Fromas

Don't expect too much precision in definitions.

"Major outbreak," "pandemic," "lockdown," are terms we can all intuit and understand, yet there is no universally accepted, hard definition. That's just the way it is.

It's more important to ask what measures need to be taken, or modified, or stopped.

If you contend the phenomenon of wrongfully included cases is "widely reported" you are giving it a scale that is far exaggerated.

Figures in Thailand could be lower than the putative true figure because of overly exclusive classification, deliberate fabrication or suppression of data, or the latency of data.

I don't give the first two serious consideration. Latency of data however could be a factor.

 

4 minutes ago, VBF said:

It seems to show why this idea is both right and wrong

It shows you are mostly wrong.

9 minutes ago, Toany said:

we don't have the Indian variety yet??

There are no confirmed cases in Thailand, yet.

20 minutes ago, ftpjtm said:

Thailand didn't join (Covax).

"If Thailand wants to join the COVAX program, it will have to pay for vaccines itself with a high budget and there is also a risk," he said, adding the country had to make an advance payment without knowing the source of vaccines and delivery dates. He did not specify the costs.

That's a totally acceptable reason. In the planners' infinite wisdom, we now know exactly what vaccines Thailand will get, and when.

NOT! 

4 hours ago, khwaibah said:

Surin Government Hospital has at least two (American and a Brit) That were signed up.

How did they sign up? As dependents?

8 hours ago, webfact said:

There will be a 10% reduction in water bills across the board for all people in houses, condos, other accommodation and small businesses for the next two months.

If they repeat last year's classification, apartments should be included.

9 minutes ago, FarFlungFalang said:

So I give masks the big thumbs down.If you think these surgical masks stop virus laden air from entering the lungs imagine how effective they would be in a burning smoke filled room.

It's a percentage reduction.  Smoke filled room, you need your own gas supply!

2 hours ago, Caldera said:

I wished they would focus on helping those who actually need government assistance more.

As assistance programs go, this is one of the more focused ones.

2 hours ago, armadillo215 said:

there is ZERO difference between Ivermectin sold from a pharmacy or sold for worms in animals.

Pharma grade ivermectin in my fridge, if the day comes for off label use.

Be careful, vet grade and pharma grade are two standards. You may get impurities. I wouldn't risk it.

The patent application was a formulation patent or a patent on the ingredients of the pill, so it didn't have much merit.

2 hours ago, Danderman123 said:

To be clear, my point was that the mass numbers of infections predicted by the Doomsayers here about Songkran travel never happened.

I was one of those doomsayers. I said it was unsound to allow mass inter-provincial travel.

Thailand now has to work overtime to contain the wave. The new infections, clusters, lost jobs, physical restrictions arose directly from the mass travel. The data does not yet show that Thailand has climbed out of this mess.

What do you know (not believe) about it?

4 hours ago, armadillo215 said:

Ivermectin is Ivermectin

Vet use drugs have a different purity, different grade.

This was just shared:

Who are we to believe? 

Sandbox, meet wave.

It's too early to tell. Check back end of May.

3 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

You are not explaining why we are not seeing 50,000+ infections in the provinces after Songkran.

Maybe we are not seeing 50,000+ infections because there aren't any.

However, it is more likely a combination of latency, limited testing and asymptomatics.

That said, I sincerely hope you're right.

That's not how it works, Danderman.

Unless your testing regime has 100% sampling, is 100% sensitive and 100% accurate, the numbers take time to swell up.

It is far too early to conclude that Songkran travels did no damage to the other provinces.

Danderman, a few weeks ago the authorities made a surprising request for out-of-province Bangkokians to WFH.

Think about why they did that.

1 minute ago, Danderman123 said:

If my numbers are right, there would now be at least 50,000 people infected in the provinces, maybe 5,000 in hospital, and lots of deaths in the provinces. 

 

But there aren't.

Sincerely hope you're right.