JonnyF
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Posts posted by JonnyF
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Hopefully this means that anywhere outside these specific areas can operate as normal. Otherwise it's going to be a pretty boring Songkran for many in Bangkok.
I'm gonna head up to our farm in Korat for Songkran with a couple of cases in the boot of my car. It looks like by the time I come back, Bangkok could be in lockdown. Given the pathetic vaccine rollout here, I really hope they can contain this cluster otherwise it could be a pretty rubbish few months ahead.
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10 hours ago, SheungWan said:
You are correct. Are you actually expecting something to happen or not happen that impacts the sterling exchange rate?
Yes I was correct.
No I'm not really expecting anything drastic to happen. If the EU fail to ratify the deal and leave the UK to leave with No Deal then the pound would drop, but I think the EU has enough problems right now without a No Deal scenario, the French fisherman kicking off and the knock on effect to Macron. So I'd expect them to ratify, but given the EU's glacial movements on pretty much everything there could be one more delay.
So I'd expect the GBP to continue it's strengthening against the THB and the Euro. The THB (the focus of this thread) could be in for a tough ride IMO, Covid19's effect on tourism and the government's failure on the vaccine rollout could be the straw that broke the camel's back.
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9 hours ago, SheungWan said:
UK-EU deal signed a long time ago by both parties. Its 2021 BTW. And $ strangely doing OK without Trump's antics, so time to buy some baht next week.
Do try to keep up. The deal hasn't been ratified yet.
Delayed until April 30 (yes that's 2021)
https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-britain-eu-ratification-idUSKBN2AN1IK
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3 minutes ago, SheungWan said:
No-deal Brexiteers still looking to wreck the agreement if they can and cheering on the NI unionists to kick things off. Sterling holders always faced with whether to exchange cash now or risk the sourness happening. The Thai baht has its own set of problems so GBPTHB is in for an interesting ride.
Actually its the EU that hasn't ratified the deal. But then when it takes 4 months to place an order for a vaccine it's not really surprising is it?
Incompetent fools. The house of cards is starting to creak. They better hope the wind doesn't blow. Le Pen might be the straw that broke the donkeys back.
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On 4/2/2021 at 8:26 AM, SheungWan said:
GBP has gone down since the vote to leave the EU. Current recovery due to making a deal with the EU. No-deal Brexit would have sent it crashing again.
Yep, Project Fear was very powerful and had some very influential backers.
As it's gradually debunked, expect the gbp to head back towards 2016 levels by 2025.
The irony is that many of the people on TV relying on a strong pound for their pensions were the same ones trashing it with their project fear anti brexit rhetoric.
If I was American I'd say, Go Figure.
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I don't really think they are getting uglier. The latest updates to the MT range are particularly bad, but they are the exception to the rule IMO. I have the 2017 MT09 which is no work of art but it's positively beautiful compared to these new 2021 models. Not sure what Yamaha was thinking there.
Elsewhere we have some great looking bikes. The Aprilia RS660 is a good example, a beautiful bike which I'd love to buy if it was available here in Thailand, the MV Superveloce, the new Speed Triple etc. Plus all the retro models for those who are into that kind of thing. Some lovely bikes out there.
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9 minutes ago, BritManToo said:It's lost 7.5% against the pound in the first 1/4, I changed at 43.05 yesterday.
In fairness to the THB, the GBP has risen against a multitude of currencies since we left the EU. It's also about 6% up on the Euro since New Year.
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8 minutes ago, Jeffr2 said:
Quite the pat on the back considering not everything is known yet. An initial statement, but that's it.
You bashed us for saying it might be racism. Now, you credit yourself for solving it. Stunning.
As mentioned above, you care more about being right than the lives of those lost. And the fact that hate crimes against Asians are on the rise. No denying that. Hey, I'm right again!
Not at all. I have huge sympathy for the victims and their families. I choose not go OTT to virtue signal on forums about it though. That is my choice.
I also don't try to stir up racial divide by trying to claim that every bad thing in the world that happens is as a result of racism. If you wish to continue race baiting then feel free, but don't expect me to participate.
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10 minutes ago, Jeffr2 said:
Asian women. There are massage parlors in the US that don't have Asians. Ummm....I read about that on the internet. LOL
Why would he actively seek out non Asian massage places if he was simply targeting female sex workers?
Maybe he didn't give a damn what race they were. Hard to believe for many of the obsessive disciples of identity politics on this forum, I know. Some of us just see people, not white people, Arab people, black people, Asian people. Just people.
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The EU embarrassing themselves yet again. What a farce. What an inept organization.
I bet the citizens of the EU will never vote for this EU commission ever again after they made such a mess of things - Oh wait a minute, they didn't vote for them in the first place. That's handy, for the commission.
What an undemocratic, spiteful, incompetent organization the EU has become. Thank god we're out.
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56 minutes ago, Jeffr2 said:
Worth a read:
https://edition.cnn.com/2021/03/17/us/asian-women-misogyny-spa-shootings-trnd/index.html
Fetishized, sexualized and marginalized, Asian women are uniquely vulnerable to violence
If you go after sex workers in certain areas, you will likely kill more Asian women because they might be over represented in that particular area.
