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Kamala Harris' chances of winning the November election have taken a sharp downturn, according to an online betting platform, Polymarket. The platform, which is partially funded by Peter Thiel, a longtime supporter of Donald Trump, initially gave the vice president a 49.8 percent chance of victory on October 4, compared to Trump's 49.6 percent. However, just three days later, by October 7, Harris’ odds had dropped to 45.8 percent, while Trump's had jumped to 54 percent. As of Tuesday, the platform showed Harris holding at 46.1 percent, while Trump stood at 53.3 percent. This shift marks Trump’s best odds against Harris since President Joe Biden withdrew from the race and endorsed Harris on July 21. A week before, Trump had reached a high point in the prediction market, with a 67 percent chance of beating Biden. Interestingly, on October 4, both Harris and Trump were equally positioned on Polymarket. Yet, a wave of new bets in Trump's favor caused the sudden surge. Polymarket’s odds are determined by the "collective wisdom" of bettors, rather than by external indicators such as polls or expert predictions. Newsweek contacted the campaigns for both Trump and Harris via email but had not received responses at the time of writing. Nate Silver, a well-known pollster and advisor for Polymarket, provided some insight into the recent shift in the odds. According to Silver, the surge in bets for Trump may be linked to a combination of market boredom and speculative trading. "A couple of people have asked me what's behind this, and my theory is that there isn't much," Silver commented in his newsletter on Monday. "Sometimes market sentiment has a mind of its own, and that can especially happen when traders are bored and angsty because they're in the doldrums." Silver also noted that while there has been a history of bettors trying to sway public opinion through their trades, such tactics have become increasingly difficult. "It's too costly to keep bets artificially high for long periods," Silver explained. He added that the majority of recent bets likely stem from either genuine Trump supporters or traders hoping to capitalize on market movements. Despite the changes in the betting markets, most polling data shows Harris leading Trump. FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker places Harris 2.6 points ahead, and Silver's own tracker puts her 3 points ahead of Trump. Still, Silver cautioned that while Harris appears to have an edge in the popular vote, the Electoral College remains highly uncertain. According to some forecasts, including Polymarket's, Harris is not currently projected to secure the necessary Electoral College votes for a definitive win. Other prediction platforms indicate a similarly tight race between Harris and Trump. Some betting markets show the two candidates nearly neck-and-neck in their chances of taking the White House in November. Meanwhile, FiveThirtyEight's model currently predicts that Harris will win both the popular vote and the Electoral College, with 279 electoral votes to Trump's 259. The Economist's forecast gives Harris 273 electoral votes to Trump's 265, while Silver's own projections show Harris with 281 electoral votes, compared to Trump’s 256. As the election draws nearer, these numbers may continue to fluctuate based on both market sentiment and real-world developments. Based on a report from Newsweek 2024-10-10

In his new book *War*, author Bob Woodward sheds light on the behind-the-scenes interactions between global leaders during some of the most pivotal moments of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Based on interviews with firsthand participants, the book reveals startling new details about high-stakes showdowns involving President Joe Biden, former President Donald Trump, Vice President Kamala Harris, and Russian President Vladimir Putin. One of the most alarming revelations is the belief, at one point, within Biden’s national security team that there was a 50% chance Putin would use nuclear weapons in Ukraine. Woodward describes Biden’s frustrations with former President Barack Obama’s handling of the 2014 Crimea invasion, quoting Biden as saying, “Barack never took Putin seriously.” These reflections highlight Biden’s concerns about how seriously the Russian leader should be taken. The book also reveals that former President Trump may have held as many as seven conversations with Putin since leaving office, according to a Trump aide. As tensions escalated in late 2021, US intelligence provided Biden with clear indications of Putin’s intentions. “It was an astonishing intelligence coup,” Woodward writes, citing sources inside the Kremlin that delivered conclusive information about the planned invasion of Ukraine. “It was as if they had secretly entered the enemy commander’s tent,” Woodward notes, describing the depth of intelligence that showed Putin’s plans for a 175,000-troop invasion. Even though Biden’s advisers agreed the intelligence was credible, it was difficult for them to fully grasp Putin’s intentions. “This would be so crazy,” Biden remarked, before confronting Putin in a heated 50-minute call in December 2021, during which Putin raised the risk of nuclear war. Biden, however, reminded Putin that “it’s impossible to win” a nuclear war. One of the most dramatic moments in *War* unfolds as the threat of nuclear conflict intensified. By September 2022, intelligence reports painted a deeply unsettling picture of Putin’s desperation. The White House assessed that there was a 50% chance Russia would deploy tactical nuclear weapons—a stark increase from earlier predictions. Biden’s response was decisive. “On all channels, get on the line with the Russians,” he instructed national security adviser Jake Sullivan. Biden made it clear that the US would respond forcefully if nuclear weapons were used. A critical exchange between Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin and his Russian counterpart Sergei Shoigu in October 2022 highlights the intensity of the situation. According to Woodward, Austin warned Shoigu, “If you did this, all the restraints that we have been operating under in Ukraine would be reconsidered.” Shoigu, not taking kindly to the warning, replied, “I don’t take kindly to being threatened.” Austin’s firm response was a reminder of the US’s unmatched military power: “I am the leader of the most powerful military in the history of the world. I don’t make threats.” Days later, the Russians requested another call, claiming falsely that Ukraine planned to use a “dirty bomb.” Austin firmly dismissed the claim, telling Shoigu, “We don’t believe you… Don’t do it.” This exchange was seen as one of the most hair-raising moments of the conflict. Colin Kahl, a senior Pentagon official, later described the episode as “probably the most hair-raising moment of the whole war.” Through these intense and candid exchanges, Woodward's *War* provides an inside look at the pressure and gravity of decisions faced by global leaders as they navigated the possibility of a catastrophic nuclear conflict. Based on a report from CNN 2024-10-10

