
swissie
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2025 stock favorites
swissie replied to bkk6060's topic in Jobs, Economy, Banking, Business, Investments
Real Estate is good. But let's not forget that this sails under "2025 stock favorites". As I don't invest in women anymore, I am getting more "liquid" by the day. To increase my liquidity further, I have sold my old Buick and my kitchen sink yesterday. So, I am open to stock recommendations. Let's rock and roll. 😉 -
2025 stock favorites
swissie replied to bkk6060's topic in Jobs, Economy, Banking, Business, Investments
You should start to compare 1 family US homes to 1 family homes in Europe as far as building standarts are compared. But be warned. You will cry out to your wife: "My God Virginia, most of us live in overpriced wooden tinderboxes". The story of the 3 pigs come to mind. 2 of them erected flimsy houses. The 3rd erected a brick house. The big bad wolf came along and effortlessly blew over the flimsy houses, but failed to harm the brick house. That's the moral of the story. But peace brother, peace. -
Truly, the amount of fraud is unbelievable. Just think of all the international corporations that are allowed to pay their taxes in some exotic islands. Practically paying no taxes. Therefore, I would support any effort that all employees of McDonald would be allowed to pay their taxes in the Cayman Islands.
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Corporations, states, private households are "dept heavy" and increasingly so, wordwide. Especially by the next US presidential election in 2028 this will be the Nr 1 issue. Global Bond Markets will elevate it to this "major issue". Regardless of other political circumstances. Since after WW2, the "west" has prospered with the magic potion called "credit", mainly. Never mind "productivity increases". This concept can not possibly be maintained for the next 50 years as before. This can turn out to be "the monkey wrench" for the future global economy. A time, when "holding our ground" will be considered as a success. Under these circumstances, major corporations featuring a mere P/E ratio of 5 will be considered as "fit for the future". We may have to become more "humble" again. Possibly to the advantage of most of us.
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2025 stock favorites
swissie replied to bkk6060's topic in Jobs, Economy, Banking, Business, Investments
Of course there are many ways to play the mortgage duration curve. It seems, your best properties had something to do with brick/concrete. Fine. - What I am referring to are typical 1 Family homes with picket fence. Made of 2x4's and particle board. "Father time" takes it's toll on those constructions. Where I live, with this construction scheme, I would not get a building permit to erect a shak to store hay in. You may also want to read in the "Pub" sub forum: " American building standarts...." -
2025 stock favorites
swissie replied to bkk6060's topic in Jobs, Economy, Banking, Business, Investments
Quote: "When you sell, you aren't necessarily always buying back into the 'same market'. In some cases, people are making a change to a different city, state, or country. But, in any case, buying back into the same market has not been a problem for me--either in the US or here". Yes indeed. The Farmers "Up North" have sold their farms (their sons not wanting to farm anymore). They bought a lavish motorhome and live in Arizona. Plenty of cash left, to support more than an occasional square dance. Some of them enjoying a "second spring", sometimes disturbing 30 year old marriages. Never have I seen happier old folks. By selling their land in exchange for a lavish motorhome with plenty of cash left. In other words: One must not necessarily buy into "the same market". Some buy into the "Thai-Market", but that's another story. -
2025 stock favorites
swissie replied to bkk6060's topic in Jobs, Economy, Banking, Business, Investments
Uhhh: I am confident that you will find the time to outline why my comments are "ridiculus". Take your time, point by point. Something like a) b) c) -
2025 stock favorites
swissie replied to bkk6060's topic in Jobs, Economy, Banking, Business, Investments
I agree. A combination of R/E and stocks are best. R/E has the advantage that you can buy it with OPM (other peoples money). This is generally known as a "mortgage". A mortgage in the US usually runs for 30 years. Why is that? For a very practical reason: Houses in Europe are designed to last for 2 to 3 generations. Unless much mainainance is invested, a house in the US is desighned to last for 30 years. The duration of the mortgage. True "wealth building" works in other ways. So it's the "land" that produces the value over time and not the house. Most "American Houses" would not get any building-permit in Europe. The construction considered as "too flimsy". Considering the fact, that the US home consists of a basic framework of 2x4 lumber, no wonder that hurricanes like those structures. -
2025 stock favorites
swissie replied to bkk6060's topic in Jobs, Economy, Banking, Business, Investments
Yep! Selling into a Bull Market means selling a sack of potatoes for 10$ only to buy it back for 11 $. -
Gentlemen, it won't be long and expats will cherish the boring political environement that we call Thailand. Because, with the new "helmsman" in the US, all hell will break loose in the West. Enjoy the political calm in Thailand, as the "helmsman" in the US has no plans concerning Thailand. Of course this will change immediately if one of the helmsman's advisors tell him that Thailand is located very near Greenland.
