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Posts posted by Red Phoenix
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1 minute ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:
That was UK's autumn 2023 vaccination campaign, which peaked toward the end of last year as planned. They had a pause, and now just recently have begun their spring 2024 COVID vaccines campaign, as planned. It's the normal cycle in the UK.
Timing of the spring booster
You should be offered an appointment between April and June, with those at highest risk being called in first.
We are mid-away during that April-June appointment period for that Spring booster, dying (sic) to know how successful that Spring booster campaign will turn out...
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14 minutes ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:
Predictably, you've posted long out-of-date info for the U.S. from a more than two month old article.
The most recent current info for the 2023-2024 monovalent vaccine in the U.S. is:
22.5% (22.1-22.8) for adults 18+
40.8% (39.7-41.8) among adults age 65+
https://www.cdc.gov/respiratory-viruses/data-research/dashboard/vaccination-trends-children.html
Or in the U.K., where the newest vaccines are recommended for the elderly and other higher-risk populations:
https://ukhsa-dashboard.data.gov.uk/
The bottom line is: COVID vaccines worked. Tens of millions of lives were saved from COVID. And the protections from the vaccines along with immunity from prior infections have dramatically reduced the numbers of COVID deaths and hospitalizations, as the virus also has mutated over time to in general become less severe.
Meaning people today in 2024, right now, don't feel the same sense of urgent health risk that they did in 2021 and 2022, early in the vaccine rollout and with the more deadly COVID variants circulating in those times, when COVID death and hospitalization numbers were skyrocketing.
The AUTUMN booster uptake for people +65 years of age in UK was 69,3% according to the UKHSA-dashboard you posted. But the report date for that figure is 15 Feb 2024, three months ago.
The peak period during which those boosters where administered was mid Sept 2023 to early Nov 2023. And by mid December no more of such boosters were administered.
We are now 5 months further, and In people aged 65 or over, the vaccine was 50% effective at preventing serious illness, for up to six months after a third dose.
Make your own conclusions...
Source: https://ukhsa-dashboard.data.gov.uk/topics/covid-19#vaccinations
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8 hours ago, Martin71 said:
Ride a good few times a day.. if one of the 'black beltchers' is in front I drop back.. if safe to do so of course.. I am also quite rural.. and the local driving habits are erm ... interesting..
I live in the sticks (rural South Isaan), and fortunately in my neck of the woods masks are a rarity and nowhere are they imposed.
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13 minutes ago, Liquorice said:
You can't and don't extend a Non Imm 0 visa, and you know better than that.
Of course I know, it was short-speak which everybody understands, and in this case there is no risk of it putting people on the wrong foot.
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7 minutes ago, Liquorice said:
No idea why you want to complicate your given position.
New Non O based on Thai spouse for re-entry to Thailand.
1 year permit of stay based on Thai spouse from Immigration.Less hassle, less cost.
You can take out voluntary Health Insurance as desired from any Insurer, as opposed to being restricted to a TGIA Insurer.
Good advice by @Liquorice
Don't get yourself in the quagmire of the Non Imm OA compliant Health-insurance, which is mandated when applying for and extending a Non Imm OA Visa.
Due to that @#$%^ mandatory Health-Insurance it is only in very specific cases that applying for that Visa might be considered (e.g. if you do not have or definitely do not want to keep +400K on a personal Thai bank-account).
Re the other option you mention:
Applying for and extending a Non Imm O Visa for reason of retirement does indeed involve far less administrative red-tape than the Non Imm O Visa for reason of marriage. But the latter only requires +400K on your personal Thai bank-account in the period from 2 months pre application till the actual Permission to stay stamped is stamped in your passport, while the Non Imm O Visa for reason of retirement requires you to permanently keep +800K during 5 months of the year and +400K during the intermediate 7 months.
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Here a link to a study whether COVID-19 vaccination affects long-COVID symptoms.
> https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38324547/
And this small scale study confirms that the vaccinated have a higher chance of getting long-COVID than non-vaccinated people.
Note: As it is a short study, I posted full text below.
Objective: The current study aimed to identify the association between COVID-19 vaccination and prolonged post-COVID symptoms (long-COVID) in adults who reported suffering from this condition.