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has sent a birthday message to Russian President Vladimir Putin, calling him his "closest comrade" and signaling deeper ties between their two nations. In his message celebrating Putin’s 72nd birthday, Kim expressed confidence that relations between Pyongyang and Moscow would reach new heights, a development that has alarmed Western nations. The longstanding relationship between North Korea and Russia dates back to the early days of North Korea’s existence. The Soviet Union, under Joseph Stalin, supported Kim Il-sung, the grandfather of the current leader, with weapons and technology. North Korea, historically wary of becoming too dependent on China, has sought to maintain strong ties with Moscow. Earlier this year, both countries reaffirmed their commitment to one another by signing an agreement pledging mutual support in the event of "aggression" against either nation, though the specifics of what would constitute aggression remain unclear. Kim has been accused of assisting Russia in its war against Ukraine by providing munitions in exchange for economic and technological support. There is growing evidence to suggest that Russia has deployed North Korean missiles in Ukraine, further solidifying concerns about the deepening cooperation between the two nations. Analysts believe that for Putin, the relationship with North Korea is more tactical than strategic. Russia, in need of support for its ongoing war effort in Ukraine, appears willing to purchase whatever munitions North Korea is willing to sell. According to Jeffrey Lewis, director at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies, both Kim and Putin are "trying to reduce the pain of international sanctions by creating an alternate network of friends and partners beyond the reach of US sanctions." While Russia benefits from North Korean weaponry, North Korea is looking to gain access to Russian military technology, which remains far more advanced than Pyongyang's own. Despite North Korea’s progress in developing new missile systems and miniaturizing nuclear devices over the past decade, Russian technology could significantly boost its capabilities. Russia’s more sophisticated thermonuclear warhead designs, re-entry vehicle technology, and solid rocket motor systems are seen as valuable assets for North Korea’s ongoing efforts to perfect its nuclear and missile arsenal. In September 2023, Kim visited Russia, where Putin promised to assist North Korea in developing its satellite program following several failed launches by Pyongyang. This technological cooperation further underscores the growing ties between the two countries. Separately, South Korean lawmaker Rep. Kang Dae-sik, citing South Korea’s intelligence agency, revealed that there are apparent signs North Korea has begun constructing a possible nuclear-powered submarine. While the construction is reportedly in its early stages, further confirmation is needed to determine whether the submarine is nuclear-powered. As North Korea accelerates its drive to become a military superpower with nuclear capabilities, the closer relationship with Russia presents new challenges for global security. Both nations, increasingly isolated from the West, appear intent on bolstering each other’s military and technological capabilities, raising concerns about the impact of their alliance on international stability. Based on a report from BBC 2024-10-10

Russia's intelligence services are actively working to create "sustained mayhem on British and European streets," according to the head of MI5, Ken McCallum. In a recent security update, McCallum disclosed that Russian GRU agents have engaged in "arson, sabotage, and more dangerous actions" across Britain, as the UK continues its support for Ukraine in the ongoing war with Russia. Since 2017, MI5 has foiled 43 late-stage plots involving firearms and explosives aimed at committing "mass murder" in the UK. Alongside these terror threats, the number of state-backed investigations has increased by 48%. "The first 20 years of my career here were crammed full of terrorist threats," McCallum reflected, adding that MI5 now faces these alongside "state-backed assassination and sabotage plots, against the backdrop of a major European land war." Britain's prominent role in supporting Ukraine has heightened its visibility in Russia's eyes, McCallum warned. "We loom large in the fevered imagination of Putin's regime," he said, adding that further acts of aggression on UK soil should be expected. More than 750 Russian diplomats, many suspected of espionage, have been expelled from Europe since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, significantly affecting Russian intelligence operations. In response, Russian state actors have turned to proxies such as private intelligence contractors and criminal organizations to carry out their missions, but this has reduced the professionalism of their efforts, making them easier to disrupt. The MI5 director also discussed the ongoing threat from Iran, highlighting the sharp increase in Iran-backed plots in the UK since the death of Mahsa Amini in 2022. These plots present "potentially lethal threats to British citizens and UK residents," he said, with the number of Iranian-directed actions doubling in recent months. Despite the risk of exposure, Iran shows no signs of scaling back its aggressive stance. Touching upon China, McCallum pointed to the significant economic relationship between the UK and China, which he said underpins security. However, he noted the Chinese Communist Party's increasing efforts to steal data, with MI5 observing 20,000 hidden approaches to individuals by Chinese operatives. The growing number of young people attracted to online extremism is a growing concern for MI5, particularly in the case of right-wing terrorism. McCallum highlighted the "canny understanding of online culture" displayed by these movements, explaining that many of the threats involve “lone individuals indoctrinated online." He warned, "In dark corners of the internet, talk is cheap. Sorting the real plotters from armchair extremists is an exacting task." Sir Keir Starmer, responding to McCallum’s address, acknowledged the "sober findings" but reassured the public, stating that the UK's security services are "world class" and will do everything necessary to keep the country safe. Based on a report from BBC 2024-10-10

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In a shocking and disturbing incident in Barcelona, a one-year-old girl was slapped by a man in a fit of rage while screaming at her tourist family. The horrifying scene, captured on video, shows the man initially pretending to strike the toddler, only to follow through with a slap across her left cheek. The incident took place on Montjuïc hill, a popular spot for tourists visiting the city’s attractions, including the renowned Basilica de la Sagrada Familia. Watch: "Outrage in Spain after migrant slaps baby in a park in Barcelona. The baby’s parents quickly left the scene, hoping the attacker wouldn’t follow the family." One of the main drivers of these protests is the city’s escalating housing costs. Barcelona’s rent prices have surged by 68 percent over the past decade, with a notable 18 percent increase just last June. Many locals blame this trend on the high number of short-term rentals and tourist-driven changes to the economy. In response, Barcelona’s mayor, Jaume Collboni, introduced a plan in June to phase out all short-term rental accommodations by 2028. This drastic measure aims to address the soaring housing costs and make the city more livable for its 1.6 million residents. Anti-tourism graffiti and public sentiments against visitors have been visible for years, but this latest surge in activism reflects the urgency of the issue as residents call for a balance between tourism and local needs. While the assault on the toddler was an isolated act of violence, it has drawn attention to the broader tensions simmering beneath the surface in tourist-heavy areas of Spain. The court proceedings against the attacker are set to unfold against the backdrop of ongoing debates over the role of tourism in the country’s major cities. Based on a report from Daily Mail 2024-10-09

