Roadsternut

Interesting analysis on Patriot missile consumption https://louiseboucher.substack.com/p/early-lessons-from-iran UAE had 700-1000 Patriot missiles. Since Friday, they have likely used up about 600. Kuwait will run out in 2-3 days. Patriot production is about 300 per year. In reality, the exhaustion of air defences is likely to dictate the cessation of hostilities.

Another fruitloop to block. Bye bye Chap. You join a hallowed group.

Rules of Engagement (for instance Geneva Convention) are apparently stupid. https://bsky.app/profile/atrupar.com/post/3mg3diqv3o72v At least traditional allies don't make a habit of spying on you, and recruiting pervert spies to wreak all kinds of havoc on your society. eg Jonathan Pollard, Rafi Eitan, Robert Maxwell, John Tower, Lawrence Franklin, Steven Rosen, Keith Weissman, Michael Schwartz, Ben Kadish, Jeffrey Epstein.

Watch out for the squirters killing Americans. https://bsky.app/profile/atrupar.com/post/3mg3exd4snr2a What a very flippant way to talk of the deceased.

Stick him on ignore. Wish the forum would institute true Sent to Coventry settings, like other forums. He's posting for effect.

Why? He was an opportunist. Hitler might have had a point about Versailles, but that doesn't mean he had a point. OBL had a good war against the Soviets. Within his family, he was basically a feckless loser. And suddenly he was out of work and looking for an another war; don't discount the grift that comes with being a guerilla leader. Hence, quick to support the Saudis against Iraq, even though his fellow Yemenis were treated like crap by the Saudis. OBL and Hitler both seized upon populist policies, which were oddly reminiscent of populist policies in the West, and Hitler. eg Xenophobia, a touch of racism and deranged economic ideas, with unemployment as the recruiting sergeant. If you attempt to justify Al Qaeda, then you are attempting to justify Nazism.

Shia Fatwas are seen as legally non-binding in the Sunni world; they really do hate each other, a schism far deeper than Papist versus Protestant. Fatwas are basically opinions. There has been a fatwa against smoking for almost 150 years. And another issued very recently. No one takes any notice of them. You mention a fatwa issued by OBL, but seem to deliberately ignore the fatwa issued against OBL in 2004, and the fatwa against terrorism by the Deobands. Fatwas could be seen as equivalent to virtue signalling. They're really not that important to the ordinary man on the street. Sure, they could get a few hotheads energised, people who really don't need that much to motivate them. Every culture has nut jobs like that, with black hearts. Explain the existance of IRA and UVF supporters in a modern society.

2000 years? So is that the Mashiacha, a second coming or a Mahdi (allowing for the fact that Islam is about 1400 years and change old), followed by Jesus to finish off the Dajjal. Sounds like you are a follower of a Sky Fairy. Curious use of the term "Gentiles". Anti-semitic much?

I use different primary sources, not Youtubers. You've posted a fairly low value link to a video which is basically a camera plonked outside of the main base gates, zero commentary, zero analysis. I suspect you were suckered by the Youtube thumbnail, and didn't actually bother to look at the link.

I suspect the destruction was caused by falling debris. Early on, Israel/US would have had plenty of targets. There is nothing obvious in the immediate vicinity, though the city itself is a significant "military" city. The munitions are expensive, so ordinarily, at this point, targets are selected carefully. Its later on, when there are less targets, that you could get sloppy targeting. This is not analogous to deliberate Russian targeting of civilian targets across Ukraine.

Nope, not the case. You contradict yourself, by stating "likely" from Lebanon/Yemen. but "certainly" not from Iran. The attack followed to ballistic missile launches. So you are not entirely certain the drones might have come from Lebanon or Yemn, but don't offer an alternative.

Europe has loaned Ukraine the money to purchase materiel, to be repaid when the war is over, from reparations. Until then, the loans are serviced using interest from embargoed Russian assets. Direct US aid stopped end Q4 2025. Since the beginning of this year, the EU has provided a support loan to Ukraine.

Drones were launched at RAF Akrotiri before the announcement. 300 British servicemen were targeted in Manama by a missile strike before the announcement. The UK authorisation is very specific in terms of target.