Methods: This was a retrospective follow-up study of adults with long-COVID syndrome. The data were collected during a phone call to the participants in January-February 2022. We inquired about their current health status and also their vaccination status if they agreed to participate.
Results: In total, 1236 people were studied; 543 individuals reported suffering from long long- COVID (43.9%). Chi square test showed that 15 out of 51 people (29.4%) with no vaccination and 528 out of 1185 participants (44.6%) who received at least one dose of any vaccine had long long- COVID symptoms (p = 0.032).
Conclusions: In people who have already contracted COVID-19 and now suffer from long-COVID, receiving a COVID vaccination has a significant association with prolonged symptoms of long-COVID for more than one year after the initial infection. However, vaccines reduce the risk of severe COVID-19 (including reinfections) and its catastrophic consequences (e.g., death). Therefore, it is strongly recommended that all people, even those with a history of COVID-19, receive vaccines to protect themselves against this fatal viral infection.
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29 minutes ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:
Thailand MoPH Weekly COVID report for May 5 - 11, 2024:
--1,880 new COVID hospitalizations, averaging 269 per day, up 88 / 4.9% from the prior week
--11 new COVID deaths, down 1 / 8.3% from the prior week
--588 current COVID patients hospitalized in serious condition (pneumonia symptoms), up 87 / 17.4% from the prior week (dark purple)
--237 current COVID patients hospitalized requiring intubation/ventilation to breathe, up 50 / 27% from the prior week (light purple)
Cumulative figures since the start of the current year are COVID new hospitalizations (14,937) & COVID deaths (104).
Of the 11 new official COVID deaths, the MoPH below is reporting that 4 were male and 7 female. By age, 10 were 70 and above, and one was age 60-69.
https://ddc.moph.go.th/covid19-dashboard/?dashboard=main
Reported weekly COVID new hospitalizations have now risen for the past 9 consecutive weeks since mid-March and more than tripled over that period, as follows for the weeks ending:
March 16 -- 501
March 23 -- 630
March 30 -- 728
April 6 -- 774
April 13 -- 849
April 20 -- 1,004
April 27 -- 1,672
May 4 -- 1,792
May 11 -- 1,880
The latest weekly new COVID hospitalizations total is Thailand's highest since mid-June 2023, when the total hit 2,158. Thailand's weekly new COVID hospitalizations peaked last spring at 3,085 in early June amid a similar run-up that began in mid-April.
As I wrote several times before, one should look at these figures in context.
The population of Thailand stood at 71.85 million in January 2024.
And so these cumulative figures since the start of the current year translate into:
# COVID new hospitalizations (14,937) > stands for 1 COVID hospitalization per 4.810 persons during that 4.5 month period
# COVID deaths (104) > stands for 1 COVID death per 690.865 persons during that 4.5 month period
Pretty scary he?
Oh yes, and of the 11 new official COVID deaths, the MoPH below is reporting that 4 were male and 7 female. By age, 10 were 70 and above, and one was age 60-69.
I think that pretty much shows that COVID could be a small risk for the ELDERLY, but that it is a Big Nothing-burger for the younger and working-age population.
And hey, why would the Public Health authorities want EVERYBODY to be up-to-date with their Covid-shots considering that they now finally admit that the shots have 'rare uncommon' adverse effects? And remember that these adverse effects are all short-term...
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8 minutes ago, stevenl said:
Why are you ignoring the explanation by one of the authors? Don't like his explanation or maybe you know better?
The study mentions" "we observed significantly higher risks of myocarditis following the first, second and third doses of BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 as well as pericarditis after the first and fourth dose of mRNA-1273, and third dose of ChAdOx1, in the 0–42 days risk period."
And the cherry on the cake > Quote from the Funding Statement of that study: "The GCoVS project is supported by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) as part of a financial assistance award totalling US$10,108,491 with 100 % per cent funded by CDC/HHS."
Whose bread i eat...
Source: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264410X24001270?via%3Dihub
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24 minutes ago, stevenl said:
I trust the study authors more than a anti-vax conspiracy loon.