Elon Musk, sparked controversy on Monday by suggesting that he could face prison time if Vice President Kamala Harris defeats former President Donald Trump in the upcoming presidential election. In a candid interview with Tucker Carlson, broadcast on X, Musk did not hold back his fears and frustrations. “If he loses, I’m f—ed,” Musk said, referring to the Republican nominee. Watch: “I have no plausible deniability,” Musk admitted during the interview, addressing his unreserved support for Trump. He made it clear that he had been relentless in his criticisms, saying, “I’ve been trashing Kamala nonstop.” However, he later clarified that his anger was not so much directed at Harris herself but at the political system she represents. “The machine that the Kamala puppet represents,” Musk said, positioning his attacks within a broader context of dissatisfaction with the Democratic establishment. When asked by Carlson about how his life has changed since he became more actively involved in presidential politics, Musk’s initial response was lighthearted: “It’s pretty fun.” But as the conversation turned more serious, the South African-born entrepreneur explained why he had decided to go "all in" for Trump. Musk shared his belief that if Trump does not win this election, it could mark the end of meaningful elections in the United States. "My view is that if Trump doesn’t win this election, it’s the last election we are going to have,” Musk warned, expressing concerns that the Harris-Biden administration's immigration policies could permanently alter the political landscape. He fears that millions of migrants who have entered the country during this administration could eventually be granted citizenship, which would significantly affect future elections. Musk argued that this influx of new citizens could turn crucial swing states solidly Democratic, leading to what he fears would be "single-party rule." To support his point, Musk referenced the 1986 Immigration Reform and Control Act, which granted amnesty to millions of undocumented migrants. “Thereafter, California turned very strongly Dem,” Musk said, noting that the state, once a Republican stronghold, has consistently voted for Democratic candidates since the 1990s. “You just need enough [new citizens] for there to not be swing states,” Musk continued, predicting a future where the Democratic Party has an unshakable hold on power. “I think we want to remain a democracy and we don’t want to become a one-party state,” he said, arguing that those who view Trump as a threat to democracy are, in his opinion, actually contributing to that very threat. "One-party rule is not democracy," Musk concluded, warning of the dangers of a political system where one party holds overwhelming power. As the election draws closer, Musk’s comments highlight his deep anxieties about the future political direction of the country and his belief that the outcome of this election could have lasting consequences for American democracy. Based on a report from CNN | NYP | Sky News 2024-10-09

A growing number of high-profile celebrities are discreetly paying off victims to avoid being publicly named in lawsuits connected to Sean “Diddy” Combs' sexual assault case, according to attorney Tony Buzbee. Buzbee, who is representing over 120 individuals alleging abuse by Combs, recently revealed that his legal firm is giving some celebrities the opportunity to settle before their involvement becomes part of a public lawsuit. In an interview with TMZ, Buzbee noted that several celebrities have opted to settle to keep their names out of the media. “In every single case, especially cases like this… because it’s in the best interests of the victim, we attempt to resolve these matters without the filing of a public lawsuit, and we’ve done that already with a handful of individuals, many of which you’ve heard of before,” Buzbee said, as reported by the *Daily Mail*. Combs, the 54-year-old founder of Bad Boy Records, was arrested last month in connection with a criminal sex-trafficking case. He has pleaded not guilty to the charges. Buzbee, however, has made it clear that this is only the beginning, with multiple lawsuits—some on behalf of 25 minors—set to be filed in the near future. Before the lawsuits hit the court system, Buzbee has sent demand letters to other individuals who may also be facing legal action. Buzbee emphasized that his legal team will be pursuing not only Combs but also anyone who witnessed or was involved in the alleged abuses. “If you were there in the room, participated, watched it happen, and didn’t say anything or helped cover it up, in my view, you have a problem,” he said. According to Buzbee, many well-known figures have already settled their cases. The attorney also hinted that the revelation of big names involved in the scandal may not happen immediately, despite widespread speculation. “Everyone is focused on what other celebrities were involved, who is going to be named, who is going to be outed. I don’t expect that to happen this week,” Buzbee commented. “We want to make sure if we name individuals beyond Mr. Combs that we have done our homework because it is going to create a firestorm, and we understand that.” Since his arrest on September 16, Combs has been in custody. The federal charges accuse him of forcing women into drug-fueled “freak off” sex parties involving male prostitutes, which allegedly spanned over a decade. According to prosecutors, Combs often used violence or threats of violence to compel the victims to comply. In the aftermath of his arrest, more victims have come forward, sharing their stories and filing legal claims. However, Combs and his legal team maintain that the alleged activities, including the “freak offs,” were between consenting adults. They have also strongly denied any involvement with minors or instances of abuse. Despite the defense’s claims, the case continues to attract attention as the prospect of more celebrities being implicated looms large. Based on a report from NYP News 2024-10-09

Former White House chief medical adviser Anthony Fauci recently shared a deeply personal account of his battle with West Nile virus, expressing his fear that he might never fully "return to normal." Fauci, who became a household name during the COVID-19 pandemic and served as the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases for almost 40 years, opened up about the terrifying experience in an op-ed published by *The New York Times*. "After I spent more than 50 years chasing and fighting viruses, one fought back and nearly took me down," Fauci wrote, reflecting on how the virus unexpectedly altered his life. At 83 years old, Fauci suspects he contracted the virus near his home in Washington, D.C. in mid-August, when he began feeling unusually weak and exhausted. Initially, he thought his fatigue might be related to lingering symptoms of COVID-19, which he had contracted just weeks earlier in July. By August 16, Fauci’s condition had worsened significantly. He was admitted to the hospital, suffering from delirium, incoherence, and a high fever of 103 degrees. Once hospitalized, he was treated for sepsis while doctors worked to identify the underlying cause. Eventually, blood tests confirmed that he had contracted the West Nile virus. “There is no treatment for West Nile virus disease, and I was left to deal with its toll on my body. It was terrifying,” Fauci admitted, describing how the illness severely weakened both his physical and mental state. The virus had such an impact on him that he feared for his cognitive abilities. “A very scary part of the ordeal was the effect on my cognition. I was disoriented, unable to remember certain words, asking questions of my family that I should have known answers to,” he wrote. "I was afraid that I would never recover and return to normal." The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) describes West Nile virus as being spread primarily through mosquito bites. Symptoms can include fever, body aches, rashes, and digestive issues like diarrhea. In severe cases, the virus can lead to long-term neurological damage or even death. Currently, there are no vaccines or targeted treatments available for West Nile virus, and every year, around 1,000 people in the United States are hospitalized with serious cases of the disease. While Fauci’s spokesperson confirmed in August that he had been hospitalized and was recovering, Fauci himself admitted that, during the worst moments, he was deeply concerned about whether he would fully regain his strength and cognitive function. However, by early October, Fauci reported significant progress in his recovery. He shared that he was walking several miles a day and that his cognitive issues had resolved. Despite his improvements, he acknowledged that the experience had been "harrowing." "I tell my story because West Nile virus is a disease that, for many people, can have devastating and permanent consequences," Fauci emphasized. He also warned that the virus can lead to permanent neurological damage and that, despite its prevalence—having been identified in 46 states across the U.S. this year—there remains a lack of public and scientific awareness about it. “Considerably more resources must be put into addressing this threat now, not when the threat becomes an even greater crisis,” he urged, calling for a stronger societal response to the dangers posed by the virus. “As a society, we cannot accept this as the status quo.” Fauci retired in 2022 after a distinguished career but has continued to remain active in public discourse. In June, he released a book reflecting on his decades-long journey in medicine, and earlier this year, he testified before House Republicans about the U.S. government’s handling of the COVID-19 pandemic. His testimony marked his first appearance before Congress in nearly two years and sparked renewed interest in his career and his role during the pandemic. For Fauci, the ordeal with West Nile virus served as a sobering reminder that even the most seasoned virus fighters are not immune to the dangers of infectious diseases. His story underscores the need for increased research and public awareness of emerging health threats like West Nile virus, which, while not as widely discussed as other diseases, still poses a significant risk to many Americans. Based on a report from The Hill 2024-10-09

