Reality - the war is currently a stalemate. Ukraine does currently have a 1.5 to 1 superiority in drones, plus Starlink. But Russia is upping production and is developing their own Starlink alternative, so this superiority may be gone next year. Russia still has massive foreign reserves, enough to last several years, to prosecute the war. Also more men. And ballistic missiles. Ukraine needs to knock out far more refineries to really hurt Russia. And target weapons factories while they still have the advantage. It is a war of attrition, and Russia has the advantage in the long term - more space, more men, more weapons. Ukraine may be better in using its manpower, but Russia also learns, slowly. With the USA out of the running, because of Trump, Europe will have to up their support a lot more to tip the balance in favour of Ukraine. Russia has China and North Korea actively helping them.