's position on women before her visit. "Of course, I feel very strongly about their rights—it crossed my mind," she says. "But then as a traveller... I think countries are deserving to go to, and be listened to—we have a skewed idea. I like to see with my own eyes. I can make my own judgment." Beard supports this perspective, advocating for letting people "make their own conclusions rather than there being a one-size-fits-all answer to the experience women have in the country." Marina Novelli, a professor of marketing and tourism at Nottingham University School of Business, warns against the sensationalization of a destination. While travelers may want to send a positive message, it does not mean that problems are nonexistent. Boycotting, she argues, isolates these countries further. Novelli suggests that tourism can be a force for peace and cross-cultural exchange, as seen in Saudi Arabia, where a growing tourism industry has led to a broader role for women in society. Nevertheless, for women like Dr. Akbari, the potential benefits of tourism are overshadowed by the whitewashing of their suffering. "Our pains and our sufferings are being whitewashed, brushed with these fake strokes of security the Taliban want," she says. Afghanistan's tourism boom under the Taliban is a complex and controversial phenomenon. While it provides economic opportunities and a unique travel experience, it also raises ethical concerns and risks normalizing a regime that imposes severe restrictions on half its population. The debate over this burgeoning industry highlights the broader challenges of balancing tourism with political and social awareness. Credit: BBC 2024-07-22 Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe -
Biden's Family Considers Potential Exit Strategy from 2024 Campaign
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Israel is at War - General discussion (pt3)
Social Media replied to Social Media's topic in The War in Israel
Antisemitic posts removed. 15. You will not discriminate or post slurs, degrading or overly negative comments on the basis of race, gender, age, religion, ethnicity, nationality, disability, medical history, marriage, civil partnership, pregnancy, maternity, paternity, gender identity, sexual orientation or any other irrelevant factor. "Zionist" as a proxy for Jewish or Israeli people is hate speech @Neeranam -
UPDATE: The ICJ's Advisory Opinion on Israel: A Distorted Interpretation of International Law The recent advisory opinion issued by the International Court of Justice (ICJ) has ignited a fierce debate, reflecting a profound misuse of international legal instruments and undermining the framework established by the Oslo Accords. The opinion, which alleges that Israel's "policies and practices" breach international law, is not legally binding but its value is significantly diminished by weak reasoning, misapplication of international law, and reliance on an incorrect factual basis. This critique is powerfully articulated in the dissenting opinion of the Court’s Vice President, Julia Sebutinde. The context of this opinion is rooted in General Assembly Resolution 77/247, which had pre-judged Israel as a violator of international law for political reasons. Notably, out of the 32 states that drafted and sponsored this resolution, two-thirds have no diplomatic ties with Israel and several do not recognize Israel as a state. The ICJ adopted the politicized allegations made against Israel in the resolution, even erasing Israel from the map and suggesting that the "contiguity" of "Palestinian territory" be "preserved and respected." This disregard for cartography and history leads to the flawed conclusion that Jews should be "evacuated" from Judea and Samaria, also known as the West Bank, and Jerusalem, echoing the ethnic cleansing carried out by Jordan in 1948. The opinion's incorrect factual basis is even more troubling. The majority of judges endorsed blatant falsehoods regarding the information available to the court. For instance, concerning the legal status of the territory, the majority claimed that "no information has been provided to the court to substantiate [Israel’s] claims." This is patently false, as multiple states and international organizations provided information, which is on the court record, as acknowledged in the dissenting opinion. Furthermore, the court ignored Palestinian terrorism, creating its own narrative and misapplying the law instead of addressing the facts. The opinion is driven by the political agenda of the court's President, Nawaf Salam, who has a long history of anti-Israel rhetoric and actions. Salam’s refusal to recuse himself despite his blatant bias further damages the credibility of the UN’s highest court and tarnishes the reputation of international law. His history includes voting to condemn Israel 210 times during his tenure as Lebanon’s Ambassador to the UN and making inflammatory speeches against Israel and "terrorist Jewish organizations." This clear bias undermines the court's claim to impartiality and harms the credibility of international judicial institutions. This opinion is a continuation of the