These are Iranian emigres living in the US, not followers of the regime. Surprised you're not asking for them to be rounded up and deported someplace, because they're not American.

These Iranian leaders aren't actually the leaders of all Shia. They are self appointed. It's not the same as killing the Pope. The Supreme Leader who was killed wasn't even that much of a religious scholar. Yeah, some will feel inspired, but most won't.

Earnt yourself a blocked account by acting like a teenager. Don't call me "dude". Life has told me how to recognise a <deleted>. Splitting hairs over the use of "Arabic"? You're a racist, and don't realise it. Give your head a wobble. <deleted> me, you think every British or American kid going to an army school is turned into some sort of goose stepping automaton. These are regular schools, thats all. Bye bye.

Predictably, US blue on blue losses have started, with losses of several US aircraft over Kuwait. RAF Typhoon pilots, take note. We know what happened before.

$10bn UEWR radar in Qatar, covering Gulf and Levant, taken out. https://defencesecurityasia.com/en/iran-destroys-us-an-fps-132-radar-qatar-irgc-missile-defense-gulf-escalation/ Add to that the loss of a $500m radar in Bahrain.

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/u-s-races-to-accomplish-iran-mission-before-munitions-run-out-c014acbc Lack of planning, running out of munitions.

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/pentagon-tells-congress-no-sign-that-iran-was-going-attack-us-first-sources-say-2026-03-02/

A change of government in Tehran will not change a single thing with respect to Iran's relationship with the region. The old Shah of Iran spent an enormous amount on defence spending (the Challenger tank only exists because he funded the development. Iran was the only non-US operator of F14 Tomcats, and started a nuclear program programme in the 1970s). He had a project, called "The Great Civilisation", which was to transform Iran into a power rivaling the European powers by 1990, and dominating the Middle East, and by 2000, into a Super Power competing with the US. Possibly sheer fantasy, but a statement of intent that he was not that interested in equitable or fraternal realtions with his Arab neighbours (Iranians can be insufferable pricks when they get on their high horse about the "Persian Empire"). https://www.nytimes.com/1972/01/17/archives/shah-of-iran-warns-outsiders-against-gulf-military-positions.html

I'm not sure you have much grasp of what IQ numbers mean. Every nation on earth includes people with sub-80 IQs, but average Indian and US IQs are about the same. Americans marry their cousins (18 states allow first cousin marriages, with another 8 imposing some restrictions). About 4000 marriages in the US are first cousin. So access to nuclear weapons should be determined by access to toilets. About 2 million Americans (0.6% of the population) don't have access to a household toilet, so I suppose they must poo in the street. In the UK, 1 in 500 (0.2%) doesn't have access to their own toilet. So given an American is 3 times more likely to poo in the street than a Brit, time to give up those nukes. Or rethink the criteria, and actually understand what IQ means. IQ is a measure of intelligence not education. You are suggesting that race determines intelligence. That is a horrifying suggestion, I thought we had seen the last of that when the Nazis were measuring skull size.

Not sure there is any need for this thread, considering a slight shift in position by the UK government. No doubt Parliament will be calling for a full statement from the Attorney General, but HMG has granted permission for the US to use British bases for defensive strikes on Iranian missile facilities, following what it describes as the "scorched earth" response of Tehran. That means UK bases can't be used for all targets. That might mean command and control bunkers are included, but not political targets; the Iranian 4-level defence means missile units can operate independantly of central command (ie. taking out places of political command would not affect Iran's ability to launch missiles).

