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Virt

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Posts posted by Virt

  1. They just announced here in Denmark that we now are almost close to 100% BA.2 dominance.

     

    Didn't take long for BA.1 to beat delta and now BA.2 to beat BA.1

     

    So far nothing indicates it's more deadly, but it seems like it spreads faster than BA.1, so the problem right now is mostly lack of staff due to so many in isolation, since we still have tons of daily cases.

     

    Some popular Twitter user used some danish statistics to try and show our covid death rates are rising, but he failed to realize how we report deaths here in Denmark and also how we register admissions in hospitals, so he ended up posting some pretty misleading headlines.

     

    In reality our hospital admissions are more than 50% lower if we just look at those admitted which needs treatment for covid, and our deaths reported daily are so flawed, since we report a death as COVID related if the diseased had been registered with covid 30 days prior to death.

     

    Shame because he usually are pretty good at posting accurate info, but he really dropped the ball on this one.

     

    • Like 1
  2. 25 minutes ago, sleepwalker999 said:

    Well it's pretty simple 650,000 cases daily would cause a  breakdown of health services, it seems like a pretty normal reaction for Thais to expect someone to wear a mask for a little longer. Schools are largely open, places of business apart from gogo bars and massage joines are open, pubs are open until 11, really are the restrictions so bad here at the moment? 

    Of course we can't directly compare countries since the vaccinating status, healthcare systems, restrictions and general health status are very different.

     

    Might not be a perfect idea for Thailand to drop all restrictions at once, but face masks outside could be a start since it's inside most people are infected.

    Keep them while shopping and using public transport and wait for the results 2-4 weeks after dropping masks outdoors.

     

    Maybe no need to go full Monty like we did, but it seems like Thailand are keeping some restrictions that might not be necessary after omicron arrived.

     

    I don't know what the % is from omicron and delta in Thailand, but if omicron has  taken complete control, they have a high chance of opening up with minor problems.

     

  3. 39 minutes ago, JonnyF said:

    I think Thailand will be one of the last countries in the world to stop having mandatory masks.

     

    A lot of Thais like it as it shows how virtuous/greng jai they are. Police love it as they can make money fining people. The Junta love it as it demonstrates the control they have to force people to put cloth over their face. 

     

    I don't see it ending any time soon.

    Let's make a bet.

    I say Thailand will drop mandatory masks outdoors before July 2022.

     

    The loser has to pay 1000 bath to the elephant santuary on koh Samui.

  4. Japan are starting to see a sharp increase in positive cases, but maybe that has something to do with their low numbers of boosters given?

     

    https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2022/02/02/national/covid-tracker-feb-2/

     

    "The omicron variant of the coronavirus continued to rage across Japan on Wednesday, with Tokyo and other major urban centers reporting a record number of infections.

    The unprecedented surge has many wondering about booster shots, with Japan having the dubious distinction of being home to the developed world’s slowest rollout of third shots"

  5. 19 minutes ago, Jeffr2 said:

    Excellent info!  One worry is this new variant.  Seems it will reinfect very easily.  I'm getting tired of all this! LOL

    Link to an article that mentioned a danish study for BA.2

    Has not yet been peer reviewed.

     

    https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/omicron-subvariant-ba2-more-infectious-than-original-danish-study-finds-2022-01-31/

    • Like 1
  6. 4 hours ago, Bkk Brian said:

    Interesting graphic here on the effectiveness of boosters to reduce hospitalizations in the UK, tweeted by a Senior epidemiologist at UKHSA.

     

    "Great thread combining international data (including our VE estimates) to illustrate the importance of boosters to prevent severe disease. This graph is the stand-out for me. Without boosters, the number of patients hospitalised this winter would have exceeded last year's peak."

    FKa0dV6X0AMAzD3.jpg.992aba778683d660afef534f2c4ae78c.jpg

    https://twitter.com/freja_kirsebom/status/1488099972935528450

     

    Denmark are one of the countries that had most boosters per million, but we have more registered at hospitals now than we had a year ago.

     

    So seems like boosters didn't work, which is not correct when you dive into the data.

    Denmark started to release weekly data that shows how many are admitted for omicron as main reason and how many are in with omicron but admitted for something else where omicron are not the main issue.

     

    Yesterday we had approx 1000 in hospitals registered with covid.

    A large portion of those registered 1000 persons at hospitals with omicron are people admitted in psyc wards approx 20%.

    The remaining 800 then have estimated 30-40 % which are admitted for something else but registered as COVID patient so in reality we only have approx 500 admitted directly linked to omicron.

     

    Yesterday we only had 28 in ICU.

     

    i assume UK can shave off some numbers as well if they dig into the data.

     

    So boosters and omicron are a good combo.

     

    We stopped all restrictions yesterday in Denmark and are back to normal even if we still have huge number of positives each day.

     

    Simply because the health care system are not overburdened and omicron can't be labeled as a critical threat for society anymore.

     

    We do have other issues though.

     

    Lack of staff due to so many people getting COVID each day so they have to isolate.

     

    I think that problem is solved in a matter of weeks when we start seeing numbers decrease.

    We had so many infected the last two months that the virus should start having trouble finding new people to infect due to a combo of high amountt of boosted people and natural infections.

    Sort of combined herd immunity.

     

    I'm curious to see what happens later this year 

    Delta are practically gone in Denmark.

     

    So what happens later this year if tourists arrive positive from countries that still have delta, because they tried to keep omicron away, which give delta a good chance of surviving.

     

    Will that fuel another round of delta, if we managed to lower the amount of daily omicron cases to a minimum.

     

    If that's possible some countries should start embracing omicron to get rid of Delta.

    • Like 2
  7. 5 minutes ago, GammaGlobulin said:

    Yes, this is a good solution for just trimming one's hair.

     

    However, honestly speaking, perhaps we go to the barber shop for more than a hair cut.

     

    Maybe, simple things, such as talk, or just interaction with people who hang out at the barber shop.

     

    These are the things which can not be duplicated, just by buying a machine made by Phillips, in my thinking.

    True but you are the one posting a topic where the headline says you will never go back to a barber ???? 

  8. 4 minutes ago, dinsdale said:

    I still don't understand this. Other places Omicon peaks have been higher than Delta and have got there very rapidly. Why is that not the case here?

    Very little testing.

     

    Here is a comparison with the country that test most in the world per million.

     

    If Thailand tested as much, their numbers would explode too.

     

    https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&time=2021-11-09..latest&facet=none&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=new_cases_smoothed_per_million&Metric=Confirmed+cases&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=DNK~THA

     

     

  9. Omicron arrived and changed the game plan.

    Your math with 100.000 saved lives can't be compared after omicron came. 

     

    It does but make any sense to maintain restrictions if it's not killing so many people.

     

    We're removing all restrictions tomorrow in Denmark even if we have the highest numbers of positive cases per million in the world.

     

    Why can we do that 

    This is why.

     

    Omicron became dominant and number of patients in ICU decreased fast.

    It's actually omicron BA.2 that is now dominant here.

     

    It's still important to say vaccines are a crucial ingredient in the recipe to live with no restrictions.

     

    https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&time=2021-10-22..latest&facet=none&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=new_cases_smoothed_per_million&Metric=ICU+patients&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=DNK~THA

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