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Posts posted by 7by7
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14 hours ago, CG1 Blue said:
It's nice to see you rattled again.
I'm not the one posting reports without any hard evidence claiming Brexit has caused catastrophic damage to our GDP. I don't need to provide evidence. If I'd have claimed Brexit has taken our economy from strength to strength, then you could ask me to prove it. But most intelligent people know the real effect of Brexit will be seen over the coming years.
The evidence provided by myself and others comes from Bloomberg, Rand, etc. who have produced their reports based upon the available historical evidence and made projections based upon that evidence and their professional, educated assumptions of what may happen.
I asked you for alternative figures to support your view. Your previous ignoring of that request and now your response quoted above only serve to prove that you have either not bothered to try and find any or, more likely in my opinion, desperately searched for some but failed to come up with anything.
You are, of course, entitled to your opinion, but simply saying that you don't like the figures therefore they are wrong proves nothing except your blind faith in Boris Johnson's Brexit.
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11 hours ago, Andy from Kent said:
I can't leave Facebook because I opted to NEVER be a part of it. I dislike its controlling nature.
Again, your choice.
No one is forced to join, no one who has joined is prevented from leaving.
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I don't understand the outrage being shown by some members towards Facebook.
Facebook has rules about what it's members can and cannot post? So do most, if not all, social media platforms; including this one!
Posts which break those rules are removed? Yep, I know from personal experience that it happens here as well.
People who break the rules are suspended from posting? Personal experience also tells me that happens here, too.
I, obviously, haven't been permanently banned from posting here; but I know of those who have been.
Facebook is a commercial enterprise making money from advertising? Yep, you've guessed it, so is TVF!
As for Facebook having to pay for media and news links posted by it's members; I can fully understand their refusal to so do. What would happen to this forum if TVF had to do the same?
Of course the Australian, and any other government, have the right to say what Facebook has to pay for in their country. Just as Facebook has the right to decide what it will and will not allow on it's site there.
At the end of the day, if you don't like the rules or content; leave. No one is forcing anyone to join Facebook nor any other platform.
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7 hours ago, ukrules said:I believe they missed a reporting deadline by about a week, nothing about hiding anything...how do you think they managed to take action?
If they wanted to cover it up then nobody would ever know.
Difficult to cover up when the national Audit Office discovered it following enquiries from members of the public!
Personally I'm not that concerned by the government being late in reporting.
What concerns me is the millions of pounds of taxpayers money wasted on unsuitable PPE and the deaths of health workers caused by this blatant cronyism.
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2 hours ago, CG1 Blue said:Ok, I looked at the Rand report
Better late than never!
Maybe in future you'll read reports and articles before commenting on them?
2 hours ago, CG1 Blue said:That's also full of speculation and guesswork
Estimates based upon analysis and expertise in the subject.
Yet again you dismiss evidence which you don't care for without producing any evidence to support your view.
Why is that? Could it be because such evidence does not exist?
2 hours ago, CG1 Blue said:The only useful thing they point out is that the prolonged negotiations caused uncertainty, which naturally hampered investment. And we can thank the remainers in Parliament for that - for dragging it out for as long as possible in the desperate hope they could overturn the referendum result.
The tired, old Brexiteer fall back when losing an argument of blaming all our woes on the previous Parliament!
Brexiteers say that May was a Remainer and that her proposed withdrawal agreement was BRINO (Brexit in name only) which would have effectively kept us tied to the EU as if still a member.
Brexiteers also say that the Parliament which voted down that agreement three times was a Remainer Parliament which wanted to keep us tied to the EU as if still a member.
So, according to Brexiteers, a Remainer Parliament voted down a Remainer agreement!
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Note this is just the first dose.
To repeat what I posted elsewhere:
As of Friday 19th Feb whilst 17,247,442 people have received their first dose, only 604,885 have received their second (Source HMG).
Advice from the manufacturers is that the second dose be given after 21 days or 28 days, depending on which vaccine is given. But in order to hit it's first dose targets the government has decided to extend that to twelve weeks. Up to four times the manufacturers recommendation, and twice the maximum recommended by WHO (Source).
I am neither a doctor nor a virologist, so have no idea how this delay in providing the second dose will effect people's immunity. But many health professionals have expressed concern over the policy:
Covid-19 vaccines: to delay or not to delay second doses
Revisiting the UK’s strategy for delaying the second dose of the Pfizer covid-19 vaccine
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34 minutes ago, Cake Monster said:
Take note Thailand.