You appear to have not fully comprehended my response. Yes, the UK could sustain food production to meet calorific demand (been done before), but less likely to sustain demand for micronutrientss, without artificial interventionn. Patterns of meat consumption will change, because our ability to raise livestock is dependant on the available animal feed. We have lots of grass, hence beef and lamb production can increase. We don't grow much soy, so pork production will reduce. We don't grow maize, so chicken production will decline (unless you change your yield expectations per bird. Chickens will get much smaller, and cost more, so people will consume less). Our production of pork and chicken is largely dependant on imported feed giving high yields, ie. soy protein and maize. Without these, pork and chicken production will inevitably fall, and will not meet current demand. Demand for these meats will need to fall, likely through an increase in cost. Consumption of pork has increased in recent years, approaching the highs last seen in the 1970s, of about 25-27kg a year per person. But how pork is produced has changed, and we must not return to the old ways of rearing porcine beasts. Production was sustained through the use of pig swill to supplement animal feed. But that same pig swill gave rise to FMDV infection of herds. If a single animal is infected, the entire herd needs to be culled. Pigs are also an important vector in influenza spread, and novel strain emergence (the flu is considered to have occurred because 2000 years ago someone in Greece worked out pig stys were better than pigs on a mountainside). Yes, there are arguments that if treated, pig swill is perfectly ok. That was the argument when they simplified bone meal manufacture. A failure in the process to ensure non-contamination was the origin of nvCJD (mad Cow), with 90% of the British population exposed to an agent with a possible incubation of 40-50 years. Chicken used to be a luxury. In the 1950s, chicken was about 1% of the meat consumption of the average household. In the 1970s, a chicken was typically 1kg, now a chicken is 2kg. We've gone from eating about 0.5kg of chicken per month in the 1970s to 1kg of chicken today. The only way that yield increase was achieved in just 50 years was in industrialised production, using high calorific foods that were imported. Its fanciful to suggest we could maintain such levels without imported animal feed. Yes, we will eat less chicken, and it will be more expensive chicken. It might be better chicken, but that's not your thesis. You are under the false illusion that vaccinations cover non-contagious disease. Your assumptions about declinng vaccine rates would account for a rise in diseases such as necrotizing fasciitis I would suggest, at best, extremely ignorant. Almost all routine vaccinations provided by the NHS are for contagious disease, eg. human to human. An exception is tetanus. Very few vaccines that are available are what would be called sterilizing; ie a vaccine that prevents infection. An example of a sterilizing vaccine are the HPV and measles vaccines. In general, vaccines prevent the development of disease. Most people think the measles vaccine is effective because of the lack of a rash. But if you test that group of school kids for virus, you will find it is still circulating among them. The vaccine gives the body a helping hand to stave off symptoms of disease. In a well nourished population, the measles vaccination is 97% effective in preventing disease. In a malnourished population, its about 60-65% effective, according to Prendergast. It is widely recognised that vaccination is less effective in malnourished populations, because of diminished immune response. The single reason for the reduction in infectious disease in the British population is NOT the miracle of modern medicine, but the improvement in public health, ie. improved diet, improved access to clean water. There are no vaccinations against Staphyloccocus aureus. This is an opportunistic commensal. It lives mostly without causing harm on the skin. Until you suffer an injury, and then it can lead to serious infection, sometimes resulting in cellulitus or even sepsis. Sepsis was the leading cause of death among injured troops recovered from the battle field over the last 20-25 years, pretty much the same as 100 years ago. There is no vaccination against "strep throat". Group A Strep infections have a mortality rate of 30%, and are a leading cause of necrotizing fasciitis, often leading to amputation. There is no vaccination against Salmonella spp., or Escherichia coli. The range of fruits and vegetables that can be grown naturally in the UK is relatively limited. The addition of new fruits and vegetables is one of the reasons attributed to an increase in height. In the 1890s, there was a mass mobilisation of the army, for the Boer War. 70% of volunteers failed the basic fitness test, mostly due to Rickets. Rickets is due to lack of vitamin D, brought about by living in darkened houses and a poor environment, but its also due to low blood calcium. A diet with a heavy grain content leads to reduced absorption of calcium in the gut. Replacing imported fruits (especially) and vegetables could be done, but it cannot easily be done. It would need the construction of heated greenhouses. But the energy requirements are considerable. Tate and Lyle are experimenting with heated greenhouses, using sugarbeet waste as a biofuel. But if demand for beet sugar was to fall, the business case for the greenhouses falls apart. One of the reasons for the increase in sugarbeet production is demand for bioethanol. So much so that the company is now importing sugar from Mauritius to supplement demand. However, the horizon for such demand is quite short. There will be a cliff face drop in demand for bioethanol, as fuel, from about 2040, about when the last ICE cars sold in the UK will start to get scrapped (Euro6 engines are in many cases barely making 100k miles, given wetbelt failures (wetbelts were needed to attain the efficiency standards in many cases. The cost of a dry belt change is typically £400-500, but wetbelt changes are often £1000-1500, essentially an uneconomic repair on a 10 year old car)). You're discussing with a PhD in microbiology, with 30+ years in the field, substantially in the field of biosecurity and biological threats to the nation. Read about Sir Alfred Keogh to understand the reaction of the government of the day to the realisation that the nation was not ready to fight an expected major European war. Simply, we didn't have the manpower. As for seafood, how are you expecting to get this harvest of the sea? The UK fishing fleet has declined from 25,000 to 5,000 now, with a concomitant contraction of the number of jobs in the sector. Fishing remains the most dangerous occupation. Are you going to force people to become fishermen? And how are you going to magic up 20,000 trawlers? Ship production has more or less disappeared now in the UK. Its gone, never coming back, unless someone comes up with a magic way to make ships using additive manufacturing techniques. It takes about 18 months to build a trawler. Typical yards can produce about 5 trawlers a year. It would take 40 years for 100 ship yards, which don't actually exist, to restore the fleet to 1970s levels. By that time, we'd all forgotten what cod tasted like. Those 25,000 boats were the legacy of 1500 years of commercial fishing, thats why its sheer fantasy to suggest that we could "easily" become self sufficient in seafood. In 1900, we landed 1.2 million tonnes of seafood from domestic waters. By 2020, this had declined to less than a quarter of that (Heard et al, 2025, Rev Fish Biol Fish 18;35(2)). Farmed seafood produces about 150,000 tonnes a year, often disease riddled fish, and I hate the taste of salmon. Its ludicrous to think that can be expanded by 500%. In 1939-45, the UK population was about 50 million. With an effective blockade on most food imports, and central government mandated of conversion of urban gardens into food production (Dig for Victory), the nation could sustain a relatively high calorific diet (by promoting crops with a high calorific value), but not something that could be sustained long term; for instance, there was a shortage of eggs, as children often received the adults' allocation to sustain them. The population is now about 70 million.