The Georgia Supreme Court has reinstated the state’s six-week abortion ban, reversing a recent lower court decision that had temporarily allowed wider access to the procedure. This ruling, which went into effect at 5 p.m. on Monday, once again makes most abortions in Georgia illegal after six weeks of pregnancy. The state’s abortion law, known as the LIFE Act, was signed by Republican Governor Brian Kemp in 2019 but only took effect in July 2022 after facing legal challenges. The law bans abortions once a fetal heartbeat is detected, which can be as early as six weeks into pregnancy, a time before many women are even aware they are pregnant. Exceptions to the ban exist, allowing for abortion in cases that protect the woman’s life and health or when fetal anomalies are detected. The Georgia Supreme Court’s decision came as it reviews the state’s appeal of a lower court ruling that had struck down the six-week ban. Last week, Fulton County Superior Court Judge Robert McBurney had ruled against the ban, effectively legalizing abortion in Georgia up to 22 weeks of pregnancy. In his ruling, McBurney emphasized the importance of a woman’s right to control her own body. “Liberty in Georgia includes in its meaning, in its protections, and in its bundle of rights the power of a woman to control her own body, to decide what happens to it and in it, and to reject state interference with her healthcare choices,” he wrote. He added, however, that the right to abortion is not unlimited and can be restricted when a fetus reaches viability. While reinstating the six-week ban, the Georgia Supreme Court left in place a separate part of the lower court’s ruling, which had blocked a provision giving state prosecutors broad access to the medical records of abortion patients without due process protections. The court’s decision has heightened uncertainty over abortion access in Georgia, a key battleground state where the issue remains at the forefront of political discourse. Vice President Kamala Harris has drawn attention to the devastating consequences of the state’s abortion restrictions, highlighting the cases of Amber Nicole Thurman and Candi Miller, two Black women who died in 2022 after complications from taking abortion pills. ProPublica reported that both women’s deaths were preventable. Miller, who had multiple health issues, was reportedly too afraid to seek medical care due to the abortion law, while Thurman remained in the hospital for 20 hours before doctors decided they could legally operate on her. Reproductive rights advocates have criticized the reinstatement of the ban, calling it a dangerous setback for women’s healthcare in Georgia. “It is cruel that our patients’ ability to access the reproductive health care they need has been taken away yet again," said Kwajelyn Jackson, Executive Director of the Feminist Women’s Health Center. She added, "This ban has wreaked havoc on Georgians’ lives, and our patients deserve better." Jaylen Black, spokesperson for Planned Parenthood Southeast, described the ruling as "an egregious example of how far anti-abortion lawmakers and judges will go to strip Georgians of their fundamental rights," pointing to the tragic, preventable deaths of Thurman and Miller. As the legal battle over abortion continues in Georgia, the court's ruling raises serious questions about the future of reproductive rights in the state, leaving many women and healthcare providers in a state of uncertainty. Based on a report from NBC News 2024-10-09

Documentary filmmaker Michael Moore, who famously predicted Donald Trump's surprise victory in the 2016 U.S. presidential election, now claims that Trump’s chances of a comeback in 2024 are bleak. Moore asserts that the majority of Americans are ready for a change, suggesting Trump’s political career may be nearing its end. In a recent Substack essay, Moore wrote, “The vast majority of the country, the normal people, have seen enough and want the clown car to disappear into the MAGA vortex somewhere between reality and Orlando.” Moore, who is known for his politically charged documentaries like *Fahrenheit 9/11* and *Fahrenheit 11/9*, expressed confidence that Vice President Kamala Harris would secure a narrow victory in the upcoming election. Moore believes that Harris is poised to win the Electoral College by a narrow margin of 270 to 268, capturing key battleground states such as Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and New Hampshire. “The swift and explosive momentum for Kamala Harris is unlike anything that’s been seen in decades,” Moore stated in his essay, suggesting that her appeal is growing as the campaign season heats up. His projection, he explained, is based on “an aggregate of top polls” and his own observations from interacting with everyday Americans. He referred to moments of shared experience, saying his conclusions come from “simply being around my fellow Americans who are shopping at Costco, having fun making TikToks and eating once a week at Chili’s.” However, Moore tempered his optimism by acknowledging that Trump has defied expectations before. “We do know that Trump has a stellar streak of pulling off the impossible — and those who have written him off have more than once lived to see the day where they must eat humble pie,” Moore cautioned. “It is never wise to do a victory dance on the two-yard line when Trump is your opponent.” Polls indicate a tight race, with Harris holding a slim lead over Trump. According to *The Independent’s* poll tracker, Harris is ahead by around three percent. However, many political experts remain cautious about making definitive Electoral College predictions due to the unpredictability of swing states. While Harris maintains an advantage in many battleground states, Trump continues to perform well on key issues like the economy and immigration, which could sway voters. Moore believes that one crucial factor for a Harris victory will be mobilizing nonvoters. He stressed the importance of getting those who sat out the last presidential election to participate this time. “The nonvoters are the second largest political ‘party’ in the U.S.!” Moore noted on his blog. “All we need is just a few thousand of them to show up — just this once — to make a difference.” While Moore sees Trump’s path to victory as dwindling, he remains cautious, knowing how unpredictable elections can be. In his view, Harris has the upper hand, but the final outcome will depend on voter turnout and how both campaigns address key issues in the coming months. Based on a report from The Independent 2024-10-09