The UK has a very similar population.
But far higher infection and death rates.
The UK 4.071,297 cases in total; Thailand 25,111 cases in total.
The UK 1782.91 deaths per million; Thailand 1.19 deaths per million.
See COVID-19 deaths worldwide per million population as of February 19, 2021, by country
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7 hours ago, Kwasaki said:<snip>
What do the UK public think, they couldn't care less less as long as NHS & health workers were getting protection.
Except, as has been shown, this cronyism resulted not only in millions of pounds being wasted, but also in delays in health workers getting the PPE they needed because that supplied by BoJo's mates was useless!
How many have died because of this corruption? From last July, UK among highest COVID-19 health worker deaths in the world
QuoteThe 61-page report - Exposed, Silenced, Attacked: Failures to protect health and essential workers during the pandemic - shows that, with at least 540 health and social workers having died from COVID-19 in England and Wales alone, the UK is second only to Russia, which has recorded 545 health worker deaths.
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7 hours ago, Tofer said:
The Army, health workers, and volunteers, i.e anyone over the age of 18.
All working for and to support the NHS!
For example: COVID: The Military's Role In UK's Mass Vaccination Programme
QuoteArmed Forces personnel are helping the NHS to roll out a COVID-19 mass vaccination programme.
7 hours ago, Tofer said:What involvement exactly did the NHS have in the funding, procurement and distribution of vaccines??
The NHS stick needles in arms, manage the appointments to stick needles in arms, train and supervise volunteers to stick needles in arms. What else, please enlighten us?
QuotePurchasing vaccines and R&D falls under the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) and the Vaccine Task Force. The rollout is the responsibility of the Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC), working with NHS England, NHS Improvement and Public Health England to co-ordinate vaccinations across a large network of vaccination sites including in hospitals, GPs and pharmacies. The two areas need to be closely aligned.
In December, the prime minister appointed Nadhim Zahawi as minister for Covid-19 vaccinations, based in the health department. The prime minister and Matt Hancock, the health secretary, will also be held accountable for oversight of the programme.
So a minister in the Health Department is in charge, with the Health Secretary, along with the Prime Minister, having overall responsibility.
See also the government press release COVID-19 vaccine authorised by medicines regulator for more on the NHS's involvement.
Only you know why you want to denigrate the NHS in the way you have.
7 hours ago, Tofer said:I think the current facts prove my statements.
The facts are not as you state, they are as I previously quoted from the government press release.
QuoteEU legislation which we have implemented – Regulation 174 – allows the MHRA to temporarily authorise the supply of a medicine or vaccine, based on public health need.
7 hours ago, Tofer said:Or were the EU nations simply happy to prolong the agony to show solidarity within the EU, whilst suffering delays to their recovery, more deaths and more disruption to their businesses?
Pure speculation from you again.
The reasons for the EU members deciding on a unified approach rather than following the UK's lead are complex. But at the end of the day whilst the UK's programme started on the 8th December, that in most EU (and EEA) member's started on the 26th December.
How many extra deaths that resulted in is impossible to calculate, but you seem to have forgotten, if you ever knew, that the UK's death rate is the third highest in the world. (Source) I am, of course, aware that the two countries above us are EU members; but that means the other 25 members have fared better than us.
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8 hours ago, Tofer said:
Not when they were under the control of the EU's finance department.
I repeat, since you chose to omit this statement from your quote;
I doubt any EU state that decided to go it's own way would have received any support for the funding of the vaccines, hence they all fell in line with the UvdL's commissions directive, since they will be paying for the Covid fund for many years to come either way.
Tell me I'm wrong??
Only when you provide evidence to back up your assumption.
If you can!
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18 hours ago, CG1 Blue said:
You may be mixing me up with someone else. I didn't 'finally admit' anything. I've said the same from the start.
If you say so; but that'll make you the only Brexiteer here who has said that the EU rules do allow any member to unilaterally temporarily licence a vaccine for emergency use!
18 hours ago, CG1 Blue said:If you think that the UK would have followed exactly the same course with the vaccines if we'd never have left the EU, that's up to you. I think deep down you know we would have toed the EU line though, and we wouldn't have been in the enviable position with vaccines that we are now.