It's like if you had a major issue with the Canadian Mounted Police and raided the Christmas party and killed 10 of them, it's likely most of them would be white. It wouldn't make it a race crime. Unless you were a disciple of Critical Race Theory of course, and see absolutely everything through the context of race.
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Looks like I was right again, it was in fact related to sex work, not race.
The race baiters will be disappointed.
https://www.wcvb.com/article/georgia-massage-parlor-shootings/35857026#
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3 minutes ago, Emdog said:
I'm sure this will make Thai news. Be more careful than usual if you happen to be white here. It only takes one punk thinking he's giving "payback" to end your life. It's wrong, it's stupid, but perhaps that POS that did the killings justified for same insane reason. It doesn't matter if 99% of Thais might not hold that view. Only takes one. So stay frosty.
You raise a valid point. One of many reasons that it's so irresponsible to label this a race hate crime against Asians until all the facts are known.
We have enough race issues at the moment without adding to them.
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11 minutes ago, 7by7 said:
As I say in my previous post, as it says in the OP; those countries who have suspended the use of this vaccine have done so on the advice of their own medical authorities and against that of the EU.
Not for the first time, you have shown that you blame the abject failure of Brexit on what you perceive as the EU's spite and vindictiveness. That you'll you'll latch onto anything which you think proves that point; whilst at the same time ignoring the facts prove you wrong.
You have ignored the fact of the EMA's advice not to suspend the use of the vaccine.
You have ignored the fact that this started in a country which is not an EU member.
You have ignored the fact that non EU members have suspended the vaccine's use.
Most telling of all, you have ignored the fact that the FDA in the USA has not yet approved the use of this vaccine and are conducting further trials before they do so.
I was referring to EU countries, not the EU.
The fact the USA is still in the approval process has nothing to do with it. They are way outperforming the EU (who isn't!) on vaccine rollout so they can take their time.
How has Brexit failed? We only left the withdrawal period a few weeks ago. Sterling has risen by almost 4% against the Euro in 2021 since we left that mess behind once and for all. The EU vaccine rollout has been one disaster after another. By contrast the UK is leading the world with the speed and efficiency of their rollout.
I'd be worrying about the EU if I was you, not Britain, especially if EU countries refuse to vaccinate their own people with a perfectly safe vaccine simply because of it's links to the UK.
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4 minutes ago, 7by7 said:
There was no evidence at that time either way because such data for the over 65 age group was very sparse.
Even the UK's MHRA said that the number of older people contracting the virus in the AstraZeneca trial was "too few to draw conclusions on efficacy". (Source)
Subsequent data has shown that it is effective for the over 65s, and the French government authorised it's use for the over 65s on the 2nd March.
Did you not read the OP? Had you done so you would know that it is also against the EU's advice via their EMA!
You forget that this all started following a report from Norway's Medicines Agency; and Norway is not an EU member.
You also forget that not all EU members have suspended the use of the vaccine whilst some non EU members have.
Whilst the USA have still not even authorised it's use in the first place. Do you also believe the USA has some political axe to grind with us and is taking it our via not approving this vaccine?
So far 13 EU countries have stopped using it due to zero evidence of a link to blood clots.
It could just be a coincidence that so many EU countries have stopped. Maybe coincidence that it was Macron who made the inaccurate claims about it's ineffectiveness. That's the thing, when you continuously act with spite and vindictiveness towards something it's possible that you are incorrectly labelled as spiteful and vindictive in the future.
Doctors appear as baffled as I am.
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8 minutes ago, John Drake said:
It does seem massage oriented. He left the first massage parlor and went 30 miles to the next two, one of which was right across the street from the other. If it were just a matter of going after Asians, I would think there are bigger targets that are closer to each other, such as restaurants, temples, etc.
Yep, somewhere like Atlanta Chinatown would have been easier than driving 30 miles to different massage parlors if he simply wanted to kill Asians.
http://www.atlantachinatown.com/
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28 minutes ago, stevenl said:
Nothing to do with being pedantic. You correct someone, rightfully so, with an incorrect statement. Also yours was simply incorrect. 'Not all were Asians' would have been correct.
Context. The CAPS should have given it away if it all got too confusing for you.
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5 hours ago, robblok said:
I agree its just a small chance, but if other vaccines don't have that risk then it might be better to choose the other variant. Though if you can't get the other vaccine then this is better then noting.
But they have to alley fears so they don't get accused later.
It also might be a cover up for the late rollout so they have something to blame. Not sure personally if i were in charge id just keep vaccinating people as the Covid risk is higher.
Other vaccines aren't as effective.
Sinovac for instance.
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6 minutes ago, stevenl said:
Your meaning is completely different from the facts. I presume you mean 'not all were Asians'.
That would be true, but with 6 of the 8 being Asians, and the last 4 killed being Asians, it really looks like Asians were the target.