Vice President Kamala Harris, who has often faced criticism for sidestepping long-form media interviews, confronted several challenging questions during a Monday evening segment on CBS News' "60 Minutes." The interview focused on key issues, including the Biden administration's controversial border policy and immigration. Harris was not alone in facing tough questioning, as Minnesota Governor Tim Walz also participated briefly. However, the interview largely centered on Harris, coming just weeks before the November election. The segment marked a strategic shift for Harris, whose campaign had previously limited traditional media appearances, sparking concern among some Democrats. In response, her team announced a media "blitz" leading up to the election, including appearances on late-night television. A notable absence from the program was former President Donald Trump, who had initially agreed to participate but later backed out. Traditionally, "60 Minutes" interviews both presidential candidates ahead of elections. With Trump opting out, the program aired a piece on the political conflict in Maricopa County, Arizona, where Republican opposition to Trump’s 2020 election loss remains strong. Without Trump to balance the interview, Harris was left to address her record on several key issues. When asked about her evolving positions and whether voters could trust her consistency, Harris defended herself by pointing to her time as vice president. “In the last four years, I have been vice president of the United States. And I have been traveling our country. And I have been listening to folks and seeking what is possible in terms of common ground. I believe in building consensus,” Harris said, emphasizing her efforts to unite diverse constituencies. One of the most pointed moments came when Harris was questioned about funding the various policy initiatives she has promised, such as small-business credits and housing assistance. When Whitaker suggested that these proposals would be difficult to pass through Congress, Harris countered by criticizing Trump’s tax policies. “I’m going to make sure that the richest among us, who can afford it, pay their fair share in taxes. It is not right that teachers and nurses and firefighters are paying a higher tax rate than billionaires and the biggest corporations,” she said. The interview also touched on more personal matters, including Harris’ ownership of a Glock handgun, which she had previously mentioned in a conversation with Oprah Winfrey. When Whitaker asked about it, Harris confirmed, "Of course I have [fired it] at a shooting range." At the conclusion of the interview, Harris was given the opportunity to comment on Trump’s decision to skip the "60 Minutes" interview. Harris encouraged voters to observe Trump’s rallies and speeches, noting, “You’re going to hear conversations that are about himself and all of his personal grievances. And what you will not hear is anything about you, the listener.” Harris argued that Trump’s rhetoric is self-centered and lacks plans to unite the country. “That is why I believe in my soul and heart the American people are ready to turn the page,” she concluded. Based on a report from NBC News 2024-10-09

In a significant legal moment for the Australian state of Victoria, a self-proclaimed Nazi has become the first individual to be convicted for performing an illegal Nazi salute. On Tuesday, 25-year-old Jacob Hersant was found guilty of making the salute and praising Adolf Hitler outside the Victoria County Court on October 27, 2023. The incident occurred just six days after Victoria's state government had officially banned the Nazi salute. Hersant's actions were captured on camera as he left the courthouse after appearing for an unrelated charge. Facing the media, Hersant not only performed the banned salute but also expressed admiration for the infamous Nazi leader, Adolf Hitler. The timing of the event was especially notable, given that Victoria had recently enacted legislation criminalizing such behavior. In December 2022, Australia's Federal Parliament had taken a further step by passing nationwide legislation, which outlawed the public performance of the Nazi salute as well as the public display and trading of Nazi hate symbols. This broader legal framework reflects the country’s commitment to combating the rise of extremist ideologies, including antisemitism. Despite Hersant's conviction, his defense lawyers attempted to argue that what he did did not constitute an illegal Nazi salute. They contended that the gesture was not a salute and that the legal ban violated Hersant’s implied right to political communication. However, the Melbourne magistrate dismissed these arguments, ruling Hersant guilty. Hersant is scheduled to be sentenced on Wednesday, where he could face up to 12 months in prison and a substantial fine. Hersant’s case is not the first incident in Australia involving individuals performing the Nazi salute. In June 2023, three men were convicted in New South Wales for giving the Nazi salute during a soccer match in Sydney on October 1, 2022. The state had already banned the display of Nazi symbols earlier that year. These men were each fined but have since filed appeals. After his conviction, Hersant suggested that he may appeal the decision in a higher court. When asked by reporters about the incident, Hersant responded that he did not necessarily acknowledge having performed the salute, though he did admit to making the gesture in the past. “But I do give the Nazi salute and I am a Nazi,” Hersant said openly. “I’ll still continue to give the salute, but hopefully police officers don’t see it.” The court’s decision was praised by many, particularly by the Anti-Defamation Commission chair, Dvir Abramovich. Abramovich, a prominent voice in Australia’s fight against antisemitism, expressed his satisfaction with the verdict. “This is a historic and thundering day for justice and decency,” Abramovich said, conveying the significance of the conviction in advancing efforts to curb hateful, extremist acts. As Hersant awaits his sentencing, this case marks a notable point in Victoria’s—and Australia’s—ongoing efforts to confront the resurgence of hate symbols and ideologies tied to Nazism. Based on a report from ABC News 2024-10-09

Fouad Siniora, who served as Lebanon's prime minister during the 2006 war with Israel, has voiced his frustration at what he sees as the international community's abandonment of Lebanon. Speaking to the BBC, Siniora expressed deep concern over Lebanon’s political instability and the lack of international effort to bring about peace. “We are now in a very difficult situation that requires real effort locally, as well as on the Arab side and internationally,” he stated, underscoring the urgency of the country’s plight. Siniora warned of the looming catastrophe if Lebanon continues to be left to its own devices. He criticized the current geopolitical climate, noting that much of the world, particularly the U.S., is preoccupied with other matters. “It's happening at a time when the American administration is so busy with the elections,” he said. His criticism extended to Lebanon’s internal politics, where the inability to elect a president has deepened the country's crisis. Siniora singled out Hezbollah, saying, “Some groups in the country, particularly Hezbollah, have been insisting that they want a president that will not stab that group in the back.” Reflecting on the last war between Lebanon and Israel, which began when Hezbollah fighters crossed the border and attacked Israeli soldiers, Siniora drew a stark contrast between his government’s response then and the lack of action today. The 2006 conflict erupted after Hezbollah kidnapped two Israeli soldiers and killed three others, sparking a month-long war. In the aftermath, Siniora’s government distanced itself from Hezbollah’s actions. “My government was very clear and determined in stating that we were not aware, and we were not informed, of Hezbollah’s plan to cross the Blue Line on the border and to kidnap and kill Israeli soldiers,” he explained. This time, he believes the Lebanese government has failed to take such a stand. “This government did not do what my government did that day. The advantage of what we did is that we created a distance between the Lebanese government and Lebanon on the one hand, and Hezbollah on the other,” Siniora said, expressing disappointment with the current leadership. In his assessment, Lebanon has lost its sovereignty, with Hezbollah exerting an outsized influence over the state. Siniora was blunt in his critique: “Practically, Lebanon as a state has been kidnapped by Hezbollah. And behind Hezbollah is Iran.” He accused Hezbollah of turning its weapons inward and using Lebanon as a proxy for Iranian interests in regional conflicts. “This gun that was held by Hezbollah, instead of being pointed towards Israel, started to be pointed domestically and started to be used as a way for Iran to interfere in Syria, in Iraq, in Yemen. Lebanon can’t get involved in such a war.” Siniora, who played a key role in drafting UN Resolution 1701, the agreement that ended the 2006 war, lamented the failure to enforce its provisions. One of the central elements of the resolution was the establishment of a buffer zone in southern Lebanon, free from Hezbollah fighters and weapons. However, despite the presence of the UN peacekeeping force UNIFIL and the Lebanese army, Hezbollah has maintained its military presence in the area. This enduring influence, compounded by the vacuum in Lebanon’s political leadership, has made Hezbollah’s control over the country even harder to contain. Siniora is also clear that the conflict in Lebanon should not be inextricably linked to the current year-old war in Gaza. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has visited regional capitals, calling for simultaneous ceasefires in both Lebanon and Gaza. “Since October 2023 things have been dragging and getting worse and worse. Many chances were made available to dissociate the Lebanese situation from Gaza." Based on a report from BBC 2024-10-09