lawfare campaign against Israel, which uses legal institutions for political purposes. It undermines the political framework established by the Oslo Accords, which aimed to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict through bilateral negotiations. By pursuing this pseudo-legal campaign at the ICJ, the Palestinian Authority has violated the international agreement that created it in 1994. This disregard for agreements endorsed by the international community makes them meaningless and undermines any chance for future negotiations and peace. The ICJ's opinion, by tearing up the Oslo Accords, has sounded the death knell for any future negotiations and any chance at peace. This misuse of international legal tools for political ends sets a dangerous precedent and should concern anyone who cares about the integrity of the international legal order. The ICJ’s credibility has been irreparably harmed, and its ability to function as a fair and impartial arbiter in international disputes is now in serious doubt. In summary, the ICJ's advisory opinion on Israel represents a staggering misuse of the tools of justice, tearing apart the framework of the Oslo Accords. The opinion is fundamentally flawed, relying on weak reasoning, misapplication of international law, and an incorrect factual basis. The dissenting opinion by the Court’s Vice President, Julia Sebutinde, powerfully articulates these flaws. The opinion was requested by General Assembly Resolution 77/247, which had pre-judged Israel for political reasons. The ICJ adopted politicized allegations, disregarded historical and cartographic facts, and ignored Palestinian terrorism, instead creating its own narrative and misapplying the law. The opinion is driven by the political agenda of the court's President, Nawaf Salam, who has a history of anti-Israel rhetoric and actions. Salam’s refusal to recuse himself despite his blatant bias further damages the credibility of the UN’s highest court and tarnishes the reputation of international law. This opinion is a continuation of the lawfare campaign against Israel, undermining the political framework established by the Oslo Accords. The Palestinian Authority's pursuit of this pseudo-legal campaign at the ICJ violates the international agreement that created it in 1994, making agreements endorsed by the international community meaningless and undermining any chance for future negotiations and peace. The ICJ's opinion, by tearing up the Oslo Accords, has sounded the death knell for any future negotiations and any chance at peace. This misuse of international legal tools for political ends sets a dangerous precedent and should concern anyone who cares about the integrity of the international legal order. The ICJ’s credibility has been irreparably harmed, and its ability to function as a fair and impartial arbiter in international disputes is now in serious doubt. Credit: Daily Telegraph 2024-07-21
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In a significant escalation, Israel launched a military operation against Houthi targets in western Yemen, striking the port city of Hodeida on Saturday. This retaliation came in response to a deadly drone attack on Tel Aviv the previous day, which left at least one person dead and eight others injured when a Houthi drone struck an apartment building near the U.S. embassy. The Houthi-run news agency Saba reported at least 80 injuries from the Israeli strikes, with the Houthi health ministry confirming fatalities. This marks the first Israeli attack on Yemen since the war against Hamas began in October. Israeli warplanes targeted fuel storage facilities and a power plant in Hodeida, aiming to deter the Houthis from supporting Hamas in Gaza. Eyewitnesses described seeing thick smoke rising from the port, and loud explosions were reported. Houthi-controlled Al-Masirah TV broadcasted images of a massive blaze on the seafront and injured individuals being treated at a hospital, many suffering from severe burns. A Hodeida resident described the aftermath: "The city is dark, people are on the streets, petrol stations are closed and seeing long queues." The attack prompted strong reactions from Houthi officials. Mohammed Abdulsalam condemned it as "brutal Israeli aggression against Yemen" and suggested the goal was to increase suffering and pressure Yemen to cease supporting Gaza. Mohamed Ali al-Houthi threatened retaliation, promising "impactful strikes." Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, in the immediate aftermath of the Tel Aviv attack, had warned of severe retaliation. "The blood of Israeli citizens has a price," he said, indicating further operations against the Houthis if they continued their aggression. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu justified the strikes, stating, "The port we attacked is not an innocent port. It was used for military purposes, as an entry point for deadly weapons supplied to the Houthis by Iran." The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) reiterated this stance, citing "hundreds of attacks carried out against the state of Israel in recent months." The Houthi drone attack on Tel Aviv took Israeli defenses by surprise. Although the drone was detected, it was not flagged as a threat, resulting in no air-raid warning before it crashed into the apartment building. The Houthis have attempted attacks on other Israeli cities, including Ashdod, Haifa, and Eilat, but this was the first to breach Israeli air defenses. The situation in the region remains tense. Both the United States and the United Kingdom have previously conducted operations against the Houthis. Last month, the U.S. launched a missile barrage destroying Houthi radar installations, a drone, and unmanned bomb-boats. However, the U.S. was not involved in the recent Israeli operation. A spokesperson for the U.S. National Security Council stated, "The United States was not involved in today’s strikes in Yemen, and we did not coordinate or assist Israel with the strikes." The U.S. did express support for Israel's right to self-defense following the Tel Aviv attack. In a related development, Israel also conducted an airstrike on Adloun in southern Lebanon, targeting Hezbollah and Hamas positions. This followed rocket and drone attacks on Israeli positions from these groups. Lebanese media reported civilian casualties from this strike, including a critically injured one-year-old boy. Credit: Daily Telegraph | X 2024-07-21 Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe
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A revolutionary vaccine derived from the 1918 Spanish flu virus has shown promising results in protecting against various strains of influenza, including the lethal H5N1 bird flu. This groundbreaking development suggests that a universal flu vaccine could be available within five years, potentially transforming the approach to influenza prevention. Traditionally, the flu vaccination program requires annual updates to match the predominant strain of the virus, as influenza mutates rapidly. However, scientists have created a "one and done" vaccine by leveraging research from tuberculosis and HIV, which are also known for their high mutation rates. This innovative approach could eliminate the need for yearly flu shots. The vaccine's development involved repurposing a harmless herpes virus, known as cytomegalovirus (CMV), to deliver genetic material from the flu virus into the body. This method stimulates an immune response by mimicking an infection. The vaccine specifically targets effector memory T cells in the lungs, which can recognize and respond to proteins within the virus that remain unchanged despite mutations. This focus on conserved viral proteins ensures that the immune response remains effective against various strains. In a study published in Nature Communications, the vaccine was administered to 11 primates, which were subsequently exposed to the H5N1 avian influenza virus. Remarkably, six of the vaccinated primates survived the infection, while those without the vaccine succumbed to the virus. This significant survival rate underscores the potential of the vaccine to provide robust protection. Jonah Sacha, a professor at Oregon Health & Science University and a lead researcher on the project, expressed optimism about the vaccine's potential. He noted that this development represents a rare instance where basic scientific research could translate into a viable vaccine within a relatively short timeframe. "It's exciting because in most cases, this kind of basic science research advances the science very gradually; in 20 years, it might become something. This could actually become a vaccine in five years or less," Sacha said. The vaccine's success hinges on its ability to target the virus's core proteins, which are essential for the virus's survival and thus remain largely unchanged over time. "It worked because the interior protein of the virus was so well preserved. So much so, that even after almost 100 years of evolution, the virus can’t change those critically important parts of itself," Sacha explained. This breakthrough not only holds promise for influenza but also opens the door for developing vaccines against other rapidly mutating viruses. The technology has been licensed by Vir Biotechnology, and researchers believe it could be applied to viruses like SARS-CoV-2, the cause of COVID-19, offering long-lasting immunity. Douglas Reed, an associate professor of immunology at the University of Pittsburgh’s Centre for Vaccine Research, emphasized the importance of this technology in preparing for future pandemics. "Should a deadly virus such as H5N1 infect a human and ignite a pandemic, we need to quickly validate and deploy a new vaccine," Reed said. Sacha also highlighted the broader implications of this research, suggesting that it represents a significant shift in how infectious diseases are addressed. "It’s a massive sea change within our lifetimes. There is no question we are on the cusp of the next generation of how we address infectious disease. For viruses of pandemic potential, it’s critical to have something like this. We set out to test influenza, but we don’t know what’s going to come next," he remarked. The development of this universal flu vaccine could mark a pivotal moment in public health, providing a powerful tool against the ever-evolving threat of influenza and other viral diseases. If successful, it could drastically reduce the global burden of flu, saving countless lives and resources. The scientific community eagerly awaits further trials and validation, hopeful that this innovation will soon become a reality. Credit: Daily Telegraph 2024-07-20 Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe
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The recent prison sentences handed down to Roger Hallam, co-founder of Extinction Rebellion, and his associates mark a significant moment in the ongoing clash between environmental activism and the rule of law. This is not merely about curbing inconvenience but addressing the genuine misery caused by their disruptive actions, which resulted in people missing crucial events such as funerals and medical appointments. It is only fitting that they face the consequences for their actions. The principle is straightforward. Allowing activists from Extinction Rebellion to break the law with impunity, simply because they are fervent about their cause, sets a dangerous precedent. It would essentially give carte blanche to any protester to act similarly, believing their cause justifies illegal actions. Every campaigner is dedicated to their beliefs, but the line must be drawn where lawful protest ends and unlawful disruption begins. This is why the sentences given to Hallam and his co-conspirators should be welcomed. It’s not an endorsement of Britain’s crumbling prison system but a necessary affirmation that while democracy thrives on free speech and the right to protest, it equally depends on adherence to the law. Consider the lockdown period, a time marked by harsh and often criticized restrictions. Many, including myself, believed these measures were a grievous policy mistake, causing extensive human suffering. Yet, I abided by the rules and chose to protest within the boundaries of the law. That is the essence of a lawful society. Hallam and his fellow activists took a different route. Unlike the Suffragettes, who fought for greater democratic participation, Hallam and his group sought to bypass it entirely. They blocked traffic on the M25, causing four days of disruption, an estimated £1 million in damages, and 50,000 hours of delays. Their actions prevented cancer patients from reaching vital appointments, left a police officer severely injured, and caused countless others to miss work, surgeries, exams, flights, and funerals. These acts were not mere inconveniences but sources of real suffering. The M25 is not a road people use for leisure; it is a critical artery for necessary travel. If any of us were to block it in the name of our cause, we would expect to face jail time. Hallam and his cohort should expect no less. As the judge rightly pointed out, they appointed themselves as the sole arbiters of climate action, placing themselves above the law. This attitude, regardless of the validity of their cause, is simply unacceptable. There is a crucial distinction between making your voice heard and becoming a dangerous nuisance. Effective, lawful campaigning has brought about significant changes—gay marriage, the abolition of smoking in pubs, and even Brexit are examples. These movements succeeded without resorting to law-breaking. Permitting campaigners to achieve their goals through illegal actions would inevitably lead to widespread lawlessness by anyone with a cause. The recent spate of anti-Ulez protesters destroying cameras could well have drawn inspiration from Hallam’s tactics. This is the logical, albeit undesirable, consequence. Protesters waving banners outside court claiming jurors have an absolute right to acquit based on conscience further muddy the waters. Jurors must make decisions based on the law, not personal beliefs. A five-year prison sentence is indeed harsh for a non-violent crime, even if Hallam serves only half of it. I do not envy his time in our prison system. However, if this punishment serves to deter others from breaking the law, encourages respect for democratic processes, and promotes peaceful achievement of goals, then it is a necessary step. In the end, the sentences handed down to Hallam and his fellow activists underscore a vital message: in a democratic society, passion for a cause does not place one above the law. Protesters must find ways to make their voices heard without resorting to actions that cause widespread harm and suffering. Only then can we ensure that the balance between the right to protest and the need for public order is maintained. Credit: Daily Telegraph 2024-07-20 Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe
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In a significant legal outcome, five members of the environmental activist group Just Stop Oil, including one of its co-founders, have been sentenced to prison for orchestrating protests that blocked the M25 motorway for four consecutive days in November 2022. The protests, which aimed to disrupt traffic as part of a larger campaign against climate inaction, resulted in substantial economic and logistical impacts. Roger Hallam, 58, Daniel Shaw, 38, Louise Lancaster, 58, Lucia Whittaker De Abreu, 35, and Cressida Gethin, 22, were all found guilty of conspiring to organize the disruptive actions. Hallam, known as a co-founder of both Just Stop Oil and Extinction Rebellion, received a five-year prison sentence. The other four defendants were each sentenced to four years. These sentences are considered some of the longest ever imposed for non-violent protest activities. Prosecutors detailed the extensive repercussions of the protests. During the demonstrations, 45 individuals climbed onto gantries over the M25, causing significant disruption. The economic cost of the protests was estimated at over £765,000, while the Metropolitan Police incurred costs exceeding £1.1 million. The disruptions resulted in more than 50,000 hours of vehicle delays, impacted over 700,000 vehicles, and left the M25 "compromised" for more than 120 hours. Additionally, a police officer suffered a concussion and bruising after being knocked off his motorbike in traffic caused by one of the protests on November 9, 2022. During the sentencing hearing at Southwark Crown Court, prosecutor Jocelyn Ledward KC revealed that the five defendants had participated in a Zoom call on November 2, 2022, where they discussed and planned the protests, and sought to recruit others to join their cause. A journalist from The Sun newspaper, who had joined the call under the pretense of being interested in the protest, provided recordings of the discussions to the police. Last week, a jury convicted the defendants of conspiracy to intentionally cause a public nuisance, in violation of section 78 of the Police, Crime, Sentencing and Courts Act 2022 and Section 1 of the Criminal Law Act 1977. Following the sentencing, the defendants, referred to as the Whole Truth Five by Just Stop Oil on social media, shouted "we love you" as they were led away. Judge Christopher Hehir, in his remarks to the defendants, emphasized that their actions had crossed the line from concerned activism to fanaticism. "The plain fact is that each of you some time ago has crossed the line from concerned campaigner to fanatic," he said. Addressing Hallam specifically, the judge stated, "You are the theoretician, the 'ideas' man. In my judgement you sit at the very highest level of the conspiracy." The case underscores the ongoing tension between environmental activism and public order, as well as the legal and ethical challenges surrounding climate protests. The sentences highlight the severity with which the courts are now treating disruptive protest actions, especially those that have significant economic and public safety impacts. The ruling is likely to spark further debate on the balance between the right to protest and the need to maintain public order and safety. Credit: Sky News 2024-07-20 Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe
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The anticipation of a potential prisoner swap involving American journalist Evan Gershkovich has heightened as a Russian court announced its verdict and sentence this Friday of 16 years in a Russian Prison. Gershkovich, a correspondent for the Wall Street Journal, faced espionage charges in a trial that has progressed with unusual speed, fueling speculation about an imminent exchange for Russians held in Western jails. On Friday morning, the prosecution called for an 18-year prison sentence for Gershkovich, 32, who has consistently denied the charges and pleaded not guilty in court. His arrest occurred in March while he was reporting in the Urals city of Yekaterinburg, making him the first US journalist accused of spying in Russia since the Cold War. Gershkovich has since been detained in Moscow’s Lefortovo prison but was returned to Yekaterinburg for his trial. Russian authorities claim that Gershkovich was gathering classified information on Russia’s military capabilities on behalf of the CIA. However, this accusation has been strongly refuted by Gershkovich, the Wall Street Journal, and the US State Department, who have all dismissed the charges as baseless. Despite these claims, Gershkovich had been officially accredited as a journalist by the Russian Foreign Ministry. "Even as Russia orchestrates its shameful sham trial, we continue to do everything we can to push for Evan’s immediate release," the Wall Street Journal stated on Thursday. The US Embassy in Moscow reiterated this stance, declaring, "Regardless of what Russian authorities claim, Evan is a journalist. He did not commit any illegal actions. Russian authorities have been unable to provide evidence that he committed a crime or justification for Evan’s continued detention." The trial, typical for espionage cases, was conducted behind closed doors. Journalists were permitted a brief glimpse of the courtroom when the trial commenced last month, where Gershkovich, complying with Russian regulations, appeared with a shaved head and smiled from the defendants’ glass box. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov asserted on Wednesday that Moscow possessed "irrefutable evidence" of Gershkovich's involvement in espionage, yet he provided no further details. To date, Russian authorities have not disclosed any information that supports the allegations, leading many to view Gershkovich's arrest as a strategic move to leverage jailed Americans in exchange for Russian operatives held abroad. The expedited nature of the trial, with hearings advanced by over a month and witness testimonies completed in a single afternoon, suggests that a long-discussed prisoner swap may be near. In similar past cases, Russia has typically wrapped up court proceedings before negotiating an exchange. President Vladimir Putin hinted at ongoing negotiations for a swap in a February interview with US broadcaster Tucker Carlson. "The special services are in contact with one another. They are talking ... I believe an agreement can be reached," Putin said, hinting that Russia might seek to exchange Gershkovich for Vadim Krasikov, who is currently imprisoned in Germany for the assassination of a Chechen exile in Berlin in 2019. As the world watches, the verdict could not only determine Gershkovich's fate but also significantly impact US-Russia relations, with the possibility of a high-profile prisoner swap looming on the horizon. Credit: The Guardian 2024-07-20 Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe
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Hunter Biden, son of President Joe Biden, has formally requested the dismissal of his tax and gun cases, pointing to a recent ruling in the Trump classified documents case as a key precedent. The filings, made in federal courts in Delaware and California, highlight the potential far-reaching implications of US District Judge Aileen Cannon’s decision earlier this week to dismiss a prosecution of former President Donald Trump. Hunter Biden’s legal team is arguing that the rationale used to dismiss Trump’s case should similarly apply to his own, potentially altering the legal landscape for the Justice Department's special counsels. Both Biden and Trump were prosecuted by special counsels appointed by US Attorney General Merrick Garland. Cannon's dismissal of Trump’s case was based on her determination that the appointment of special counsel Jack Smith was unconstitutional because he was appointed directly by Garland, bypassing the Senate confirmation process. Smith’s team has contested this ruling, citing precedents like the Trump-era appointment of Robert Mueller, which was upheld by the courts, and has appealed the decision to a federal appeals court in Atlanta. In their Thursday filings, Hunter Biden’s lawyers contended that this same logic should lead to the dismissal of his pending tax case in Los Angeles and the separate firearm case in Delaware, where he was convicted in June on three felony charges. Hunter Biden's legal team had previously raised similar arguments without success, but they now see a renewed basis for reconsideration given the recent legal developments. “Based on these new legal developments, Mr. Biden moves to dismiss the indictment brought against him because the Special Counsel who initiated this prosecution was appointed in violation of the Appointments Clause as well,” Biden’s lawyers wrote. They also referenced a recent opinion by Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas that questioned the propriety of special counsel appointments. “The Attorney General relied upon the exact same authority to appoint the Special Counsel in both the Trump and Biden matters, and both appointments are invalid for the same reason,” the lawyers added. There are distinctions between the special counsels in the two cases. Jack Smith, who prosecuted Trump, was hired from outside the Justice Department, whereas David Weiss, who prosecuted Hunter Biden, was already serving as the US Attorney in Delaware at the time of his appointment. Despite these differences, Cannon noted that a special counsel’s powers are “arguably broader than a traditional United States attorney, as he is permitted to exercise his investigatory powers across multiple districts within the same investigation.” Biden’s lawyers emphasized that this expansive authority was precisely what occurred in his case, with Weiss, acting as special counsel, filing charges against Biden in both California and Delaware, and separately charging a former FBI informant with lying about the Bidens. “Mere US Attorneys do not have that power. Given that Congress requires a US Attorney to be nominated by the President and confirmed by the Senate, it makes no sense to assume that Congress would allow the Attorney General to unilaterally appoint someone as Special Counsel with equal or greater power than a US Attorney,” Biden’s lawyers wrote. “That is what has been attempted here.” As the legal battle unfolds, the implications of Judge Cannon’s ruling and Hunter Biden's dismissal request could significantly influence the future operations of special counsels and the prosecution of high-profile cases. Credit: The Guardian 2024-07-20 Get our Daily Newsletter - Click HERE to subscribe