Deep down I know nothing as I have no way of viewing imaginary, alternative universes. But if you want to make assumptions based on zero evidence; that is up to you.
18 hours ago, CG1 Blue said:That is, almost all UK vulnerable people vaccinated,
A huge achievement; but it is just the first dose.
As of Friday 19th Feb whilst 17,247,442 people have received their first dose, only 604,885 have received their second (Source HMG).
Advice from the manufacturers is that the second dose be given after 21 days or 28 days, depending on which vaccine is given. But in order to hit it's first dose targets the government has decided to extend that to twelve weeks. Up to four times the manufacturers recommendation, and twice the maximum recommended by WHO (Source).
I am neither a doctor nor a virologist, so have no idea how this delay in providing the second dose will effect people's immunity. But many health professionals have expressed concern over the policy:
Covid-19 vaccines: to delay or not to delay second doses
Revisiting the UK’s strategy for delaying the second dose of the Pfizer covid-19 vaccine
As for the EU, no instructions from the commission; it's up to the individual members to decide their own policy: Overview of the implementation of COVID-19 vaccination strategies and vaccine deployment plans in the EU/EEA
QuoteConsidering the option of delaying the administration of the second dose to ensure the highest possible coverage of the first dose with the initial limited vaccine supply, and considering the vaccination course included in current EMA product information for Corminaty (two doses 21 days apart) and COVID-19 vaccine Moderna (two doses 28 days apart), and WHO’s recommendation based on currently available clinical trial data that the interval between vaccine doses may be extended up to 42 days (six weeks), most countries replied that for the time being they will not extend the timing between the first and second dose (14 countries), or that the decision is still pending (six countries). Two countries have extended the 21-day dose interval for Comirnaty (one of them to 28 days and the other to up to 42 days); one other country is also planning to extend the timing between the first and second dose.
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18 hours ago, CG1 Blue said:So, Rand Corporation are basing their view on a report from The Centre for European Reform, described as: A pro-European think-tank created to counter British Euroscepticism
Did you even read the report? There is absolutely no proof that the GDP impact was related to Brexit. Jeez, this is hard work ????♂️
Yet again you have made a fool of yourself by not reading the report in a link in it's entirety before commenting. Had you done so you would have seen that it referred, and linked, to two separate reports produced by Rand themselves.
Even though you obviously could not be bothered to read the actual Rand report (too much like hard work for you?), the opening phrase of my quote of the final paragraph should have been enough to show you that the report from the Centre for European Reform was in addition to their own analysis!
I'll repeat it "Our analysis—and that of others"
Yet again you are disputing these various estimates; so where are your alternative figures?
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12 hours ago, vinny41 said:Incorrect High Court as quoted in the op
Here is a list of all cases that have been decided by the Supreme Court in 2021
https://www.supremecourt.uk/decided-cases/index.html
You will note that Good Law Project is not listed
I stand corrected; my mistake.
But despite that error, my point is still valid. Although three opposition MPs were involved in bringing this judicial review, but they were not the first to have concerns about how the money was spent.
Of course, in one respect @Kwasaki was correct; this scandal is not new.
As the OP says,
On 2/19/2021 at 10:30 PM, rooster59 said:The National Audit Office said last year there had been a lack of transparency and a failure to explain why certain suppliers were chosen, or how any conflict of interest was dealt with, in procurement deals between March and the end of July worth about 18 billion pounds
Covid PPE: Hospital gowns that cost £122m never used
QuoteMillions of medical gowns bought for the NHS at the end of the first lockdown for £122m have never been used.
The gowns were ordered by the government from a supplier which had set up just a month earlier, and no other companies were asked to bid for the contract.
Political ‘cronies’ given fast track to PPE contracts worth billions
QuoteMinisters set up a VIP fast-track channel to buy billions of pounds of PPE from companies who had political contacts with the government and MPs, a damning report reveals today........
At the same time officials paid more than £5 million in consultancy fees to companies with close links to ministers and the Conservative Party. These included a £1.5 million deal with two New Zealand social media consultants who worked on Boris Johnson’s election campaign.
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2 hours ago, Kwasaki said:What do you expect from the govt opposition pitiful news.
Not the opposition; the Supreme Court!
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3 hours ago, Tofer said:PS: The NHS are not the only ones administering the vaccine.
Really?
Who else is doing it then?
Don't say pharmacies or dentists, as they are doing it under the auspices of and with the approval of the NHS.