A recent analysis by the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, a non-partisan think tank, has found that both Donald Trump and Kamala Harris would significantly increase the U.S. national debt if their campaign proposals were fully enacted. However, the study highlights a stark contrast between the two candidates' plans, with Trump’s proposals estimated to increase the debt by more than twice as much as Harris's. According to the group’s findings, Trump’s proposals would add approximately $7.5 trillion to the national debt, while Harris’s would contribute $3.5 trillion. Both figures are staggering, given the current state of U.S. finances, with the national debt already standing at $35.6 trillion. The think tank warned that neither candidate appears focused on curbing the rapidly rising debt. A significant portion of the hypothetical debt increase stems from tax policies that both candidates have supported. These policies include the extension of major tax cuts that were enacted during Trump’s first term. Those tax cuts are due to expire in 2025, leading to what could be a fierce debate on taxes after the upcoming election. Trump has vowed to maintain all elements of the tax package, and in addition, he has proposed new cuts. These cuts include the elimination of taxes on overtime, Social Security, and tips income. He also aims to offer domestic manufacturers a 15% corporate tax rate, much lower than the current rate. Trump has suggested that the revenue lost from these tax reductions would be offset by imposing widespread tariffs on imported goods, a move the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget estimates could raise $2.7 trillion. In contrast, Harris’s approach involves a partial reversal of Trump’s tax cuts, specifically targeting the wealthy and corporations. She plans to increase the corporate tax rate from 21% to 28%, though she would maintain the tax cuts for individuals earning less than $400,000. Additionally, she supports eliminating taxes on tips, similar to Trump. Harris has also introduced several proposals aimed at providing tax relief to families with children and startups. Her economic plan includes significant new spending, particularly in the areas of child care and health care, with billions allocated to subsidize these services. While both candidates' plans would have to pass through Congress, where any proposal could face significant obstacles, the overall impact on the national debt remains a major concern for some financial experts. Jimmy Lee, CEO of Wealth Consulting Group, observed, "Both candidates are wanting to get elected so, you know, tax cuts sound better than higher taxes so I think that's what you're hearing. Whether or not all of that gets through we'll see." However, Lee added that he believes investors may not be paying enough attention to the risks posed by the mounting national debt. The U.S. has long benefited from strong demand for its debt among private investors, allowing it to borrow at relatively low interest rates. But as debt levels continue to climb, some analysts warn that borrowing costs could increase in the future, posing further challenges for the U.S. economy. Currently, the country’s debt-to-GDP ratio is around 120%, one of the highest among major global economies, according to the International Monetary Fund. For comparison, Italy’s debt-to-GDP ratio is 144%, Spain’s 110%, the UK’s 101%, Canada’s 106%, China’s 77%, Germany’s 67%, and Australia’s 56%. Based on a report from BBC News 2024-10-09

Off topic removed, please stay with the thread discussion: Israeli Interrogator Warns of Continued Violence as Long as Hamas Leader Sinwar Lives

As Hurricane Milton rapidly intensifies into a Category 5 storm, officials are urging Florida residents to evacuate immediately. Tampa Mayor Jane Castor made an impassioned plea during a news conference on Monday, warning residents of the seriousness of the situation. "Listen, get out as quickly as you can. Do not wait," she said. Castor stressed the importance of evacuating before the storm hits, referencing past experiences where people delayed evacuating during Hurricane Helene and ended up calling for help too late. “This is going to be an event like none other," Castor added. "Helene was mostly a water event for us. This is going to be wind, water, storm surge, rain, you name it. It’s going to bring everything towards our community.” Incredible images from the International Space Station of HurricaneMilton, which has just had recorded wind speeds of 180 mph (289 kph). Milton poses a huge threat to Floridians and many are rightly evacuating now. Meteorologists have reported that Hurricane Milton’s strength has surged, with sustained winds of 180 mph and stronger gusts. According to the National Hurricane Center, Milton has gained an astonishing 90 mph in wind speed in less than 24 hours. Hurricane warnings have now been issued for parts of Florida, with landfall expected by Wednesday night, likely near Tampa Bay. While the hurricane may weaken slightly before hitting land, it is expected to grow larger and remain a powerful storm at landfall. Time is running out for Florida residents to take action as Hurricane Milton approaches. The warnings are clear—this storm is unprecedented in its intensity and potential destruction. "Get out as quickly as you can," Mayor Castor urged once more, a message echoed by officials statewide as the window for safe evacuation closes. Based on a report from CNN 2024-10-08

In an open letter shared first with NBC News, a group of 25 imams has endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, providing her with much-needed support from a community that has grown frustrated with the administration's handling of the Israel-Hamas war. As Harris ramps up efforts to win back disaffected Muslim voters, the endorsement represents a critical boost, especially in battleground states like Michigan, where the Muslim and Arab vote could play a decisive role. Muslim and Arab voters have expressed significant anger toward the Biden administration for its continued support of Israel’s actions in Gaza. However, the imams who signed the letter argue that, despite these frustrations, supporting Harris is still the best choice. They emphasize that Muslim voters must make logical voting decisions, writing that backing Harris “far outweighs the harms of the other options.” The imams also described Harris as “a committed ceasefire candidate” and highlighted her as the best option for ending the violence in Gaza and Lebanon. The letter warns against supporting former President Donald Trump, whom they consider a threat to the Muslim community. “Knowingly enabling someone like Donald Trump to return to office, whether by voting directly for him or for a third-party candidate, is both a moral and a strategic failure,” they wrote. They cautioned that in swing states, a vote for a third-party candidate could lead to Trump winning the state and potentially the election. The imams also noted Trump’s “well-documented history of harming our communities and country” and urged Muslim voters not to let high emotions dictate their decisions in a way that would harm the community. They emphasized the need to act responsibly, stating, “We have a responsibility, an Amana, not to place our community in harm’s way.” The endorsement is significant given that Harris has struggled to gain prominent allies within the Muslim community. Many Muslim organizations and leaders have either withheld their endorsements or supported anti-war third-party candidates like Jill Stein and Cornel West. Other groups have even launched movements like Abandon Harris, aimed at punishing Democrats for their staunch backing of Israel. Some critics have accused Harris of abandoning the Muslim and Arab American community, pointing to instances such as the denial of a Palestinian speaker at the Democratic National Convention and the 700,000 voters who cast “uncommitted” ballots in protest of President Joe Biden’s policies during the Democratic primaries. Mohamed Elsanousi, a Muslim community leader who helped organize the pro-Harris letter, emphasized that most of the 25 signatories are permanent imams with sizable congregations, including some in swing states like Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, and North Carolina. He expressed hope that the letter would encourage conflicted Muslim voters to feel more comfortable voting for Harris, despite opposition from some prominent Muslim voices. “I am really hopeful that with this letter a lot of people will change their minds,” Elsanousi said. “The momentum [for Harris] in the community is growing.” This endorsement follows Harris’s recent outreach efforts, including a meeting with Muslim community leaders in Michigan and a virtual event addressed by her running mate, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, aimed at boosting Muslim voter turnout. Her national security adviser also met with Arab and Muslim community leaders in Washington. Nasrina Bargzie, the director of Muslim and Arab American outreach for the Harris campaign, reiterated Harris’s commitment to winning over every voter and uniting the country. She added that Harris had consistently supported the country’s diverse Muslim community, working to ensure that they live free from “the hateful policies of the Trump administration.” Based on a report from NBC News 2024-10-08

