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UTCC calls for tourism stimulus, swift budget disbursement to boost GDP growth


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UTCC calls for tourism stimulus, swift budget disbursement to boost GDP growth 

By The Nation

 

800_7313e1c9582d37b.png?v=1581581826

Thanawat Ponwichai (in Middle of the Frame)

 

Thailand’s economy is expected to expand by just 0.5 – 0.8 per cent in the first quarter, representing a decline of Bt10 billion year on year which may derail the GDP growth forecast of 1 - 1.5 per cent for the first three months, said Thanawat Ponwichai, director of the Economic and Business Forecasting Centre at the University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce (UTCC). 

 

Given the expectation that the Coronavirus (Covid-19) crisis would subside in March or April, the government should start stimulating tourism and speed up disbursement of the national budget to boost growth of gross domestic product (GDP).

 

The survey showed that consumer confidence index in January 2020 stood at 45.4 points, down 0.3 points from December 2019.

 

Agriculture, consumption and trading were hit badly, partly due to a 1.28 per cent drop in export in December 2019. The SET Index fell 65.70 points, from 1,579.84 to 1,514.14 in January 2020 amid the baht's depreciation and delay of the national budget bill.

 

PM2.5 pollution, Covid-19 outbreak and severe drought were other negative factors dampening economic growth while positive ones included low interest rate and oil price. But most important was that people still had no confidence in this government, Thanawat said.

 

Source: https://www.nationthailand.com/news/30382080

 

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-- © Copyright The Nation Thailand 2020-02-13
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21 hours ago, webfact said:

Thailand’s economy is expected to expand by just 0.5 – 0.8 per cent in the first quarter, representing a decline of Bt10 billion year on year which may derail the GDP growth forecast of 1 - 1.5 per cent for the first three months

Recently BOT expected GDP growth of 2.5% for 2019, which was the country's weakest pace since 2014 when Prayut's military coup took power - considerably worse than Malaysia and Indonesia.

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-02-01/coronavirus-thailand-s-economy-likely-to-face-recession

Then days later the Joint Standing Committee on Commerce, Industry and Banking revised the GDP growth this year to 2-2.5% https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30381628

 

Now for 2020Q1 the forecast is 1-1.5%?

Thailand is becoming the ASEAN Hub of Recession.

 

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If only the Thai government made things easier for ex-pat retirees who live in Thailand through low season and high, who spend on an individual basis more than any vacationing tourist. Retirees should be appreciated and recruited, to not made to jump through ridiculous hoops that serve no purposes. 

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