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2025 stock favorites
swissie replied to bkk6060's topic in Jobs, Economy, Banking, Business, Investments
No secret, that software based trading systems produce better results than "traditional chart reading" in combination with "gut feelings" of short term traders (eliminating emotions). Unfortunately, systems that produce good results are quickly adopted by too many traders, thus defeating the system from within. -
2025 stock favorites
swissie replied to bkk6060's topic in Jobs, Economy, Banking, Business, Investments
Therefore use VIX Volatility indexes or Bollinger Bands. -
2025 stock favorites
swissie replied to bkk6060's topic in Jobs, Economy, Banking, Business, Investments
Nice yield over time. But as a comparison: In the early 1980 the Dow Jones Industrial hit 1000. Today it's over 42'000. Conclusion: R/E is good, stocks are better. Caution: The DJI reflects "industrial growth", not to be repeated in western economies for the next 50 years. High Tech may bring similar stellar performances for the next 50 years. Maybe/possibly/perhaps/hopefully. -
2025 stock favorites
swissie replied to bkk6060's topic in Jobs, Economy, Banking, Business, Investments
The old trading by "chart-technique" doesn't work as it used to. "False breakouts" etc etc becoming the rule. No wonder. It is known where the "stops /buy-sell" orders are placed these days. A new segment of traders have evolved = "running the stops", resulting in "false breakouts", also known as Bull/Bear traps. Needless to say, that often times, your own broker/trading house bets successfully against their own customers. The future? 77 different AI systems doing the trading. Short term pricing and especially volatility going thru the roof. -
2025 stock favorites
swissie replied to bkk6060's topic in Jobs, Economy, Banking, Business, Investments
Stock picking is hard enough as it is. Now comes the "Trump-Factor" into place. The deisions of this 1 man can decide the faith of entire economic sectors and whole countries and world trade overall. Welcome to the roulette table in 2025. -
Tax on the poor?: What's the cause of USA inflation?
swissie replied to GammaGlobulin's topic in ASEAN NOW Community Pub
In other words: The "state " give me everything" and I give nothing back, The richer I am, the less I give back to society. Things are looking good, don't they? -
Tax on the poor?: What's the cause of USA inflation?
swissie replied to GammaGlobulin's topic in ASEAN NOW Community Pub
Not to forget my dear friends. John Maynard Keynes developped a truly remarkable economic system to keep "economic growth" in balance over time. - During economic downturns, the state will borrow money to "soften" downturns. Once the (inevitable) recovery takes place, the borrowed funds will be repaid. A brilliant concept. Unfortunately: During economical upswings, the borrowed monies were never paid back. Under these circumstances, Keynes model of long-term economical equilibrium never had a chance. -
Tax on the poor?: What's the cause of USA inflation?
swissie replied to GammaGlobulin's topic in ASEAN NOW Community Pub
In a former post, I recommended that Walker88 posts should be part of any high school curriculum in the US. Now I would augment my request: Everyone contemplating studying "economy" must read Walker88 comments first. As economic "inner workings" of complicated constellations are explained here by Walker88 in terms, that even a young person, starting his career at McDonalds is capable of understanding. Priceless. -
Above text raises some serious questions. After 9 years, the lady finally realises "that something happened" below her belt while being drugged. After 9 years!!! At least at some time (in the beginning) the lady may have shown signs of "co-opperation". Now, having found out that "outing" herself, could mean "fame and fortune" in old age? - Of course, I would not dare to voice such doubts in public as I would be chasdised for the rest of my life, being titled a "rape supporter". Only because I am not buying the victims story 100%.