3 hours ago, Tofer said:Don't get me wrong, I hold the NHS in high esteem, bit they were not the driving force behind funding and acquiring the vaccine and organising it's distribution, only physically sticking needles in arms
Utter rubbish. The NHS have, and do more than just "physically sticking needles in arms!"
COVID-19 vaccine authorised by medicines regulator
QuoteVaccination will be managed by the health services in each nation: NHS England and NHS Improvement, NHS Wales, NHS Scotland, and Health and Social Care Northern Ireland.
3 hours ago, Tofer said:In other words, had we still been tied to the EU's influence, as were all the other 27 states, we would not have been able to make the success, that we did, of the vaccine roll out, which I think you must now admit was a result of Brexit.
More rubbish.
From the HMG link above
QuoteUntil the end of December, and as part of the transition period, vaccines must be authorised via the European Medicines Agency and that authorisation will automatically be valid in the UK.
However, if a suitable COVID-19 vaccine candidate, with strong supporting evidence of safety, quality and effectiveness from clinical trials becomes available before the end of the transition period, EU legislation which we have implemented – Regulation 174 – allows the MHRA to temporarily authorise the supply of a medicine or vaccine, based on public health need.
(7by7 emphasis)
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3 hours ago, CG1 Blue said:
It is true. If the UK had still been a full EU member state we would have been obliged to wait while the EMA approved the vaccines at a snail's pace. Yes the EU rules would technically allow member states to temporarily license a vaccine prior to EMA approval, but there is no way we'd have become a rogue state if we hadn't left the club.
As you finally admit, the EU rules do allow any member to unilaterally temporarily licence a vaccine for emergency use. Therefore we would not have been "obliged to wait while the EMA approved the vaccines at a snail's pace!"
The UK used this rule to so do, and any one of the 27 could have done exactly the same.
In fact, the information sheet given to UK residents following their first dose states that the authorisation is temporary; even though we have left the EU.
As for "there is no way we'd have become a rogue state if we hadn't left the club." That is pure, unfounded conjecture on your part. We would certainly have had every right to so do.
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7 hours ago, Tofer said:Quite incorrect, we were in a transition period, and had no sitting MEPs to be able to vote on the subject, if in fact there was one?
Yes, we were in the transition period, so, as has been pointed out to you many times, we were still subject to all EU rules and regulations. Including those governing emergency approval of medicines.
This unilateral emergency approval is a matter over which MEPs have no say. It is a matter for the sovereign governments of each member state, not the EU parliament. The UK government decided to use the EU regulations to issue emergency approval. Any one of the EU 27 could have done the same.
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More on the cost of Brexit.
The UK will now count the cost of Brexit sovereignty
QuoteIn one narrow sense, Brexit’s true believers are right. The gap between a thin trade deal and the absence of any accord is one between severe and more severe disruption....
.....The bargain under discussion is the first trade agreement in history consciously to raise protectionist barriers.
Brexit: 71 pages of paperwork for 1 lorry of fish.
Before anyone accuses them of not being ready:
QuoteTo begin with, British exporters need an ID number (called an EORI number). They must also make sure the fishermen they work with have a licence to sell sea fish and register their own premises as an "approved establishment" to do business with the EU.
The firm had taken these steps ahead of time and felt "ready to go on day one" when the new trade rules came in, Mr Samways says. But the day-to-day reality is different.
"The day to day reality is different." Indeed it is, as the lengthy guidance from HMG shows: Transporting goods between Great Britain and the EU: guidance for hauliers and commercial drivers
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For @CG1 Blue's benefit an article which is not behind a paywall and which contains links to how they reached their conclusions:
The Cost of Brexit Uncertainty and the Negative Implications for the UK Economy
QuoteOur analysis—and that of others (PDF)—shows that leaving the EU has had an overall negative economic impact on the UK economy and that there are additional economic costs associated with the uncertainty surrounding the new relationship. Deal or no-deal, the UK economy is suffering from uncertainty in the short-term and may suffer from higher barriers to trade in the long-term.
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On 2/19/2021 at 8:43 AM, CG1 Blue said:So I ask again - how were those numbers from Bloomberg arrived at? Or do you just believe any numbers that are thrown at you?
I'd like to know how much of that figure is directly and definitely attributable to Brexit, and how much of it is just conjecture.
Pro-EU companies like Bloomberg would blame Brexit for Coronavirus if they could get away with it!