Reform UK has announced its intention to initiate a private prosecution against the men involved in a violent altercation with police at Manchester Airport earlier this year. The incident has raised significant concerns about the handling of the situation, prompting Reform MPs to write to Home Secretary Yvette Cooper, accusing authorities of throwing the involved officers "under the bus" while the young men remain unpunished. The altercation gained widespread attention in July when a video circulated showing Greater Manchester Police (GMP) officers engaging with Fahir Amaaz, 19, and his brother Muhammad, 25, at the airport’s terminal 2. The video, which quickly went viral, captured an officer appearing to kick and stamp on Fahir’s head, sparking outrage and protests in both Rochdale and Manchester city center. Days after the incident, a second video surfaced, obtained by the *Manchester Evening News*. This footage revealed the moments leading up to the altercation on July 23, showing two female police officers being knocked to the ground before Mr. Amaaz was subdued with a taser. In response, the Independent Office for Police Conduct (IOPC) launched an investigation, and a GMP constable was placed under criminal investigation for assault. A second officer also came under investigation for his role in the altercation. Second Video Showing Lead up to incident: Reform UK has made it clear that if the Crown Prosecution Service (CPS) does not move forward with prosecuting the men involved, they will take legal action themselves. The party has already made plans to launch a crowdfunding campaign to support the costs of a private prosecution. Reform’s MPs argue that the police officers involved showed "great restraint" during the incident, noting that while tasers were deployed, the officers refrained from using more severe force, such as firearms. The case has been further complicated by allegations from the Amaaz family. They claim that the altercation began after their mother, Shameem Akhtar, was racially abused on a Qatar Airways flight. According to the family, the brothers confronted the man responsible after meeting their mother at the airport. The family’s solicitor confirmed that an "altercation" occurred at a Starbucks in the terminal, though they have declined to provide additional details. Following the incident, the family claims police officers escalated the situation by grabbing Mr. Amaaz’s wrist and neck, later striking his head against a ticket machine. During an August press conference, the Amaaz family accused the officer who allegedly stamped on Fahir’s head of turning off his body camera before threatening his life. Mr. Amaaz further claimed that the officer called him a "dirty f------ c---" and knelt on his neck during the confrontation. As the legal battles unfold, Reform UK remains adamant that justice must be served. Whether through the CPS or a private prosecution, they are determined to hold those responsible accountable for their actions, ensuring that the incident is thoroughly investigated. The question of whether the full truth of what happened that day will come to light remains to be seen, but the public's attention remains firmly fixed on the case. Based on a report from Daily Telegraph 2024-10-08

Michael Koubi, a former Shin Bet agent, recalls his chilling experience with Yahya Sinwar, the Hamas chief and mastermind behind the deadly October 7 attacks. Koubi, who interrogated Sinwar for 180 hours after his arrest in 1988, described the Hamas leader as a deeply radicalized individual whose sole mission is the destruction of Israel and the death of its people. Sinwar hiding in the Gaza tunnels: One of the most chilling moments Koubi recalls is when Sinwar bragged about indoctrinating young Palestinians into violence and antisemitism. Sinwar told of a visit to a Gaza kindergarten where he separated the toddlers into two groups—Palestinians and Israelis—and made a game out of who could kill the most Jews. Koubi, horrified by the depth of Sinwar’s fanaticism, felt certain that the man posed an enduring threat to Israel and the region. Although Sinwar was sentenced to life in prison, he was released in 2011 as part of a prisoner exchange deal in which Israel freed over 1,000 prisoners in exchange for the captured Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit. Koubi vehemently opposed Sinwar’s release, warning his superiors at the time that it would lead to further bloodshed. His fears were realized when Sinwar was implicated in orchestrating the October 7 attacks. Despite Israeli offers of exile and safety in exchange for the release of hostages, Koubi remains convinced that Sinwar must be eliminated to prevent further violence. “I know him better than anyone, and he is a danger to the world,” Koubi warned. “The only solution is to kill him.” As Israel grapples with the aftermath of the October 7 attacks, Koubi’s words stand as a grim reminder of the enduring threat posed by radicalized leaders like Sinwar, whose commitment to violence leaves little room for hope of a peaceful resolution. Based on a report from NYP 2024-10-08

As the U.S. Supreme Court begins its new term on October 7, three significant cases are set to be heard, each of which could have a profound impact on American life. From gun control to gender identity and online pornography, these rulings will shape the national discourse in the months ahead. One case, *Garland v. VanDerStok*, will address the controversial issue of "ghost guns." These are firearms that are purchased in pieces and assembled by the buyer. The legal question before the court is whether these parts should be considered guns, requiring the same registration, licensing, and serial numbers as fully assembled firearms. Ghost guns have surged in popularity, especially because they can be bought online and often remain untraceable. The Biden administration, through the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF), introduced a regulation in 2022 that expands the definition of a firearm to include these self-assembly kits. The rule demands that partially assembled guns be registered like traditional firearms. Opponents argue that this rule oversteps regulatory boundaries, and the Supreme Court will hear the oral arguments on October 8. Another pivotal case, *U.S. v. Skrmetti*, centers on gender transition treatments for minors. Tennessee’s law, enacted in March 2023, bans the use of puberty blockers, hormone therapy, and gender-affirming surgeries for minors. The legislation has been challenged by three transgender children, who argue that it violates the 14th Amendment’s equal protection clause. While a federal district court initially struck down the law, an appellate court later reinstated it, prompting the case to head to the Supreme Court. The ruling could have wide-reaching effects, as more than 20 states have passed similar laws. Legal expert Germain suggests that it is unlikely the court will overturn Tennessee’s law, stating, “Allowing the use of drugs for certain conditions and not others does not strike me as violating equal protection. But it’s the ultimate political hot potato these days.” The third case that could have significant implications is *Free Speech Coalition, Inc. v. Paxton*, which challenges a Texas law requiring age verification for accessing pornographic websites. Enacted in June 2023, the law mandates that users be over 18 to view adult content, and it requires such websites to display health warnings about the psychological risks associated with explicit material. Similar age-verification laws have been introduced in several states, including Arkansas, Utah, and Louisiana. The central issue in this case is whether the Texas law infringes on free speech rights by making it harder for adults to access constitutionally protected material. According to Eric C. Chaffee, a law professor at Case Western Reserve University, “Protecting children has long been held by the Supreme Court to be a compelling government interest.” He adds, “The case will turn on whether the Court believes that age-verification provides the least restrictive means of protecting minors from pornography in cyberspace.” These cases will test the boundaries of federal and state authority and challenge interpretations of constitutional rights. With the outcomes expected to ripple across the country, the Supreme Court’s rulings could redefine critical aspects of American life. Based on a report from Newsweek 2024-10-08