The UK sees 1-3 cases of Anthrax per 4-5 years, mostly subcutaneous. Its a disease associated with the farmyard. We had some spikes of inhalational anthrax, which is more serious, among heroin users about 10 years ago.The theory is that the drug was being cut with contaminated bone meal at some point in the narcotic's smuggling journey. There was a strange case in the Scottish borders of a buddhist itinerant drum maker dying from it. They only figured it out after he had been cremated, and his home stripped of keep sakes following a wake with hundreds of mourners in attendance. He lived alone in a farm in Scotland, and had bats in his loft. The farm was clear, and there was great worry by the guys I knew at Health England's bit of DSTL about whether or not bats could carry the bacterium. They don't. No sign of the bacterium in his home. But he was English, and often visited his parents over the border, where he did drum making classes for the local kids at the village hall. It was in the hall that they found the smoking gun. Experiments showed that the anthrax spore, once it was on a surface, was a sticky bugger. You need energy to shift it, eg rubbing the surface. Likely he was close to the hides as he stitched them. He was buying West African sheep skins off Ebay..... Valuable insight for what I needed to do. A few months later, a young Spanish drum maker was found dead in his London flat. The accumulated experience meant decon was no issue. I am aware of a British soldier bringing back inhalational anthrax from Florida. He had previously served in Iraq, and went on a family holiday to Disney etc. He was in a bad way on the return flight, and it was blues and twos to St Barts. Elevated WBCs, and other signals, so he was suffering a systemic infection, and he was into multiple failure, so they pumped him full of antiobiotics. Only weeks later, after he recovered, did the results from Porton Down come back; tell tale Anthrax toxin residues in his blood. The combination of the NHS acting quicly, his high degree of phyical fitness, and that he had been pumped to the gunnels with mystery unapproved vaccines likely saved his life. Bacillus anthracis is not something you would engineer into an "ethnic bioweapon". You would use a virus, if you did such a thing. South Africa is thought to have used Bacillus anthracis to contaminate certain types of food favoured by certain groups, and this might have lead to localised deaths. Much earlier, a cult in Oregon wanted to rig a local election, by contaminating salad bars in fast food restaurants, places they didn't eat at. That way, people were too sick to vote on polling day, allowing the cult to swing an election.