I've already mentioned and linked to their use by Full Fact in proving an anti Brexit myth to be incorrect. Most people, including Brexiteers who use them, consider Full Fact to be impartial. How about you? Do you consider them impartial when you agree with their findings but biased when you don't?
I've also mentioned and linked to their use by the Express. Surely not even you can consider them to be pro EU!
If you care to look you will find that these figures have been accepted by many organisations and authors who know far more about this subject than you or I.
I can find many articles, even the pro Brexit ones, which accept the figures. I can find none which dispute them.
As I said to you before, you are disputing that estimate; so where are your alternative figures?
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More on the cost of Brexit from the Institute for Government. Some estimates, some known figures.
Brexit spending: government preparations Up to July 2020)
QuoteBy the end of 2020/21 the government is expecting to have spent up to £8.1bn[1] on preparing for Brexit and the end of the transition period.
The government's figure, not the authors. A full break down of how that figure was reached is given in the article.
That's a lot of money spent by the government; more than the UK's average net contribution of £7.7 billion p.a. between 2014 and 2018 (Source: HoC library).
That is just money spent by the government; or to be accurate the UK taxpayer. It does not include the cost to the economy nor the cost to individual businesses; exporters to and importers from the EU.
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2 hours ago, CG1 Blue said:
The article you posted says:
There is no definitive figure for the cost of Brexit so far.
A report from Bloomberg Economics estimates that Brexit has set Britain back to the tune of £130 billion so far.
So again, this is just parroting the Bloomberg 'report'. And that report is behind a Bloomberg paywall - in other words it's clickbait.
The Full fact reference was about how much we paid to the EU - nothing to do with the Bloomberg clickbait report.
If you can provide the breakdown of those Brexit costs I'll happily debate it.
Odd that, according to you, the proudly anti EU, pro Brexit Express is happy to provide click bait for a news organisation you describe as "Pro-EU Bloomberg Economics!"
Care to explain your reasoning behind that?
Had you bothered to read it, you would know that the Full Fact article is not just "about how much we paid to the EU - nothing to do with the Bloomberg clickbait report!" It is investigating the claim that "One estimate of the “economic cost” of Brexit, £130 billion, now exceeds what we’ve paid in to the EU over 47 years" and uses, among other evidence, the Bloomberg figures.
I have come up with figures; the estimates from Bloomberg quoted by both the Express and Full Fact. They are estimates because, as Full Fact say, "Bloomberg Economics told us that the £200 billion figure it came up with was an estimate, as it’s impossible to be sure what the economy would have looked like if the UK had voted to remain in the EU in 2016."
Full Fact appear to have accepted that estimate, the Express more so as it's the basis of their headline "How much has Brexit cost? The staggering amount for UK taxpayers."
Unlike Full Fact and the Express, you are disputing that estimate; so where are your alternative figures?
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On 2/17/2021 at 11:47 AM, Rimmer said:
Troll bickering posts and replies removed
11 hours ago, Scott said:A nasty troll post and replies reported and removed.
It seems some of these low lives inhabit this forum, too.
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On 2/13/2021 at 4:42 AM, cdemundo said:
I don't think I would blame the Muslim population for there being no Christian churches. I think that is because the number of practicing Christians in most Western countries has really decreased over past decades.
In some parts of the UK, particularly London, Christian churches are rapidly increasing. However, I don't think everyone will be pleased with one of the reasons!
African churches boom in London's backstreets – a picture essay
UK had 'one or two' Brexit teething issues on fishing, minister says
in World News
Posted
Your actual assumption was
The assumption being "I doubt any EU state that decided to go it's own way would have received any support for the funding of the vaccines."
You have provided no evidence in support of that assumption. Repeating the line about the recovery fund is not such evidence.
Can you point me to the part of the EU rules which support your statement that the Covid recovery fund is "in contradiction of the EU rules" please. I can't find it.
Poland and Hungary both challenged a clause in the entire budget, not just the Covid recovery fund, which tied funding with adherence to the rule of law. A compromise was reached, which both countries agreed to. However, they, or any other member, could still challenge it in the European Court.
The latest I can find on this comes from the 11th December.
EU breaks deadlock over €1.8tn budget and Covid-recovery fund
EU leaders unblock budget in deal with Hungary and Poland
I can find nothing to say that anyone has yet challenged this deal in court.