Yes. the poster said all were Asians but actually 3 were not Asian, so I said 'No, all were NOT Asians'. As a standalone comment you could argue that was confusing if you were being pedantic, but bearing in mind the comment I was replying to and that my quote included the fact that 2 Asians were killed in the first attack, I think it's pretty obvious what I meant.
It appears that at least 6 of the 8 were involved in the sex trade. So sex workers being the target would be an equally valid conclusion at this stage.
Let's wait and see. Better not to jump to conclusions especially in the current climate of race baiting, rioting etc.
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2 minutes ago, ballpoint said:
That was in the first place he attacked, outside Atlanta, which happens to be called "Young's Asian Massage". He then killed four more women - all Asian, in two other spas in Atlanta. This wasn't a spur of the moment attack on one massage parlour by a disgruntled customer. Six of the eight victims were Asian, and the first place has a decidedly Asian name. I'm sure the police will be including the possibility of it's being race related in their investigations.
Jeffr2's claim that all his victims are Asian is factually incorrect.
Race is one possibility. Or maybe he hates sex workers? Maybe he caught HIV in there? Maybe one or more of the workers is an ex girlfriend? Many the massage parlours have a common owner who he has beef with and is one of the victims?
There are many potential motivational factors for such an attack. I'm not ruling out race, but it's a bit early to conclude this is a racially motivated attack like Jeffr2 did, especially when he also killed 2 Whites and shot a Mexican during the same rampage.
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49 minutes ago, RuamRudy said:
The EU will facilitate a trade deal very quickly, of this I am sure.
Why would we not be able to work out a deal with rUK? Do you think that the rUK government can lose it's third largest trading partner without feeling pain?
If rUK was to act hostile, do you not think that there may be some problems as a result?
What evidence do you have that the EU will facilitate a deal quickly. It's not exactly their MO for trade deals now is it? It's not like Scotland does represents a huge chunk of their trade. They move at a glacial pace. 4 and a half years for the UK deal was considered rapid.
The rest of your post seems to be the same as the Brexiteer argument for getting a deal with the EU, you know, the one you've been arguing against for 5 years. ????
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9 minutes ago, RuamRudy said:
Negotiations will result, hopefully, in an acceptable, mutually agreed share of the UK debt being allocated to all parties involved. It serves nobody any good to try to threaten to walk away from their obligations, like Johnson did with the EU.
But no to the Scottish taxpayers paying for the corrupt contracts issued by our corrupt Tory government; all others will be forensically inspected to ensure that they are above board and reasonable. Just to repeat - your country voted tory; your country's taxpayers must pay for their corrupt acts.
The article you cite overlooks several key facts. Firstly, independence means that we are not required to follow the same fiscal policies of the current government; our spending commitments will be for us to decide, not for another country to dictate; our economy will be released from the death grip of Westminster and we will be able to develop it to suit our own needs, not those of city speculators. Basically, when you are going to throw out all the bad old stuff, don't use the data that the bad old stuff generated to forecast the future with new, improved things.
You'll have no trade deals with the EU or the UK (your biggest trading partners). And all the trade deals that the UK has made since Brexit will also be lost. Oil prices are rock bottom. The fallout from Covid will continue. You'll have very limited control over your monetary policy due to using our currency. And you think those are the ingredients for an economy to improve? Are you serious?
By the time the EU checks your finances in about 10 years from now you'll be close to bankrupt. They don't need any more charity cases.
It's a suicide mission. But hey, good luck.????
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21 minutes ago, RuamRudy said:
What estimates are you referring to in respect to notional Scottish debt?
Here is one.
It's 4 years old but still valid. It's pre Covid financial destruction, but even at this stage you are well over the 60% for joining. Since then debt has increased to over 2 trillion, so your share would be more like 160 Billion with your GDP at 205 Billion you're still looking at around 80% compared to the 60% the EU wants.
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3 minutes ago, RuamRudy said:
What estimates are you referring to in respect to notional Scottish debt?
I have no intention of advocating that my country walk away from its LEGAL obligations, but I would expect that every single line item was backed up with receipts - and all those billions you paid for your useless covid phone app and your corrupt PPE contracts, we won't be paying a brass farthing towards those.
How many times does the Spanish government need to make clear that they would have no issue with an independent Scotland joining the EU if it left the UK through legal means? It has been stated by various Spanish representatives on more than one occasion, yet still the message seems not to have sunk in.
Well debt isn't going to fall, is it? You won't be in a position to choose which parts you want and which parts you don't. But if you want to pretend you can walk away from your debt that's not really a conversation worth continuing.
So how about the public spending deficit? 8.6% when the EU rules state 3%. Doesn't sound too promising.
https://dailybusinessgroup.co.uk/2020/08/scotlands-deficit-higher-than-nhs-budget/
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Are motorcycles getting uglier? (BKK Motor show 2021)
in Motorcycles in Thailand
Posted
I don't mind the new Monster, although it did look better with the trellis frame. I guess it's a case of function over form now with the massive weight loss that the new frame offers.
Yeah the new S1000r just looks pretty boring now which kind of matches the overall ride experience from many reports I've read.
I'd disagree on the MT09 though. I think it peaked at the second gen. I could be biased though...