> Researchers found HIGHER than expected cases that they deemed met the threshold to be potential safety signals for multiple AESIs, including for Guillain-Barre syndrome (GBS), cerebral venous sinus thrombosis (CVST), myocarditis, and pericarditis.
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15 minutes ago, Robert Paulson said:A new study for you all to ponder over while drinking your morning coffee
For some reason I have more confidence in the results and conclusion from the study, than how the FactCheckers did (try to) 'debunk' it as addressed in TGJ in BKK's posts. But that's just me folks, a deluded anti-vax conspiracy loon...
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Try the free https://www.chess.com/play/online
It allows to play short (10 min each) or regular games with opponents of similar strength (ranging from absolute beginner to seasoned professional).
The site features also puzzles, learning (e.g. opening theory) and much much more.
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12 minutes ago, proton said:
Just had a look the 'controversial' Thai music thread on TT, er because it was in Thai is still locked! so much for free speech. Not worth supporting.
Smithydog
Topic has been permanently locked from further postings.
One member has chosen not to respect the Moderators' requests and has gone on to abuse a Moderator. Yinn, the Moderation Panel will address you further directly regarding your comments and actions that forced us to close this thread.
Moderators also identified multiple videos that fail to meet Forum Guidelines and they have been deleted for breaches of the following:
Rule 1 - Use English Language only when posting.
The current TT Head Moderator is still regularly confronted with the 'heritage' from the previous moderators, and in such cases he removes the blocks, A simple request suffices...
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6 minutes ago, Tippaporn said:
Some seem to find humour in that. I suspect they'll toss the invitation. No problem. As I said, there's now a forum to suit everyone.
And it is not an either/or choice. The current AN Forum has its merits and strong points, reason that I am a contributing member to both Fora. But open and honest debate on controversial subjects, allowing all points of view is not one of them.
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2 minutes ago, GammaGlobulin said:
I have heard THAT one, before....
> Only this time, it is genuine as the consequence of a Free Speech policy is that it also applies to viewpoints that are controversial.
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8 minutes ago, ChaiyaTH said:
To be honest, it would be less than a day work, to setup a forum using the same software, to have the same forums and subforums, but then with free speech. Or could just use like https://mybb.com/
AseanNow and ThaigerTalk can peacefully co-exist besides each other (I am a member of both).
It goes without saying that due to its much larger member-size some AseanNow sub-fora on non-controversial subjects are quite interesting (e.g. the Visa-forum) and these are my mean reason to visit and post on AN.
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2 minutes ago, proton said:Not really, they banned me for posting Thai music video's, it waz breaking ze rule number von. Worst Thai forum ever, and that's saying something. The last time they banned for for commenting on singer Aung ing, with no video!
You would be surprised when visiting ThaigerTalk now. The only fair and decent Mod is now Head Administrator and he is the ONLY moderator left on the Forum, with Free Speech now being their policy. None of my post there have been altered or deleted since that radical change now 6 months ago with all TT-moderators leaving or being booted.
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16 hours ago, proton said:
You have not missed anything, keep away from it!
On the contrary: you are missing a lot...
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8 minutes ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:
No it doesn't.. And yes, the age of COVID deaths in the UK and elsewhere has been periodically reported, including in posts here on this forum.
But none of that changes the fact that older people who die from COVID, on average, would have otherwise had years left to live, because those who actually survive into their 70s and 80s (absent COVID) have longer life expectancies on average than the overall population averages at large.
But, it is a common claim that COVID deniers make it order to falsely minimize the impact of the pandemic.
If the common claim you are talking about is that
"The average age of Covid-19 deaths is higher than the average life expectancy, which means that people who get Covid live longer."
that 'deduction' is indeed nonsense.
And nobody on this Forum has claimed that.
What we DO claim is that the average age of Covid-19 deaths is very high (+80 years in UK).
And that begs the question why the push to jab EVERYBODY irrespective of age and risk, considering the then unknown adverse effects of these jabs.
Cui bono (who profits) is the question that almost always leads to the motive behind seemingly unlogical or nonsensical actions.
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9 minutes ago, Robert Paulson said:
The average age of covid death is the real key. And of course it’s never reported
In UK the average age of covid death it is 80,3 years of age.