A year after Hamas militants from Gaza invaded Israel, committing atrocities that included the rape of women and the murder of more than 1,100 people, including infants, a significant portion of American Muslims deny these events and hold troubling antisemitic views, according to a new poll. Despite video evidence of the slaughter spreading globally, a substantial number of American Muslims reject the facts of what took place on October 7. When asked to choose between two statements, more American Muslims selected “Hamas did not commit murder and rape in Israel on October 7” than those who acknowledged the crimes. The poll, conducted by J.L. Partners and shared with *The Daily Signal*, revealed that 39% denied the Hamas murders and rapes, while only 31% admitted to them. Another 30% expressed uncertainty, answering with “don’t know.” In addition to these concerning denials, many American Muslims (43%) stated that “Israel does not have a right to exist as a Jewish homeland.” In comparison, only 11% of the general public held this view. One-third of American Muslims (33%) affirmed that “Israel has a right to exist as a Jewish homeland,” while two-thirds of the overall American population (66%) agreed with that sentiment. The poll also shed light on perceptions of Jewish influence. A majority of Muslims (58%) said Jews have “too much power” over the media, while 57% said the same about Jewish influence over federal policy. Older Muslims, particularly those over 65 years old (67%), and college-educated Muslims (64%) were more likely to express these views about Jewish power over the media. The survey also revealed contrasting perceptions of rising animosity in the United States. More Americans (57%) felt that antisemitism had increased in the aftermath of the October 7 attack, while 44% believed anti-Muslim sentiment had risen. Interestingly, a third of respondents said anti-Muslim animus had decreased during the same period, while only 20% thought antisemitism had decreased. When it came to political and religious issues, American Muslims were more likely to support the idea of making it illegal to display a picture or cartoon of the Prophet Muhammad (50%) compared to the general public (14%). Similarly, they were more inclined to back the formation of a Muslim political party (46% vs. 9%) and the implementation of Sharia law (39% vs. 10%). They also favored declaring Islam as America’s national religion (33%), a stance shared by only 9% of the general public. Nonetheless, a notable portion of Muslims opposed these policies: 31% were against implementing Sharia law, and 32% opposed declaring Islam the national religion, although opposition from the general public was stronger (56% and 68%, respectively). It is important to note that the term “Sharia” simply means “law” in Arabic, and interpretations of it vary significantly. While radical Islamist groups, like the Taliban, enforce Sharia in strict and oppressive ways, the understanding of Sharia law among American Muslims is diverse and reflects a wide range of beliefs. While American Muslims proved more likely to oppose Israel’s right to exist, to deny Hamas committed murder and rape, and to ascribe positive motives to Oct. 7, they did not support campus protesters targeting Jewish students who support Israel. The survey asked which of two statements comes closest to respondents’ views: “Jewish students on college campuses who openly support Israel are not valid targets of campus protests” or they “are valid targets.” Nearly half of Muslims (46%) agreed with nearly half of the general public (48%) that these Jewish students do not represent valid targets. Based on a report from Daily Signal 2024-10-08

Viktor Bout, the infamous Russian arms dealer once dubbed the "Merchant of Death," is reportedly back in the arms trade less than two years after his release from U.S. imprisonment. Bout, who had been serving a lengthy sentence for arms trafficking, was released in a high-profile prisoner exchange for American basketball player Brittney Griner in 2022. His latest venture involves brokering a deal to supply small arms to the Iran-backed Houthi militants in Yemen. Bout, now 57, gained notoriety for his role in the global arms trade, with his life even serving as inspiration for the 2005 Hollywood film *Lord of War*, in which Nicolas Cage portrayed a character based on Bout. For years, Bout supplied Soviet-made weaponry across Africa, South America, and the Middle East, earning himself a reputation as one of the world’s most notorious arms traffickers. His career came to a halt in 2008 when he was arrested in a U.S. sting operation. After his release, Bout joined a pro-Kremlin far-right political party and secured a seat in a local assembly in 2023. His involvement in official politics seemed to signal a shift away from his arms-dealing past. However, recent reports indicate otherwise. When Houthi representatives traveled to Moscow in August 2023, ostensibly to negotiate the purchase of pesticides and vehicles, they found themselves dealing with the familiar figure of Viktor Bout. According to a European security official and others familiar with the negotiations, Bout was involved in brokering a deal for $10 million worth of automatic weapons. Though these arms have yet to be delivered, the potential deal has raised alarms. U.S. officials are concerned that Russia might escalate its involvement in the Yemen conflict by providing more advanced weaponry to the Houthis, especially as tensions between Washington and Moscow continue over the war in Ukraine. So far, there is no indication that Bout or Russia is involved in the sale of more sophisticated arms, such as anti-ship or anti-air missiles, which could significantly impact U.S. military operations in the region. The Biden administration remains on alert for any such developments, as the provision of even small arms to the Houthis would be seen as a serious provocation. Steve Zissou, a New York attorney who represented Bout during his trial in the U.S., has remained tight-lipped on whether his client is indeed involved in the recent dealings with the Houthis. "Viktor Bout has not been in the transportation business for over twenty years," Zissou said, while also suggesting that if Bout were acting under the orders of the Russian government, it would be no different from the U.S. arming Ukraine. The Houthis, designated a terrorist organization by Washington, have long sought Russian-made weaponry. Their recent trip to Moscow, while officially under the guise of trade discussions, included a visit to a Lada car factory, but the true purpose appears to have been arms-related. Whether Bout’s involvement is sanctioned directly by the Kremlin or merely tolerated remains unclear. The Russian government has not commented on the matter, and a Houthi spokesman has also declined to respond. If completed, this deal would represent a new chapter in Bout’s long and controversial career, marking his return to the international arms market, a world he once dominated. The sale, if successful, could further complicate the already fragile situation in the Middle East and deepen Russia’s involvement in regional conflicts. Based on a report from WSJ 2024-10-08