And this tells you all you need to know about the necessity of pushing the covid-jabs on the entire population...
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10 minutes ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:
Sorry, but that's simply not the way it works in the U.S., where most people have to voluntarily decide if they want to get vaccinated or not.
If it were, the above chart would not be showing what it did, which was 70% of U.S. adult COVID hospitalizations in the subject study were not up-to-date with the recommended COVID vaccinations.
Yep, huge market-potential for a Covid-vaccination subscription service to keep you 'updated' with your shots. The wet dream of Pfizer and Moderna would be to make that mandatory...
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2 hours ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:
"It is well established that COVID itself caused a significantly increased risk of these related blood clots and also thrombocytopenia (low platelet count). An August 2021, analysis of 30 million vaccinated people in the UK showed that the risks of thrombocytopenic events were much higher following a COVID infection, compared with any COVID-related vaccine."
Say no more, say nor more...
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13 minutes ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:
Average Covid-19 victim dies years before they otherwise would
The idea that people who die of Covid have lived longer than average fails to appreciate these are the very people who would have been expected to live much longer. As we have written before, people dying of Covid lose about a decade of life, on average.
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An 82-year-old man can expect to live for another 7.4 years on average, while an 85-year-old woman can expect to live another 6.87 years on average.
https://fullfact.org/news/boris-johnson-whatsapp-covid-life-expectancy-cummings/
Pure nonsense! The average age of a person dying with/from COVID was 82.3 years of age. How could you then lose about about 10 years of your life? That implies they would have lived on average till 92.3 yeas of age if they hadn't caught COVID.
As I wrote before > That average of 82.3 years of age for persons dying with/from COVID shows that the large majority of those that died were already very senior, and for every tragedy of a young person dying from COVID there must have been dozens of +82 year old seniors that died from/with COVID.
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3 minutes ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:I lived in Thailand throughout the pandemic, and no one here ever forced or required me to obtain a COVID vaccine, nor my Thai wife.
And in my case along with many other foreigners here, it also was never made a requirement in order to renew people's annual extensions of stay to continue living here.
I also lived in Thailand throughout the pandemic, but our small village in Isaan got an unanounced visit of a Healthcare delegation of 10 (!) people (with 2 nurses) going door-to-door, persuading people to get the jab, which they would administer on the spot. Needless to say that with such social pressure as good as the whole village rolled up their sleeves. Me and my girlfriend being the only ones not succumbing to their pleas and arguments, and of course we being also the only ones in the whole village that did NOT catch Covid-19.
It's a small sample but it's very clear that the number of funerals here in the village has sharply risen, from approx once a month to about once a week.
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2 minutes ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:
AFAIK, contrary to your claim above, COVID vaccines were never "mandated" "for EVERYBODY irrespective of their age," not in the UK, not in the US, not in Thailand, etc.
The loud proclamations here of various posters boasting that they were never vaccinated and never will be attest to that -- not to mention the global statistics showing that only about two-thirds of the global population ever received the basic original two-dose COVID vaccinations. And rates for youngsters are far less than that. So clearly there was no "EVERYBODY" mandate.
https://data.who.int/dashboards/covid19/vaccines?n=c
What there were, in various places to varying extents hardly involving "EVERBODY", were selective requirements by some employers that their employees needed to be vaccinated if they wanted to continue in their jobs, especially in the health care sectors, and mandates by some countries to show proof of vaccination if one wanted to travel internationally.
Nice try to change the subject.
The risk of dying of Covid-19 always has been in the senior part of the population (average age of dying from/with covid-19 being 80,3 years of age).
A poll in UK showed that people thought the average age of a covid-19 death was 65 years.
And there are millions of young people in their 20s, 30s and 40s that were indeed not mandated to take the jab, but the consequence of not complying would have been loss of their job. I personally know several young people that reluctantly gave in to the pressure, as they had a family to support.
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Safetywing vs regular health insurance
in Insurance in Thailand
Posted
As I have excellent - and dirt-cheap - health coverage in my home-country Belgium, I make use of travel-insurance - much cheaper than regular Health Insurance - while in Thailand that covers costs of repatriation when needed.